We establish optimal logarithmic rates of convergence in the strong invariance principle for multivariate cumulative processes in the Smith's sense. Exponential probabilistic inequalities of Komlós-Major-Tusnády type are obtained. Provided examples include applications to stopped sums and birth and death processes.
This paper is a continuation of work arXiv:2006.09583 devoted to establishment of the convergence rate in the strong invariance principle for cumulative processes. We establish optimal rate of convergence for the case when regeneration periods and increments over them have only power moments of order greater than 2. Under this power-type conditions two types of approximation by Wiener process are proved: the rate of convergence in the Strassen's invariance principle and inequalities for the probability that random process deviates from the approximating one.
Consider a multi-dimensional Brownian motion which models the surplus processes of multiple lines of business of an insurance company. Our main result gives exact asymptotics for the cumulative Parisian ruin probability as the initial capital tends to infinity. An asymptotic distribution for the conditional cumulative Parisian ruin time is also derived. The obtained results on the cumulative Parisian ruin can be seen as generalizations of some of the results derived in Debicki et al (2018, Stochastic Processes and Their Applications). As a particular interesting case, the two-dimensional Brown…
Gaussian comparison inequalities provide a way of bounding probabilities relating to multivariate Gaussian random vectors in terms of probabilities of random variables with simpler correlation structures. In this paper, we establish the partial stochastic dominance result that the cumulative distribution function of the maximum of a multivariate normal random vector, with positive intraclass correlation coefficient, intersects the cumulative distribution function of a standard normal random variable at most once. This result can be applied to the Bayesian design of a clinical trial in which se…
We propose non-asymptotic controls of the cumulative distribution function $P(|X_{t}|\ge \varepsilon)$, for any $t>0$, $\varepsilon>0$ and any Lévy process $X$ such that its Lévy density is bounded from above by the density of an $α$-stable type Lévy process in a neighborhood of the origin. The results presented are non-asymptotic and optimal, they apply to a large class of Lévy processes.
Various empirical and theoretical studies indicate that cumulative network traffic is a Gaussian process. However, depending on whether the intensity at which sessions are initiated is large or small relative to the session duration tail, Mikosch et al. (Ann Appl Probab, 12:23-68, 2002) and Kaj and Taqqu (Progress Probab, 60:383-427, 2008) have shown that traffic at large time scales can be approximated by either fractional Brownian motion (fBm) or stable Levy motion. We study distributional properties of cumulative traffic that consists of a finite number of independent streams and give an ex…
Stochastic modelling of fatigue (and other material's deterioration), as well as of cumulative damage in risk theory, are often based on compound sums of independent random variables, where the number of addends is represented by an independent counting process. We consider here a cumulative model where, instead of a renewal process (as in the Poisson case), a linear birth (or Yule) process is used. This corresponds to the assumption that the frequency of \textquotedblleft damage" increments accelerates according to the increasing number of \textquotedblleft damages". We start from the partial…
This paper considers the tail asymptotics for a cumulative process $\{B(t); t \ge 0\}$ sampled at a heavy-tailed random time $T$. The main contribution of this paper is to establish several sufficient conditions for the asymptotic equality ${\sf P}(B(T) > bx) \sim {\sf P}(M(T) > bx) \sim {\sf P}(T>x)$ as $x \to \infty$, where $M(t) = \sup_{0 \le u \le t}B(u)$ and $b$ is a certain positive constant. The main results of this paper can be used to obtain the subexponential asymptotics for various queueing models in Markovian environments. As an example, using the main results, we derive subexponen…
Lower and upper bounds for the cumulative distribution function (cdf) of the time to extinction in a subcritical two-sex branching process are derived. A recursive procedure for approximating this cdf is also utilized. The results are illustrated with some simulations.
In piecewise-deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) the state of a finite-dimensional system evolves continuously, but the evolutive equation may change randomly as a result of discrete switches. A running cost is integrated along the corresponding piecewise-deterministic trajectory up to the termination to produce the cumulative cost of the process. We address three natural questions related to uncertainty in cumulative cost of PDMP models: (1) how to compute the Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) of the cumulative cost when the switching rates are fully known; (2) how to accurately bound…
In this paper we study the mean of the first exit time from a bounded interval of various Lévy processes. We establish sharp two-sided estimates of the mean for Lévy processes under certain condition on their characteristic exponents. We also study the cumulative distribution function of the supremum and infimum processes. Finally, we establish integral conditions that assure that the renewal function of the ladder height process is comparable with the linear one.
We compute the expected signature of a class of Gaussian processes which is a subclass of the Gaussian processes with regular kernels, in the sense of Alos, Mazet and Nualart.
In this paper exact confidence intervals for the Orey index of Gaussian processes are obtained using concentration inequalities for Gaussian quadratic forms and discrete observations of the underlying process. The obtained result is applied to Gaussian processes with the Orey index which not necessarily have stationary increments.
The problem of (pathwise) large deviations for conditionally continuous Gaussian processes is investigated. The theory of large deviations for Gaussian processes is extended to the wider class of random processes -- the conditionally Gaussian processes. The estimates of level crossing probability for such processes are given as an application.
We develop the canonical Volterra representation for a self-similar Gaussian process by using the Lamperti transformation of the corresponding stationary Gaussian process, where this latter one admits a canonical integral representation under the assumption of pure non-determinism. We apply the representation obtained for the self-similar Gaussian process to derive an expression for Gaussian processes that are equivalent in law to the self-similar Gaussian process in question.
We derive the asymptotic behavior for an additive functional of two independent self-similar Gaussian processes when their intersection local time exists, using the method of moments.
The Malliavin integration-by-parts formula is a key ingredient to develop stochastic analysis on the Wiener space. In this article we show that a suitable integration-by-parts formula also characterizes a wide class of Gaussian processes, the so-called Gaussian Fredholm processes.
The approximation of the Gaussian cumulative distribution or of the related Mills ratio have a long history starting with Gauss and Laplace and continuing nowadays. Below, we improve an important family of bounds provided recently by Dümbgen.
We prove comparison theorems for small ball probabilities of the Green Gaussian processes in weighted $L_2$-norms. We find the sharp small ball asymptotics for many classical processes under quite general assumptions on the weight.
We present here an elementary example, for every fixed positive integer $k,$ of a strictly stationary nongaussian stochastic process in discrete time, all of whose $k$-marginals are gaussian.
Orey suggested the definition of some index for Gaussian processes with stationary increments which determines various properties of the sample paths of this process. We give an extension of the definition of the Orey index for a second order stochastic processes which may not have stationary increments and estimate the Orey index for Gaussian process from discrete observations of its sample paths.
We introduce a class of self-similar Gaussian processes and provide sufficient and necessary conditions for a member of the class to admit a unique small scale limit in the Skorokhod space. The class includes several well known processes. An example of application to the problem of estimation is given.
This note is concerned with concentration inequalities for extrema of stationary Gaussian processes. It provides non-asymptotic tail inequalities which fully reflect the fluctuation rate, and as such improve upon standard Gaussian concentration. The arguments rely on the hypercontractive approach developed by Chatterjee for superconcentration variance bounds. Some statistical illustrations complete the exposition.
This article provides a representation theorem for a set of Gaussian processes; this theorem allows to build Gaussian processes with arbitrary regularity and to write them as limit of random trigonometric series. We show via Karhunen-Love theorem that this set is isometrically equivalent to l2. We then prove that regularity of trajectory path of anyone of such processes can be detected just by looking at decrease rate of l2 sequence associated to him via isometry.
We deduce bilateral interrelations between Fourier coefficients for lacunar trigonometric series and modulus of their continuity. We obtain also as an application some conditions for continuity and discontinuity for Gaussian periodic stationary random centered processes.
With motivation from K. Dȩbicki and P. Kisowski (2007), in this paper we derive the exact tail asymptotics of $α(t)$-locally stationary Gaussian processes with non-constant variance functions. We show that some certain variance functions lead to qualitatively new results.
The continuity of Gaussian processes is extensively studied topic and it culminates in the Talagrand's notion of majorizing measures that gives complicated necessary and sufficient conditions. In this note we study the Hölder continuity of Gaussian processes. It turns out that necessary and sufficient conditions can be stated in a simple form that is a variant of the celebrated Kolmogorov-Čentsov condition.
We consider two independent Gaussian processes that admit a representation in terms of a stochastic integral of a deterministic kernel with respect to a standard Wiener process. In this paper we construct two families of processes, from a unique Poisson process, the finite dimensional distributions of which converge in law towards the finite dimensional distributions of the two independent Gaussian processes. As an application of this result we obtain families of processes that converge in law towards fractional Brownian motion and sub-fractional Brownian motion.
Linear filtering problem for infinite-dimensional Gaussian processes is studied, the observation process being finite-dimensional. Integral equations for the filter and for covariance of the error are derived. General results are applied to linear SPDEs driven by Gauss-Volterra process observed at finitely many points of the domain.
In this paper we derive the exact asymptotics of the probability of Parisian ruin for self-similar Gaussian risk processes. Additionally, we obtain the normal approximation of the Parisian ruin time and derive an asymptotic relation between the Parisian and the classical ruin times.
We derive the limiting distributions of exceedances point processes of randomly scaled weakly dependent stationary Gaussian sequences under some mild asymptotic conditions. In the literature analogous results are available only for contracted stationary Gaussian sequences. In this paper, we include additionally the case of randomly inflated stationary Gaussian sequences with a Weibullian type random scaling. It turns out that the maxima and minima of both contracted and inflated weakly dependent stationary Gaussian sequences are asymptotically independent.
We show that the central limit theorem for linear statistics over determinantal point processes with $J$-Hermitian kernels holds under fairly general conditions. In particular, We establish Gaussian limit for linear statistics over determinantal point processes on union of two copies of $\mathbb{R}^d$ when the correlation kernels are $J$-Hermitian translation-invariant.
In this paper, we study the asymptotic relation between the maximum of acontinuous order statistics process formed by stationary Gaussian processesand the maximum of this process sampled at discrete time points. It is shown that, these two maxima are asymptotically independent when the Gaussian processes are weakly dependent and the discrete points are sufficient sparse, while for other case, these two maxima are asymptotically dependent.
\noindent The paper establishes weak convergence in $C[0,1]$ of normalized stochastic processes, generated by Toeplitz type quadratic functionals of a continuous time Gaussian stationary process, exhibiting long-range dependence. Both central and non-central functional limit theorems are obtained.
The aim of this work is to define and perform a study of local times of all Gaussian processes that have an integral representation over a real interval (that maybe infinite). Very rich, this class of Gaussian processes, contains Volterra processes (and thus fractional Brownian motion), multifractional Brownian motions as well as processes, the regularity of which varies along the time. Using the White Noise-based anticipative stochastic calculus with respect to Gaussian processes developed in [Leb17], we first establish a Tanaka formula. This allows us to define both weighted and non-weighted…
We introduce a Skorokhod type integral and prove an Ito formula for a wide class of Gaussian processes which may exhibit stochastic discontinuities. Our Ito formula unifies and extends the classical one for general (i.e., possibly discontinuous) Gaussian martingales in the sense of Ito integration and the one for stochastically continuous Gaussian non-martingales in the Skorokhod sense, which was first derived in Alos et al. (Ann. Probab. 29, 2001).
We consider multifractional process given by double Ito--Wiener integrals, which generalize the multifractional Rosenblatt process. We prove that this process is continuous and has a square integrable local time.