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arXiv 2602.11152cs.GT
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效用扭曲下的概率投票

Utilitarian Distortion Under Probabilistic Voting

Sharif University of Technology(谢里夫理工大学);Stanford University(斯坦福大学)

Hamidreza Alipour, Mohak Goyal

AI总结:

在概率投票中,柯普兰和博尔达规则的扭曲分别为β(1+e^{-β})/(1-e^{-β})和O(β²),且优于其他规则,显示了概率模型对投票效率的影响。

摘要:

效用扭曲框架通过评估投票规则在选民具有基数效用但仅表达顺序排名时的最坏情况效率损失来衡量。在经典模型中,长期存在一种矛盾:普勒米尔(Plurality)规则虽然受到破坏效应的影响,却在确定性规则中实现了最优的Θ(m²)扭曲,而规范上更优的规则如柯普兰(Copeland)和博尔达(Borda)则具有无界扭曲。在概率投票中,采用Plackett-Luce模型,其中排名是受逆温度参数β控制的效用的噪声反映。柯普兰和博尔达规则的扭曲分别最多为β(1+e^{-β})/(1-e^{-β}),与候选人数m无关,并且在满足概率性Condorcet loser准则的随机规则下,与下界相差一个因子2。这改进了博尔达规则的先前O(β²)界。这些上界几乎紧:先前工作建立了博尔达规则的(1-o(1))β下界,我们证明了柯普兰规则的(1-ε)β下界,对于任何常数ε>0。相比之下,仅依赖顶部选择信息的规则表现更差:普勒米尔的扭曲为Ω(min(e^β, m)),随机独裁者的扭曲为Θ(m)。此外,额外的“否决”信息也不足以消除对m的依赖;普勒米尔否决和修剪普勒米尔否决的扭曲为Ω(β ln m)。我们还证明了所有确定性有限精度锦标赛规则的下界为(5/8-ε)β(对于任何常数ε>0),这一类包括柯普兰和任何基于成对比较边际值四舍五入到固定精度的规则。我们的结果表明,一旦考虑现实世界投票的随机性质,扭曲框架就与规范直觉一致。

英文摘要:

The utilitarian distortion framework evaluates voting rules by their worst-case efficiency loss when voters have cardinal utilities but express only ordinal rankings. Under the classical model, a longstanding tension exists: Plurality, which suffers from the spoiler effect, achieves optimal $Θ(m^2)$ distortion among deterministic rules, while normatively superior rules like Copeland and Borda have unbounded distortion. We resolve this tension under probabilistic voting with the Plackett-Luce model, where rankings are noisy reflections of utilities governed by an inverse temperature parameter $β$. Copeland and Borda both achieve at most $β\frac{1+e^{-β}}{1-e^{-β}}$ distortion, independent of the number of candidates $m$, and within a factor of 2 of the lower bound for randomized rules satisfying the probabilistic Condorcet loser criterion known from prior work. This improves upon the prior $O(β^2)$ bound for Borda. These upper bounds are nearly tight: prior work establishes a $(1-o(1))β$ lower bound for Borda, and we prove a $(1-ε)β$ lower bound for Copeland for any constant $ε>0$. In contrast, rules that rely only on top-choice information fare worse: Plurality has distortion $Ω(\min(e^β, m))$ and Random Dictator has distortion $Θ(m)$. Additional `veto' information is also insufficient to remove the dependence on $m$; Plurality Veto and Pruned Plurality Veto have distortion $Ω(β\ln m)$. We also prove a lower bound of $(\frac{5}{8}-ε)β$ (for any constant $ε>0$) for all deterministic finite-precision tournament-based rules, a class that includes Copeland and any rule based on pairwise comparison margins rounded to fixed precision. Our results show that the distortion framework aligns with normative intuitions once the probabilistic nature of real-world voting is taken into account.

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