Haoyin Xu, Kaleab A. Kinfu, Will LeVine, Sambit Panda, Jayanta Dey, Michael Ainsworth, Yu-Chung Peng, Madi Kusmanov, Florian Engert, Christopher M. White, Joshu… 展开作者
Haoyin Xu, Kaleab A. Kinfu, Will LeVine, Sambit Panda, Jayanta Dey, Michael Ainsworth, Yu-Chung Peng, Madi Kusmanov, Florian Engert, Christopher M. White, Joshua T. Vogelstein, Carey E. Priebe
Deep networks and decision forests (such as random forests and gradient boosted trees) are the leading machine learning methods for structured and tabular data, respectively. Many papers have empirically compared large numbers of classifiers on one or two different domains (e.g., on 100 different tabular data settings). However, a careful conceptual and empirical comparison of these two strategies using the most contemporary best practices has yet to be performed. Conceptually, we illustrate that both can be profitably viewed as "partition and vote" schemes. Specifically, the representation space that they both learn is a partitioning of feature space into a union of convex polytopes. For inference, each decides on the basis of votes from the activated nodes. This formulation allows for a unified basic understanding of the relationship between these methods. Empirically, we compare these two strategies on hundreds of tabular data settings, as well as several vision and auditory settings. Our focus is on datasets with at most 10,000 samples, which represent a large fraction of scientific and biomedical datasets. In general, we found forests to excel at tabular and structured data (vision and audition) with small sample sizes, whereas deep nets performed better on structured data with larger sample sizes. This suggests that further gains in both scenarios may be realized via further combining aspects of forests and networks. We will continue revising this technical report in the coming months with updated results.
Random forest and deep neural network are two schools of effective classification methods in machine learning. While the random forest is robust irrespective of the data domain, the deep neural network has advantages in handling high dimensional data. In view that a differentiable neural decision forest can be added to the neural network to fully exploit the benefits of both models, in our work, we further combine convolutional autoencoder with neural decision forest, where autoencoder has its advantages in finding the hidden representations of the input data. We develop a gradient boost modul…
We consider finding a counterfactual explanation for a classification or regression forest, such as a random forest. This requires solving an optimization problem to find the closest input instance to a given instance for which the forest outputs a desired value. Finding an exact solution has a cost that is exponential on the number of leaves in the forest. We propose a simple but very effective approach: we constrain the optimization to only those input space regions defined by the forest that are populated by actual data points. The problem reduces to a form of nearest-neighbor search using …
Several studies have shown that combining machine learning models in an appropriate way will introduce improvements in the individual predictions made by the base models. The key to make well-performing ensemble model is in the diversity of the base models. Of the most common solutions for introducing diversity into the decision trees are bagging and random forest. Bagging enhances the diversity by sampling with replacement and generating many training data sets, while random forest adds selecting a random number of features as well. This has made the random forest a winning candidate for many…
Vencera Consulting（Vencera咨询公司）；Massachusetts Institute of Technology（麻省理工学院）；Southern University of Science and Technology（南方科技大学）
Conventionally, random forests are built from "greedy" decision trees which each consider only one split at a time during their construction. The sub-optimality of greedy implementation has been well-known, yet mainstream adoption of more sophisticated tree building algorithms has been lacking. We examine under what circumstances an implementation of less greedy decision trees actually yields outperformance. To this end, a "stepwise lookahead" variation of the random forest algorithm is presented for its ability to better uncover binary feature interdependencies. In contrast to the greedy appr…
We propose random hinge forests, a simple, efficient, and novel variant of decision forests. Importantly, random hinge forests can be readily incorporated as a general component within arbitrary computation graphs that are optimized end-to-end with stochastic gradient descent or variants thereof. We derive random hinge forest and ferns, focusing on their sparse and efficient nature, their min-max margin property, strategies to initialize them for arbitrary network architectures, and the class of optimizers most suitable for optimizing random hinge forest. The performance and versatility of ran…
University of Liège（列日大学）；Aristotle University of Thessaloniki（塞萨洛尼基亚里士多德大学）；Katholieke Universiteit Leuven（鲁汶天主教大学）
Within machine learning, the supervised learning field aims at modeling the input-output relationship of a system, from past observations of its behavior. Decision trees characterize the input-output relationship through a series of nested $if-then-else$ questions, the testing nodes, leading to a set of predictions, the leaf nodes. Several of such trees are often combined together for state-of-the-art performance: random forest ensembles average the predictions of randomized decision trees trained independently in parallel, while tree boosting ensembles train decision trees sequentially to ref…
In Random Forests, proximity distances are a metric representation of data into decision space. By observing how changes in input map to the movement of instances in this space we are able to determine the independent contribution of each feature to the decision-making process. For binary feature vectors, this process is fully specified. As these changes in input move particular instances nearer to the in-group or out-group, the independent contribution of each feature can be uncovered. Using this technique, we are able to calculate the contribution of each feature in determining how black-box…
Focusing on Random Forests, we propose a multi-armed contextual bandit recommendation framework for feature-based selection of a single shallow tree of the learned ensemble. The trained system, which works on top of the Random Forest, dynamically identifies a base predictor that is responsible for providing the final output. In this way, we obtain local interpretations by observing the rules of the recommended tree. The carried out experiments reveal that our dynamic method is superior to an independent fitted CART decision tree and comparable to the whole black-box Random Forest in terms of p…
We introduce canonical correlation forests (CCFs), a new decision tree ensemble method for classification and regression. Individual canonical correlation trees are binary decision trees with hyperplane splits based on local canonical correlation coefficients calculated during training. Unlike axis-aligned alternatives, the decision surfaces of CCFs are not restricted to the coordinate system of the inputs features and therefore more naturally represent data with correlated inputs. CCFs naturally accommodate multiple outputs, provide a similar computational complexity to random forests, and in…
One advantage of decision tree based methods like random forests is their ability to natively handle categorical predictors without having to first transform them (e.g., by using feature engineering techniques). However, in this paper, we show how this capability can lead to an inherent "absent levels" problem for decision tree based methods that has never been thoroughly discussed, and whose consequences have never been carefully explored. This problem occurs whenever there is an indeterminacy over how to handle an observation that has reached a categorical split which was determined when the…
Canonical distances such as Euclidean distance often fail to capture the appropriate relationships between items, subsequently leading to subpar inference and prediction. Many algorithms have been proposed for automated learning of suitable distances, most of which employ linear methods to learn a global metric over the feature space. While such methods offer nice theoretical properties, interpretability, and computationally efficient means for implementing them, they are limited in expressive capacity. Methods which have been designed to improve expressiveness sacrifice one or more of the nic…
University College London（伦敦大学学院）；University of Cambridge（剑桥大学）；University of Oxford（牛津大学）
Ensembles of randomized decision trees, usually referred to as random forests, are widely used for classification and regression tasks in machine learning and statistics. Random forests achieve competitive predictive performance and are computationally efficient to train and test, making them excellent candidates for real-world prediction tasks. The most popular random forest variants (such as Breiman's random forest and extremely randomized trees) operate on batches of training data. Online methods are now in greater demand. Existing online random forests, however, require more training data …
We study contextual stochastic optimization problems, where we leverage rich auxiliary observations (e.g., product characteristics) to improve decision making with uncertain variables (e.g., demand). We show how to train forest decision policies for this problem by growing trees that choose splits to directly optimize the downstream decision quality, rather than splitting to improve prediction accuracy as in the standard random forest algorithm. We realize this seemingly computationally intractable problem by developing approximate splitting criteria that utilize optimization perturbation anal…
CRIStAL Lab, UMR 9189, Université Charles de Gaulle, Lille 3（里尔第三大学（戴高乐大学）CRIStAL实验室）；Université Paris-Est, A3SI-ESIEE LIGM（巴黎东大学 ESIEE LIGM）
Random forests perform bootstrap-aggregation by sampling the training samples with replacement. This enables the evaluation of out-of-bag error which serves as a internal cross-validation mechanism. Our motivation lies in using the unsampled training samples to improve each decision tree in the ensemble. We study the effect of using the out-of-bag samples to improve the generalization error first of the decision trees and second the random forest by post-pruning. A preliminary empirical study on four UCI repository datasets show consistent decrease in the size of the forests without considerab…
To deal with various datasets over different complexity, this paper presents an self-adaptive learning model that combines the proposed Dynamic Connected Neural Decision Networks (DNDN) and a new pruning method--Dynamic Soft Pruning (DSP). DNDN is a combination of random forests and deep neural networks that enjoys both the advantages of strong classification capability of tree-like structure and representation learning capability of network structure. Based on Deep Neural Decision Forests (DNDF), this paper adopts an end-to-end training approach by representing the classification distribution…
Despite the latest prevailing success of deep neural networks (DNNs), several concerns have been raised against their usage, including the lack of intepretability the gap between DNNs and other well-established machine learning models, and the growingly expensive computational costs. A number of recent works [1], [2], [3] explored the alternative to sequentially stacking decision tree/random forest building blocks in a purely feed-forward way, with no need of back propagation. Since decision trees enjoy inherent reasoning transparency, such deep forest models can also facilitate the understand…
Procedural fairness has been a public concern, which leads to controversy when making decisions with respect to protected classes, such as race, social status, and disability. Some protected classes can be inferred according to some safe proxies like surname and geolocation for the race. Hence, implicitly utilizing the predicted protected classes based on the related proxies when making decisions is an efficient approach to circumvent this issue and seek just decisions. In this article, we propose a hierarchical random forest model for prediction without explicitly involving protected classes.…
Random forest is widely exploited as an ensemble learning method. In many practical applications, however, there is still a significant challenge to learn from imbalanced data. To alleviate this limitation, we propose a deep dynamic boosted forest (DDBF), a novel ensemble algorithm that incorporates the notion of hard example mining into random forest. Specically, we propose to measure the quality of each leaf node of every decision tree in the random forest to determine hard examples. By iteratively training and then removing easy examples from training data, we evolve the random forest to fo…
School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering Nanyang Technological University（南洋理工大学电气与电子工程学院）
Both neural networks and decision trees are popular machine learning methods and are widely used to solve problems from diverse domains. These two classifiers are commonly used base classifiers in an ensemble framework. In this paper, we first present a new variant of oblique decision tree based on a linear classifier, then construct an ensemble classifier based on the fusion of a fast neural network, random vector functional link network and oblique decision trees. Random Vector Functional Link Network has an elegant closed form solution with extremely short training time. The neural network …
Chubu University（中部大学）；NTT Communication Science Laboratories（NTT通信科学实验室）
This paper proposes a novel type of random forests called a denoising random forests that are robust against noises contained in test samples. Such noise-corrupted samples cause serious damage to the estimation performances of random forests, since unexpected child nodes are often selected and the leaf nodes that the input sample reaches are sometimes far from those for a clean sample. Our main idea for tackling this problem originates from a binary indicator vector that encodes a traversal path of a sample in the forest. Our proposed method effectively employs this vector by introducing denoi…
The need to learn from positive and unlabeled data, or PU learning, arises in many applications and has attracted increasing interest. While random forests are known to perform well on many tasks with positive and negative data, recent PU algorithms are generally based on deep neural networks, and the potential of tree-based PU learning is under-explored. In this paper, we propose new random forest algorithms for PU-learning. Key to our approach is a new interpretation of decision tree algorithms for positive and negative data as \emph{recursive greedy risk minimization algorithms}. We extend …
We introduce SIRUS (Stable and Interpretable RUle Set) for regression, a stable rule learning algorithm which takes the form of a short and simple list of rules. State-of-the-art learning algorithms are often referred to as "black boxes" because of the high number of operations involved in their prediction process. Despite their powerful predictivity, this lack of interpretability may be highly restrictive for applications with critical decisions at stake. On the other hand, algorithms with a simple structure-typically decision trees, rule algorithms, or sparse linear models-are well known for…
Decision Trees (DTs) and Random Forests (RFs) are powerful discriminative learners and tools of central importance to the everyday machine learning practitioner and data scientist. Due to their discriminative nature, however, they lack principled methods to process inputs with missing features or to detect outliers, which requires pairing them with imputation techniques or a separate generative model. In this paper, we demonstrate that DTs and RFs can naturally be interpreted as generative models, by drawing a connection to Probabilistic Circuits, a prominent class of tractable probabilistic m…
Random Forests are one of the most popular classifiers in machine learning. The larger they are, the more precise is the outcome of their predictions. However, this comes at a cost: their running time for classification grows linearly with the number of trees, i.e. the size of the forest. In this paper, we propose a method to aggregate large Random Forests into a single, semantically equivalent decision diagram. Our experiments on various popular datasets show speed-ups of several orders of magnitude, while, at the same time, also significantly reducing the size of the required data structure.
Electromyography signals can be used as training data by machine learning models to classify various gestures. We seek to produce a model that can classify six different hand gestures with a limited number of samples that generalizes well to a wider audience while comparing the effect of our feature extraction results on model accuracy to other more conventional methods such as the use of AR parameters on a sliding window across the channels of a signal. We appeal to a set of more elementary methods such as the use of random bounds on a signal, but desire to show the power these methods can ca…
Guided Random Forest and its application to data approximation
Department of Electrical Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi（印度理工学院德里分校电子工程系）；Center for Computational Biology, Indraprastha Institute of Information Technology（印度信息科技学院计算生物学中心）；Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Indraprastha Institute of Information Technology（印度信息科技学院计算机科学与工程系）；Infosys Center for Artificial Intelligence, Indraprastha Institute of Information Technology（印度信息科技学院人工智能中心）；Institute of Health and Biomedical Innovation, Queensland University of Technology（昆士兰科技大学健康与生物医学创新研究所）；Department of Mathematics, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi（印度理工学院德里分校数学系）
Erasmus University Rotterdam（鹿特丹伊拉斯姆斯大学）；University of Chicago（芝加哥大学）；Migros T.A.Ş（Migros公司）
We propose two algorithms for interpretation and boosting of tree-based ensemble methods. Both algorithms make use of mathematical programming models that are constructed with a set of rules extracted from an ensemble of decision trees. The objective is to obtain the minimum total impurity with the least number of rules that cover all the samples. The first algorithm uses the collection of decision trees obtained from a trained random forest model. Our numerical results show that the proposed rule covering approach selects only a few rules that could be used for interpreting the random forest …
University of Pennsylvania（宾夕法尼亚大学）；Apple Inc.（苹果公司）
There is a large literature explaining why AdaBoost is a successful classifier. The literature on AdaBoost focuses on classifier margins and boosting's interpretation as the optimization of an exponential likelihood function. These existing explanations, however, have been pointed out to be incomplete. A random forest is another popular ensemble method for which there is substantially less explanation in the literature. We introduce a novel perspective on AdaBoost and random forests that proposes that the two algorithms work for similar reasons. While both classifiers achieve similar predictiv…
Tree ensemble methods such as random forests [Breiman, 2001] are very popular to handle high-dimensional tabular data sets, notably because of their good predictive accuracy. However, when machine learning is used for decision-making problems, settling for the best predictive procedures may not be reasonable since enlightened decisions require an in-depth comprehension of the algorithm prediction process. Unfortunately, random forests are not intrinsically interpretable since their prediction results from averaging several hundreds of decision trees. A classic approach to gain knowledge on thi…
Merck & Co., Inc.（默克公司）；Sanofi-Aventis US LLC（赛诺菲-安万特美国有限责任公司）
Precision medicine is becoming a focus in medical research recently, as its implementation brings values to all stakeholders in the healthcare system. Various statistical methodologies have been developed tackling problems in different aspects of this field, e.g., assessing treatment heterogeneity, identifying patient subgroups, or building treatment decision models. However, there is a lack of new tools devoted to selecting and prioritizing predictive biomarkers. We propose a novel tree-based ensemble method, random interaction forest (RIF), to generate predictive importance scores and priori…
Decision Trees and Random Forests are among the most widely used machine learning models, and often achieve state-of-the-art performance in tabular, domain-agnostic datasets. Nonetheless, being primarily discriminative models they lack principled methods to manipulate the uncertainty of predictions. In this paper, we exploit Generative Forests (GeFs), a recent class of deep probabilistic models that addresses these issues by extending Random Forests to generative models representing the full joint distribution over the feature space. We demonstrate that GeFs are uncertainty-aware classifiers, …
Booz Allen Hamilton, Strategic Innovation Group（博思艾伦咨询公司战略创新集团）；University of Maryland, Baltimore County（马里兰大学巴尔的摩县分校）
The potential lack of fairness in the outputs of machine learning algorithms has recently gained attention both within the research community as well as in society more broadly. Surprisingly, there is no prior work developing tree-induction algorithms for building fair decision trees or fair random forests. These methods have widespread popularity as they are one of the few to be simultaneously interpretable, non-linear, and easy-to-use. In this paper we develop, to our knowledge, the first technique for the induction of fair decision trees. We show that our "Fair Forest" retains the benefits …
The Use of Binary Choice Forests to Model and Estimate Discrete Choices
Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto（多伦多大学罗特曼管理学院）；School of Data Science, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen（香港中文大学（深圳）数据科学学院）；Antai College of Economics and Management, Shanghai Jiao Tong University（上海交通大学安泰经济与管理学院）
We seek decision rules for prediction-time cost reduction, where complete data is available for training, but during prediction-time, each feature can only be acquired for an additional cost. We propose a novel random forest algorithm to minimize prediction error for a user-specified {\it average} feature acquisition budget. While random forests yield strong generalization performance, they do not explicitly account for feature costs and furthermore require low correlation among trees, which amplifies costs. Our random forest grows trees with low acquisition cost and high strength based on gre…
We introduce an exact distributed algorithm to train Random Forest models as well as other decision forest models without relying on approximating best split search. We explain the proposed algorithm and compare it to related approaches for various complexity measures (time, ram, disk, and network complexity analysis). We report its running performances on artificial and real-world datasets of up to 18 billions examples. This figure is several orders of magnitude larger than datasets tackled in the existing literature. Finally, we empirically show that Random Forest benefits from being trained…
Peter the Great St.Petersburg Polytechnic University（圣彼得堡彼得大帝理工大学）
A Discriminative Deep Forest (DisDF) as a metric learning algorithm is proposed in the paper. It is based on the Deep Forest or gcForest proposed by Zhou and Feng and can be viewed as a gcForest modification. The case of the fully supervised learning is studied when the class labels of individual training examples are known. The main idea underlying the algorithm is to assign weights to decision trees in random forest in order to reduce distances between objects from the same class and to increase them between objects from different classes. The weights are training parameters. A specific obje…
Due to the steadily increasing relevance of machine learning for practical applications, many of which are coming with safety requirements, the notion of uncertainty has received increasing attention in machine learning research in the last couple of years. In particular, the idea of distinguishing between two important types of uncertainty, often refereed to as aleatoric and epistemic, has recently been studied in the setting of supervised learning. In this paper, we propose to quantify these uncertainties with random forests. More specifically, we show how two general approaches for measurin…
Shapelet is a discriminative subsequence of time series. An advanced shapelet-based method is to embed shapelet into accurate and fast random forest. However, it shows several limitations. First, random shapelet forest requires a large training cost for split threshold searching. Second, a single shapelet provides limited information for only one branch of the decision tree, resulting in insufficient accuracy and interpretability. Third, randomized ensemble causes interpretability declining. For that, this paper presents Random Pairwise Shapelets Forest (RPSF). RPSF combines a pair of shapelet…
CountARFactuals -- Generating plausible model-agnostic counterfactual explanations with adversarial random forests
Munich Center for Machine Learning (MCML)（慕尼黑机器学习中心）；LMU Munich（慕尼黑大学）；Leibniz Institute for Prevention Research & Epidemiology – BIPS（莱布尼茨预防研究与流行病学研究所）；University of Bremen（不来梅大学）；University of Tübingen（蒂宾根大学）；University of Copenhagen（哥本哈根大学）
East China University of Science and Technology（华东理工大学）；Shenzhen University（深圳大学）；University of Nottingham（诺丁汉大学）
Label ranking aims to learn a mapping from instances to rankings over a finite number of predefined labels. Random forest is a powerful and one of the most successful general-purpose machine learning algorithms of modern times. In this paper, we present a powerful random forest label ranking method which uses random decision trees to retrieve nearest neighbors. We have developed a novel two-step rank aggregation strategy to effectively aggregate neighboring rankings discovered by the random forest into a final predicted ranking. Compared with existing methods, the new random forest method has …
Sorbonne Université（索邦大学）；CNRS（法国国家科学研究中心）；Ecole Polytechnique（巴黎综合理工学院）；University College London（伦敦大学学院）
Given an ensemble of randomized regression trees, it is possible to restructure them as a collection of multilayered neural networks with particular connection weights. Following this principle, we reformulate the random forest method of Breiman (2001) into a neural network setting, and in turn propose two new hybrid procedures that we call neural random forests. Both predictors exploit prior knowledge of regression trees for their architecture, have less parameters to tune than standard networks, and less restrictions on the geometry of the decision boundaries than trees. Consistency results …
Improving the precision of heart diseases detection has been investigated by many researchers in the literature. Such improvement induced by the overwhelming health care expenditures and erroneous diagnosis. As a result, various methodologies have been proposed to analyze the disease factors aiming to decrease the physicians practice variation and reduce medical costs and errors. In this paper, our main motivation is to develop an effective intelligent medical decision support system based on data mining techniques. In this context, five data mining classifying algorithms, with large datasets,…
Random forests are a scheme proposed by Leo Breiman in the 2000's for building a predictor ensemble with a set of decision trees that grow in randomly selected subspaces of data. Despite growing interest and practical use, there has been little exploration of the statistical properties of random forests, and little is known about the mathematical forces driving the algorithm. In this paper, we offer an in-depth analysis of a random forests model suggested by Breiman in \cite{Bre04}, which is very close to the original algorithm. We show in particular that the procedure is consistent and adapts…
Energy Systems Institute SB RAS（俄罗斯科学院西伯利亚分院能源系统研究所）；Irkutsk State University（伊尔库茨克国立大学）；Queens University Belfast（贝尔法斯特女王大学）
Concept drift has potential in smart grid analysis because the socio-economic behaviour of consumers is not governed by the laws of physics. Likewise there are also applications in wind power forecasting. In this paper we present decision tree ensemble classification method based on the Random Forest algorithm for concept drift. The weighted majority voting ensemble aggregation rule is employed based on the ideas of Accuracy Weighted Ensemble (AWE) method. Base learner weight in our case is computed for each sample evaluation using base learners accuracy and intrinsic proximity measure of Rand…
Random forests are ensemble learning methods introduced by Breiman (2001) that operate by averaging several decision trees built on a randomly selected subspace of the data set. Despite their widespread use in practice, the respective roles of the different mechanisms at work in Breiman's forests are not yet fully understood, neither is the tuning of the corresponding parameters. In this paper, we study the influence of two parameters , namely the subsampling rate and the tree depth, on Breiman's forests performance. More precisely, we show that fully developed sub-sampled forests and pruned (…
We propose a non-parametric regression methodology, Random Forests on Distance Matrices (RFDM), for detecting genetic variants associated to quantitative phenotypes representing the human brain's structure or function, and obtained using neuroimaging techniques. RFDM, which is an extension of decision forests, requires a distance matrix as response that encodes all pair-wise phenotypic distances in the random sample. We discuss ways to learn such distances directly from the data using manifold learning techniques, and how to define such distances when the phenotypes are non-vectorial objects s…
We introduce a random forest approach to enable spreads' prediction in the primary catastrophe bond market. We investigate whether all information provided to investors in the offering circular prior to a new issuance is equally important in predicting its spread. The whole population of non-life catastrophe bonds issued from December 2009 to May 2018 is used. The random forest shows an impressive predictive power on unseen primary catastrophe bond data explaining 93% of the total variability. For comparison, linear regression, our benchmark model, has inferior predictive performance explainin…
Random forests are a learning algorithm proposed by Breiman [Mach. Learn. 45 (2001) 5--32] that combines several randomized decision trees and aggregates their predictions by averaging. Despite its wide usage and outstanding practical performance, little is known about the mathematical properties of the procedure. This disparity between theory and practice originates in the difficulty to simultaneously analyze both the randomization process and the highly data-dependent tree structure. In the present paper, we take a step forward in forest exploration by proving a consistency result for Breima…
The random forest algorithm, proposed by L. Breiman in 2001, has been extremely successful as a general-purpose classification and regression method. The approach, which combines several randomized decision trees and aggregates their predictions by averaging, has shown excellent performance in settings where the number of variables is much larger than the number of observations. Moreover, it is versatile enough to be applied to large-scale problems, is easily adapted to various ad-hoc learning tasks, and returns measures of variable importance. The present article reviews the most recent theor…
