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arXiv 2002.00310math.PR

Uniform Cramér moderate deviations and Berry-Esseen bounds for a supercritical branching process in a random environment

Xiequan Fan, Haijuan Hu, Quansheng Liu

英文摘要:

Let $\{Z_n, n\geq 0\}$ be a supercritical branching process in an independent and identically distributed random environment. We prove Cramér moderate deviations and Berry-Esseen bounds for $\ln (Z_{n+n_0}/Z_{n_0})$ % under the annealed law, uniformly in $n_0 \in \mathbb{N}$, which extend the corresponding results by Grama et al. (Stochastic Process.\ Appl. 2017) established for $n_0=0$. The extension is interesting in theory, and is motivated by applications. A new method is developed for the proofs; some conditions of Grama et al. (2017) are relaxed in our present setting. An example of application is given in constructing confidence intervals to estimate the criticality parameter in terms of $\ln(Z_{n+n_0}/Z_{n_0})$ and $n$.

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