We introduce and study knowledge drift (KD), a complex form of drift that occurs in hierarchical classification. Under KD the vocabulary of concepts, their individual distributions, and the is-a relations between them can all change over time. The main challenge is that, since the ground-truth concept hierarchy is unobserved, it is hard to tell apart different forms of KD. For instance, introducing a new is-a relation between two concepts might be confused with individual changes to those concepts, but it is far from equivalent. Failure to identify the right kind of KD compromises the concept hierarchy used by the classifier, leading to systematic prediction errors. Our key observation is that in many human-in-the-loop applications (like smart personal assistants) the user knows whether and what kind of drift occurred recently. Motivated by this, we introduce TRCKD, a novel approach that combines automated drift detection and adaptation with an interactive stage in which the user is asked to disambiguate between different kinds of KD. In addition, TRCKD implements a simple but effective knowledge-aware adaptation strategy. Our simulations show that often a handful of queries to the user are enough to substantially improve prediction performance on both synthetic and realistic data.
In many real-world applications, data are often collected in the form of stream, and thus the distribution usually changes in nature, which is referred as concept drift in literature. We propose a novel and effective approach to handle concept drift via model reuse, leveraging previous knowledge by reusing models. Each model is associated with a weight representing its reusability towards current data, and the weight is adaptively adjusted according to the model performance. We provide generalization and regret analysis. Experimental results also validate the superiority of our approach on bot…
Flight delays impose challenges that impact any flight transportation system. Predicting when they are going to occur is an important way to mitigate this issue. However, the behavior of the flight delay system varies through time. This phenomenon is known in predictive analytics as concept drift. This paper investigates the prediction performance of different drift handling strategies in aviation under different scales (models trained from flights related to a single airport or the entire flight system). Specifically, two research questions were proposed and answered: (i) How do drift handlin…
In big data era, the data continuously generated and its distribution may keep changes overtime. These challenges in online stream of data are known as concept drift. In this paper, we proposed the Adaptive Convolutional ELM method (ACNNELM) as enhancement of Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) with a hybrid Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) model plus adaptive capability. This method is aimed for concept drift handling. We enhanced the CNN as convolutional hiererchical features representation learner combined with Elastic ELM (E$^2$LM) as a parallel supervised classifier. We propose an Adaptive O…
Machine learning models nowadays play a crucial role for many applications in business and industry. However, models only start adding value as soon as they are deployed into production. One challenge of deployed models is the effect of changing data over time, which is often described with the term concept drift. Due to their nature, concept drifts can severely affect the prediction performance of a machine learning system. In this work, we analyze the effects of concept drift in the context of a real-world data set. For efficient concept drift handling, we introduce the switching scheme whic…
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT)（卡尔斯鲁厄理工学院）
Predictive services nowadays play an important role across all business sectors. However, deployed machine learning models are challenged by changing data streams over time which is described as concept drift. Prediction quality of models can be largely influenced by this phenomenon. Therefore, concept drift is usually handled by retraining of the model. However, current research lacks a recommendation which data should be selected for the retraining of the machine learning model. Therefore, we systematically analyze different data selection strategies in this work. Subsequently, we instantiat…
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology（卡尔斯鲁厄理工学院）；inovex GmbH（inovex有限公司）；University of Lübeck（吕贝克大学）
Machine learning models are omnipresent for predictions on big data. One challenge of deployed models is the change of the data over time, a phenomenon called concept drift. If not handled correctly, a concept drift can lead to significant mispredictions. We explore a novel approach for concept drift handling, which depicts a strategy to switch between the application of simple and complex machine learning models for regression tasks. We assume that the approach plays out the individual strengths of each model, switching to the simpler model if a drift occurs and switching back to the complex …
Energy Systems Institute SB RAS（俄罗斯科学院西伯利亚分院能源系统研究所）；Irkutsk State University（伊尔库茨克国立大学）；Queens University Belfast（贝尔法斯特女王大学）
Concept drift has potential in smart grid analysis because the socio-economic behaviour of consumers is not governed by the laws of physics. Likewise there are also applications in wind power forecasting. In this paper we present decision tree ensemble classification method based on the Random Forest algorithm for concept drift. The weighted majority voting ensemble aggregation rule is employed based on the ideas of Accuracy Weighted Ensemble (AWE) method. Base learner weight in our case is computed for each sample evaluation using base learners accuracy and intrinsic proximity measure of Rand…
Classifiers operating in a dynamic, real world environment, are vulnerable to adversarial activity, which causes the data distribution to change over time. These changes are traditionally referred to as concept drift, and several approaches have been developed in literature to deal with the problem of drift handling and detection. However, most concept drift handling techniques, approach it as a domain independent task, to make them applicable to a wide gamut of reactive systems. These techniques were developed from an adversarial agnostic perspective, where they are naive and assume that drif…
Centro de Informática, Universidade Federal de Pernambuco（伯南布哥联邦大学信息中心）；School of Computer Science, University of Birmingham（伯明翰大学计算机学院）
Real-world applications have been dealing with large amounts of data that arrive over time and generally present changes in their underlying joint probability distribution, i.e., concept drift. Concept drift can be subdivided into two types: virtual drift, which affects the unconditional probability distribution p(x), and real drift, which affects the conditional probability distribution p(y|x). Existing works focuses on real drift. However, strategies to cope with real drift may not be the best suited for dealing with virtual drift, since the real class boundaries remain unchanged. We provide…
Machine learning (ML) is expected to play a major role in 5G edge computing. Various studies have demonstrated that ML is highly suitable for optimizing edge computing systems as rapid mobility and application-induced changes occur at the edge. For ML to provide the best solutions, it is important to continually train the ML models to include the changing scenarios. The sudden changes in data distributions caused by changing scenarios (e.g., 5G base station failures) is referred to as concept drift and is a major challenge to continual learning. The ML models can present high error rates while…
The University of Birmingham（伯明翰大学）；University of Leicester（莱斯特大学）
As an emerging research topic, online class imbalance learning often combines the challenges of both class imbalance and concept drift. It deals with data streams having very skewed class distributions, where concept drift may occur. It has recently received increased research attention; however, very little work addresses the combined problem where both class imbalance and concept drift coexist. As the first systematic study of handling concept drift in class-imbalanced data streams, this paper first provides a comprehensive review of current research progress in this field, including current…
Concept drift refers to changes in the distribution of underlying data and is an inherent property of evolving data streams. Ensemble learning, with dynamic classifiers, has proved to be an efficient method of handling concept drift. However, the best way to create and maintain ensemble diversity with evolving streams is still a challenging problem. In contrast to estimating diversity via inputs, outputs, or classifier parameters, we propose a diversity measurement based on whether the ensemble members agree on the probability of a regional distribution change. In our method, estimations over …
National University of Singapore（新加坡国立大学）；IIT Bombay（印度理工学院孟买分校）；Harvard University（哈佛大学）
Given a stream of entries over time in a multi-dimensional data setting where concept drift is present, how can we detect anomalous activities? Most of the existing unsupervised anomaly detection approaches seek to detect anomalous events in an offline fashion and require a large amount of data for training. This is not practical in real-life scenarios where we receive the data in a streaming manner and do not know the size of the stream beforehand. Thus, we need a data-efficient method that can detect and adapt to changing data trends, or concept drift, in an online manner. In this work, we p…
Concept drift describes unforeseeable changes in the underlying distribution of streaming data over time. Concept drift research involves the development of methodologies and techniques for drift detection, understanding and adaptation. Data analysis has revealed that machine learning in a concept drift environment will result in poor learning results if the drift is not addressed. To help researchers identify which research topics are significant and how to apply related techniques in data analysis tasks, it is necessary that a high quality, instructive review of current research developments…
A Neighbor-Searching Discrepancy-based Drift Detection Scheme for Learning Evolving Data
Australia Artificial Intelligence Institute (AAII)（澳大利亚人工智能研究所（AAII））；Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology, University of Technology Sydney（悉尼科技大学工程与信息技术学院）
Screening feature selection methods are often used as a preprocessing step for reducing the number of variables before training step. Traditional screening methods only focus on dealing with complete high dimensional datasets. Modern datasets not only have higher dimension and larger sample size, but also have properties such as streaming input, sparsity and concept drift. Therefore a considerable number of online feature selection methods were introduced to handle these kind of problems in recent years. Online screening methods are one of the categories of online feature selection methods. Th…
Federated learning (FL) involves multiple distributed devices jointly training a shared model without any of the participants having to reveal their local data to a centralized server. Most of previous FL approaches assume that data on devices are fixed and stationary during the training process. However, this assumption is unrealistic because these devices usually have varying sampling rates and different system configurations. In addition, the underlying distribution of the device data can change dynamically over time, which is known as concept drift. Concept drift makes the learning process…
Nowadays with a growing number of online controlling systems in the organization and also a high demand of monitoring and stats facilities that uses data streams to log and control their subsystems, data stream mining becomes more and more vital. Hoeffding Trees (also called Very Fast Decision Trees a.k.a. VFDT) as a Big Data approach in dealing with the data stream for classification and regression problems showed good performance in handling facing challenges and making the possibility of any-time prediction. Although these methods outperform other methods e.g. Artificial Neural Networks (AN…
University of Quebec at Montreal（蒙特利尔魁北克大学）；University of Windsor（温莎大学）
Clustering using deep autoencoders has been thoroughly investigated in recent years. Current approaches rely on simultaneously learning embedded features and clustering the data points in the latent space. Although numerous deep clustering approaches outperform the shallow models in achieving favorable results on several high-semantic datasets, a critical weakness of such models has been overlooked. In the absence of concrete supervisory signals, the embedded clustering objective function may distort the latent space by learning from unreliable pseudo-labels. Thus, the network can learn non-re…
Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology（莫斯科物理技术学院）
In this concept paper, we discuss intricacies of specifying and verifying the quality of continuous and lifelong learning artificial intelligence systems as they interact with and influence their environment causing a so-called concept drift. We signify a problem of implicit feedback loops, demonstrate how they intervene with user behavior on an exemplary housing prices prediction system. Based on a preliminary model, we highlight conditions when such feedback loops arise and discuss possible solution approaches.
When a neural surrogate cannot accelerate a solver: runtime share, closed-loop drift, and the economics of uncertainty gating in a stiff coupled simulation
ETH Zürich（苏黎世联邦理工学院）；Max Planck Institute for Gravitational Physics (Albert Einstein Institute)（马克斯·普朗克引力物理研究所（阿尔伯特·爱因斯坦研究所））
