We study the parameter estimation problem of Vasicek Model driven by sub-fractional Brownian processes from discrete observations, and let {S_t^H,t>=0} denote a sub-fractional Brownian motion whose Hurst parameter 1/2<H<1 . The studies are as follows: firstly, two unknown parameters in the model are estimated by the least squares method. Secondly, the strong consistency and the asymptotic distribution of the estimators are studied respectively. Finally, our estimators are validated by numerical simulation.
We investigate the asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators of the drift parameter for fractional vasicek model driven by a sub-fractional Brownian motion.
The mixed fractional Vasicek model, which is an extended model of the traditional Vasicek model, has been widely used in modelling volatility, interest rate and exchange rate. Obviously, if some phenomenon are modeled by the mixed fractional Vasicek model, statistical inference for this process is of great interest. Based on continuous time observations, this paper considers the problem of estimating the drift parameters in the mixed fractional Vasicek model. We will propose the maximum likelihood estimators of the drift parameters in the mixed fractional Vasicek model with the Radon-Nikodym d…
This paper developed an inference problem for Vasicek model driven by a general Gaussian process. We construct a least squares estimator and a moment estimator for the drift parameters of the Vasicek model, and we prove the consistency and the asymptotic normality. Our approach extended the result of Xiao and Yu (2018) for the case when noise is a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H \in [1/2,1).
Let $Z$ denote a Hermite process of order $q \geq 1$ and self-similarity parameter $H \in (\frac{1}{2}, 1)$. This process is $H$-self-similar, has stationary increments and exhibits long-range dependence. When $q=1$, it corresponds to the fractional Brownian motion, whereas it is not Gaussian as soon as $q\geq 2$. In this paper, we deal with a Vasicek-type model driven by $Z$, of the form $dX_t = a(b - X_t)dt +dZ_t$. Here, $a > 0$ and $b \in \mathbb{R}$ are considered as unknown drift parameters. We provide estimators for $a$ and $b$ based on continuous-time observations. For all possible valu…
In this paper, we show how concentration inequalities for Gaussian quadratic form can be used to propose exact confidence intervals of the Hurst index parametrizing a fractional Brownian motion. Both cases where the scaling parameter of the fractional Brownian motion is known or unknown are investigated. These intervals are obtained by observing a single discretized sample path of a fractional Brownian motion and without any assumption on the parameter $H$.
In this short note, we show how to use concentration inequalities in order to build exact confidence intervals for the Hurst parameter associated with a one-dimensional fractional Brownian motion
We discuss maximum likelihood estimation of parameters for models governed by a stochastic differential equation driven by a mixed fractional Brownian motion with random effects.
We study the nonparametric Nadaraya-Watson estimator of the drift function for ergodic stochastic processes driven by fractional Brownian motion of Hurst parameter H > 1/2. The estimator is based on the discretely observed stochastic processes. By using the ergodic properties and stochastic integral, we obtain the consistency of the proposed estimator.
We consider the problem of efficient estimation for the drift of fractional Brownian motion $B^H:=(B^H_t)_{t\in[0,T]}$ with hurst parameter $H$ less than 1/2. We also construct superefficient James-Stein type estimators which dominate, under the usual quadratic risk, the natural maximum likelihood estimator.
It is well known that, under suitable regularity conditions, the normalized fractional process with fractional parameter $d$ converges weakly to fractional Brownian motion for $d>1/2$. We show that, for any non-negative integer $M$, derivatives of order $m=0,1,\dots,M$ of the normalized fractional process with respect to the fractional parameter $d$, jointly converge weakly to the corresponding derivatives of fractional Brownian motion. As an illustration we apply the results to the asymptotic distribution of the score vectors in the multifractional vector autoregressive model.
This paper deals with the problems of consistence and strong consistence of the maximum likelihood estimators of the mean and variance of the drift fractional Brownian motions observed at discrete time instants. A central limit theorem for these estimators is also obtained by using the Malliavin calculus.
The Berry-Esséen upper bounds of moment estimators and least squares estimators of the mean and drift coefficients in Vasicek models driven by general Gaussian processes are studied. When studying the parameter estimation problem of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process driven by fractional Brownian motion, the commonly used methods are mainly given by Kim and Park, they show the upper bound of Kolmogorov distance between the distribution of the ratio of two double Wiener-Itô stochastic integrals and the Normal distribution. The main innovation in this paper is extending the above ratio process, tha…
We study the problem of parameter estimation for a non-ergodic Gaussian Vasicek-type model defined as $dX_t=(μ+θX_t)dt+dG_t,\ t\geq0$ with unknown parameters $θ>0$ and $μ\in\mathbb{R}$, where $G$ is a Gaussian process. We provide least square-type estimators $\widetildeθ_T$ and $\widetildeμ_T$ respectively for the drift parameters $θ$ and $μ$ based on continuous-time observations $\{X_t,\ t\in[0,T]\}$ as $T\rightarrow\infty$. Our aim is to derive some sufficient conditions on the driving Gaussian process $G$ in order to ensure that $\widetildeθ_T$ and $\widetildeμ_T$ are strongly consistent, t…
Properties of mixed fractional Brownian motion has been discussed by Cheridito (2001) and Zili (2006). We have proposed an estimator of volatility parameter for a model driven by MFBM. In our article we have shown that the estimator has some desirable asymptotic properties.
In this paper, we will construct the Malliavin derivative and the stochastic integral with respect to the Mixed fractional Brownian motion (mfbm) for H > 1/2. As an application, we try to estimate the drift parameter via Malliavin derivative for surplus process with mixed fractional Brownian motion
A time-changed fractional mixed fractional Brownian motion by inverse alpha stable subordinator with index alpha in (0, 1) is an iterated process L constructed as the superposition of fractional mixed fractional Brownian motion N(a, b) and an independent inverse α-stable subordinator Talpha. In this paper we prove that the process LT alpha(a, b) is of long range dependence property under a smooth condition on the Hirsh index H1 and H2. We deduce that the fractional mixed fractional Brownian motion has long range dependence for every H1 < H2.
Parametric and nonparametric inference for stochastic processes driven by a fractional Brownian motion were investigated in Mishura (2008) and Prakasa Rao(2010) among others. Similar problems for processes driven by an infinite dimensional fractional Brownian motion were studied in Prakasa Rao (2004,2013), Cialenco (2009) and others. Parametric estimation for processes driven by infinite dimensional mixed fractional Brownian motion is discussed in this article.
A time-changed mixed fractional Brownian motion is an iterated process constructed as the superposition of mixed fractional Brownian motion and other process. In this paper we consider mixed fractional Brownian motion of parameters a, b and H\in(0, 1) time-changed by two processes, gamma and tempered stable subordinators. We present their main properties paying main attention to the long range dependence. We deduce that the fractional Brownian motion time-changed by gamma and tempered stable subordinators has long range dependence property for all H\in(0, 1).
We show that the distribution of the square of the supremum of reflected fractional Brownian motion up to time a, with Hurst parameter-H greater than 1/2, is related to the distribution of its hitting time to level $1,$ using the self similarity property of fractional Brownian motion. It is also proven that second moment of supremum of reflected fractional Brownian motion up to time $a$ is bounded above by $a^{2H}.$ Similar relations are obtained for the supremum of fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter greater than 1/2, and its hitting time to level $1.$ What is more, we obtain an u…
To extend several known centered Gaussian processes, we introduce a new centered mixed self-similar Gaussian process called the mixed generalized fractional Brownian motion, which could serve as a good model for a larger class of natural phenomena. This process generalizes both the well known mixed fractional Brownian motion introduced by Cheridito [10] and the generalized fractional Brownian motion introduced by Zili [31]. We study its main stochastic properties, its non-Markovian and non-stationarity characteristics and the conditions under which it is not a semimartingale. We prove the long…
Define the incremental fractional Brownian field $B_{H}(s+τ)-B_{H}(s), H\in (0,1)$, where $B_{H}(s)$ is a standard fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in(0,1)$. In this paper we derive the exact asymptotic behaviour of the maximum $\max_{(τ,s)\in[0,1]\times[0,T]} (B_{H}(s+τ)-B_{H}(s)) $ for any $H\in (0,1/2)$ complimenting thus the result of Zholud (2008) for the Brownian motion.
The aim of this paper is to prove an analogue of Baxter's inequality for fractional Brownian motion-type processes with Hurst index less than 1/2. This inequality is concerned with the norm estimate of the difference between finite- and infinite-past predictor coefficients.
