Social interaction is an important topic in human trajectory prediction to generate plausible paths. In this paper, we present a novel insight of group-based social interaction model to explore relationships among pedestrians. We recursively extract social representations supervised by group-based annotations and formulate them into a social behavior graph, called Recursive Social Behavior Graph. Our recursive mechanism explores the representation power largely. Graph Convolutional Neural Network then is used to propagate social interaction information in such a graph. With the guidance of Recursive Social Behavior Graph, we surpass state-of-the-art method on ETH and UCY dataset for 11.1% in ADE and 10.8% in FDE in average, and successfully predict complex social behaviors.
MGTraj: Multi-Granularity Goal-Guided Human Trajectory Prediction with Recursive Refinement Network
Division of Emerging Interdisciplinary Areas, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology（新兴交叉领域分校，香港科学与技术大学）；Robotics and Autonomous Systems Thrust, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Guangzhou)（机器人与自主系统方向，香港科学与技术大学（广州））
Pedestrian trajectory prediction is valuable for understanding human motion behaviors and it is challenging because of the social influence from other pedestrians, the scene constraints and the multimodal possibilities of predicted trajectories. Most existing methods only focus on two of the above three key elements. In order to jointly consider all these elements, we propose a novel trajectory prediction method named Scene Gated Social Graph (SGSG). In the proposed SGSG, dynamic graphs are used to describe the social relationship among pedestrians. The social and scene influences are taken in…
EPFL（洛桑联邦理工学院）；Sharif university of technology（谢里夫理工大学）；ETH Zurich（苏黎世联邦理工学院）
Our field has recently witnessed an arms race of neural network-based trajectory predictors. While these predictors are at the core of many applications such as autonomous navigation or pedestrian flow simulations, their adversarial robustness has not been carefully studied. In this paper, we introduce a socially-attended attack to assess the social understanding of prediction models in terms of collision avoidance. An attack is a small yet carefully-crafted perturbations to fail predictors. Technically, we define collision as a failure mode of the output, and propose hard- and soft-attention …
Pedestrian trajectory prediction is a challenging task because of the complexity of real-world human social behaviors and uncertainty of the future motion. For the first issue, existing methods adopt fully connected topology for modeling the social behaviors, while ignoring non-symmetric pairwise relationships. To effectively capture social behaviors of relevant pedestrians, we utilize a directed social graph which is dynamically constructed on timely location and speed direction. Based on the social graph, we further propose a network to collect social effects and accumulate with individual r…
Human trajectory forecasting in crowds, at its core, is a sequence prediction problem with specific challenges of capturing inter-sequence dependencies (social interactions) and consequently predicting socially-compliant multimodal distributions. In recent years, neural network-based methods have been shown to outperform hand-crafted methods on distance-based metrics. However, these data-driven methods still suffer from one crucial limitation: lack of interpretability. To overcome this limitation, we leverage the power of discrete choice models to learn interpretable rule-based intents, and su…
SocialCircle: Learning the Angle-based Social Interaction Representation for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction
Huazhong University of Science and Technology（华中科技大学）；Huazhong Agricultural University（华中农业大学）；Research Institute of Huazhong University of Science and Technology in Shenzhen（华中科技大学深圳研究院）
School of Computer and Artificial Intelligence, Zhengzhou University（郑州大学计算机与人工智能学院）；Henan Institute of Advanced Technology, Zhengzhou University（郑州大学河南先进技术研究院）；NLPR, Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences（中国科学院自动化研究所模式识别国家重点实验室）；University of Chinese Academy of Sciences（中国科学院大学）
Pedestrian trajectory prediction is an important technique of autonomous driving, which has become a research hot-spot in recent years. Previous methods mainly rely on the position relationship of pedestrians to model social interaction, which is obviously not enough to represent the complex cases in real situations. In addition, most of existing work usually introduce the scene interaction module as an independent branch and embed the social interaction features in the process of trajectory generation, rather than simultaneously carrying out the social interaction and scene interaction, which…
Trajectory forecasting plays a pivotal role in the field of intelligent vehicles or social robots. Recent works focus on modeling spatial social impacts or temporal motion attentions, but neglect inherent properties of motions, i.e. moving trends and driving intentions. This paper proposes a context-free Hierarchical Motion Encoder-Decoder Network (HMNet) for vehicle trajectory prediction. HMNet first infers the hierarchical difference on motions to encode physically compliant patterns with high expressivity of moving trends and driving intentions. Then, a goal (endpoint)-embedded decoder hier…
Southern University of Science and Technology（南方科技大学）；University of Birmingham（伯明翰大学）
Pedestrian trajectory forecasting is a fundamental task in multiple utility areas, such as self-driving, autonomous robots, and surveillance systems. The future trajectory forecasting is multi-modal, influenced by physical interaction with scene contexts and intricate social interactions among pedestrians. The mainly existing literature learns representations of social interactions by deep learning networks, while the explicit interaction patterns are not utilized. Different interaction patterns, such as following or collision avoiding, will generate different trends of next movement, thus, th…
The University of Texas at Austin（德克萨斯大学奥斯汀分校）；KAUST（阿卜杜拉国王科技大学）；Stanford University（斯坦福大学）
Better machine understanding of pedestrian behaviors enables faster progress in modeling interactions between agents such as autonomous vehicles and humans. Pedestrian trajectories are not only influenced by the pedestrian itself but also by interaction with surrounding objects. Previous methods modeled these interactions by using a variety of aggregation methods that integrate different learned pedestrians states. We propose the Social Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Neural Network (Social-STGCNN), which substitutes the need of aggregation methods by modeling the interactions as a graph. …
Human trajectory forecasting in crowds presents the challenges of modelling social interactions and outputting collision-free multimodal distribution. Following the success of Social Generative Adversarial Networks (SGAN), recent works propose various GAN-based designs to better model human motion in crowds. Despite superior performance in reducing distance-based metrics, current networks fail to output socially acceptable trajectories, as evidenced by high collisions in model predictions. To counter this, we introduce SGANv2: an improved safety-compliant SGAN architecture equipped with spatio…
Mimicking human ability to forecast future positions or interpret complex interactions in urban scenarios, such as streets, shopping malls or squares, is essential to develop socially compliant robots or self-driving cars. Autonomous systems may gain advantage on anticipating human motion to avoid collisions or to naturally behave alongside people. To foresee plausible trajectories, we construct an LSTM (long short-term memory)-based model considering three fundamental factors: people interactions, past observations in terms of previously crossed areas and semantics of surrounding space. Our m…
Xi’an Jiaotong University（西安交通大学）；JD Finance America Corporation（京东金融美国公司）；Wormpex AI Research（Wormpex人工智能研究院）
Understanding the multiple socially-acceptable future behaviors is an essential task for many vision applications. In this paper, we propose a tree-based method, termed as Social Interpretable Tree (SIT), to address this multi-modal prediction task, where a hand-crafted tree is built depending on the prior information of observed trajectory to model multiple future trajectories. Specifically, a path in the tree from the root to leaf represents an individual possible future trajectory. SIT employs a coarse-to-fine optimization strategy, in which the tree is first built by high-order velocity to…
Forecasting the motion of surrounding vehicles is a critical ability for an autonomous vehicle deployed in complex traffic. Motion of all vehicles in a scene is governed by the traffic context, i.e., the motion and relative spatial configuration of neighboring vehicles. In this paper we propose an LSTM encoder-decoder model that uses convolutional social pooling as an improvement to social pooling layers for robustly learning interdependencies in vehicle motion. Additionally, our model outputs a multi-modal predictive distribution over future trajectories based on maneuver classes. We evaluate…
Since the past few decades, human trajectory forecasting has been a field of active research owing to its numerous real-world applications: evacuation situation analysis, deployment of intelligent transport systems, traffic operations, to name a few. Early works handcrafted this representation based on domain knowledge. However, social interactions in crowded environments are not only diverse but often subtle. Recently, deep learning methods have outperformed their handcrafted counterparts, as they learned about human-human interactions in a more generic data-driven fashion. In this work, we p…
Predicting pedestrian movement is critical for human behavior analysis and also for safe and efficient human-agent interactions. However, despite significant advancements, it is still challenging for existing approaches to capture the uncertainty and multimodality of human navigation decision making. In this paper, we propose SocialVAE, a novel approach for human trajectory prediction. The core of SocialVAE is a timewise variational autoencoder architecture that exploits stochastic recurrent neural networks to perform prediction, combined with a social attention mechanism and a backward poster…
This paper considers the problem of multi-modal future trajectory forecast with ranking. Here, multi-modality and ranking refer to the multiple plausible path predictions and the confidence in those predictions, respectively. We propose Social-STAGE, Social interaction-aware Spatio-Temporal multi-Attention Graph convolution network with novel Evaluation for multi-modality. Our main contributions include analysis and formulation of multi-modality with ranking using interaction and multi-attention, and introduction of new metrics to evaluate the diversity and associated confidence of multi-modal…
Pedestrian trajectory prediction for surveillance video is one of the important research topics in the field of computer vision and a key technology of intelligent surveillance systems. Social relationship among pedestrians is a key factor influencing pedestrian walking patterns but was mostly ignored in the literature. Pedestrians with different social relationships play different roles in the motion decision of target pedestrian. Motivated by this idea, we propose a Social Relationship Attention LSTM (SRA-LSTM) model to predict future trajectories. We design a social relationship encoder to …
Stanford University（斯坦福大学）；Aibee Inc（Aibee公司）；University of Adelaide（阿德莱德大学）
Predicting the future trajectories of multiple interacting agents in a scene has become an increasingly important problem for many different applications ranging from control of autonomous vehicles and social robots to security and surveillance. This problem is compounded by the presence of social interactions between humans and their physical interactions with the scene. While the existing literature has explored some of these cues, they mainly ignored the multimodal nature of each human's future trajectory. In this paper, we present Social-BiGAT, a graph-based generative adversarial network …
A Multi-Stage Goal-Driven Network for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction
Minjiang University（闽江大学）；Fuzhou University（福州大学）；South China University of Technology（华南理工大学）；European University Cyprus（塞浦路斯欧洲大学）；SYSTEMA Research Center（SYSTEMA研究中心）
University of California, Berkeley（加利福尼亚大学伯克利分校）；Toyota Research Institute（丰田研究所）；Stanford University（斯坦福大学）
Human trajectory forecasting with multiple socially interacting agents is of critical importance for autonomous navigation in human environments, e.g., for self-driving cars and social robots. In this work, we present Predicted Endpoint Conditioned Network (PECNet) for flexible human trajectory prediction. PECNet infers distant trajectory endpoints to assist in long-range multi-modal trajectory prediction. A novel non-local social pooling layer enables PECNet to infer diverse yet socially compliant trajectories. Additionally, we present a simple "truncation-trick" for improving few-shot multi-…
Trajectory prediction is a critical technique in the navigation of robots and autonomous vehicles. However, the complex traffic and dynamic uncertainties yield challenges in the effectiveness and robustness in modeling. We purpose a data-driven approach socially aware Kalman neural networks (SAKNN) where the interaction layer and the Kalman layer are embedded in the architecture, resulting in a class of architectures with huge potential to directly learn from high variance sensor input and robustly generate low variance outcomes. The evaluation of our approach on NGSIM dataset demonstrates tha…
Trajectory prediction is a fundamental and challenging task for numerous applications, such as autonomous driving and intelligent robots. Currently, most of existing work treat the pedestrian trajectory as a series of fixed two-dimensional coordinates. However, in real scenarios, the trajectory often exhibits randomness, and has its own probability distribution. Inspired by this observed fact, also considering other movement characteristics of pedestrians, we propose one simple and intuitive movement description, probability trajectory, which maps the coordinate points of pedestrian trajectory…
The University of Sydney（悉尼大学）；SenseTime Computer Vision Research Group（商汤科技计算机视觉研究组）
In crowd scenarios, reliable trajectory prediction of pedestrians requires insightful understanding of their social behaviors. These behaviors have been well investigated by plenty of studies, while it is hard to be fully expressed by hand-craft rules. Recent studies based on LSTM networks have shown great ability to learn social behaviors. However, many of these methods rely on previous neighboring hidden states but ignore the important current intention of the neighbors. In order to address this issue, we propose a data-driven state refinement module for LSTM network (SR-LSTM), which activat…
Predicting motion of surrounding agents is critical to real-world applications of tactical path planning for autonomous driving. Due to the complex temporal dependencies and social interactions of agents, on-line trajectory prediction is a challenging task. With the development of attention mechanism in recent years, transformer model has been applied in natural language sequence processing first and then image processing. In this paper, we present a Spatial-Channel Transformer Network for trajectory prediction with attention functions. Instead of RNN models, we employ transformer model to cap…
Queensland University of Technology (QUT)（昆士兰科技大学）
This paper presents a novel deep learning framework for human trajectory prediction and detecting social group membership in crowds. We introduce a generative adversarial pipeline which preserves the spatio-temporal structure of the pedestrian's neighbourhood, enabling us to extract relevant attributes describing their social identity. We formulate the group detection task as an unsupervised learning problem, obviating the need for supervised learning of group memberships via hand labeled databases, allowing us to directly employ the proposed framework in different surveillance settings. We ev…
S4TP: Social-Suitable and Safety-Sensitive Trajectory Planning for Autonomous Vehicles
Anhui University（安徽大学）；Haomo Technology Co., Ltd.（毫末智行科技有限公司）；Chinese Academy of Sciences（中国科学院）；Qingdao Academy of Intelligent Industries（青岛智能产业技术研究院）；University of Science and Technology Beijing（北京科技大学）；University of Chinese Academy of Sciences（中国科学院大学）
Pedestrian trajectory prediction is a prominent research track that has advanced towards modelling of crowd social and contextual interactions, with extensive usage of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) for temporal representation of walking trajectories. Existing approaches use virtual neighborhoods as a fixed grid for pooling social states of pedestrians with tuning process that controls how social interactions are being captured. This entails performance customization to specific scenes but lowers the generalization capability of the approaches. In our work, we deploy \textit{Grid-LSTM}, a recen…
University of Passau（帕绍大学）；University of Duisburg-Essen（杜伊斯堡-埃森大学）
Motion behaviour is driven by several factors -- goals, presence and actions of neighbouring agents, social relations, physical and social norms, the environment with its variable characteristics, and further. Most factors are not directly observable and must be modelled from context. Trajectory prediction, is thus a hard problem, and has seen increasing attention from researchers in the recent years. Prediction of motion, in application, must be realistic, diverse and controllable. In spite of increasing focus on multimodal trajectory generation, most methods still lack means for explicitly c…
Effective understanding of the environment and accurate trajectory prediction of surrounding dynamic obstacles are indispensable for intelligent mobile systems (like autonomous vehicles and social robots) to achieve safe and high-quality planning when they navigate in highly interactive and crowded scenarios. Due to the existence of frequent interactions and uncertainty in the scene evolution, it is desired for the prediction system to enable relational reasoning on different entities and provide a distribution of future trajectories for each agent. In this paper, we propose a generic generati…
Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction Based on Social Interactions Learning With Random Weights
College of Computer Science and Electronic Engineering, Hunan University（湖南大学计算机与电子工程学院）；Shenzhen Research Institute, Hunan University（湖南大学深圳研究院）；School of Computer Science and Technology, Zhejiang University（浙江大学计算机科学与技术学院）；School of Electronic Information and Communication, Huazhong University of Science and Technology（华中科技大学电子信息与通信学院）；Zhejiang Lab（之江实验室）
Hangzhou Dianzi University（杭州电子科技大学）；Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications（北京邮电大学）
Multi-person motion prediction remains a challenging problem, especially in the joint representation learning of individual motion and social interactions. Most prior methods only involve learning local pose dynamics for individual motion (without global body trajectory) and also struggle to capture complex interaction dependencies for social interactions. In this paper, we propose a novel Social-Aware Motion Transformer (SoMoFormer) to effectively model individual motion and social interactions in a joint manner. Specifically, SoMoFormer extracts motion features from sub-sequences in displace…
The trajectory prediction is significant for the decision-making of autonomous driving vehicles. In this paper, we propose a model to predict the trajectories of target agents around an autonomous vehicle. The main idea of our method is considering the history trajectories of the target agent and the influence of surrounding agents on the target agent. To this end, we encode the target agent history trajectories as an attention mask and construct a social map to encode the interactive relationship between the target agent and its surrounding agents. Given a trajectory sequence, the LSTM networ…
Harbin Engineering University（哈尔滨工程大学）；Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences（中国科学院自动化研究所）；Meituan（美团）；Wenzhou University（温州大学）
Pedestrian trajectory prediction is a key technology in many applications such as video surveillance, social robot navigation, and autonomous driving, and significant progress has been made in this research topic. However, there remain two limitations of previous studies. First, with the continuation of time, the prediction error at each time step increases significantly, causing the final displacement error to be impossible to ignore. Second, the prediction results of multiple pedestrians might be impractical in the prediction horizon, i.e., the predicted trajectories might collide with each …
Huazhong University of Science and Technology（华中科技大学）
Visual images usually contain the informative context of the environment, thereby helping to predict agents' behaviors. However, they hardly impose the dynamic effects on agents' actual behaviors due to the respectively fixed semantics. To solve this problem, we propose a deterministic model named BGM to construct a guidance map to represent the dynamic semantics, which circumvents to use visual images for each agent to reflect the difference of activities in different periods. We first record all agents' activities in the scene within a period close to the current to construct a guidance map …
Leibniz University Hannover（汉诺威莱布尼茨大学）；University of Twente（特温特大学）；Clausthal University of Technology（克劳斯塔尔工业大学）
Predicting trajectories of pedestrians based on goal information in highly interactive scenes is a crucial step toward Intelligent Transportation Systems and Autonomous Driving. The challenges of this task come from two key sources: (1) complex social interactions in high pedestrian density scenarios and (2) limited utilization of goal information to effectively associate with past motion information. To address these difficulties, we integrate social forces into a Transformer-based stochastic generative model backbone and propose a new goal-based trajectory predictor called ForceFormer. Diffe…
Social-IWSTCNN: A Social Interaction-Weighted Spatio-Temporal Convolutional Neural Network for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction in Urban Traffic Scenarios
University of Gothenburg（哥德堡大学）；Chalmers University of Technology（查尔姆斯理工大学）
The University of Texas at Austin（德克萨斯大学奥斯汀分校）；KAUST（阿卜杜拉国王科技大学）
Best-of-N (BoN) Average Displacement Error (ADE)/ Final Displacement Error (FDE) is the most used metric for evaluating trajectory prediction models. Yet, the BoN does not quantify the whole generated samples, resulting in an incomplete view of the model's prediction quality and performance. We propose a new metric, Average Mahalanobis Distance (AMD) to tackle this issue. AMD is a metric that quantifies how close the whole generated samples are to the ground truth. We also introduce the Average Maximum Eigenvalue (AMV) metric that quantifies the overall spread of the predictions. Our metrics a…
