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arXiv 2009.07599econ.GNq-fin.EC
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经济复杂度与增长:增值出口能否更好地解释这种联系?

Economic Complexity and Growth: Can value-added exports better explain the link?

Philipp Koch

摘要:

在经济学文献中,经济复杂度通常以一个经济体的出口结构总量为基础来近似计算。然而,在全球价值链日益一体化的时代,出口总额可能传达一个国家经济业绩的不准确形象,因为它们还包括外国增值和重复计算的出口。因此,我介绍了一个新的经验方法近似经济复杂度的基础上,一个国家的出口结构的附加值。这种方法导致了与已建立的度量标准相比大不相同的复杂性排名。此外,即使控制了典型的增长回归协变量,40个中低收入至高收入国家的样本的人均人均国内生产总值增长率的解释力也要高得多。

英文摘要:

In economic literature, economic complexity is typically approximated on the basis of an economy's gross export structure. However, in times of ever increasingly integrated global value chains, gross exports may convey an inaccurate image of a country's economic performance since they also incorporate foreign value-added and double-counted exports. Thus, I introduce a new empirical approach approximating economic complexity based on a country's value-added export structure. This approach leads to substantially different complexity rankings compared to established metrics. Moreover, the explanatory power of GDP per capita growth rates for a sample of 40 lower-middle- to high-income countries is considerably higher, even if controlling for typical growth regression covariates.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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