Pedestrian Models for Autonomous Driving Part II: High-Level Models of Human Behavior
Lincoln Centre for Autonomous Systems, University of Lincoln（林肯大学林肯自主系统中心）；Institute of Engineering Sciences, De Montfort University（德蒙福特大学工程科学研究所）；Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft (BMW)（宝马集团）；Robert Bosch GmbH（罗伯特·博世有限公司）；DLR (German Aerospace Center)（德国航空航天中心）；Centro Ricerche Fiat (CRF)（菲亚特研究中心）；Ibex Automation Ltd（伊贝克斯自动化有限公司）
Fanta Camara, Nicola Bellotto, Serhan Cosar, Florian Weber, Dimitris Nathanael, Matthias Althoff, Jingyuan Wu, Johannes Ruenz, André Dietrich, Gustav Markkula, … 展开作者
Fanta Camara, Nicola Bellotto, Serhan Cosar, Florian Weber, Dimitris Nathanael, Matthias Althoff, Jingyuan Wu, Johannes Ruenz, André Dietrich, Gustav Markkula, Anna Schieben, Fabio Tango, Natasha Merat, Charles W. Fox
备注：
Accepted for publication in the IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems
Autonomous vehicles (AVs) must share space with pedestrians, both in carriageway cases such as cars at pedestrian crossings and off-carriageway cases such as delivery vehicles navigating through crowds on pedestrianized high-streets. Unlike static obstacles, pedestrians are active agents with complex, interactive motions. Planning AV actions in the presence of pedestrians thus requires modelling of their probable future behaviour as well as detecting and tracking them. This narrative review article is Part II of a pair, together surveying the current technology stack involved in this process, organising recent research into a hierarchical taxonomy ranging from low-level image detection to high-level psychological models, from the perspective of an AV designer. This self-contained Part II covers the higher levels of this stack, consisting of models of pedestrian behaviour, from prediction of individual pedestrians' likely destinations and paths, to game-theoretic models of interactions between pedestrians and autonomous vehicles. This survey clearly shows that, although there are good models for optimal walking behaviour, high-level psychological and social modelling of pedestrian behaviour still remains an open research question that requires many conceptual issues to be clarified. Early work has been done on descriptive and qualitative models of behaviour, but much work is still needed to translate them into quantitative algorithms for practical AV control.
Autonomous Vehicles (AV) will transform transportation, but also the interaction between vehicles and pedestrians. In the absence of a driver, it is not clear how an AV can communicate its intention to pedestrians. One option is to use visual signals. To advance their design, we conduct four human-participant experiments and evaluate six representative AV visual signals for visibility, intuitiveness, persuasiveness, and usability at pedestrian crossings. Based on the results, we distill twelve practical design recommendations for AV visual signals, with focus on signal pattern design and place…
The potential market for modern self-driving cars is enormous, as they are developing remarkably rapidly. At the same time, however, accidents of pedestrian fatalities caused by autonomous driving have been recorded in the case of street crossing. To ensure traffic safety in self-driving environments and respond to vehicle-human interaction challenges such as jaywalking, we propose Level-$k$ Meta Reinforcement Learning (LK-MRL) algorithm. It takes into account the cognitive hierarchy of pedestrian responses and enables self-driving vehicles to adapt to various human behaviors. %which takes int…
Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, York University（约克大学电气工程与计算机科学系）；York University（约克大学）；Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science（电气工程与计算机科学系）；Toronto（多伦多）；ON, Canada（加拿大安大略省）
One of the major challenges that autonomous cars are facing today is driving in urban environments. To make it a reality, autonomous vehicles require the ability to communicate with other road users and understand their intentions. Such interactions are essential between the vehicles and pedestrians as the most vulnerable road users. Understanding pedestrian behavior, however, is not intuitive and depends on various factors such as demographics of the pedestrians, traffic dynamics, environmental conditions, etc. In this paper, we identify these factors by surveying pedestrian behavior studies,…
National University of Singapore（新加坡国立大学）；University of Maryland at College Park（马里兰大学帕克分校）
This paper presents a planning system for autonomous driving among many pedestrians. A key ingredient of our approach is PORCA, a pedestrian motion prediction model that accounts for both a pedestrian's global navigation intention and local interactions with the vehicle and other pedestrians. Unfortunately, the autonomous vehicle does not know the pedestrian's intention a priori and requires a planning algorithm that hedges against the uncertainty in pedestrian intentions. Our planning system combines a POMDP algorithm with the pedestrian motion model and runs in near real time. Experiments sh…
Clemson University（克莱姆森大学）；Nan Ya Plastics Co. America（南亚塑胶美国公司）；TSMC（台积电）；Arcadis Inc.（凯谛思公司）
Pedestrian occlusion is challenging for autonomous vehicles (AVs) at midblock locations on multilane roadways because an AV cannot detect crossing pedestrians that are fully occluded by downstream vehicles in adjacent lanes. This paper tests the capability of vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) communication between an AV and its downstream vehicles to share midblock pedestrian crossings information. The researchers developed a V2V-based collision-avoidance decision strategy and compared it to a base scenario (i.e., decision strategy without the utilization of V2V). Simulation results showed that for the…
Interacting with pedestrians is challenging for Autonomous vehicles (AVs). This study evaluates how AV operations /associated signaling and roadway infrastructure affect pedestrian behavior in virtual reality. AVs were designed with different operations and signal indications, including negotiating with no signal, negotiating with a yellow signal, and yellow/blue negotiating/no-yield indications. Results show that AV signal significantly impacts pedestrians' accepted gap, walking time, and waiting time. Pedestrians chose the largest open gap between cars with AV showing no signal, and had the …
Avoiding unseen or partially occluded vulnerable road users (VRUs) is a major challenge for fully autonomous driving in urban scenes. However, occlusion-aware risk assessment systems have not been widely studied. Here, we propose a pedestrian emergence estimation and occlusion-aware risk assessment system for urban autonomous driving. First, the proposed system utilizes available contextual information, such as visible cars and pedestrians, to estimate pedestrian emergence probabilities in occluded regions. These probabilities are then used in a risk assessment framework, and incorporated into…
Oklahoma State University（俄克拉荷马州立大学）；University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign（伊利诺伊大学厄巴纳-香槟分校）
When pedestrians encounter vehicles, they typically stop and wait for a signal from the driver to either cross or wait. What happens when the car is autonomous and there isn't a human driver to signal them? This paper seeks to address this issue with an intent communication system (ICS) that acts in place of a human driver. This intent system has been developed to take into account the psychology behind what pedestrians are familiar with and what they expect from machines. The system integrates those expectations into the design of physical systems and mathematical algorithms. The goal of the …
This paper presents a novel method for pedestrian detection and tracking by fusing camera and LiDAR sensor data. To deal with the challenges associated with the autonomous driving scenarios, an integrated tracking and detection framework is proposed. The detection phase is performed by converting LiDAR streams to computationally tractable depth images, and then, a deep neural network is developed to identify pedestrian candidates both in RGB and depth images. To provide accurate information, the detection phase is further enhanced by fusing multi-modal sensor information using the Kalman filte…
Seoul National University（首尔大学）；Dongguk University（东国大学）
Autonomous vehicles (AVs) can prevent collisions by understanding pedestrian intention. We conducted a virtual reality experiment with 39 participants and measured crossing times (seconds) and head orientation (yaw degrees). We manipulated AV yielding behavior (no-yield, slow-yield, and fast-yield) and the AV size (small, medium, and large). Using machine learning approach, we classified head orientation change of pedestrians by time into 6 clusters of patterns. Results indicate that pedestrian head orientation change was influenced by AV yielding behavior as well as the size of the AV. Partic…
Technical University of Munich（慕尼黑工业大学）；EURECOM（欧洲通信学院）
Reliable pedestrian crash avoidance mitigation (PCAM) systems are crucial components of safe autonomous vehicles (AVs). The nature of the vehicle-pedestrian interaction where decisions of one agent directly affect the other agent's optimal behavior, and vice versa, is a challenging yet often neglected aspect of such systems. We address this issue by modeling a Markov decision process (MDP) for a simulated AV-pedestrian interaction at an unmarked crosswalk. The AV's PCAM decision policy is learned through deep reinforcement learning (DRL). Since modeling pedestrians realistically is challenging…
As autonomous vehicles (AVs) inch closer to reality, a central requirement for acceptance will be earning the trust of humans in everyday driving situations. In particular, the interaction between AVs and pedestrians is of high importance, as every human is a pedestrian at some point of the day. This paper considers the interaction of a pedestrian and an autonomous vehicle at a mid-block, unsignalized intersection where there is ambiguity over when the pedestrian should cross and when and how the vehicle should yield. By modeling pedestrian behavior through the concept of gap acceptance, the a…
Australian Centre for Field Robotics, The University of Sydney（悉尼大学澳大利亚野外机器人中心）
Social acceptance is a major hurdle for autonomous vehicle technology, central to which is ensuring both passengers and nearby pedestrians feel safe. This idea of `feeling safe' and perceived safety is highly subjective and rooted in human intuition. As such, traditional analytical approaches to autonomous navigation often fail to cater for the social expectations of individuals. Therefore, this paper proposes an approach to capture the complexity of social expectations and integrate this complexity into a 3-layered Contextual Speed Controller. The layers were; the legal road speed limit, the …
We present the pedestrian patterns dataset for autonomous driving. The dataset was collected by repeatedly traversing the same three routes for one week starting at different specific timeslots. The purpose of the dataset is to capture the patterns of social and pedestrian behavior along the traversed routes at different times and to eventually use this information to make predictions about the risk associated with autonomously traveling along different routes. This dataset contains the Full HD videos and GPS data for each traversal. Fast R-CNN pedestrian detection method is applied to the cap…
Prior research has extensively explored Autonomous Vehicle (AV) navigation in the presence of other vehicles, however, navigation among pedestrians, who are the most vulnerable element in urban environments, has been less examined. This paper explores AV navigation in crowded, unsignalized intersections. We compare the performance of different deep reinforcement learning methods trained on our reward function and state representation. The performance of these methods and a standard rule-based approach were evaluated in two ways, first at the unsignalized intersection on which the methods were …
Institute for Transport Studies (ITS), University of Leeds（利兹大学交通研究所）；Lincoln Centre for Autonomous Systems, University of Lincoln（林肯大学林肯自主系统中心）；Institute of Engineering Sciences, De Montfort University（德蒙福特大学工程科学研究所）；School of Mechanical Engineering, Nat. Tech. University of Athens（雅典国家技术大学机械工程学院）；Robert Bosch GmbH（罗伯特·博世有限公司）；Ibex Automation Ltd（伊贝克斯自动化有限公司）
Autonomous vehicles (AVs) must share space with pedestrians, both in carriageway cases such as cars at pedestrian crossings and off-carriageway cases such as delivery vehicles navigating through crowds on pedestrianized high-streets. Unlike static obstacles, pedestrians are active agents with complex, interactive motions. Planning AV actions in the presence of pedestrians thus requires modelling of their probable future behaviour as well as detecting and tracking them. This narrative review article is Part I of a pair, together surveying the current technology stack involved in this process, o…
Johannes Kepler University Linz（约翰开普勒林茨大学）；Universidad Carlos III de Madrid（马德里卡洛斯三世大学）；Ural Federal University（乌拉尔联邦大学）
Rapid advancements in driver-assistance technology will lead to the integration of fully autonomous vehicles on our roads that will interact with other road users. To address the problem that driverless vehicles make interaction through eye contact impossible, we describe a framework for estimating the crossing intentions of pedestrians in order to reduce the uncertainty that the lack of eye contact between road users creates. The framework was deployed in a real vehicle and tested with three experimental cases that showed a variety of communication messages to pedestrians in a shared space sc…
Robotics Institute, University of Michigan（密歇根大学机器人研究所）；University of Michigan（密歇根大学）
Pedestrians and drivers interact closely in a wide range of environments. Autonomous vehicles (AVs) correspondingly face the need to predict pedestrians' future trajectories in these same environments. Traditional model-based prediction methods have been limited to making predictions in highly structured scenes with signalized intersections, marked crosswalks, or curbs. Deep learning methods have instead leveraged datasets to learn predictive features that generalize across scenes, at the cost of model interpretability. This paper aims to achieve both widely applicable and interpretable predic…
The deployment of Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) poses considerable challenges and unique opportunities for the design and management of future urban road infrastructure. In light of this disruptive transformation, the Right-Of-Way (ROW) composition of road space has the potential to be renewed. Design approaches and intelligent control models have been proposed to address this problem, but we lack an operational framework that can dynamically generate ROW plans for AVs and pedestrians in response to real-time demand. Based on microscopic traffic simulation, this study explores Reinforcement Learni…
Application of Vision-Language Model to Pedestrians Behavior and Scene Understanding in Autonomous Driving
ECE Department（电子工程系）；Carnegie Mellon University（卡内基梅隆大学）；Computer Science Department（计算机科学系）；Columbia University（哥伦比亚大学）；Rotman School of Management（罗特曼管理学院）；University of Toronto（多伦多大学）；Department of Statistics（统计学系）；George Washington University（乔治华盛顿大学）；Department of Computer Science（计算机科学系）；San Francisco State University（旧金山州立大学）
The goal of this paper is to classify objects mapped by LiDAR sensor into different classes such as vehicles, pedestrians and bikers. Utilizing a LiDAR-based object detector and Neural Networks-based classifier, a novel real-time object detection is presented essentially with respect to aid self-driving vehicles in recognizing and classifying other objects encountered in the course of driving and proceed accordingly. We discuss our work using machine learning methods to tackle a common high-level problem found in machine learning applications for self-driving cars: the classification of pointc…
We present nuReality, a virtual reality 'VR' environment designed to test the efficacy of vehicular behaviors to communicate intent during interactions between autonomous vehicles 'AVs' and pedestrians at urban intersections. In this project we focus on expressive behaviors as a means for pedestrians to readily recognize the underlying intent of the AV's movements. VR is an ideal tool to use to test these situations as it can be immersive and place subjects into these potentially dangerous scenarios without risk. nuReality provides a novel and immersive virtual reality environment that include…
Evaluating Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction Methods with Respect to Autonomous Driving
Technical University of Munich（慕尼黑工业大学）；School of Engineering & Design（工程与设计学院）；Munich Institute of Robotics and Machine Intelligence (MIRMI)（慕尼黑机器人与机器智能研究所）
How Do Pedestrians' Perception Change toward Autonomous Vehicles during Unmarked Midblock Multilane Crossings: Role of AV Operation and Signal Indication
Australian Centre for Field Robotics（澳大利亚野外机器人学中心）；University of Sydney（悉尼大学）
Seamlessly operating an autonomous vehicle in a crowded pedestrian environment is a very challenging task. This is because human movement and interactions are very hard to predict in such environments. Recent work has demonstrated that reinforcement learning-based methods have the ability to learn to drive in crowds. However, these methods can have very poor performance due to inaccurate predictions of the pedestrians' future state as human motion prediction has a large variance. To overcome this problem, we propose a new method, SARL-SGAN-KCE, that combines a deep socially aware attentive val…
We propose a safe DRL approach for autonomous vehicle (AV) navigation through crowds of pedestrians while making a left turn at an unsignalized intersection. Our method uses two long-short term memory (LSTM) models that are trained to generate the perceived state of the environment and the future trajectories of pedestrians given noisy observations of their movement. A future collision prediction algorithm based on the future trajectories of the ego vehicle and pedestrians is used to mask unsafe actions if the system predicts a collision. The performance of our approach is evaluated in two exp…
Australian Centre for Field Robotics, University of Sydney（悉尼大学澳大利亚野外机器人中心）；University Institute for Computer Research, Universidad de Alicante（阿利坎特大学计算机研究所）
Autonomous vehicle navigation in shared pedestrian environments requires the ability to predict future crowd motion both accurately and with minimal delay. Understanding the uncertainty of the prediction is also crucial. Most existing approaches however can only estimate uncertainty through repeated sampling of generative models. Additionally, most current predictive models are trained on datasets that assume complete observability of the crowd using an aerial view. These are generally not representative of real-world usage from a vehicle perspective, and can lead to the underestimation of unc…
Pedestrian Behavior Interacting with Autonomous Vehicles during Unmarked Midblock Multilane Crossings: Role of Infrastructure Design, AV Operations and Signaling
Today, one of the major challenges that autonomous vehicles are facing is the ability to drive in urban environments. Such a task requires communication between autonomous vehicles and other road users in order to resolve various traffic ambiguities. The interaction between road users is a form of negotiation in which the parties involved have to share their attention regarding a common objective or a goal (e.g. crossing an intersection), and coordinate their actions in order to accomplish it. In this literature review we aim to address the interaction problem between pedestrians and drivers (…
University of California, Santa Barbara（加州大学圣巴巴拉分校）；University of Nevada, Las Vegas（内华达大学拉斯维加斯分校）
In the last decade, research in the field of autonomous vehicles has grown immensely, and there is a wealth of information available for researchers to rapidly establish an autonomous vehicle platform for basic maneuvers. In this paper, we design, implement, and test, in ten weeks, a PD approach to longitudinal control for pedestrian emergency braking. We also propose a lateral controller with a similar design for future testing in lane following. Using widely available tools, we demonstrate the safety of the vehicle in pedestrian emergency braking scenarios.
Decision making for autonomous driving in urban environments is challenging due to the complexity of the road structure and the uncertainty in the behavior of diverse road users. Traditional methods consist of manually designed rules as the driving policy, which require expert domain knowledge, are difficult to generalize and might give sub-optimal results as the environment gets complex. Whereas, using reinforcement learning, optimal driving policy could be learned and improved automatically through several interactions with the environment. However, current research in the field of reinforce…
University of Lincoln（林肯大学）；University of Technology of Belfort-Montbéliard（贝尔福-蒙贝利亚技术大学）
This paper presents a novel 3DOF pedestrian trajectory prediction approach for autonomous mobile service robots. While most previously reported methods are based on learning of 2D positions in monocular camera images, our approach uses range-finder sensors to learn and predict 3DOF pose trajectories (i.e. 2D position plus 1D rotation within the world coordinate system). Our approach, T-Pose-LSTM (Temporal 3DOF-Pose Long-Short-Term Memory), is trained using long-term data from real-world robot deployments and aims to learn context-dependent (environment- and time-specific) human activities. Our…
Max Planck Institute for Informatics（马克斯·普朗克信息学研究所）；Toyota Motor Europe（丰田汽车欧洲公司）；CISPA Helmholtz Center for Information Security（CISPA亥姆霍兹信息安全中心）
Accurate prediction of pedestrian and bicyclist paths is integral to the development of reliable autonomous vehicles in dense urban environments. The interactions between vehicle and pedestrian or bicyclist have a significant impact on the trajectories of traffic participants e.g. stopping or turning to avoid collisions. Although recent datasets and trajectory prediction approaches have fostered the development of autonomous vehicles yet the amount of vehicle-pedestrian (bicyclist) interactions modeled are sparse. In this work, we propose Euro-PVI, a dataset of pedestrian and bicyclist traject…
Leibniz University Hannover（汉诺威莱布尼茨大学）；University of Twente（特温特大学）；Clausthal University of Technology（克劳斯塔尔工业大学）
Predicting trajectories of pedestrians based on goal information in highly interactive scenes is a crucial step toward Intelligent Transportation Systems and Autonomous Driving. The challenges of this task come from two key sources: (1) complex social interactions in high pedestrian density scenarios and (2) limited utilization of goal information to effectively associate with past motion information. To address these difficulties, we integrate social forces into a Transformer-based stochastic generative model backbone and propose a new goal-based trajectory predictor called ForceFormer. Diffe…
Uber Advanced Technologies Group（优步先进技术集团）；University of Toronto（多伦多大学）；MIT（麻省理工学院）
Sensor simulation is a key component for testing the performance of self-driving vehicles and for data augmentation to better train perception systems. Typical approaches rely on artists to create both 3D assets and their animations to generate a new scenario. This, however, does not scale. In contrast, we propose to recover the shape and motion of pedestrians from sensor readings captured in the wild by a self-driving car driving around. Towards this goal, we formulate the problem as energy minimization in a deep structured model that exploits human shape priors, reprojection consistency with…
