In this paper, we address the stochastic representation problem in discrete time under (non-linear) g-expectation. We establish existence and uniqueness of the solution, as well as a characterization of the solution. As an application, we investigate a new approach to the optimal stopping problem under g-expectation and the related pricing of American options under Knightian uncertainty. Our results are also applied to a (non-linear) Skorokhod-type obstacle problem.
We develop a notion of nonlinear expectation --G-expectation-- generated by a nonlinear heat equation with infinitesimal generator G. We first study multi-dimensional G-normal distributions. With this nonlinear distribution we can introduce our G-expectation under which the canonical process is a multi dimensional G-Brownian motion. We then establish the related stochastic calculus, especially stochastic integrals of Ito's type with respect to our G-Brownian motion and derive the related Ito's formula. We have also obtained the existence and uniqueness of stochastic differential equation under…
In this book, we introduce a new approach of sublinear expectation to deal with the problem of probability and distribution model uncertainty. We a new type of (robust) normal distributions and the related central limit theorem under sublinear expectation. We also present a new type of Brownian motion under sublinear expectations and the related stochastic calculus of Ito's type. The results provide robust tools for the problem of probability model uncertainty arising from financial risk management, statistics and stochastic controls.
In this paper we study a class of infinite horizon fully coupled forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs), that are stimulated by various continuous time future expectations models with random coefficients. Under standard Lipschitz and monotonicity conditions, and by means of the contraction mapping principle, we establish existence, uniqueness, a comparison property and dependence on a parameter of adapted solutions. Making further the connection with infinite horizon quasilinear backward stochastic partial differential equations (BSPDEs) via a generalization of the well kn…
We give a theory of sublinear expectations and martingales in discrete time. Without assuming the existence of a dominating probability measure, we derive the extensions of classical results on uniform integrability, optional stopping of martingales, and martingale convergence. We also give a theory of BSDEs in the context of sublinear expectations and a finite-state space, including general existence and comparison results.
We introduce a notion of nonlinear expectation --G--expectation-- generated by a nonlinear heat equation with infinitesimal generator G. We first discuss the notion of G-standard normal distribution. With this nonlinear distribution we can introduce our G-expectation under which the canonical process is a G--Brownian motion. We then establish the related stochastic calculus, especially stochastic integrals of Ito's type with respect to our G--Brownian motion and derive the related Ito's formula. We have also give the existence and uniqueness of stochastic differential equation under our G-expe…
We consider three different types of global uncertainty models for discrete-time stochastic processes: measure-theoretic upper expectations, game-theoretic upper expectations and axiomatic upper expectations. The last two are known to be identical. We show that they coincide with measure-theoretic upper expectations on two distinct domains: monotone pointwise limits of finitary gambles, and bounded below Borel-measurable variables. We argue that these domains cover most practical inferences, and that therefore, in practice, it does not matter which model is used.
We derive sufficient conditions for the convex and monotonic g-stochastic ordering of diffusion processes under nonlinear g-expectations and g-evaluations. Our approach relies on comparison results for forward-backward stochastic differential equations and on several extensions of convexity, monotonicity and continuous dependence properties for the solutions of associated semilinear parabolic partial differential equations. Applications to contingent claim price comparison under different hedging portfolio constraints are provided.
This paper introduces a backward stochastic differential equation driven by both Brownian motion and a Markov chain (BSDEBM). Regime-switching is also incorporated through its driver. The existence and uniqueness of the solution of the BSDEBM are proved. A comparison theorem is also derived. Filtration consistent sublinear expectations are defined and characterized as solutions to the BSDEBM. The bid and ask prices are then represented using sublinear expectations.
In this paper, we study reflected backward stochastic difference equations (RBSDEs for short) with finitely many states in discrete time. The general existence and uniqueness result, as well as comparison theorems for the solutions, are established under mild assumptions. The connections between RBSDEs and optimal stopping problems are also given. Then we apply the obtained results to explore optimal stopping problems under $g$-expectation. Finally, we study the pricing of American contingent claims in our context.
Stochastic Taylor expansions of the expectation of functionals applied to diffusion processes which are solutions of stochastic differential equation systems are introduced. Taylor formulas w.r.t. increments of the time are presented for both, Itô and Stratonovich stochastic differential equation systems with multi-dimensional Wiener processes. Due to the very complex formulas arising for higher order expansions, an advantageous graphical representation by coloured trees is developed. The convergence of truncated formulas is analyzed and estimates for the truncation error are calculated. Final…
We develop a pure Monte Carlo method to compute $E(g(X_T))$ where $g$ is a bounded and Lipschitz function and $X_t$ an Ito process. This approach extends a previously proposed method to the general multidimensional case with a SDE with varying coefficients. A variance reduction method relying on interacting particle systems is also developped.
Generalized conditional expectations, optional projections and predictable projections of stochastic processes play important roles in the general theory of stochastic processes, semimartingale theory and stochastic calculus. They share some important properties with ordinary conditional expectations. While the characterization of ordinary conditional expectations has been studied by several authors, no similar work seems to have been done for these three concepts. This paper aims at undertaking this task by giving And$\hat{o}$-Douglas type characterization theorem for each of them.
Stochastic wave equations driven by space-time $G$-white noise under sublinear expectation
Research Center for Mathematics and Interdisciplinary Sciences, Shandong University（山东大学数学与交叉科学研究中心）；Frontiers Science Center for Nonlinear Expectations (Ministry of Education), Shandong University（山东大学非线性预期前沿科学中心（教育部））
We consider a discrete time analog of $G$--expectations and we prove that in the case where the time step goes to 0 the corresponding values converge to the original $G$--expectation. Furthermore we provide error estimates for the convergence rate. This paper is continuation of [4]. Our main tool is a strong approximation theorem which we derive for general discrete time martingales.
We present a computational alternative to probabilistic simulations for non-smooth stochastic dynamical systems that are prevalent in engineering mechanics. As examples, we target (1) stochastic elasto-plastic problems, which involve transitions between elastic and plastic states, and (2) obstacle problems with noise, which involve discrete impulses due to collisions with an obstacle. We formally introduce a class of partial differential equations related to the Feynman-Kac formula, where the underlying stochastic processes satisfy variational inequalities modelling elasto-plastic and obstacle…
To model discrete-time finite-state uncertain processes, we argue for the use of a global belief model in the form of an upper expectation that is the most conservative one under a set of basic axioms. Our motivation for these axioms, which describe how local and global belief models should be related, is based on two possible interpretations for an upper expectation: a behavioural one similar to Walley's, and an interpretation in terms of upper envelopes of linear expectations. We show that the most conservative upper expectation satisfying our axioms, that is, our model of choice, coincides …
In this paper, we investigate suffcient and necessary conditions for the comparison theorem of neutral stochastic functional differential equations driven by G-Brownian motion (G-NSFDE). Moreover, the results extend the ones in the linear expectation case [1] and nonlinear expectation framework [8].
Game-theoretic upper expectations are joint (global) probability models that mathematically describe the behaviour of uncertain processes in terms of supermartingales; capital processes corresponding to available betting strategies. Compared to (the more common) measure-theoretic expectation functionals, they are not bounded to restrictive assumptions such as measurability or precision, yet succeed in preserving, or even generalising many of their fundamental properties. We focus on a discrete-time setting where local state spaces are finite and, in this specific context, build on the existing…
This paper first studies super linear G-expectation. Uniqueness and existence theorem for backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) under super linear expectation is established to provide probabilistic interpretation for the viscosity solution of a class of Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations, including the well known Black-Scholes-Barrenblett equation, arising in the uncertainty volatility model in mathematical finance. We also show that BSDEs under super linear expectation could characterize a class of stochastic control problems. A direct connection between recursive super (sub) str…
In this paper, we consider the stochastic optimal control problems under G-expectation. Based on the theory of backward stochastic differential equations driven by G-Brownian motion, which was introduced in [10.11], we can investigate the more general stochastic optimal control problems under G-expectation than that were constructed in [28]. Then we obtain a generalized dynamic programming principle and the value function is proved to be a viscosity solution of a fully nonlinear second-order partial differential equation.
The solution of a (stochastic) differential equation (SDE) can be locally approximated by a stochastic expansion, a linear combination of iterated integrals. Quantities of interest, like moments, can then be approximated with the expansion. We present a formula for the case where the drivers of the equation are time and Wiener processes. We also present a Mathematica implementation of the result.
The central limit theorem of martingales is the fundamental tool for studying the convergence of stochastic processes, especially stochastic integrals and differential equations. In this paper, general central limit theorems and functional central limit theorems are obtained for martingale like random variables under the sub-linear expectation. As applications, the Lindeberg central limit theorem and functional central limit theorem are obtained for independent but not necessarily identically distributed random variables, and a new proof of the Lévy characterization of a G-Brownian motion with…
We present here an elementary example, for every fixed positive integer $k,$ of a strictly stationary nongaussian stochastic process in discrete time, all of whose $k$-marginals are gaussian.
This paper considers the nonlinear theory of G-martingales as introduced by Peng. A martingale representation theorem for this theory is proved by using the techniques and the results established in an accompanying paper for the second order stochastic target problems and the second order backward stochastic differential equations. In particular, this representation provides a hedging strategy in a market with an uncertain volatility.
In this article we establish strong convergence rates on the whole probability space for explicit full-discrete approximations of stochastic Burgers equations with multiplicative trace-class noise. The key step in our proof is to establish uniform exponential moment estimates for the numerical approximations.
In this paper we study the stochastic differential equations driven by $G$-Brownian motion ($G$-SDEs for short). We extend the notion of conditional $G$-expectation from deterministic time to the more general optional time situation. Then, via this conditional expectation, we develop the strong Markov property for $G$-SDEs. In particular, we obtain the strong Markov property for $G$-Brownian motion. Some applications including the reflection principle for $G$-Brownian motion are also provided.
In this paper a stochastic equation on compact groups in discrete negative time is studied. This is closely related to Tsirelson's stochastic differential equation, of which any solution is non-strong. How the group action reflects on the set of solutions is investigated. It is applied to generalize Yor's result and give a necessary and sufficient condition for existence of a strong solution and for uniqueness in law.
We establish conditions for uniform $r$-th moment bound of certain $\R^d$-valued functions of a discrete-time stochastic process taking values in a general metric space. The conditions include an appropriate negative drift together with a uniform $L_p$ bound on the jumps of the process for $p > r + 1$. Applications of the result are given in connection to iterated function systems and biochemical reaction networks.
In this article we present and analyse new multilevel adaptations of stochastic approximation algorithms for the computation of a zero of a function $f\colon D \to \mathbb R^d$ defined on a convex domain $D\subset \mathbb R^d$, which is given as a parameterised family of expectations. Our approach is universal in the sense that having multilevel implementations for a particular application at hand it is straightforward to implement the corresponding stochastic approximation algorithm. Moreover, previous research on multilevel Monte Carlo can be incorporated in a natural way. This is due to the…
We investigate the stability properties of discrete and hybrid stochastic nonlinear dynamical systems. More precisely, we extend the stochastic contraction theorems (which were formulated for continuous systems) to the case of discrete and hybrid resetting systems. In particular, we show that the mean square distance between any two trajectories of a discrete (or hybrid resetting) contracting stochastic system is upper-bounded by a constant after exponential transients. Using these results, we study the synchronization of noisy nonlinear oscillators coupled by discrete noisy interactions.
By the calculus of Peng's G-sublinear expectation and G-Brownian motion on a sublinear expectation space $(Ω, {\cal H}, \hat{\mathbb{E}})$, we first set up an optimality principle of stochastic control problem. Then we investigate an optimal consumption and portfolio decision with a volatility ambiguity by the derived verification theorem. Next the two-fund separation theorem is explicitly obtained. And an illustrative example is provided.
Freidlin-Wentzell theory of large deviations can be used to compute the likelihood of extreme or rare events in stochastic dynamical systems via the solution of an optimization problem. The approach gives exponential estimates that often need to be refined via calculation of a prefactor. Here it is shown how to perform these computations in practice. Specifically, sharp asymptotic estimates are derived for expectations, probabilities, and mean first passage times in a form that is geared towards numerical purposes: they require solving well-posed matrix Riccati equations involving the minimize…
We introduce a notion of volatility uncertainty in discrete time and define the corresponding analogue of Peng's G-expectation. In the continuous-time limit, the resulting sublinear expectation converges weakly to the G-expectation. This can be seen as a Donsker-type result for the G-Brownian motion.
Most previous contributions to BSDEs, and the related theories of nonlinear expectation and dynamic risk measures, have been in the framework of continuous time diffusions or jump diffusions. Using solutions of BSDEs on spaces related to finite state, continuous time Markov chains, we develop a theory of nonlinear expectations in the spirit of [Dynamically consistent nonlinear evaluations and expectations (2005) Shandong Univ.]. We prove basic properties of these expectations and show their applications to dynamic risk measures on such spaces. In particular, we prove comparison theorems for sc…
We obtain an asymptotic Hölder estimate for expectations of a quite general class of discrete stochastic processes. Such expectations can also be described as solutions to a dynamic programming principle or as solutions to discretized PDEs. The result, which is also generalized to functions satisfying Pucci-type inequalities for discrete extremal operators, is a counterpart to the Krylov-Safonov regularity result in PDEs. However, the discrete step size $\varepsilon$ has some crucial effects compared to the PDE setting. The proof combines analytic and probabilistic arguments.
We consider a class of discrete time stochastic control problems motivated by some financial applications. We use a pathwise stochastic control approach to provide a dual formulation of the problem. This enables us to develop a numerical technique for obtaining an estimate of the value function which improves on purely regression based methods. We demonstrate the competitiveness of the method on the example of a gas storage valuation problem.
We first study an optimal stopping problem in which a player (an agent) uses a discrete stopping time in order to stop optimally a payoff process whose risk is evaluated by a (non-linear) $g$-expectation. We then consider a non-zero-sum game on discrete stopping times with two agents who aim at minimizing their respective risks. The payoffs of the agents are assessed by g-expectations (with possibly different drivers for the different players). By using the results of the first part, combined with some ideas of S. Hamad{è}ne and J. Zhang, we construct a Nash equilibrium point of this game by a…
Many physical, chemical and biological systems have an inherent discrete spatial structure that strongly influences their dynamical behaviour. Similar remarks apply to internal or external noise, as well as to nonlocal coupling. In this paper we study the combined effect of nonlocal spatial discretization and stochastic perturbations on travelling waves in the Nagumo equation, which is a prototypical model for bistable reaction-diffusion partial differential equations (PDEs). We prove that under suitable parameter conditions, various discrete-stochastic variants of the Nagumo equation have sol…
We introduce two new exactly solvable (stochastic) interacting particle systems which are discrete time versions of q-TASEP. We call these geometric and Bernoulli discrete time q-TASEP. We obtain concise formulas for expectations of a large enough class of observables of the systems to completely characterize their fixed time distributions when started from step initial condition. We then extract Fredholm determinant formulas for the marginal distribution of the location of any given particle. Underlying this work is the fact that these expectations solve closed systems of difference equations…
This work establishes sufficient conditions for existence of saddle points in discrete Markov games. The result reveals the relation between dynamic games and static games using dynamic programming equations. This result enables us to prove existence of saddle points of non-separable stochastic differential games of regime-switching diffusions under appropriate conditions.
