We derive general results on the small deviation behavior for some classes of iterated processes. This allows us, in particular, to calculate the rate of the small deviations for $n$-iterated Brownian motions and, more generally, for the iteration of $n$ fractional Brownian motions. We also give a new and correct proof of some results in E. Nane, Laws of the iterated logarithm for $α$-time Brownian motion, Electron. J. Probab. 11 (2006), no. 18, 434--459.
We derive logarithmic asymptotics of probabilities of small deviations for iterated processes in the space of trajectories. We find conditions under which these asymptotics coincide with those of processes generating iterated processes. When these conditions fail the asymptotics are quite different.
A small ball problem and Chung's law of iterated logarithm for a hypoelliptic Brownian motion in Heisenberg group are proven. In addition, bounds on the limit in Chung's law are established.
In this paper, we prove a large deviation principle of Freidlin-Wentzell's type for the multivalued stochastic differential equations. As an application, we derive a functional iterated logarithm law for the solutions of multivalued stochastic differential equations.
When a Brownian motion is scaled according to the law of the iterated logarithm, its supremum converges to one as time tends to zero. Upper large deviations of the supremum process can be quantified by writing the problem in terms of hitting times and applying a result of Strassen (1967) on hitting time densities. We extend this to a small-time large deviations principle for the supremum of scaled Ito diffusions, using as our main tool a refinement of Strassen's result due to Lerche (1986).
The sub-linear expectation or called G-expectation is a nonlinear expectation having advantage of modeling non-additive probability problems and the volatility uncertainty in finance. Let $\{X_n;n\ge 1\}$ be a sequence of independent random variables in a sub-linear expectation space $(Ω, \mathscr{H}, \widehat{\mathbb E})$. Denote $S_n=\sum_{k=1}^n X_k$ and $V_n^2=\sum_{k=1}^n X_k^2$. In this paper, a moderate deviation for self-normalized sums, that is, the asymptotic capacity of the event $\{S_n/V_n \ge x_n \}$ for $x_n=o(\sqrt{n})$, is found both for identically distributed random variables…
We consider an iterated Kolmogorov diffusion $X_{t}$ of step $n$. The small ball problem for $X_{t}$ is solved by means of the Gaussian correlation inequality. We also prove Chung's laws of iterated logarithm for $X_{t}$ both at time zero and infinity.
For the last passage percolation (LPP) on $\mathbb{Z}^2$ with exponential passage times, let $T_{n}$ denote the passage time from $(1,1)$ to $(n,n)$. We investigate the law of iterated logarithm of the sequence $\{T_{n}\}_{n\geq 1}$; we show that $\liminf_{n\to \infty} \frac{T_{n}-4n}{n^{1/3}(\log \log n)^{1/3}}$ almost surely converges to a deterministic negative constant and obtain some estimates on the same. This settles a conjecture of Ledoux (J. Theor. Probab., 2018) where a related lower bound and similar results for the corresponding upper tail were proved. Our proof relies on a slight …
Based on two-sided heat kernel estimates for a class of symmetric jump processes on metric measure spaces, the laws of the iterated logarithm (LILs) for sample paths, local times and ranges are established. In particular, the LILs are obtained for $β$-stable-like processes on $α$-sets with $β>0$.
We present sufficient conditions, in terms of the jumping kernels, for two large classes of conservative Markov processes of pure-jump type to be purely discontinuous martingales with finite second moment. As an application, we establish the law of the iterated logarithm for sample paths of the associated processes.
The solution of a (stochastic) differential equation (SDE) can be locally approximated by a stochastic expansion, a linear combination of iterated integrals. Quantities of interest, like moments, can then be approximated with the expansion. We present a formula for the case where the drivers of the equation are time and Wiener processes. We also present a Mathematica implementation of the result.
Consider the $n$th iterated Brownian motion $I^{(n)}=B_n \circ\cdots \circ B_1$. Curien and Konstantopoulos proved that for any distinct numbers $t_i\neq 0$, $(I^{(n)}(t_1),\dots,I^{(n)}(t_k))$ converges in distribution to a limit $I[k]$ independent of the $t_i$'s, exchangeable, and gave some elements on the limit occupation measure of $I^{(n)}$. Here, we prove under some conditions, finite dimensional distributions of $n$th iterated two-sided stable processes converge, and the same holds the reflected Brownian motions. We give a description of the law of $I[k]$, of the finite dimensional dist…
In this paper, we obtain explicit product and moment formulas for products of iterated integrals generated by families of square integrable martingales associated with an arbitrary Lévy process. We propose a new approach applying the theory of compensated-covariation stable families of martingales. Our main tool is a representation formula for products of elements of a compensated-covariation stable family, which enables to consider Lévy processes, with both jumps and Gaussian part.
In this paper, we consider the composition of two independent processes : one process corresponds to position and the other one to time. Such processes will be called iterated processes. We first propose an algorithm based on the Euler scheme to simulate the trajectories of the corresponding iterated processes on a fixed time interval. This algorithm is natural and can be implemented easily. We show that it converges almost surely, uniformly in time, with a rate of convergence of order 1/4 and propose an estimation of the error. We then extend the well known Feynman- Kac formula which gives a …
We derive a novel framework called Bi-Directional Grid Constrained (BGC) stochastic processes in which the further an Ito diffusion drifts away from the origin, then the further it will be constrained. By making suitable modifications to the Law of Iterated Logarithm (LIL), we derive a novel theorem about the upper and lower bounds for BGC processes and their hidden barrier. To visualize the theorem, we run many simulations of the Ito diffusions for a representative expression for lambda(X, t), both before and after BGC and uncover some interesting results with applications into finance and ma…
In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of supremum distribution of some classes of iterated stochastic processes $\{X(Y(t)) : t \in [0, \infty)\}$, where $\{X(t) : t \in \mathbb{R} \}$ is a centered Gaussian process and $\{Y(t): t \in [0, \infty)\}$ is an independent of $\{X(t)\}$ stochastic process with a.s. continuous sample paths. In particular, the asymptotic behavior of $\mathbb{P}\left(\sup_{s \in [0,T]} X(Y(s)) > u\right)$ as $u \to \infty$, where $T > 0$, as well as $\lim_{u\to\infty} \mathbb{P}\left(\sup_{s \in [0, h(u)]} X(Y(s)) > u\right)$, for some suitably chosen function…
Continuing from arXiv:2102.01917v2, in this paper, we discuss general criteria and forms of liminf laws of iterated logarithm (LIL) for continuous-time Markov processes. Under some minimal assumptions, which are weaker than those in arXiv:2102.01917v2, we establish liminf LIL at zero (at infinity, respectively) in general metric measure spaces. In particular, our assumptions for liminf law of LIL at zero and the form of liminf LIL are truly local so that we can cover highly space-inhomogenous cases. Our results cover all examples in arXiv:2102.01917v2 including random conductance models with l…
We discuss joint temporal and contemporaneous aggregation of $N$ independent copies of strictly stationary AR(1) and INteger-valued AutoRegressive processes of order 1 (INAR(1)) with random coefficient $α\in (0, 1)$ and idiosyncratic innovations. Assuming that $α$ has a density function of the form $ψ(x) (1 - x)^β$, $x \in (0, 1)$, with $\lim_{x\uparrow 1} ψ(x) = ψ_1 \in (0, \infty)$, different Brownian limit processes of appropriately centered and scaled aggregated partial sums are shown to exist in case $β=1$ when taking first the limit as $N \to \infty$ and then the time scale $n \to \infty…
We analyze almost sure asymptotic behavior of extreme values of a regenerative process. We show that under certain conditions a properly centered and normalized running maximum of a regenerative process satisfies a law of the iterated logarithm for the $\limsup$ and a law of the triple logarithm for the $\liminf$. This complements a previously known result of Glasserman and Kou [Ann. Appl. Probab. 5(2) (1995), 424--445]. We apply our results to several queuing systems and a birth and death process.
We establish a moderate deviation principle for processes with independent increments under certain growth conditions for the characteristics of the process. Using this moderate deviation principle, we give a new proof for Strassen's functional law of the iterated logarithm. In particular, we show that any square-integrable Lévy process satisfies Strassen's law.
We consider a Markov chain of point processes such that each state is a super position of an independent cluster process with the previous state as its centre process together with some independent noise process. The model extends earlier work by Felsenstein and Shimatani describing a reproducing population. We discuss when closed term expressions of the first and second order moments are available for a given state. In a special case it is known that the pair correlation function for these type of point processes converges as the Markov chain progresses, but it has not been shown whether the …
In this paper, we discuss the laws of the iterated logarithm (LIL) for occupation times of Markov processes $Y$ in general metric measure space both near zero and near infinity under some minimal assumptions. We first establish LILs of (truncated) occupation times on balls $B(x,r)$ of radii $r$ up to an function $Φ(r)$, which is an iterated logarithm of mean exit time of $Y$, by showing that the function $Φ$ is optimal. Our first result on LILs of occupation times covers both near zero and near infinity regardless of transience and recurrence of the process. Our assumptions are truly local in …
We derive some large deviation bounds for events related to the "true self-repelling motion", a one-dimensional self-interacting process introduced by Toth and Werner, that has very different path properties than usual diffusion processes. We then use these estimates to study certain of these path properties such as its law of iterated logarithms for both small and large times.
Let $Y$ be a symmetric Borel right process with locally compact state space $T\subseteq R^{1}$ and potential densities $u(x,y)$ with respect to some $σ$-finite measure on $T$. Let $g$ and $f$ be finite excessive functions for $ Y$. Set $$ u_{g, f}(x,y)= u(x,y)+g(x)f(y),\qquad x,y\in T.$$ In this paper we take $Y$ to be a symmetric Lévy process, or a diffusion, that is killed at the end of an independent exponential time or the first time it hits 0. Under general smoothness conditions on $g$, $f$, $u$ and points $d\in T$, laws of the iterated logarithm are found for $X_{k/2} =\{X_{k/2}(t), t\in…
We study the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that a stochastic process $(Z_t)_{t \geq 0}$ does not exceed a constant barrier up to time $T$ (the so called survival probability) when Z is the composition of two independent processes $(X_t)_{t \in I}$ and $(Y_t)_{t \geq 0}$. To be precise, we consider $(Z_t)_{t \geq 0}$ defined by $Z_t = X \circ \abs{Y_t}$ when $I = [0,\infty)$ and $Z_t = X \circ Y_t$ when $I = \mathbb{R}$. For continuous self-similar processes $(Y_t)_{t \geq 0}$, the rate of decay of survival probability for $Z$ can be inferred directly from the survival probability of …
We show some level-2 large deviation principles for rational maps satisfying a strong form of non-uniform hyperbolicity, called "Topological Collet-Eckmann". More precisely, we prove a large deviation principle for the distribution of iterated preimages, periodic points, and Birkhoff averages. For this purpose we show that each H{ö}lder continuous potential admits a unique equilibrium state, and that the pressure function can be characterized in terms of iterated preimages, periodic points, and Birkhoff averages. Then we use a variant of a general result of Kifer.
The law of the iterated logarithm for partial sums of weakly dependent processes was intensively studied by Walter Philipp in the late 1960s and 1970s. In this paper, we aim to extend these results to nondegenerate U-statistics of data that are strongly mixing or functionals of an absolutely regular process.
We obtain a strong invariance principle for nonconventional sums and applying this result we derive for them a version of the law of iterated logarithm, as well as an almost sure central limit theorem. Among motivations for such results are their applications to multiple recurrence for stochastic processes and dynamical systems.
We discuss joint temporal and contemporaneous aggregation of $N$ independent copies of strictly stationary INteger-valued AutoRegressive processes of order 1 (INAR(1)) with random coefficient $α\in(0,1)$ and with idiosyncratic Poisson innovations. Assuming that $α$ has a density function of the form $ψ(x)(1 - x)^β$, $x\in(0,1)$, with $\lim_{x\uparrow 1}ψ(x) = ψ_1 \in(0,\infty)$, different limits of appropriately centered and scaled aggregated partial sums are shown to exist for $β\in(-1,0)$, $β= 0$, $β\in(0,1)$ or $β\in(1,\infty)$, when taking first the limit as $N\to\infty$ and then the time …
For a random walk defined for a doubly infinite sequence of times, we let the time parameter itself be an integer-valued process, and call the orginal process a random walk at random time. We find the scaling limit which generalizes the so-called iterated Brownian motion. Khoshnevisan and Lewis [Ann. Appl. Probab. 9 (1999) 629-667] suggested "the existence of a form of measure-theoretic duality" between iterated Brownian motion and a Brownian motion in random scenery. We show that a random walk at random time can be considered a random walk in "alternating" scenery, thus hinting at a mechanism…
We consider a Markov chain obtained by random iterations of Lipschitz maps $T_i$ chosen with a probability $p_i(x)$ depending on the current position $x$. We assume this system has a property of "contraction on average", that is $\sum_i d(T_ix,T_iy)p_i(x) < ρd(x,y)$ for some $ρ<1$. In the present note, we study the weak convergence of the empirical process associated to this Markov chain.
In his, by now, classical work from 1981, Nerman made extensive use of a crucial martingale $(W_t)_{t \geq 0}$ to prove convergence in probability, in mean and almost surely, of supercritical general branching processes (a.k.a. Crump-Mode-Jagers branching processes) counted with a general characteristic. The martingale terminal value $W$ figures in the limits of his results. We investigate the rate at which the martingale, now called Nerman's martingale, converges to its limit $W$. More precisely, assuming the existence of a Malthusian parameter $α> 0$ and $W_0\in L^2$, we prove a functional c…
