The implementation of electricity markets based on locational marginal pricing in a multi-settlement process has allowed wholesale competition, with pricing mechanisms that incentivize the optimal allocation of generation, transmission, and demand-response resources. While efficiency and reliability gains have been achieved in the US at a regional level, the lack of adequate inter-regional coordination mechanisms has limited broader gains. The shortcomings of cross-border coordination of electricity markets become more apparent as the industry transitions towards higher penetration of renewable resources, which tend to be concentrated in certain regions of the country, usually distant from load pockets. In addition to allowing market participants to respond to economic signals beyond the market region where their assets reside, a coordinated market solution would allow the extension of market mechanisms such as financial transmission rights and capacity contracts to cover transactions across borders; thereby, reducing price uncertainty around the investment in new generation resources. This paper presents a distributed solution to the unit commitment problem that allows for full coordination of the market clearing process across interconnected electricity markets.
The Regional Transmission Operators each have unique methods to procure frequency regulation reserves used to track real power fluctuations on the grid. Some market clearing practices result in high regulation prices with large spread compared to other markets. We present the frequency regulation market clearing formulations--as derived from operator tariffs--of the ISO New England, PJM Interconnection, and Midcontinent ISO. We offer test case examples to explain the historic market pricing behavior seen within each system operator and conclude this behavior is due to the inclusion of estimate…
Coordinating the operation of units at the interface between heat and electricity systems, such as combined heat and power plants and heat pumps, is essential to reduce inefficiencies in each system and help achieve a cost-effective and efficient operation of the overall energy system. These energy systems are currently operated by sequential markets, which interface the technical and economic aspects of the systems. In that context, this study introduces an electricity-aware heat unit commitment model, which seeks to optimize the operation of the heat system while accounting for the techno-ec…
The price of solar panels is decreasing rapidly and governments around the world are investing in solar power plants to increase the portion of solar energy in the smart grid. The price of electricity produced by solar power plants is much cheaper than conventional thermal power plants and innovation in solar cells is further increasing the divide. Consequently, setting up solar power plants will decrease electricity spot prices on average. However, the topology of the power grid must be considered while setting up solar power plants so that full benefits of cheap solar power can be gained by …
This paper presents a framework to solve the strategic bidding problem of participants in an electricity market cleared by employing the full AC Optimal Power Flow (ACOPF) problem formulation. Traditionally, the independent system operators (ISOs) leveraged DC Optimal Power Flow (DCOPF) problem formulation to settle the electricity market. The main quest of this work is to find what would be the challenges and opportunities if ISOs leverage the full ACOPF as the market-clearing Problem (MCP)? This paper presents tractable mathematical programming with equilibrium constraints for the convexifie…
The proposed open-source Power Market Tool (POMATO) aims to enable research on interconnected modern and future electricity markets in the context of the physical transmission system and its secure operation. POMATO has been designed to study capacity allocation and congestion management (CACM) policies of European zonal electricity markets, especially flow-based market coupling (FBMC). For this purpose, POMATO implements methods for the analysis of simultaneous zonal market clearing, nodal (N-k secure) power flow computation for capacity allocation, and multi-stage market clearing with adapti…
The ambitious CO2 emission targets of the Paris agreements are achievable only with renewable energy, CO2-free power generation, new policies, and planning. The main motivation of this paper is that future green fuels from power-to-X assets should be produced from power with the lowest possible emissions while still keeping the cost of electricity low. To this end we propose a power-to-X scheduling framework that is capable of co-optimizing CO2 emission intensity and electricity prices in the day-ahead electricity market scheduling. Three realistic models for local production units are develop…
University of California San Diego（加州大学圣地亚哥分校）；San Diego State University（圣地亚哥州立大学）
In this paper, statistical machine learning algorithms, as well as deep neural networks, are used to predict the values of the price gap between day-ahead and real-time electricity markets. Several exogenous features are collected and impacts of these features are examined to capture the best relations between the features and the target variable. Ensemble learning algorithm namely the Random Forest issued to calculate the probability distribution of the predicted electricity prices for day-ahead and real-time markets. Long-Short-Term-Memory (LSTM) is utilized to capture long term dependencies…
Recently, chance-constrained stochastic electricity market designs have been proposed to address the shortcomings of scenario-based stochastic market designs. In particular, the use of chance-constrained market-clearing avoids trading off in-expectation and per-scenario characteristics and yields unique energy and reserves prices. However, current formulations rely on symmetric control policies based on the aggregated system imbalance, which restricts balancing reserve providers in their energy and reserve commitments. This paper extends existing chance-constrained market-clearing formulations…
University of Arizona（亚利桑那大学）；New York University（纽约大学）
This paper seeks to design a machine learning twin of the optimal power flow (OPF) optimization, which is used in market-clearing procedures by wholesale electricity markets. The motivation for the proposed approach stems from the need to obtain the digital twin, which is much faster than the original, while also being sufficiently accurate and producing consistent generation dispatches and locational marginal prices (LMPs), which are primal and dual solutions of the OPF optimization, respectively. Availability of market-clearing tools based on this approach will enable computationally tractab…
We study an electricity market clearing formulation that seeks to remunerate spatio-temporal, load-shifting flexibility provided by data centers (DaCes). Load-shifting flexibility is a key asset for power grid operators as they aim to integrate larger amounts of intermittent renewable power and to decarbonize the grid. Central to our study is the concept of virtual links, which provide non-physical pathways that can be used by DaCes to shift power loads (by shifting computing loads) across space and time. We use virtual links to show that the clearing formulation treats DaCes as prosumers that…
In this paper, we propose a two-stage electricity market framework to explore the participation of distributed energy resources (DERs) in a day-ahead (DA) market and a real-time (RT) market. The objective is to determine the optimal bidding strategies of the aggregated DERs in the DA market and generate online incentive signals for DER-owners to optimize the social welfare taking into account network operational constraints. Distributionally robust optimization is used to explicitly incorporate data-based statistical information of renewable forecasts into the supply/demand decisions in the DA…
House of Energy Markets and Finance（能源市场与金融研究院）；University of Duisburg-Essen（杜伊斯堡-埃森大学）
We present a winning method of the IEEE DataPort Competition on Day-Ahead Electricity Demand Forecasting: Post-COVID Paradigm. The day-ahead load forecasting approach is based on online forecast combination of multiple point prediction models. It contains four steps: i) data cleaning and preprocessing, ii) a holiday adjustment procedure, iii) training of individual forecasting models, iv) forecast combination by smoothed Bernstein Online Aggregation (BOA). The approach is flexible and can quickly adopt to new energy system situations as they occurred during and after COVID-19 shutdowns. The po…
We consider the scenario where $N$ utilities strategically bid for electricity in the day-ahead market and balance the mismatch between the committed supply and actual demand in the real-time market, with uncertainty in demand and local renewable generation in consideration. We model the interactions among utilities as a non-cooperative game, in which each utility aims at minimizing its per-unit electricity cost. We investigate utilities' optimal bidding strategies and show that all utilities bidding according to (net load) prediction is a unique pure strategy Nash Equilibrium with two salient…
Existing electricity market designs assume risk neutrality and lack risk-hedging instruments, which leads to suboptimal market outcomes and reduces the overall market efficiency. This paper enables risk-trading in the chance-constrained stochastic electricity market by introducing Arrow-Debreu Securities (ADS) and derives a risk-averse market-clearing model with risk trading. To enable risk trading, the probability space of underlying uncertainty is discretized in a finite number of outcomes, which makes it possible to design practical risk contracts and to produce energy, balancing reserve an…
We propose a new forward electricity market framework that admits heterogeneous market participants with second-order cone strategy sets, who accurately express the nonlinearities in their costs and constraints through conic bids, and a network operator facing conic operational constraints. In contrast to the prevalent linear-programming-based electricity markets, we highlight how the inclusion of second-order cone constraints improves uncertainty-, asset- and network-awareness of the market, which is key to the successful transition towards an electricity system based on weather-dependent ren…
Energy storage technologies are key to improving grid flexibility in the presence of increasing amounts of intermittent renewable generation. We propose an insurance contract that suitably compensates energy storage systems for providing flexibility. Such a contract provides a wider range of market opportunities for these systems while also incentivizing higher renewable penetration in the grid. We consider a day-ahead market in which generators, including renewables and storage owners, bid to be scheduled for the next operating day. Due to production uncertainty, renewable generators may be u…
The increasing trend of transportation electrification presents investors the opportunity to provide charging services to Electric Vehicle (EV) owners via the energy purchased from the wholesale electricity market. This will benefit EV owners with the availability of competitive rates compared to the regulated utility time-of-use (TOU) rates. The fundamental questions addressed in this paper are 1) will EV owners benefit from the additional choice of Electric Vehicle Charging Stations (EVCSs) compared to home charging? 2) is there any profitable market opportunity for charging stations while t…
In recent years, renewable energy resources have accounted for an increasing share of electricity energy.Among them, photovoltaic (PV) power generation has received broad attention due to its economic and environmental benefits.Accurate PV generation forecasts can reduce power dispatch from the grid, thus increasing the supplier's profit in the day-ahead electricity market.The power system of a PV site is affected by solar radiation, PV plant properties and meteorological factors, resulting in uncertainty in its power output.This study used multiple seasonal-trend decomposition using LOESS (MS…
The interdependency of power systems and natural gas systems is being reinforced by the emerging power-to-gas facilities (PtGs), and the existing gas-fired generators. To jointly improve the efficiency and security under diverse uncertainties from renewable energy resources and load demands, it is essential to co-optimise these two energy systems for day-ahead market clearance. In this paper, a data-driven integrated electricity-gas system stochastic co-optimisation model is proposed. The model is accurately approximated by sequential mixed integer second-order cone programming, which can then…
Improving Sequential Market Coordination via Value-oriented Renewable Energy Forecasting
College of Engineering, Cornell University（康奈尔大学工程学院）；Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of California, San Diego（加州大学圣地亚哥分校电气与计算机工程系）；Department of Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University（上海交通大学电气工程系）；Dyson School of Design Engineering, Imperial College London（伦敦帝国理工学院设计工程学院）
Ambitious renewable portfolio standards motivate the incorporation of energy storage resources (ESR) as sources of flexibility. While the United States government aims to promote ESR participation in electricity markets, work on market designs for properly remunerating ESRs is still lacking. In this paper, we propose a new energy market clearing framework that incorporates ESR systems. The new market design is computationally attractive in that it avoids mixed-integer formulations and formulations with complementarity constraints. Moreover, compared to previous market designs, our market decom…
