In this paper we establish a weak and a strong law of large numbers for supercritical superprocesses with general non-local branching mechanisms. Our results complement earlier results obtained for superprocesses with only local branching. Several interesting examples are developed, including multitype continuous-state branching processes, multitype superdiffusions and superprocesses with discontinuous spatial motions and non-decomposable branching mechanisms.
Let $\left \{ Z_{n}, n\ge 0 \right \}$ be a supercritical branching process in an independent and identically distributed random environment $ξ=\left ( ξ_{n} \right )_{n\geq 0} $. In this paper, we get some deviation inequalities for $\ln \left (Z_{n+n_{0} } / Z_{n_{0} } \right ).$ And some applications are given for constructing confidence intervals.
We study supercritical branching processes under the influence of an i.i.d. emigration component. We provide conditions, under which the lifetime of the process is finite respectively has a finite expectation. A new version of the Kesten-Stigum theorem is obtained and the extinction probability for a large initial population size is related to the tail behaviour of the emigration.
We consider a supercritical symmetric continuous-time branching random walk on a multidimensional lattice with a finite number of particle generation sources of varying positive intensities without any restrictions on the variance of jumps of the underlying random walk. It is assumed that the spectrum of the evolution operator contains at least one positive eigenvalue. We prove that under these conditions the largest eigenvalue of the evolution operator is simple and determines the rate of exponential growth of particle quantities at every point on the lattice as well as on the lattice as a wh…
A general class of non-Markov, supercritical Gaussian branching particle systems is introduced and its long-time asymptotics is studied. Both weak and strong laws of large numbers are developed with the limit object being characterized in terms of particle motion/mutation. Long memory processes, like branching fractional Brownian motion and fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes with large Hurst parameters, as well as rough processes, like fractional processes with with smaller Hurst parameter, are included as important examples. General branching with second moments is allowed and moment mea…
Let $(Z_n)$ be a supercritical branching process in a random environment $ξ= (ξ_n)$. We establish a Berry-Esseen bound and a Cramér's type large deviation expansion for $\log Z_n$ under the annealed law $\mathbb P$. We also improve some earlier results about the harmonic moments of the limit variable $W=lim_{n\to \infty} W_n$, where $W_n =Z_n/ \mathbb{E}_ξ Z_n$ is the normalized population size.
Let $(Z_n)$ be a supercritical branching process in an independent and identically distributed random environment $ξ$. We show the exact decay rate of the probability $\mathbb{P}(Z_n=j | Z_0 = k)$ as $n \to \infty$, for each $j \geq k,$ assuming that $\mathbb{P} (Z_1 = 0) =0$. We also determine the critical value for the existence of harmonic moments of the random variable $W=\lim_{n\to\infty}\frac{Z_n}{\mathbb E (Z_n|ξ)}$ under a simple moment condition.
Suppose that $(Z_n)_{n\geq0}$ is a supercritical branching process in independent and identically distributed random environment. The right tail function of the scaled growth rate for $(Z_n)_{n\geq0}$ is studied. The upper bounds for $\displaystyle\mathbb{P}\left[\frac{\log Z_n}{Mn}-μ\geq x\right]$ for any $x\geq3$ are obtained, by applying an extension of the Hoeffding type inequalities.
We consider the branching process in random environment $\{Z_n\}_{n\geq 0}$, which is a~population growth process where individuals reproduce independently of each other with the reproduction law randomly picked at each generation. We focus on the supercritical case, when the process survives with a positive probability and grows exponentially fast on the nonextinction set. Our main is goal is establish Fourier techniques for this model, which allow to obtain a number of precise estimates related to limit theorems. As a consequence we provide new results concerning central limit theorem, Edgew…
Let $(W_n(θ))_{n\in\mathbb N_0}$ be the Biggins martingale associated with a supercritical branching random walk and denote by $W_\infty(θ)$ its limit. Assuming essentially that the martingale $(W_n(2θ))_{n\in\mathbb N_0}$ is uniformly integrable and that $\text{Var} W_1(θ)$ is finite, we prove a functional central limit theorem for the tail process $(W_\infty(θ) - W_{n+r}(θ))_{r\in\mathbb N_0}$ and a law of the iterated logarithm for $W_\infty(θ)-W_n(θ)$, as $n\to\infty$.
Under a fourth order moment condition on the branching and a second order moment condition on the immigration mechanisms, we show that an appropriately scaled projection of a supercritical and irreducible continuous state and continuous time branching process with immigration on certain left non-Perron eigenvectors of the branching mean matrix is asymptotically mixed normal. With an appropriate random scaling, under some conditional probability measure, we prove asymptotic normality as well. In case of a non-trivial process, under a first order moment condition on the immigration mechanism, we…
Consider a branching system with particles moving according to an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with drift $μ>0$ and branching according to a law in the domain of attraction of the $(1+β)$-stable distribution. The mean of the branching law is strictly larger than $1$ implying that the system is supercritical and the total number of particles grows exponentially at some rate $λ>0$. It is known that the system obeys a law of large numbers. In the paper we study its rate of convergence. We discover an interesting interplay between the branching rate $λ$ and the drift parameter $μ$. There are three r…
We provide sufficient conditions for polynomial rate of convergence in the weak law of large numbers for supercritical general indecomposable multi-type branching processes. The main result is derived by investigating the embedded single-type process composed of all individuals having the same type as the ancestor. As an important intermediate step, we determine the (exact) polynomial rate of convergence of Nerman's martingale in continuous time to its limit. The techniques used also allow us to give streamlined proofs of the weak and strong laws of large numbers and ratio convergence for the …
The behavior of the maximal displacement of a supercritical branching random walk has been a subject of intense studies for a long time. But only recently the case of time-inhomogeneous branching has gained focus. The contribution of this paper is to analyze a time-inhomogeneous model with two levels of randomness. In the first step a sequence of branching laws is sampled independently according to a distribution on the set of point measures' laws. Conditionally on the realization of this sequence (called environment) we define a branching random walk and find the asymptotic behavior of its ma…
Let $\{Z_n, n\geq 0\}$ be a supercritical branching process in an independent and identically distributed random environment. We prove Cramér moderate deviations and Berry-Esseen bounds for $\ln (Z_{n+n_0}/Z_{n_0})$ % under the annealed law, uniformly in $n_0 \in \mathbb{N}$, which extend the corresponding results by Grama et al. (Stochastic Process.\ Appl. 2017) established for $n_0=0$. The extension is interesting in theory, and is motivated by applications. A new method is developed for the proofs; some conditions of Grama et al. (2017) are relaxed in our present setting. An example of appl…
Consider a branching random walk on the real line. Madaule showed the renormalized trajectory of an individual selected according to the critical Gibbs measure converges in law to a Brownian meander. Besides, Chen proved that the renormalized trajectory leading to the leftmost individual at time $n$ converges in law to a standard Brownian excursion. In this article, we prove that the renormalized trajectory of an individual selected according to a supercritical Gibbs measure also converges in law toward the Brownian excursion. Moreover, refinements of this results enables to express the probab…
Under a first order moment condition on the immigration mechanism, we show that an appropriately scaled supercritical and irreducible multi-type continuous state and continuous time branching process with immigration (CBI process) converges almost surely. If an $x \log(x)$ moment condition on the branching mechanism does not hold, then the limit is zero. If this $x \log(x)$ moment condition holds, then we prove $L_1$ convergence as well. The projection of the limit on any left non-Perron eigenvector of the branching mean matrix is vanishing. If, in addition, a suitable extra power moment condi…
In his, by now, classical work from 1981, Nerman made extensive use of a crucial martingale $(W_t)_{t \geq 0}$ to prove convergence in probability, in mean and almost surely, of supercritical general branching processes (a.k.a. Crump-Mode-Jagers branching processes) counted with a general characteristic. The martingale terminal value $W$ figures in the limits of his results. We investigate the rate at which the martingale, now called Nerman's martingale, converges to its limit $W$. More precisely, assuming the existence of a Malthusian parameter $α> 0$ and $W_0\in L^2$, we prove a functional c…
A log-type moment result for perpetuities and its application to martingales in supercritical branching random walks
无穷多个独立同分布被乘性随机游动折扣的随机变量称为不变量,并且已经被许多作者研究过。本文给出了这类随机变量在极小条件下的对数型矩结果,并利用它研究了a.s.与超临界分支随机游动相关的某些鞅的极限。第二作者在[Iksanov,A.M.(2004).具有无穷多个和数的BRW光滑变换的初等不动点。Stoch. Proc.Appl.114,27-50.],在考虑最初由Lyons在[Lyons,R.(1997年)。分支随机游动Biggins鞅收敛的一条简单途径。在K.B.的Athreya,Jagers,P.(编). Classical and Modern Branching Processes,IMA,Mathematics and its Applications,vol.84,Springer,Berlin,217-221.]。在最一般的情形下,我们也给出了这些鞅一致可积的充要条件,这特别意味着经典的(LlogL)-条件并不总是必要的.
We give necessary and sufficient conditions for laws of large numbers to hold in $L^2$ for the empirical measure of a large class of branching Markov processes, including $λ$-positive systems but also some $λ$-transient ones, such as the branching Brownian motion with drift and absorption at $0$. This is a significant improvement over previous results on this matter, which had only dealt so far with $λ$-positive systems. Our approach is purely probabilistic and is based on spinal decompositions and many-to-few lemmas. In addition, we characterize when the limit in question is always strictly p…
Branching Processes in Random Environment (BPREs) $(Z\_n:n\geq0)$ are the generalization of Galton-Watson processes where in each generation the reproduction law is picked randomly in an i.i.d. manner. In the supercritical regime, the process survives with a positive probability and grows exponentially on the non-extinction event. We focus on rare events when the process takes positive values but lower than expected. More precisely, we are interested in the lower large deviations of $Z$, which means the asymptotic behavior of the probability $\{1 \leq Z\_n \leq \exp(nθ)\}$ as $n\rightarrow \in…
In this paper, we establish some functional central limit theorems for a large class of general supercritical superprocesses with spatially dependent branching mechanisms satisfying a second moment condition. In the particular case when the state $E$ is a finite set and the underline motion is an irreducible Markov chain on $E$, our results are superprocess analogs of the functional central limit theorems of \cite{Janson} for supercritical multitype branching processes. The results of this paper are refinements of the central limit theorems in \cite{RSZ3}.
In Li (2011), Example 2.2, the notion of a multi-type continuous-state branching process (MCSBP) was introduced with a finite number of types, with the countably infinite case being proposed in Kyprianou and Palau (2017). One may consider such processes as a super-Markov chain on a countable state-space of types, which undertakes both local and non-local branching. In Kyprianou and Palau (2017) it was shown that, for MCSBPs, under mild conditions, there exists a lead eigenvalue which characterises the spectral radius of the linear semigroup associated to the process. Moreover, in a qualitative…
A general model of catalytic branching process (CBP) with any finite number of catalysis centers in a discrete space is studied. More exactly, it is assumed that particles move in this space according to a specified Markov chain and they may produce offspring only in the presence of catalysts located at fixed points. The asymptotic (in time) behavior of the total number of particles as well as the local particles numbers is investigated. The problems of finding the global extinction probability and local extinction probability are solved. Necessary and sufficient conditions are established for…
In this paper, we establish a central limit theorem for a large class of general supercritical superprocesses with spatially dependent branching mechanisms satisfying a second moment condition. This central limit theorem generalizes and unifies all the central limit theorems obtained recently in Miłoś (2012, arXiv:1203:6661) and Ren, Song and Zhang (2013, to appear in Acta Appl. Math., DOI 10.1007/s10440-013-9837-0) for supercritical super Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes. The advantage of this central limit theorem is that it allows us to characterize the limit Gaussian field. In the case of supe…
We consider a continuous-time symmetric supercritical branching random walk on a multidimensional lattice with a finite set of the particle generation centres, i.e. branching sources. The main object of study is the evolutionary operator for the mean number of particles both at an arbitrary point and on the entire lattice. The existence of positive eigenvalues in the spectrum of an evolutionary operator results in an exponential growth of the number of particles in branching random walks, called supercritical in the such case. For supercritical branching random walks, it is shown that the amou…