Sharp probability estimates for random walks with barriers
Kevin Ford
备注:
v3. 12 pages. Significantly shorter proofs and stronger results in section 6. Lemma 7.1 now proved assuming absolute third moment. A more general version of Theorem 1 given, where the variables are assumed to have a u-th moment for any real u>3. Strengthened Corollary 2. Two references added
We give sharp, uniform estimates for the probability that a random walk of n steps on the reals avoids a half-line [y,infinity) given that it ends at the point x. The estimates hold for general continuous or lattice distributions provided the 4th moment is finite.
We obtain expected number of arrivals, absorption probabilities and expected time before absorption for a discrete random walk on the integers with an infinite set of equidistant multiple function barriers
We continue the line of research of random walks with barrier initiated by Iksanov and M{ö}hle (2008). Assuming that the tail of the step of the underlying random walk has a power-like behavior at infinity with exponent $-α$, $α\in(0,1)$, we prove that the number $V_n$ of zero increments in the random walk with barrier, properly centered and normalized, converges weakly to the standard normal law. This refines previously known weak law of large numbers for $V_n$ proved in Iksanov and Negadailov (2008).
We consider a branching random walk with an absorbing barrier, where the step of the associated one-dimensional random walk is in the domain of attraction of an $α$-stable law with $1<α<2$. We shall prove that there is a barrier $an^{\frac{1}{1+α}}$ and a critical value $a_α$ such that if $a<a_α$, then the process dies; if $a>a_α$, then the process survives. The results generalize previous results in literature for the case $α=2$.
We study a branching random walk on $\r$ with an absorbing barrier. The position of the barrier depends on the generation. In each generation, only the individuals born below the barrier survive and reproduce. Given a reproduction law, Biggins et al. \cite{BLSW91} determined whether a linear barrier allows the process to survive. In this paper, we refine their result: in the boundary case in which the speed of the barrier matches the speed of the minimal position of a particle in a given generation, we add a second order term $a n^{1/3}$ to the position of the barrier for the $n^\mathrm{th}$ g…
We define the reflection of a random walk at a general barrier and derive, in case the increments are light tailed and have negative mean, a necessary and sufficient criterion for the global maximum of the reflected process to be finite a.s. If it is finite a.s., we show that the tail of the distribution of the global maximum decays exponentially fast and derive the precise rate of decay. Finally, we discuss an example from structural biology that motivated the interest in the reflection at a general barrier.
In this paper, we study the scaling limit of a class of random walks which behave like simple random walks outside of a bounded region around the origin and which are subject to a partial reflection near the origin. If the probability of crossing the barrier scales as $ 1/\sqrt{n} $ as we rescale space by $ \sqrt{n} $ and time by $ n $, we obtain a non trivial scaling limit which behaves like reflected Brownian motion until its local time at the origin reaches an independent exponential variable. It then follows reflected Brownian motion on the other side of the origin until its local time at …
The entropy, the spectral radius and the drift are important numerical quantities associated to random walks on countable groups. We prove sharp inequalities relating those quantities for walks with a finite second moment, improving upon previous results of Avez, Varopoulos, Carne, Ledrappier. We also deduce inequalities between these quantities and the volume growth of the group. Finally, we show that the equality case in our inequality is rather rigid.
We sharpen ellipticity criteria for random walks in i.i.d. random environments introduced by Campos and Ram\'ırez which ensure ballistic behavior. Furthermore, we construct new examples of random environments for which the walk satisfies the polynomial ballisticity criteria of Berger, Drewitz and Ram\'ırez. As a corollary, we can exhibit a new range of values for the parameters of Dirichlet random environments in dimension $d=2$ under which the corresponding random walk is ballistic.
We consider self-avoiding walk on a tree with random conductances. It is proven that in the weak disorder regime, the quenched critical point is equal to the annealed one, and that in the strong disorder regime, these critical points are strictly different. Derrida and Spohn, and Baffet, Patrick and Pul$\acute{\rm e}$ give the exact value of the quenched critical point. We give another heuristic approach by the fractional moment estimate.
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We study how to sample paths of a random walk up to the first time it crosses a fixed barrier, in the setting where the step sizes are iid with negative mean and have a regularly varying right tail. We introduce a desirable property for a change of measure to be suitable for exact simulation. We study whether the change of measure of Blanchet and Glynn (2008) satisfies this property and show that it does so if and only if the tail index $α$ of the right tail lies in the interval $(1, \, 3/2)$.
We consider the branching random walk in random environment with a random absorption wall. When we add this barrier, we discuss some topics related to the survival probability. We assume that the random environment is i.i.d., $S_i$ is a particular i.i.d. random walk depend on the random environment $\mathcal{L}$. Let the random barrier function (the random absorption wall) is $g_i(\mathcal{L}):=ai^α-S_i,$ where $i$ present the generation. We show that there exists a critical value $a_c>0$ such that if $a>a_c,α=\frac{1}{3}$, the survival probability is positive almost surly and if $a<a_c,α=\fra…
In this article we consider importance sampling (IS) and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods in the context of 1-dimensional random walks with absorbing barriers. In particular, we develop a very precise variance analysis for several IS and SMC procedures. We take advantage of some explicit spectral formulae available for these models to derive sharp and explicit estimates; this provides stability properties of the associated normalized Feynman-Kac semigroups. Our analysis allows one to compare the variance of SMC and IS techniques for these models. The work in this article, is one of the few…
For the critical Galton--Watson process with geometric offspring distributions we provide sharp barrier estimates for barriers which are (small) perturbations of linear barriers. These are useful in analyzing the cover time of finite graphs in the critical regime by random walk, and the Brownian cover times of compact two dimensional manifolds. As an application of the barrier estimates, we prove that if $C_L$ denotes the cover time of the binary tree of depth $L$ by simple walk, then $\sqrt{C_L/2^{L+1}} -\sqrt{2\log 2} L+\log L/\sqrt{2\log 2}$ is tight. The latter improves results of Aldous (…
We consider a discrete random walk on a diagonal lattice in two and three dimensions and obtain explicit solutions of absorption probabilities and probabilities of return in several domains. In three dimensions we consider both the cube and the dodecahedron variant. In two dimensions we obtain explicit formula in case of rotated barriers.
We define an analog of Plancherel measure for the set of rooted unlabeled trees on n vertices, and a Markov chain which has this measure as its stationary distribution. Using the combinatorics of commutation relations, we show that order n^2 steps are necessary and suffice for convergence to the stationary distribution.
For normally reflected Brownian motion and for simple random walk on independently growing in time d-dimensional domains, d>=3, we establish a sharp criterion for recurrence versus transience in terms of the growth rate.
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In this paper we derive weak limits for the discretization errors of sampling barrier-hitting and extreme events of Brownian motion by using the Euler discretization simulation method. Specifically, we consider the Euler discretization approximation of Brownian motion to sample barrier-hitting events, i.e. hitting for the first time a deterministic "barrier" function; and to sample extreme events, i.e. attaining a minimum on a given compact time interval or unbounded closed time interval. For each case we study the discretization error between the actual time the event occurs versus the time t…
Large deviations for maximum local time of simple random walk in dimensions $d\ge 3$
Beijing International Center for Mathematical Research, Peking University(北京大学北京国际数学研究中心);Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences(中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院)
We study one-dimensional nearest neighbour random walk in site-random environment. We establish precise (sharp) large deviations in the so-called ballistic regime, when the random walk drifts to the right with linear speed. In the sub-ballistic regime, when the speed is sublinear, we describe the precise probability of slowdown.
The sequence of the simple random walks on Hamming schemes $\{H(n, q)\}_{n=1}^{\infty}$ has a cutoff phenomenon for each integer $q$ greater than or equal to $3$. In this paper, for the sequence of simple random walks on Hamming schemes $\{H(n, q)\}_{n=1}^{\infty}$ with $q\geq 3$, we give a simple majorant and a sharp minorant function for total variance distances between transition distributions and stationary distributions.
In this note, we prove a quenched functional central limit theorem for a biased random walk on a supercritical Galton-Watson tree with leaves. This extends a result of Peres and Zeitouni (2008) where the case without leaves is considered. A conjecture of Ben Arous and Fribergh (2016) suggests an upper bound on the bias which we observe to be sharp.
We prove error bounds in a central limit theorem for solutions of certain convolution equations. The main motivation for investigating these equations stems from applications to lace expansions, in particular to weakly self-avoiding random walks in high dimensions. As an application we treat such self-avoiding walks in continuous space. The bounds obtained are sharper than the ones obtained by other methods.
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In Robbins' problem of minimizing the expected rank, a finite sequence of $n$ independent, identically distributed random variables are observed sequentially and the objective is to stop at such a time that the expected rank of the selected variable (among the sequence of all $n$ variables) is as small as possible. In this paper we consider an analogous problem in which the observed random variables are the steps of a symmetric random walk. Assuming continuously distributed step sizes, we describe the optimal stopping rules for the cases $n=2$ and $n=3$ in two versions of the problem: a "full …
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Consider the time T_oz when the random walk on a weighted graph started at the vertex o first hits the vertex set z. We present lower bounds for T_oz in terms of the volume of z and the graph distance between o and z. The bounds are for expected value and large deviations, and are asymptotically sharp. We deduce rate of escape results for random walks on infinite graphs of exponential or polynomial growth, and resolve a conjecture of Benjamini and Peres.
Our paper gives bounds for the rate of convergence for a class of random walks on the d-dimensional torus generated by a set of n vectors in R^d/Z^d. We give bounds on the discrepancy distance from Haar measure; our lower bound holds for all such walks, and if the generators arise from the rows of a "badly approximable" matrix, then there is a corresponding upper bound. The bounds are sharp for walks on the circle.
We show that the spectral gap of a random walk on the domain of normal attraction of an $α$-stable law is of order $\mathcal O(n^α)$ when restricted to boxes of size $n$. The proof is based on a comparison principle that may be of independent interest. The comparison principle also allows to derive a sharp bound on the spectral gap of exclusion and zero-range processes with long jumps when restricted to finite boxes in terms of the gap on the complete graph.
We revisit an old minor topic in algorithms, the deterministic walk on a finite graph which always moves toward the nearest unvisited vertex until every vertex is visited. There is an elementary connection between this cover time and ball-covering (metric entropy) measures. For some familiar models of random graphs, this connection allows the order of magnitude of the cover time to be deduced from first passage percolation estimates. Establishing sharper results seems a challenging problem.
We prove for an arbitrary one-dimensional random walk with independent increments that the probability of crossing a level at a given time n has the order of square root of n. Moment or symmetry assumptions are not necessary. In removing symmetry the (sharp) inequality P(|X+Y| <= 1) < 2 P(|X-Y| <= 1) for independent identically distributed X,Y is used. In part II we shall discuss the connection of this result to 'polygonal recurrence' of higher-dimensional walks and some conjectures on directionally random walks in the sense of Mauldin, Monticino and v.Weizsaecker [5].
We study the isoperimetric and spectral profiles of certain families of finitely generated groups defined via actions on labelled Schreier graphs and simple {\em gluing} of such. In one of our simplest constructions---the {\em pocket-extension} of a group $G$---this leads to the study of certain finitely generated subgroups of the full permutation group $\mathbb S(G\cup \{*\})$. Some sharp estimates are obtained while many challenging questions remain.
We revisit an unpublished paper of Vervoort (2002) on the once reinforced random walk, and prove that this process is recurrent on any graph of the form $\mathbb{Z}\times Γ$, with $Γ$ a finite graph, for sufficiently large reinforcement parameter. We also obtain a shape theorem for the set of visited sites, and show that the fluctuations around this shape are of polynomial order. The proof involves sharp general estimates on the time spent on subgraphs of the ambiant graph which might be of independent interest.
We identify a fundamental phenomenon of heterogeneous one dimensional random walks: the escape (traversal) time is maximized when the heterogeneity in transition probabilities forms a pyramid-like potential barrier. This barrier corresponds to a distinct arrangement of transition probabilities, sometimes referred to as the pendulum arrangement. We reduce this problem to a sum over products, combinatorial optimization problem, proving that this unique structure always maximizes the escape time. This general property may influence studies in epidemiology, biology, and computer science to better …
We develop the theory of the $W$ and $Z$ scale functions for right-continuous (upwards skip-free) discrete-time discrete-space random walks, along the lines of the analogue theory for spectrally negative Lévy processes. Notably, we introduce for the first time in this context the one and two-parameter scale functions $Z$, which appear for example in the joint problem of deficit at ruin and time of ruin, and in problems concerning the walk reflected at an upper barrier. Comparisons are made between the various theories of scale functions as one makes time and/or space continuous. The theory is …
We consider a transient random walk $(X_n)$ in random environment on a Galton--Watson tree. Under fairly general assumptions, we give a sharp and explicit criterion for the asymptotic speed to be positive. As a consequence, situations with zero speed are revealed to occur. In such cases, we prove that $X_n$ is of order of magnitude $n^Λ$, with $Λ\in (0,1)$. We also show that the linearly edge reinforced random walk on a regular tree always has a positive asymptotic speed, which improves a recent result of Collevecchio \cite{Col06}.
This paper considers non-backtracking random walks on random graphs generated according to the configuration model. The quantity of interest is the scaling of the mixing time of the random walk as the number of vertices of the random graph tends to infinity. Subject to mild general conditions, we link two mixing times: one for a static version of the random graph, the other for a class of dynamic versions of the random graph in which the edges are randomly rewired but the degrees are preserved. The link is provided by the probability that the random walk has not yet stepped along a previously …