When humans navigate a crowed space such as a university campus or the sidewalks of a busy street, they follow common sense rules based on social etiquette. In this paper, we argue that in order to enable the design of new algorithms that can take fully advantage of these rules to better solve tasks such as target tracking or trajectory forecasting, we need to have access to better data in the first place. To that end, we contribute the very first large scale dataset (to the best of our knowledge) that collects images and videos of various types of targets (not just pedestrians, but also bikers, skateboarders, cars, buses, golf carts) that navigate in a real-world outdoor environment such as a university campus. We present an extensive evaluation where different methods for trajectory forecasting are evaluated and compared. Moreover, we present a new algorithm for trajectory prediction that exploits the complexity of our new dataset and allows to: i) incorporate inter-class interactions into trajectory prediction models (e.g, pedestrian vs bike) as opposed to just intra-class interactions (e.g., pedestrian vs pedestrian); ii) model the degree to which the social forces are regulating an interaction. We call the latter "social sensitivity"and it captures the sensitivity to which a target is responding to a certain interaction. An extensive experimental evaluation demonstrates the effectiveness of our novel approach.
In recent years, great efforts have been devoted to deep imitation learning for autonomous driving control, where raw sensory inputs are directly mapped to control actions. However, navigating through densely populated intersections remains a challenging task due to uncertainty caused by uncertain traffic participants. We focus on autonomous navigation at crowded intersections that require interaction with pedestrians. A multi-task conditional imitation learning framework is proposed to adapt both lateral and longitudinal control tasks for safe and efficient interaction. A new benchmark called…
Toyota Research Institute（丰田研究院）；NVIDIA Research（英伟达研究院）；Stanford University（斯坦福大学）
Reasoning about the future behavior of other agents is critical to safe robot navigation. The multiplicity of plausible futures is further amplified by the uncertainty inherent to agent state estimation from data, including positions, velocities, and semantic class. Forecasting methods, however, typically neglect class uncertainty, conditioning instead only on the agent's most likely class, even though perception models often return full class distributions. To exploit this information, we present HAICU, a method for heterogeneous-agent trajectory forecasting that explicitly incorporates agent…
Mimicking human ability to forecast future positions or interpret complex interactions in urban scenarios, such as streets, shopping malls or squares, is essential to develop socially compliant robots or self-driving cars. Autonomous systems may gain advantage on anticipating human motion to avoid collisions or to naturally behave alongside people. To foresee plausible trajectories, we construct an LSTM (long short-term memory)-based model considering three fundamental factors: people interactions, past observations in terms of previously crossed areas and semantics of surrounding space. Our m…
Chubu University（中部大学）；OMRON SINIC X（欧姆龙 SINIC X 研究院）
Forecasting human activities observed in videos is a long-standing challenge in computer vision, which leads to various real-world applications such as mobile robots, autonomous driving, and assistive systems. In this work, we present a new visual forecasting task called crowd density forecasting. Given a video of a crowd captured by a surveillance camera, our goal is to predict how that crowd will move in future frames. To address this task, we have developed the patch-based density forecasting network (PDFN), which enables forecasting over a sequence of crowd density maps describing how crow…
Uber ATG（优步先进技术集团）；University of Toronto（多伦多大学）；Cornell University（康奈尔大学）
In this paper, we address the important problem in self-driving of forecasting multi-pedestrian motion and their shared scene occupancy map, critical for safe navigation. Our contributions are two-fold. First, we advocate for predicting both the individual motions as well as the scene occupancy map in order to effectively deal with missing detections caused by postprocessing, e.g., confidence thresholding and non-maximum suppression. Second, we propose a Scene-Actor Graph Neural Network (SA-GNN) which preserves the relative spatial information of pedestrians via 2D convolution, and captures th…
Pedestrian trajectory prediction is essential for collision avoidance in autonomous driving and robot navigation. However, predicting a pedestrian's trajectory in crowded environments is non-trivial as it is influenced by other pedestrians' motion and static structures that are present in the scene. Such human-human and human-space interactions lead to non-linearities in the trajectories. In this paper, we present a new spatio-temporal graph based Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network for predicting pedestrian trajectory in crowded environments, which takes into account the interaction with st…
Forecasting human trajectories is critical for tasks such as robot crowd navigation and autonomous driving. Modeling social interactions is of great importance for accurate group-wise motion prediction. However, most existing methods do not consider information about coherence within the crowd, but rather only pairwise interactions. In this work, we propose a novel framework, coherent motion aware graph convolutional network (CoMoGCN), for trajectory prediction in crowded scenes with group constraints. First, we cluster pedestrian trajectories into groups according to motion coherence. Then, w…
Autonomous robotic systems operating in human environments must understand their surroundings to make accurate and safe decisions. In crowded human scenes with close-up human-robot interaction and robot navigation, a deep understanding requires reasoning about human motion and body dynamics over time with human body pose estimation and tracking. However, existing datasets either do not provide pose annotations or include scene types unrelated to robotic applications. Many datasets also lack the diversity of poses and occlusions found in crowded human scenes. To address this limitation we intro…
University of California, Berkeley（加州大学伯克利分校）；University of Michigan（密歇根大学）；Stanford University（斯坦福大学）
Accurate, long-term forecasting of pedestrian trajectories in highly dynamic and interactive scenes is a long-standing challenge. Recent advances in using data-driven approaches have achieved significant improvements in terms of prediction accuracy. However, the lack of group-aware analysis has limited the performance of forecasting models. This is especially nonnegligible in highly crowded scenes, where pedestrians are moving in groups and the interactions between groups are extremely complex and dynamic. In this paper, we present Grouptron, a multi-scale dynamic forecasting framework that le…
Imperial College London（帝国理工学院）；Tencent Robotics X（腾讯Robotics X）；Stanford University（斯坦福大学）；Shanghai Jiao Tong University（上海交通大学）
In this paper, we address the problem of forecasting the trajectory of an egocentric camera wearer (ego-person) in crowded spaces. The trajectory forecasting ability learned from the data of different camera wearers walking around in the real world can be transferred to assist visually impaired people in navigation, as well as to instill human navigation behaviours in mobile robots, enabling better human-robot interactions. To this end, a novel egocentric human trajectory forecasting dataset was constructed, containing real trajectories of people navigating in crowded spaces wearing a camera, …
Since the past few decades, human trajectory forecasting has been a field of active research owing to its numerous real-world applications: evacuation situation analysis, deployment of intelligent transport systems, traffic operations, to name a few. Early works handcrafted this representation based on domain knowledge. However, social interactions in crowded environments are not only diverse but often subtle. Recently, deep learning methods have outperformed their handcrafted counterparts, as they learned about human-human interactions in a more generic data-driven fashion. In this work, we p…
University of Florence（佛罗伦萨大学）；University of Padova（帕多瓦大学）
Human motion and behaviour in crowded spaces is influenced by several factors, such as the dynamics of other moving agents in the scene, as well as the static elements that might be perceived as points of attraction or obstacles. In this work, we present a new model for human trajectory prediction which is able to take advantage of both human-human and human-space interactions. The future trajectory of humans, are generated by observing their past positions and interactions with the surroundings. To this end, we propose a "context-aware" recurrent neural network LSTM model, which can learn and…
University of Modena and Reggio Emilia（摩德纳雷焦艾米利亚大学）；University of Padova（帕多瓦大学）
Accurate prediction of future human positions is an essential task for modern video-surveillance systems. Current state-of-the-art models usually rely on a "history" of past tracked locations (e.g., 3 to 5 seconds) to predict a plausible sequence of future locations (e.g., up to the next 5 seconds). We feel that this common schema neglects critical traits of realistic applications: as the collection of input trajectories involves machine perception (i.e., detection and tracking), incorrect detection and fragmentation errors may accumulate in crowded scenes, leading to tracking drifts. On this …
Ferdowsi University of Mashhad（马什哈德菲尔多西大学）；Stanford University（斯坦福大学）；University of Adelaide（阿德莱德大学）
Smooth and seamless robot navigation while interacting with humans depends on predicting human movements. Forecasting such human dynamics often involves modeling human trajectories (global motion) or detailed body joint movements (local motion). Prior work typically tackled local and global human movements separately. In this paper, we propose a novel framework to tackle both tasks of human motion (or trajectory) and body skeleton pose forecasting in a unified end-to-end pipeline. To deal with this real-world problem, we consider incorporating both scene and social contexts, as critical clues …
We develop a novel human trajectory prediction system that incorporates the scene information (Scene-LSTM) as well as individual pedestrian movement (Pedestrian-LSTM) trained simultaneously within static crowded scenes. We superimpose a two-level grid structure (grid cells and subgrids) on the scene to encode spatial granularity plus common human movements. The Scene-LSTM captures the commonly traveled paths that can be used to significantly influence the accuracy of human trajectory prediction in local areas (i.e. grid cells). We further design scene data filters, consisting of a hard filter …
