arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 0811.0352q-fin.GNphysics.soc-ph
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USA个人收入分配的演变:高收入

Evolution of the personal income distribution in the USA: High incomes

Ivan O. Kitov

摘要:

研究了帕累托阈值以上的个人收入分布问题,并建立了模型.提出了一个微观经济模型来模拟PID及其演变低于和高于帕累托收入阈值。该模型平衡了15岁以上任何人的收入产生和消耗过程。该模型准确地预测了观察到的人数达到帕累托阈值的工作经验和人均实际国内生产总值的增长,从1994年至2002年期间的关系的函数依赖的依赖。根据年龄的收入分配的预测给出了过去和未来。在未来,相对较不富裕的人会出现在较年轻的年龄组中,随着时间的推移,相对人数的峰值会转移到较年长的年龄组。人们推测,幂律分配延伸到极高收入的影响是社会主义国家低绩效的原因。

英文摘要:

The personal income distribution (PID) above the Pareto threshold is studied and modeled. A microeconomic model is proposed to simulate the PID and its evolution below and above the Pareto income threshold. The model balances processes of income production and dissipation for any person above 15 years of age. The model accurately predicts the observed dependence of the number of people reaching the Pareto threshold on work experience and the functional dependence of the relationship on the per capita real GDP growth for the period from 1994 to 2002. Predictions of the income distribution depending on age are given for past and future. In future, relatively less rich people are observed in the younger age groups and the peak of the relative number shifts to older ages with time. The effect of the power law distribution extending itself to very high incomes is speculated to be the cause of low performance of socialist countries.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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