We give optimal convergence rates in the central limit theorem for a large class of martingale difference sequences with bounded third moments. The rates depend on the behaviour of the conditional variances and for stationary sequences the rate $n^{-1/2}\log n$ is reached. We give interesting examples of martingales with unbounded increments which belong to the considered class.
A proof of the continuous martingale convergence theorem is provided. It relies on a classical martingale inequality and the almost sure convergence of a uniformly bounded non-negative super-martingale, after a truncation argument.
Baez-Duarte (1971) and Gilat (1972) gave examples of martingales that converge in probability (and hence in distribution) but not almost surely. Here such a martingale is constructed with uniformly bounded increments, and a construction is provided of two martingales with the same marginals, one of which converges almost surely, while the other does not converge in probability.
Biggins [Uniform convergence of martingales in the branching random walk. {\em Ann. Probab.}, 20(1):137--151, 1992] proved local uniform convergence of additive martingales in $d$-dimensional supercritical branching random walks at complex parameters $λ$ from an open set $Λ\subseteq \mathbb{C}^d$. We investigate the martingales corresponding to parameters from the boundary $\partial Λ$ of $Λ$. The boundary can be decomposed into several parts. There may be a part of the boundary, on which the martingales do not exist, on other parts it exists, but diverges or vanishes in the limit. In the rema…
We prove necessary and sufficient conditions for the $L^p$-convergence, $p>1$, of the Biggins martingale with complex parameter in the supercritical branching random walk. The results and their proofs are much more involved (especially in the case $p\in (1,2)$) than those for the Biggins martingale with real parameter. Our conditions are ultimate in the case $p\geq 2$ only.
Martingale methods are used to study the almost everywhere convergence of general function series. Applications are given to ergodic series, which improves recent results of Fan \cite{FanETDS}, and to dilated series, including Davenport series, which completes results of Gaposhkin \cite{Gaposhkin67} (see also \cite{Gaposhkin68}). Application is also given to the almost everywhere convergence with respect to Riesz products of lacunary series.
Let $W_n, n\in\mn_{0}$ be an intrinsic martingale with almost sure limit $W$ in a supercritical branching random walk. We provide criteria for the $L_p$-convergence of the series $\sum_{n\ge 0} e^{an}(W-W_n)$ for $p>1$ and $a>0$. The result may be viewed as a statement about the exponential rate of convergence of $\me |W-W_n|^p$ to zero.
Positive $T$-martingales were developed as a general framework that extends the positive measure-valued martingales and are meant to model intermittent turbulence. We extend their scope by allowing the martingale to take complex values. We focus on martingales constructed on the interval $T=[0,1]$ and replace random measures by random functions. We specify a large class of such martingales for which we provide a general sufficient condition for almost sure uniform convergence to a nontrivial limit. Such a limit yields new examples of naturally generated multifractal processes that may be of us…
We prove a central limit theorem for a random field generated by d commuting probability preserving transformations; the martingale is given by a commuting filtration (cf. D. Khosnevisan, Multiparameter Processes, Springer 2002). The result has been known for Bernoulli random fields. Here, only ergodicity of one of generating transformations is supposed.
The central limit theorem of martingales is the fundamental tool for studying the convergence of stochastic processes, especially stochastic integrals and differential equations. In this paper, general central limit theorems and functional central limit theorems are obtained for martingale like random variables under the sub-linear expectation. As applications, the Lindeberg central limit theorem and functional central limit theorem are obtained for independent but not necessarily identically distributed random variables, and a new proof of the Lévy characterization of a G-Brownian motion with…
We provide explicit bounds on the Wasserstein distance between discrete time martingales and the standard normal distribution. The proofs are based on a combination of Lindeberg's and Stein's method.
We consider a branching random walk on $\mathbb{R}$ with a stationary and ergodic environment $ξ=(ξ_n)$ indexed by time $n\in\mathbb{N}$. Let $Z_n$ be the counting measure of particles of generation $n$ and $\tilde Z_n(t)=\int e^{tx}Z_n(dx)$ be its Laplace transform. We show the $L^p$ convergence rate and the uniform convergence of the martingale $\tilde Z_n(t)/\mathbb E[\tilde Z_n(t)|ξ]$, and establish a moderate deviation principle for the measures $Z_n$.
In this paper, we give rates of convergence, for minimal distances and for the uniform distance, between the law of partial sums of martingale differences and thelimiting Gaussian distribution. More precisely, denoting by $P_{X}$ the law of a random variable $X$ and by $G_{a}$ the normal distribution ${\mathcal N} (0,a)$, we are interested by giving quantitative estimates for the convergence of $P_{S_n/\sqrt{V_n}}$ to $G_1$, where $S_n$ is the partial sum associated with either martingale differences sequences or more general dependent sequences, and $V_n= {\rm Var}(S_n)$. Applications to line…
We investigate the almost sure asymptotic properties of vector martingale transforms. Assuming some appropriate regularity conditions both on the increasing process and on the moments of the martingale, we prove that normalized moments of any even order converge in the almost sure cental limit theorem for martingales. A conjecture about almost sure upper bounds under wider hypotheses is formulated. The theoretical results are supported by examples borrowed from statistical applications, including linear autoregressive models and branching processes with immigration, for which new asymptotic pr…
We study some sufficient conditions imposed on the sequence of martingale differences (m.d.) in the separable Banach spaces of continuous functions defined on the metric compact set for the Central Limit Theorem in this space. We taking into account the classical entropy terms, and use the theory of the so-called Grand Lebesgue Spaces of random variables having power and exponential decreasing tail of distribution.
We prove an upper bound on the Wassertein distance between normalized martingales and the standard normal random variable, which extends a result of Röllin [Statist. Probabil. Lett. 138 (2018) 171-176]. The proof is based on a method of Bolthausen [Ann. Probab. 10 (1982) 672-688].
Renz (1996), Ouchti(2005), El Machkouri and Ouchti (2007) and Mourrat (2013) have established the bounds on the rate of convergence in the central limit theorem for discrete time martingales. In the present paper a modification of the methods, developed by Bolthausen (1982) and Grama and Haeusler (2000), is applied for obtaining exact rates of convergence in the central limit theorem for martingales with differences having conditional moments of order $2+ρ, ρ>0$. Our results significantly improve and generalise the bounds of Renz (1996), Ouchti(2005), El Machkouri and Ouchti (2007) and Mourrat…
Let $(Ω, \A, μ)$ be a Lebesgue space and $T$ an ergodic measure preserving automorphism on $Ω$ with positive entropy. We show that there is a bounded and strictly stationary martingale difference sequence defined on $Ω$ with a common non-degenerate lattice distribution satisfying the central limit theorem with an arbitrarily slow rate of convergence and not satisfying the local limit theorem. A similar result is established for martingale difference sequences with densities provided the entropy is infinite. In addition, the martingale difference sequence may be chosen to be strongly mixing.
We establish a second-order almost sure limit theorem for the minimal position in a one-dimensional super-critical branching random walk, and also prove a martingale convergence theorem which answers a question of Biggins and Kyprianou [9]. Our method applies furthermore to the study of directed polymers on a disordered tree. In particular, we give a rigorous proof of a phase transition phenomenon for the partition function (from the point of view of convergence in probability), already described by Derrida and Spohn [17]. Surprisingly, this phase transition phenomenon disappears in the sense …
Let $(W_n(θ))_{n\in\mathbb N_0}$ be the Biggins martingale associated with a supercritical branching random walk and denote by $W_\infty(θ)$ its limit. Assuming essentially that the martingale $(W_n(2θ))_{n\in\mathbb N_0}$ is uniformly integrable and that $\text{Var} W_1(θ)$ is finite, we prove a functional central limit theorem for the tail process $(W_\infty(θ) - W_{n+r}(θ))_{r\in\mathbb N_0}$ and a law of the iterated logarithm for $W_\infty(θ)-W_n(θ)$, as $n\to\infty$.
We provide sufficient conditions which ensure that the intrinsic martingale in the supercritical branching random walk converges exponentially fast to its limit. The case of Galton-Watson processes is particularly included so that our results can be seen as a generalization of a result given in the classical treatise by Asmussen and Hering. As an auxiliary tool, we prove ultimate versions of two results concerning the exponential renewal measures which may be interesting on its own and which correct, generalize and simplify some earlier works.
A continuous-time particle system on the real line satisfying the branching property and an exponential integrability condition is called a branching Lévy process, and its law is characterized by a triplet $(σ^2,a,Λ)$. We obtain a necessary and sufficient condition for the convergence of the derivative martingale of such a process to a non-trivial limit in terms of $(σ^2,a,Λ)$. This extends previously known results on branching Brownian motions and branching random walks. To obtain this result, we rely on the spinal decomposition and establish a novel zero-one law on the perpetual integrals of…
In this paper we survey and further study partial sums of a stationary process via approximation with a martingale with stationary differences. Such an approximation is useful for transferring from the martingale to the original process the conditional central limit theorem. We study both approximations in L_2 and in L_1. The results complement the work of Dedecker Merlevede and Volny (2007), Zhao and Woodroofe (2008), Gordin and Peligrad (2009). The method provides an unitary treatment of many limiting results for dependent random variables including classes of mixing sequences, additive func…
The article is showing sharpness of central limit theorems of Kipnis and Varadhan, Derriennic and Lin, Maxwell and Woodroofe. In the case of the CLT of Derriennic and Lin (for Markov chains with a normal operator) it is shown that the assumption of normality cannot be relaxed. In the case of the CLT of Maxwell and Woodroofe, the example of Peligrad and Utev is improved in the sense of getting a convergence to different laws.
In this paper, we study Gaussian multiplicative chaos in the critical case. We show that the so-called derivative martingale, introduced in the context of branching Brownian motions and branching random walks, converges almost surely (in all dimensions) to a random measure with full support. We also show that the limiting measure has no atom. In connection with the derivative martingale, we write explicit conjectures about the glassy phase of log-correlated Gaussian potentials and the relation with the asymptotic expansion of the maximum of log-correlated Gaussian random variables.
Renz (Ann. Probab. 1996) has established a rate of convergence $1/\sqrt{n}$ in the central limit theorem for martingales with some restrictive conditions. In the present paper a modification of the methods, developed by Bolthausen (Ann. Probab. 1982) and Grama and Haeusler (Stochastic Process. Appl. 2000), is applied for obtaining the same convergence rate for a class of more general martingales. An application to linear processes is discussed.
A branching Lévy process can be seen as the continuous-time version of a branching random walk. It describes a particle system on the real line in which particles move and reproduce independently in a Poissonian manner. Just as for Lévy processes, the law of a branching Lévy process is determined by its characteristic triplet $(σ^2,a,Λ)$, where the branching Lévy measure $Λ$ describes the intensity of the Poisson point process of births and jumps. We establish a version of Biggins' theorem in this framework, that is we provide necessary and sufficient conditions in terms of the characteristic …
Convergence of Sinkhorn's Algorithm for Entropic Martingale Optimal Transport Problem
Università degli Studi di Padova（帕多瓦大学）；Université Évry Paris-Saclay（巴黎萨克雷大学埃夫里分校）；Université Paris-Dauphine, PSL（巴黎第九大学，PSL）；Shanghai Jiao Tong University（上海交通大学）
Evans (1992) described the semi-group of a superprocess with quadratic branching mechanism under a martingale change of measure in terms of the semi-group of an immortal particle and the semigroup of the superprocess prior to the change of measure. This result, commonly referred to as the spine decomposition, alludes to a pathwise decomposition in which independent copies of the original process `immigrate' along the path of the immortal particle. For branching particle diffusions the analogue of this decomposition has already been demonstrated in the pathwise sense, see for example Hardy and …
In this paper, we give explicit rates in the central limit theorem and in the almost sure invariance principle for general R d-valued cocycles that appear in the study of the left random walk on linear groups. Our method of proof lies on a suitable martingale approximation and on a careful estimation of some coupling coefficients linked with the underlying Markov structure. Concerning the martingale part, the available results in the literature are not accurate enough to give almost optimal rates whether in the central limit theorem for the Wasserstein distance, or in the strong approximation.…
We present the formalization of Doob's martingale convergence theorems in the mathlib library for the Lean theorem prover. These theorems give conditions under which (sub)martingales converge, almost everywhere or in $L^1$. In order to formalize those results, we build a definition of the conditional expectation in Banach spaces and develop the theory of stochastic processes, stopping times and martingales. As an application of the convergence theorems, we also present the formalization of Lévy's generalized Borel-Cantelli lemma. This work on martingale theory is one of the first developments …
Let $\mm_n, n=0,1,...$ be the supercritical branching random walk, in which the number of direct descendants of one individual may be infinite with positive probability. Assume that the standard martingale $W_n$ related to $\mm_n$ is regular, and $W$ is a limit random variable. Let $a(x)$ be a nonnegative function which regularly varies at infinity, with exponent greater than -1. The paper presents sufficient conditions of the almost sure convergence of the series $\sum_{n=1}^{\infty}a(n)(W-W_n)$. Also we establish a criterion of finiteness of $\me W\log^+ W a(\log^+W)$ and $\me \log^+|\zi| a(…
This is a note on some results of the central limit theorem for deterministic dynamical systems. First, we give the central limit theorem for martingales, which is a main tool. Then we give the main results on the central limit theorem in dynamic system in the cases of martingale and backward martingale
The Fock transform recently introduced by the authors in a previous paper is applied to investigate convergence of generalized functional sequences of a discrete-time normal martingale $M$. A necessary and sufficient condition in terms of the Fock transform is obtained for such a sequence to be strong convergent. A type of generalized martingales associated with $M$ are introduced and their convergence theorems are established. Some applications are also shown.
For a class of symmetric random matrices whose entries are martingale differences adapted to an increasing filtration, we prove that under a Lindeberg-like condition, the empirical spectral distribution behaves asymptotically similarly to a corresponding matrix with independent centered Gaussian entries having the same variances. Under a slightly reinforced condition, the approximation holds in the almost sure sense. We also point out several sufficient regularity conditions imposed to the variance structure for convergence to the semicircle law or the Marchenko-Pastur law and other convergenc…
Lévy-type perpetuities being the a.s. limits of particular generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes are a natural continuous-time generalization of discrete-time perpetuities. These are random variables of the form $S:=\int_{[0,\infty)}e^{-X_{s-}}{\mathrm{d}}Z_s$, where $(X,Z)$ is a two-dimensional Lévy process, and $Z$ is a drift-free Lévy process of bounded variation. We prove an ultimate criterion for the finiteness of power moments of $S$. This result and the previously known assertion due to Erickson and Maller (2005) concerning the a.s. finiteness of $S$ are then used to derive ultimate …
The central limit theorem of martingales is the fundamental tool for studying the convergence of stochastic processes. The central limit theorem and functional central limit theorem are obtained for martingale like random variables under the sub-linear expectation by Zhang (2019). In this paper, we consider the multi-dimensional martingale like random vectors and establish a functional central limit theorem. As applications, the Lindeberg central limit theorem for independent random vectors is established, and the sufficient and necessary conditions of the central limit theorem for independent…
This note extends some results of Nishiyama [Ann. Probab. 28 (2000) 685--712]. A maximal inequality for stochastic integrals with respect to integer-valued random measures which may have infinitely many jumps on compact time intervals is given. By using it, a tightness criterion is obtained; if the so-called quadratic modulus is bounded in probability and if a certain entropy condition on the parameter space is satisfied, then the tightness follows. Our approach is based on the entropy techniques developed in the modern theory of empirical processes.
We establish deviation inequalities for the maxima of partial sums of a martingale differences sequence, and of a strictly stationary orthomartingale random field. These inequalities can be used to establish complete convergence of normalized maxima of partial sums.
We give a theory of sublinear expectations and martingales in discrete time. Without assuming the existence of a dominating probability measure, we derive the extensions of classical results on uniform integrability, optional stopping of martingales, and martingale convergence. We also give a theory of BSDEs in the context of sublinear expectations and a finite-state space, including general existence and comparison results.
In this paper we survey the almost sure central limit theorem and its functional form (quenched) for stationary and ergodic processes. For additive functionals of a stationary and ergodic Markov chain these theorems are known under the terminology of central limit theorem and its functional form, started at a point. All these results have in common that they are obtained via a martingale approximation in the almost sure sense. We point out several applications of these results to classes of mixing sequences, shift processes, reversible Markov chains, Metropolis Hastings algorithms.
This paper is devoted to the asymptotic analysis of the reinforced elephant random walk (RERW) using a martingale approach. In the diffusive and critical regimes, we establish the almost sure convergence, the law of iterated logarithm and the quadratic strong law for the RERW. The distributional convergences of the RERW to some Gaussian processes are also provided. In the superdiffusive regime, we prove the distributional convergence as well as the mean square convergence of the RERW. All our analysis relies on asymptotic results for multi-dimensional martingales with matrix normalization.
In 1956, Dobrushin proved a definitive central limit theorem for non-homogeneous Markov chains. In this note, a shorter and different proof elucidating more the assumptions is given through martingale approximation.
In this paper we develop non-stationary martingale techniques for dependent data. We shall stress the non-stationary version of the projective Maxwell-Woodroofe condition, which will be essential for obtaining maximal inequalities and functional central limit theorem for the following examples: nonstationary \r{ho}-mixing sequences, functions of linear processes with non-stationary innovations, quenched version of the functional central limit theorem for a stationary sequence, evolutions in random media such as a process sampled by a shifted Markov chain.
