Protecting against multi-step attacks of uncertain duration and timing forces defenders into an indefinite, always ongoing, resource-intensive response. To effectively allocate resources, a defender must be able to analyze multi-step attacks under assumption of constantly allocating resources against an uncertain stream of potentially undetected attacks. To achieve this goal, we present a novel methodology that applies a game-theoretic approach to the attack, attacker, and defender data derived from MITRE's ATT&CK Framework. Time to complete attack steps is drawn from a probability distribution determined by attacker and defender strategies and capabilities. This constraints attack success parameters and enables comparing different defender resource allocation strategies. By approximating attacker-defender games as Markov processes, we represent the attacker-defender interaction, estimate the attack success parameters, determine the effects of attacker and defender strategies, and maximize opportunities for defender strategy improvements against an uncertain stream of attacks. This novel representation and analysis of multi-step attacks enables defender policy optimization and resource allocation, which we illustrate using the data from MITRE's APT3 ATT&CK Evaluations.
Cyberattacks use adversarial techniques to bypass system defenses, persist, and eventually breach systems. The MITRE ATT\&CK framework catalogs a set of adversarial techniques and maps between adversaries and their used techniques and tactics. Understanding how adversaries deploy techniques in conjunction is pivotal for learning adversary behavior, hunting potential threats, and formulating a proactive defense. The goal of this research is to aid cybersecurity practitioners and researchers in choosing detection and mitigation strategies through co-occurrence analysis of adversarial techniques …
Decoys Cannot Go Everywhere: Mapping the Deception Surface in MITRE ATT&CK
Faculty of Electrical Engineering, Czech Technical University in Prague（布拉格捷克理工大学电气工程学院）；School of Engineering, Universidad Nacional de Cuyo（门多萨国立大学工程学院）；Cyber Threat Intelligence Lab, Delft University of Technology（代尔夫特理工大学网络威胁情报实验室）
In this paper, we enhance the machine-readable representation of the ATT&CK Groups knowledge base provided by MITRE in STIX 2.1 format to make available and queryable additional types of contextual information. Such information includes the motivations of activity groups, the countries they have originated from, and the sectors and countries they have targeted. We demonstrate how to utilize the enhanced model to construct intelligible queries to filter activity groups of interest and retrieve relevant tactical intelligence.
Threats targeting cyberspace are becoming more prominent and intelligent day by day. This inherently leads to a dire demand for continuous security validation and testing. Using this paper, we aim to provide a holistic and precise security analysis rating framework for organizations that increases the overall coherency of the outcomes of such testing. This scorecard is based on the security assessment performed following the globally accessible knowledge base of adversary tactics and techniques called the MITRE ATTACK matrix. The scorecard for an evaluation is generated by ingesting the securi…
Due to the ever-increasing threat of cyber-attacks to critical cyber infrastructure, organizations are focusing on building their cybersecurity knowledge base. A salient list of cybersecurity knowledge is the Common Vulnerabilities and Exposures (CVE) list, which details vulnerabilities found in a wide range of software and hardware. However, these vulnerabilities often do not have a mitigation strategy to prevent an attacker from exploiting them. A well-known cybersecurity risk management framework, MITRE ATT&CK, offers mitigation techniques for many malicious tactics. Despite the tremendous …
This article discusses how the gap between early 5G network threat assessments and an adversarial Tactics, Techniques, Procedures (TTPs) knowledge base for future use in the MITRE ATT&CK threat modelling framework can be bridged. We identify knowledge gaps in the existing framework for key 5G technology enablers such as SDN, NFV, and 5G specific signalling protocols of the core network. We adopt a pre-emptive approach to identifying adversarial techniques which can be used to launch attacks on the 5G core network (5GCN) and map these to its components. Using relevant 5G threat assessments alon…
How hard can it be? Quantifying MITRE attack campaigns with attack trees and cATM logic
University of Twente（特温特大学）；Radboud Universiteit（拉德堡德大学）；Vrije Universiteit（阿姆斯特丹自由大学）；University of Trento（特伦托大学）；Technical University of Dennmark（丹麦技术大学）
Engineering more secure software has become a critical challenge in the cyber world. It is very important to develop methodologies, techniques, and tools for developing secure software. To develop secure software, software developers need to think like an attacker through mining software repositories. These aim to analyze and understand the data repositories related to software development. The main goal is to use these software repositories to support the decision-making process of software development. There are different vulnerability databases like Common Weakness Enumeration (CWE), Common…
Carnegie Mellon University（卡内基梅隆大学）；University of North Carolina Charlotte（北卡罗来纳大学夏洛特分校）
The MITRE ATT&CK Framework provides a rich and actionable repository of adversarial tactics, techniques, and procedures (TTP). However, this information would be highly useful for attack diagnosis (i.e., forensics) and mitigation (i.e., intrusion response) if we can reliably construct technique associations that will enable predicting unobserved attack techniques based on observed ones. In this paper, we present our statistical machine learning analysis on APT and Software attack data reported by MITRE ATT&CK to infer the technique clustering that represents the significant correlation that ca…
Attackers utilize a plethora of adversarial techniques in cyberattacks to compromise the confidentiality, integrity, and availability of the target organizations and systems. Information security standards such as NIST, ISO/IEC specify hundreds of security controls that organizations can enforce to protect and defend the information systems from adversarial techniques. However, implementing all the available controls at the same time can be infeasible and security controls need to be investigated in terms of their mitigation ability over adversarial techniques used in cyberattacks as well. The…
Moving target defense has emerged as a critical paradigm of protecting a vulnerable system against persistent and stealthy attacks. To protect a system, a defender proactively changes the system configurations to limit the exposure of security vulnerabilities to potential attackers. In doing so, the defender creates asymmetric uncertainty and complexity for the attackers, making it much harder for them to compromise the system. In practice, the defender incurs a switching cost for each migration of the system configurations. The switching cost usually depends on both the current configuration …
Identifying the actual adversarial threat against a system vulnerability has been a long-standing challenge for cybersecurity research. To determine an optimal strategy for the defender, game-theoretic based decision models have been widely used to simulate the real-world attacker-defender scenarios while taking the defender's constraints into consideration. In this work, we focus on understanding human attacker behaviors in order to optimize the defender's strategy. To achieve this goal, we model attacker-defender engagements as Markov Games and search for their Bayesian Stackelberg Equilibri…
In the cybersecurity setting, defenders are often at the mercy of their detection technologies and subject to the information and experiences that individual analysts have. In order to give defenders an advantage, it is important to understand an attacker's motivation and their likely next best action. As a first step in modeling this behavior, we introduce a security game framework that simulates interplay between attackers and defenders in a noisy environment, focusing on the factors that drive decision making for attackers and defenders in the variants of the game with full knowledge and ob…
Windows OS is facing a huge rise in kernel attacks. An overview of popular techniques that result in loading kernel drivers will be presented. One of the key targets of modern threats is disabling and blinding Microsoft Defender, a default Windows AV. The analysis of recent driver-based attacks will be given, the challenge is to block them. The survey of user- and kernel-level attacks on Microsoft Defender will be given. One of the recently published attackers techniques abuses Mandatory Integrity Control (MIC) and Security Reference Monitor (SRM) by modifying Integrity Level and Debug Privile…
We provide a general methodology for analyzing defender-attacker based "games" in which we model such games as Markov models and introduce a capacity region to analyze how defensive and adversarial strategies impact security. Such a framework allows us to analyze under what kind of conditions we can prove statements (about an attack objective $k$) of the form "if the attacker has a time budget $T_{bud}$, then the probability that the attacker can reach an attack objective $\geq k$ is at most $poly(T_{bud})negl(k)$". We are interested in such rigorous cryptographic security guarantees (that des…
Context-Aware Web Attack Detection in Open-Source SIEM Systems via MITRE ATT&CK-Enriched Behavioral Profiling
Higher Institute for Applied Sciences and Technology（应用科学与技术高级学院）；Syrian Private University（叙利亚私立大学）；Arab International University（阿拉伯国际大学）；Latakia University（拉塔基亚大学）
University of Michigan（密歇根大学）；Army Research Lab（陆军研究实验室）
Cyber-security is an important societal concern. Cyber-attacks have increased in numbers as well as in the extent of damage caused in every attack. Large organizations operate a Cyber Security Operation Center (CSOC), which form the first line of cyber-defense. The inspection of cyber-alerts is a critical part of CSOC operations. A recent work, in collaboration with Army Research Lab, USA proposed a reinforcement learning (RL) based approach to prevent the cyber-alert queue length from growing large and overwhelming the defender. Given the potential deployment of this approach to CSOCs run by …
Advanced persistent threats (APTs) are stealthy attacks which make use of social engineering and deception to give adversaries insider access to networked systems. Against APTs, active defense technologies aim to create and exploit information asymmetry for defenders. In this paper, we study a scenario in which a powerful defender uses honeynets for active defense in order to observe an attacker who has penetrated the network. Rather than immediately eject the attacker, the defender may elect to gather information. We introduce an undiscounted, infinite-horizon Markov decision process on a con…
This study investigates general model-based incident handler's asymptotic behaviors in time against cyber attacks to control systems. The attacker's and the defender's dynamic decision making is modeled as an equilibrium of a dynamic signaling game. It is shown that the defender's belief on existence of an attacker converges over time for any attacker's strategy provided that the stochastic dynamics of the control system is known to the defender. This fact implies that the rational behavior of the attacker converges to a harmless action as long as the defender possesses an effective counteract…
In our time cybersecurity has grown to be a topic of massive proportion at the national and enterprise levels. Our thesis is that the economic perspective and investment decision-making are vital factors in determining the outcome of the struggle. To build our economic framework, we borrow from the pioneering work of Gordon and Loeb in which the Defender optimally trades-off investments for lower likelihood of its system breach. Our two-sided model additionally has an Attacker, assumed to be rational and also guided by economic considerations in its decision-making, to which the Defender respo…
In cybersecurity, attackers range from brash, unsophisticated script kiddies and cybercriminals to stealthy, patient advanced persistent threats. When modeling these attackers, we can observe that they demonstrate different risk-seeking and risk-averse behaviors. This work explores how an attacker's risk seeking or risk averse behavior affects their operations against detection-optimizing defenders in an Internet of Things ecosystem. Using an evaluation framework which uses real, parametrizable malware, we develop a game that is played by a defender against attackers with a suite of malware th…
Washington University（华盛顿大学）；Army Research Laboratory（陆军研究实验室）；University of Texas, Dallas（德克萨斯大学达拉斯分校）
Deception is a crucial tool in the cyberdefence repertoire, enabling defenders to leverage their informational advantage to reduce the likelihood of successful attacks. One way deception can be employed is through obscuring, or masking, some of the information about how systems are configured, increasing attacker's uncertainty about their targets. We present a novel game-theoretic model of the resulting defender-attacker interaction, where the defender chooses a subset of attributes to mask, while the attacker responds by choosing an exploit to execute. The strategies of both players have comb…
SynthCTI: LLM-Driven Synthetic CTI Generation to enhance MITRE Technique Mapping
Department of Information and Communication Engineering, Universidad de Murcia（信息与通信工程系，穆尔西亚大学）；Department of Computer Systems, Universidad Politécnica de Madrid（计算机系统系，马德里理工大学）
AnnoCTR: A Dataset for Detecting and Linking Entities, Tactics, and Techniques in Cyber Threat Reports
Bosch Center for Artificial Intelligence（博世人工智能中心）；Max Planck Institute for Informatics（马克斯·普朗克信息学研究所）；Hochschule der Medien（斯图加特传媒大学）；Robert Bosch GmbH（罗伯特·博世有限公司）；Universität Augsburg（奥格斯堡大学）
