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arXiv 2310.01351cs.CV

面向自动驾驶的流式运动预测

Streaming Motion Forecasting for Autonomous Driving

University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign(伊利诺伊大学厄巴纳-香槟分校)

Ziqi Pang, Deva Ramanan, Mengtian Li, Yu-Xiong Wang

AI总结:

针对现有轨迹预测基准基于快照、不符合真实流式数据场景的问题,提出流式预测基准与即插即用元算法Predictive Streamer,通过遮挡推理和时间一致性策略显著提升预测精度。

摘要:

轨迹预测是自主导航领域被广泛研究的问题。然而,现有基准基于独立的轨迹快照评估预测效果,无法代表在连续数据流上运行的真实应用场景。为弥补这一差距,我们提出了一个在流式数据上持续查询未来轨迹的基准,并将其命名为“streaming forecasting(流式预测)”。我们的基准天然涵盖了智能体的消失与重现,由此带来了针对被遮挡智能体的预测这一新兴挑战——这是一个关乎安全的关键问题,却被基于快照的基准所忽视。此外,连续时间戳下的预测自然要求相邻时间戳的预测结果之间具备时间一致性。基于该基准,我们进一步为流式预测提供了解决方案与分析。我们提出了一种名为“Predictive Streamer(预测流式器)”的即插即用元算法,可将任何基于快照的预测器适配为流式预测器。该算法通过多模态轨迹传播被遮挡智能体的位置来估计其状态,并利用可微分滤波器确保时间一致性。遮挡推理与时间一致性策略均显著提升了预测质量,使被遮挡智能体的终点误差降低25%,轨迹波动减小10%-20%。我们的工作旨在强调在运动预测固有的流式场景下开展研究的重要性,以引发学界关注。代码可在https://github.com/ziqipang/StreamingForecasting获取。

英文摘要:

Trajectory forecasting is a widely-studied problem for autonomous navigation. However, existing benchmarks evaluate forecasting based on independent snapshots of trajectories, which are not representative of real-world applications that operate on a continuous stream of data. To bridge this gap, we introduce a benchmark that continuously queries future trajectories on streaming data and we refer to it as "streaming forecasting." Our benchmark inherently captures the disappearance and re-appearance of agents, presenting the emergent challenge of forecasting for occluded agents, which is a safety-critical problem yet overlooked by snapshot-based benchmarks. Moreover, forecasting in the context of continuous timestamps naturally asks for temporal coherence between predictions from adjacent timestamps. Based on this benchmark, we further provide solutions and analysis for streaming forecasting. We propose a plug-and-play meta-algorithm called "Predictive Streamer" that can adapt any snapshot-based forecaster into a streaming forecaster. Our algorithm estimates the states of occluded agents by propagating their positions with multi-modal trajectories, and leverages differentiable filters to ensure temporal consistency. Both occlusion reasoning and temporal coherence strategies significantly improve forecasting quality, resulting in 25% smaller endpoint errors for occluded agents and 10-20% smaller fluctuations of trajectories. Our work is intended to generate interest within the community by highlighting the importance of addressing motion forecasting in its intrinsic streaming setting. Code is available at https://github.com/ziqipang/StreamingForecasting.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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