Flight delays impose challenges that impact any flight transportation system. Predicting when they are going to occur is an important way to mitigate this issue. However, the behavior of the flight delay system varies through time. This phenomenon is known in predictive analytics as concept drift. This paper investigates the prediction performance of different drift handling strategies in aviation under different scales (models trained from flights related to a single airport or the entire flight system). Specifically, two research questions were proposed and answered: (i) How do drift handling strategies influence the prediction performance of delays? (ii) Do different scales change the results of drift handling strategies? In our analysis, drift handling strategies are relevant, and their impacts vary according to scale and machine learning models used.
The Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers（电气和电子工程师协会）
Airlines are critical today for carrying people and commodities on time. Any delay in the schedule of these planes can potentially disrupt the business and trade of thousands of employees at any given time. Therefore, precise flight delay prediction is beneficial for the aviation industry and passenger travel. Recent research has focused on using artificial intelligence algorithms to predict the possibility of flight delays. Earlier prediction algorithms were designed for a specific air route or airfield. Many present flight delay prediction algorithms rely on tiny samples and are challenging …
Jalpaiguri Government Engineering College（贾尔派古里政府工程学院）
In the present scenario of domestic flights in USA, there have been numerous instances of flight delays and cancellations. In the United States, the American Airlines, Inc. have been one of the most entrusted and the world's largest airline in terms of number of destinations served. But when it comes to domestic flights, AA has not lived up to the expectations in terms of punctuality or on-time performance. Flight Delays also result in airline companies operating commercial flights to incur huge losses. So, they are trying their best to prevent or avoid Flight Delays and Cancellations by takin…
Deep Reinforcement Learning for Real-Time Ground Delay Program Revision and Corresponding Flight Delay Assignments
University of California at Berkeley（加州大学伯克利分校）；Northwestern University（西北大学）；University of Illinois at Chicago（伊利诺伊大学芝加哥分校）；University of British Columbia（不列颠哥伦比亚大学）；University of Toronto（多伦多大学）；Hong Kong University of Science and Technology（香港科技大学）；Tsinghua University（清华大学）
Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology（皇家墨尔本理工大学）；DATA61 / CSIRO（澳大利亚联邦科学与工业研究组织数据61研究所）；Australian National University（澳大利亚国立大学）
To model and forecast flight delays accurately, it is crucial to harness various vehicle trajectory and contextual sensor data on airport tarmac areas. These heterogeneous sensor data, if modelled correctly, can be used to generate a situational awareness map. Existing techniques apply traditional supervised learning methods onto historical data, contextual features and route information among different airports to predict flight delay are inaccurate and only predict arrival delay but not departure delay, which is essential to airlines. In this paper, we propose a vision-based solution to achi…
Demystifying the delay propagation mechanisms among multiple airports is fundamental to precise and interpretable delay prediction, which is crucial during decision-making for all aviation industry stakeholders. The principal challenge lies in effectively leveraging the spatiotemporal dependencies and exogenous factors related to the delay propagation. However, previous works only consider limited spatiotemporal patterns with few factors. To promote more comprehensive propagation modeling for delay prediction, we propose SpatioTemporal Propagation Network (STPN), a space-time separable graph c…
National Institute of Technology Silchar（锡尔查国家理工学院）
The Big Data analytics are a logical analysis of very large scale datasets. The data analysis enhances an organization and improve the decision making process. In this article, we present Airline Delay Analysis and Prediction to analyze airline datasets with the combination of weather dataset. In this research work, we consider various attributes to analyze flight delay, for example, day-wise, airline-wise, cloud cover, temperature, etc. Moreover, we present rigorous experiments on various machine learning model to predict correctly the delay of a flight, namely, logistic regression with L2 re…
Under increasing economic and environmental pressure, airlines are constantly seeking new technologies and optimizing flight operations to reduce fuel consumption. However, the current practice on fuel loading, which has a significant impact on aircraft weight and fuel consumption, has yet to be thoroughly addressed by existing studies. Excess fuel is loaded by dispatchers and (or) pilots to handle fuel consumption uncertainties, primarily caused by flight time uncertainties, which cannot be predicted by current Flight Planning Systems. In this paper, we develop a novel spatial weighted recurr…
Civil Aviation University of China（中国民航大学）；The Second Research Institute of Civil Aviation Administration of China（中国民航局第二研究所）
The development of the civil aviation industry has continuously increased the requirements for the efficiency of airport ground support services. In the existing ground support research, there has not yet been a process model that directly obtains support from the ground support log to study the causal relationship between service nodes and flight delays. Most ground support studies mainly use machine learning methods to predict flight delays, and the flight support model they are based on is an ideal model. The study did not conduct an in-depth study of the causal mechanism behind the ground …
To accommodate the unprecedented increase of commercial airlines over the next ten years, the Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen) has been implemented in the USA that records large-scale Air Traffic Management (ATM) data to make air travel safer, more efficient, and more economical. A key role of collaborative decision making for air traffic scheduling and airspace resource management is the accurate prediction of flight delay. There has been a lot of attempts to apply data-driven methods such as machine learning to forecast flight delay situation using air traffic data of depa…
Beihang University（北京航空航天大学）；University of Southampton（南安普顿大学）；Bournemouth University（伯恩茅斯大学）
Data packet routing in aeronautical ad-hoc networks (AANETs) is challenging due to their high-dynamic topology. In this paper, we invoke deep learning (DL) to assist routing in AANETs. We set out from the single objective of minimizing the end-to-end (E2E) delay. Specifically, a deep neural network (DNN) is conceived for mapping the local geographic information observed by the forwarding node into the information required for determining the optimal next hop. The DNN is trained by exploiting the regular mobility pattern of commercial passenger airplanes from historical flight data. After train…
