Forecasting pedestrians' future motions is essential for autonomous driving systems to safely navigate in urban areas. However, existing prediction algorithms often overly rely on past observed trajectories and tend to fail around abrupt dynamic changes, such as when pedestrians suddenly start or stop walking. We suggest that predicting these highly non-linear transitions should form a core component to improve the robustness of motion prediction algorithms. In this paper, we introduce the new task of pedestrian stop and go forecasting. Considering the lack of suitable existing datasets for it, we release TRANS, a benchmark for explicitly studying the stop and go behaviors of pedestrians in urban traffic. We build it from several existing datasets annotated with pedestrians' walking motions, in order to have various scenarios and behaviors. We also propose a novel hybrid model that leverages pedestrian-specific and scene features from several modalities, both video sequences and high-level attributes, and gradually fuses them to integrate multiple levels of context. We evaluate our model and several baselines on TRANS, and set a new benchmark for the community to work on pedestrian stop and go forecasting.
Uber ATG（优步先进技术集团）；University of Toronto（多伦多大学）；Cornell University（康奈尔大学）
In this paper, we address the important problem in self-driving of forecasting multi-pedestrian motion and their shared scene occupancy map, critical for safe navigation. Our contributions are two-fold. First, we advocate for predicting both the individual motions as well as the scene occupancy map in order to effectively deal with missing detections caused by postprocessing, e.g., confidence thresholding and non-maximum suppression. Second, we propose a Scene-Actor Graph Neural Network (SA-GNN) which preserves the relative spatial information of pedestrians via 2D convolution, and captures th…
University of Warwick（华威大学）；Michigan State University（密歇根州立大学）
Reliable anticipation of pedestrian trajectory is imperative for the operation of autonomous vehicles and can significantly enhance the functionality of advanced driver assistance systems. While significant progress has been made in the field of pedestrian detection, forecasting pedestrian trajectories remains a challenging problem due to the unpredictable nature of pedestrians and the huge space of potentially useful features. In this work, we present a deep learning approach for pedestrian trajectory forecasting using a single vehicle-mounted camera. Deep learning models that have revolution…
Trajectory forecasting, or trajectory prediction, of multiple interacting agents in dynamic scenes, is an important problem for many applications, such as robotic systems and autonomous driving. The problem is a great challenge because of the complex interactions among the agents and their interactions with the surrounding scenes. In this paper, we present a novel method for the robust trajectory forecasting of multiple intelligent agents in dynamic scenes. The proposed method consists of three major interrelated components: an interaction net for global spatiotemporal interactive feature extr…
Predicting the behavior of road users, particularly pedestrians, is vital for safe motion planning in the context of autonomous driving systems. Traditionally, pedestrian behavior prediction has been realized in terms of forecasting future trajectories. However, recent evidence suggests that predicting higher-level actions, such as crossing the road, can help improve trajectory forecasting and planning tasks accordingly. There are a number of existing datasets that cater to the development of pedestrian action prediction algorithms, however, they lack certain characteristics, such as bird's ey…
When humans navigate a crowed space such as a university campus or the sidewalks of a busy street, they follow common sense rules based on social etiquette. In this paper, we argue that in order to enable the design of new algorithms that can take fully advantage of these rules to better solve tasks such as target tracking or trajectory forecasting, we need to have access to better data in the first place. To that end, we contribute the very first large scale dataset (to the best of our knowledge) that collects images and videos of various types of targets (not just pedestrians, but also biker…
MUSCLE-NET: Predicted-Multiscale-Aware Network for Pedestrian Trajectory Forecasting
Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Fully Actuated System Control Theory and Technology, School of Automation and Intelligent Manufacturing, Southern University of Science and Technology (SUSTech), Shenzhen（广东省全主动系统控制理论与技术重点实验室，自动化与智能制造学院，南方科技大学（SUSTech），深圳）；Department of Mechanical Engineering, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China（香港城市大学机械工程系，香港特别行政区，中国）
Max Planck Institute for Informatics（马克斯·普朗克信息学研究所）；Toyota Motor Europe（丰田汽车欧洲公司）；CISPA Helmholtz Center for Information Security（CISPA亥姆霍兹信息安全中心）
Accurate prediction of pedestrian and bicyclist paths is integral to the development of reliable autonomous vehicles in dense urban environments. The interactions between vehicle and pedestrian or bicyclist have a significant impact on the trajectories of traffic participants e.g. stopping or turning to avoid collisions. Although recent datasets and trajectory prediction approaches have fostered the development of autonomous vehicles yet the amount of vehicle-pedestrian (bicyclist) interactions modeled are sparse. In this work, we propose Euro-PVI, a dataset of pedestrian and bicyclist traject…
School of Mechanical Engineering, University of Science and Technology Beijing（北京科技大学机械工程学院）
As a core technology of the autonomous driving system, pedestrian trajectory prediction can significantly enhance the function of active vehicle safety and reduce road traffic injuries. In traffic scenes, when encountering with oncoming people, pedestrians may make sudden turns or stop immediately, which often leads to complicated trajectories. To predict such unpredictable trajectories, we can gain insights into the interaction between pedestrians. In this paper, we present a novel generative method named Spatial Interaction Transformer (SIT), which learns the spatio-temporal correlation of p…
Southern University of Science and Technology（南方科技大学）；University of Birmingham（伯明翰大学）
Pedestrian trajectory forecasting is a fundamental task in multiple utility areas, such as self-driving, autonomous robots, and surveillance systems. The future trajectory forecasting is multi-modal, influenced by physical interaction with scene contexts and intricate social interactions among pedestrians. The mainly existing literature learns representations of social interactions by deep learning networks, while the explicit interaction patterns are not utilized. Different interaction patterns, such as following or collision avoiding, will generate different trends of next movement, thus, th…
Uber Advanced Technologies Group（优步先进技术集团）；University of Toronto（多伦多大学）；UC Berkeley（加州大学伯克利分校）
Self-driving vehicles plan around both static and dynamic objects, applying predictive models of behavior to estimate future locations of the objects in the environment. However, future behavior is inherently uncertain, and models of motion that produce deterministic outputs are limited to short timescales. Particularly difficult is the prediction of human behavior. In this work, we propose the discrete residual flow network (DRF-Net), a convolutional neural network for human motion prediction that captures the uncertainty inherent in long-range motion forecasting. In particular, our learned n…
University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill（北卡罗来纳大学教堂山分校）；University of Central Florida（中佛罗里达大学）
We present AutonoVi:, a novel algorithm for autonomous vehicle navigation that supports dynamic maneuvers and satisfies traffic constraints and norms. Our approach is based on optimization-based maneuver planning that supports dynamic lane-changes, swerving, and braking in all traffic scenarios and guides the vehicle to its goal position. We take into account various traffic constraints, including collision avoidance with other vehicles, pedestrians, and cyclists using control velocity obstacles. We use a data-driven approach to model the vehicle dynamics for control and collision avoidance. F…
We present BiPOCO, a Bi-directional trajectory predictor with POse COnstraints, for detecting anomalous activities of pedestrians in videos. In contrast to prior work based on feature reconstruction, our work identifies pedestrian anomalous events by forecasting their future trajectories and comparing the predictions with their expectations. We introduce a set of novel compositional pose-based losses with our predictor and leverage prediction errors of each body joint for pedestrian anomaly detection. Experimental results show that our BiPOCO approach can detect pedestrian anomalous activities…
Pedestrians are arguably one of the most safety-critical road users to consider for autonomous vehicles in urban areas. In this paper, we address the problem of jointly detecting pedestrians and recognizing 32 pedestrian attributes from a single image. These encompass visual appearance and behavior, and also include the forecasting of road crossing, which is a main safety concern. For this, we introduce a Multi-Task Learning (MTL) model relying on a composite field framework, which achieves both goals in an efficient way. Each field spatially locates pedestrian instances and aggregates attribu…
With the rise of self-driving vehicles comes the risk of accidents and the need for higher safety, and protection for pedestrian detection in the following scenarios: imminent crashes, thus the car should crash into an object and avoid the pedestrian, and in the case of road intersections, where it is important for the car to stop when pedestrians are crossing. Currently, a special topology of deep neural networks called Fused Deep Neural Network (F-DNN) is considered to be the state of the art in pedestrian detection, as it has the lowest miss rate, yet it is very slow. Therefore, acceleratio…
Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona（巴塞罗那自治大学）；Computer Vision Center（计算机视觉中心）
Anticipating the intentions of vulnerable road users (VRUs) such as pedestrians and cyclists is critical for performing safe and comfortable driving maneuvers. This is the case for human driving and, thus, should be taken into account by systems providing any level of driving assistance, from advanced driver assistant systems (ADAS) to fully autonomous vehicles (AVs). In this paper, we show how the latest advances on monocular vision-based human pose estimation, i.e. those relying on deep Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs), enable to recognize the intentions of such VRUs. In the case of cycl…
Smooth handling of pedestrian interactions is a key requirement for Autonomous Vehicles (AV) and Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS). Such systems call for early and accurate prediction of a pedestrian's crossing/not-crossing behaviour in front of the vehicle. Existing approaches to pedestrian behaviour prediction make use of pedestrian motion, his/her location in a scene and static context variables such as traffic lights, zebra crossings etc. We stress on the necessity of early prediction for smooth operation of such systems. We introduce the influence of vehicle interactions on pedest…
Changzhou University（常州大学）；University of California, Berkeley（加州大学伯克利分校）；Hohai University（河海大学）
Forecasting pedestrian trajectories in dynamic scenes remains a critical problem in various applications, such as autonomous driving and socially aware robots. Such forecasting is challenging due to human-human and human-object interactions and future uncertainties caused by human randomness. Generative model-based methods handle future uncertainties by sampling a latent variable. However, few studies explored the generation of the latent variable. In this work, we propose the Trajectory Predictor with Pseudo Oracle (TPPO), which is a generative model-based trajectory predictor. The first pseu…
Oklahoma State University（俄克拉荷马州立大学）；University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign（伊利诺伊大学厄巴纳-香槟分校）
When pedestrians encounter vehicles, they typically stop and wait for a signal from the driver to either cross or wait. What happens when the car is autonomous and there isn't a human driver to signal them? This paper seeks to address this issue with an intent communication system (ICS) that acts in place of a human driver. This intent system has been developed to take into account the psychology behind what pedestrians are familiar with and what they expect from machines. The system integrates those expectations into the design of physical systems and mathematical algorithms. The goal of the …
Queen’s University Belfast（贝尔法斯特女王大学）；Northumbria University（诺森比亚大学）；Durham University（杜伦大学）
Motion control algorithms in the presence of pedestrians are critical for the development of safe and reliable Autonomous Vehicles (AVs). Traditional motion control algorithms rely on manually designed decision-making policies which neglect the mutual interactions between AVs and pedestrians. On the other hand, recent advances in Deep Reinforcement Learning allow for the automatic learning of policies without manual designs. To tackle the problem of decision-making in the presence of pedestrians, the authors introduce a framework based on Social Value Orientation and Deep Reinforcement Learnin…
As autonomous driving systems mature, motion forecasting has received increasing attention as a critical requirement for planning. Of particular importance are interactive situations such as merges, unprotected turns, etc., where predicting individual object motion is not sufficient. Joint predictions of multiple objects are required for effective route planning. There has been a critical need for high-quality motion data that is rich in both interactions and annotation to develop motion planning models. In this work, we introduce the most diverse interactive motion dataset to our knowledge, a…
Stanford University（斯坦福大学）；University of California, Berkeley（加州大学伯克利分校）；Toyota Research Institute（丰田研究院）
We tackle the problem of Human Locomotion Forecasting, a task for jointly predicting the spatial positions of several keypoints on the human body in the near future under an egocentric setting. In contrast to the previous work that aims to solve either the task of pose prediction or trajectory forecasting in isolation, we propose a framework to unify the two problems and address the practically useful task of pedestrian locomotion prediction in the wild. Among the major challenges in solving this task is the scarcity of annotated egocentric video datasets with dense annotations for pose, depth…
Out-of-Sight Embodied Agents: Multimodal Tracking, Sensor Fusion, and Trajectory Forecasting
Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Northeastern University（东北大学电气与计算机工程系）；Khoury College of Computer Sciences, Northeastern University（东北大学库里计算机科学学院）
We introduce a motion forecasting (behavior prediction) method that meets the latency requirements for autonomous driving in dense urban environments without sacrificing accuracy. A whole-scene sparse input representation allows StopNet to scale to predicting trajectories for hundreds of road agents with reliable latency. In addition to predicting trajectories, our scene encoder lends itself to predicting whole-scene probabilistic occupancy grids, a complementary output representation suitable for busy urban environments. Occupancy grids allow the AV to reason collectively about the behavior o…
University of Warwick（华威大学）；Nanyang Technological University（南洋理工大学）
We introduce the task of multi-camera trajectory forecasting (MCTF), where the future trajectory of an object is predicted in a network of cameras. Prior works consider forecasting trajectories in a single camera view. Our work is the first to consider the challenging scenario of forecasting across multiple non-overlapping camera views. This has wide applicability in tasks such as re-identification and multi-target multi-camera tracking. To facilitate research in this new area, we release the Warwick-NTU Multi-camera Forecasting Database (WNMF), a unique dataset of multi-camera pedestrian traj…
Navigating Out-of-Distribution Electricity Load Forecasting during COVID-19: Benchmarking energy load forecasting models without and with continual learning
University of New South Wales（新南威尔士大学）；CSIRO（联邦科学与工业研究组织）
We develop predictive models of pedestrian dynamics by encoding the coupled nature of multi-pedestrian interaction using game theory, and deep learning-based visual analysis to estimate person-specific behavior parameters. Building predictive models for multi-pedestrian interactions however, is very challenging due to two reasons: (1) the dynamics of interaction are complex interdependent processes, where the predicted behavior of one pedestrian can affect the actions taken by others and (2) dynamics are variable depending on an individuals physical characteristics (e.g., an older person may w…
University of California, Berkeley（加州大学伯克利分校）；University of Michigan（密歇根大学）；Stanford University（斯坦福大学）
Accurate, long-term forecasting of pedestrian trajectories in highly dynamic and interactive scenes is a long-standing challenge. Recent advances in using data-driven approaches have achieved significant improvements in terms of prediction accuracy. However, the lack of group-aware analysis has limited the performance of forecasting models. This is especially nonnegligible in highly crowded scenes, where pedestrians are moving in groups and the interactions between groups are extremely complex and dynamic. In this paper, we present Grouptron, a multi-scale dynamic forecasting framework that le…
Carnegie Mellon University（卡内基梅隆大学）；Penn State University（宾夕法尼亚州立大学）
Predicting accurate future trajectories of multiple agents is essential for autonomous systems, but is challenging due to the complex agent interaction and the uncertainty in each agent's future behavior. Forecasting multi-agent trajectories requires modeling two key dimensions: (1) time dimension, where we model the influence of past agent states over future states; (2) social dimension, where we model how the state of each agent affects others. Most prior methods model these two dimensions separately, e.g., first using a temporal model to summarize features over time for each agent independe…
Hanyang University（汉阳大学）；Yonsei University（延世大学）；Carnegie Mellon University（卡内基梅隆大学）；Korea University（高丽大学）；Sogang University（西江大学）；Bosch Research Pittsburgh（博世匹兹堡研究中心）
Multi-agent trajectory forecasting in autonomous driving requires an agent to accurately anticipate the behaviors of the surrounding vehicles and pedestrians, for safe and reliable decision-making. Due to partial observability in these dynamical scenes, directly obtaining the posterior distribution over future agent trajectories remains a challenging problem. In realistic embodied environments, each agent's future trajectories should be both diverse since multiple plausible sequences of actions can be used to reach its intended goals, and admissible since they must obey physical constraints an…
The ability to forecast a set of likely yet diverse possible future behaviors of an agent (e.g., future trajectories of a pedestrian) is essential for safety-critical perception systems (e.g., autonomous vehicles). In particular, a set of possible future behaviors generated by the system must be diverse to account for all possible outcomes in order to take necessary safety precautions. It is not sufficient to maintain a set of the most likely future outcomes because the set may only contain perturbations of a single outcome. While generative models such as variational autoencoders (VAEs) have …
Autonomous driving vehicles (ADVs) hold great hopes to solve traffic congestion problems and reduce the number of traffic accidents. Accurate trajectories prediction of other traffic agents around ADVs is of key importance to achieve safe and efficient driving. Pedestrians, particularly, are more challenging to forecast due to their complex social in-teractions and randomly moving patterns. We propose a Residual Graph Convolutional Neural Network (Res-GCNN), which models the interactive behaviors of pedes-trians by using the adjacent matrix of the constructed graph for the current scene. Thoug…
Predicting the future behavior of moving agents is essential for real world applications. It is challenging as the intent of the agent and the corresponding behavior is unknown and intrinsically multimodal. Our key insight is that for prediction within a moderate time horizon, the future modes can be effectively captured by a set of target states. This leads to our target-driven trajectory prediction (TNT) framework. TNT has three stages which are trained end-to-end. It first predicts an agent's potential target states $T$ steps into the future, by encoding its interactions with the environmen…
Robotics Institute, Carnegie Mellon University（卡内基梅隆大学机器人研究所）；Max Planck Institute for Intelligent Systems（马克斯·普朗克智能系统研究所）
We explore the possibility of using a single monocular camera to forecast the time to collision between a suitcase-shaped robot being pushed by its user and other nearby pedestrians. We develop a purely image-based deep learning approach that directly estimates the time to collision without the need of relying on explicit geometric depth estimates or velocity information to predict future collisions. While previous work has focused on detecting immediate collision in the context of navigating Unmanned Aerial Vehicles, the detection was limited to a binary variable (i.e., collision or no collis…
University of Alcala（阿尔卡拉大学）；Polytechnic School（理工学院）；Computer Engineering Department（计算机工程系）
According to several reports published by worldwide organisations, thousands of pedestrians die in road accidents every year. Due to this fact, vehicular technologies have been evolving with the intent of reducing these fatalities. This evolution has not finished yet since, for instance, the predictions of pedestrian paths could improve the current Automatic Emergency Braking Systems (AEBS). For this reason, this paper proposes a method to predict future pedestrian paths, poses and intentions up to 1s in advance. This method is based on Balanced Gaussian Process Dynamical Models (B-GPDMs), whi…
Inception Institute of Artificial Intelligence（起源人工智能研究院）；University of Verona（维罗纳大学）；Osram GmbH（欧司朗有限公司）；Italian Institute of Technology（意大利理工学院）；Ulm University（乌尔姆大学）
In this work, we explore the correlation between people trajectories and their head orientations. We argue that people trajectory and head pose forecasting can be modelled as a joint problem. Recent approaches on trajectory forecasting leverage short-term trajectories (aka tracklets) of pedestrians to predict their future paths. In addition, sociological cues, such as expected destination or pedestrian interaction, are often combined with tracklets. In this paper, we propose MiXing-LSTM (MX-LSTM) to capture the interplay between positions and head orientations (vislets) thanks to a joint uncon…
A Multi-Stage Goal-Driven Network for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction
Minjiang University（闽江大学）；Fuzhou University（福州大学）；South China University of Technology（华南理工大学）；European University Cyprus（塞浦路斯欧洲大学）；SYSTEMA Research Center（SYSTEMA研究中心）
Stanford University（斯坦福大学）；Toyota Research Institute（丰田研究院）；Department of Computer Science, Stanford University（斯坦福大学计算机科学系）
Reasoning over visual data is a desirable capability for robotics and vision-based applications. Such reasoning enables forecasting of the next events or actions in videos. In recent years, various models have been developed based on convolution operations for prediction or forecasting, but they lack the ability to reason over spatiotemporal data and infer the relationships of different objects in the scene. In this paper, we present a framework based on graph convolution to uncover the spatiotemporal relationships in the scene for reasoning about pedestrian intent. A scene graph is built on t…
SocialCircle: Learning the Angle-based Social Interaction Representation for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction
Huazhong University of Science and Technology（华中科技大学）；Huazhong Agricultural University（华中农业大学）；Research Institute of Huazhong University of Science and Technology in Shenzhen（华中科技大学深圳研究院）
