This work introduces Probabilistic Kolmogorov-Arnold Network (P-KAN), a novel probabilistic extension of Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) for time series forecasting. By replacing scalar weights with spline-based functional connections and directly parameterizing predictive distributions, P-KANs offer expressive yet parameter-efficient models capable of capturing nonlinear and heavy-tailed dynamics. We evaluate P-KANs on satellite traffic forecasting, where uncertainty-aware predictions enable dynamic thresholding for resource allocation. Results show that P-KANs consistently outperform Multi Layer Perceptron (MLP) baselines in both accuracy and calibration, achieving superior efficiency-risk trade-offs while using significantly fewer parameters. We build up P-KANs on two distributions, namely Gaussian and Student-t distributions. The Gaussian variant provides robust, conservative forecasts suitable for safety-critical scenarios, whereas the Student-t variant yields sharper distributions that improve efficiency under stable demand. These findings establish P-KANs as a powerful framework for probabilistic forecasting with direct applicability to satellite communications and other resource-constrained domains.
Finite basis Kolmogorov-Arnold networks: domain decomposition for data-driven and physics-informed problems
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory(太平洋西北国家实验室);University of North Carolina, Charlotte(北卡罗来纳大学夏洛特分校);Delft University of Technology(代尔夫特理工大学);University of Washington, Applied Mathematics(华盛顿大学应用数学系);Brown University, Applied Mathematics(布朗大学应用数学系)
Optimized Architectures for Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks
Mathematics & Statistics, University of Vermont(佛蒙特大学数学与统计学系);Vermont Complex Systems Center, University of Vermont(佛蒙特复杂系统中心);Computer Science, University of Vermont(佛蒙特大学计算机科学系)
DAE-KAN: A Kolmogorov-Arnold Network Model for High-Index Differential-Algebraic Equations
School of Computer Science and Cyber Engineering, Guangzhou University(广州大学计算机科学与网络工程学院);Huangpu Research School of Guangzhou University(广州大学黄埔研究学院);Department of Mathematics, Morgan State University(摩根州立大学数学系);Institute of High Performance Computing (IHPC), Agency for Science, Technology and Research (A*STAR)(高性能计算研究所(IHPC),科技研究局(A*STAR));Centre for Frontier AI Research (CFAR), Agency for Science, Technology and Research (A*STAR)(前沿人工智能研究中心(CFAR),科技研究局(A*STAR))
Autocorrelation Reintroduces Spectral Bias in KANs for Time Series Forecasting
School of Information Science and Engineering, Southeast University(信息科学与工程学院,东南大学);School of Economics and Management, Southeast University(经济管理学院,东南大学)
Scientific Machine Learning with Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks
Energy \& Intelligence Lab, Department of Chemical Engineering, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah 84112, USA;Department of Mechanical Engineering, School of Engineering, Urmia University of Technology, Urmia, Iran
Symbolic--KAN: Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks with Discrete Symbolic Structure for Interpretable Learning
Energy \& Intelligence Lab, Department of Chemical Engineering, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, 84112, USA;Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, 84112, USA;Imaging Institute, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, 84112, USA;Department of Biomedical Engineering, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, 84112, USA;Department of Mechanical Engineering, School of Engineering, Urmia University of Technology, Urmia, Iran
Massachusetts Institute of Technology(麻省理工学院);The NSF Institute for Artificial Intelligence and Fundamental Interactions(NSF人工智能与基本相互作用研究所);California Institute of Technology(加州理工学院)
Chebyshev Polynomial-Based Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks: An Efficient Architecture for Nonlinear Function Approximation
Indian Institute of Science Education and Research Mohali(印度科学教育与研究研究所莫哈利分校);Indian Institute of Science Education and Research Thiruvananthapuram(印度科学教育与研究研究所蒂鲁文南特布勒姆分校)
Multilevel Training for Kolmogorov Arnold Networks
Theoretical Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory(洛斯阿拉莫斯国家实验室理论 division);Center for Computing Research, Sandia National Laboratories(桑迪亚国家实验室计算研究中心)
Can KAN CANs? Input-convex Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) as hyperelastic constitutive artificial neural networks (CANs)
Department of Materials Science and Engineering, Delft University of Technology(材料科学与工程系,代尔夫特理工大学);Department of Biomechanical Engineering, Delft University of Technology(生物机械工程系,代尔夫特理工大学)