Enrique Villamor, Pablo Olivares
In this paper we study the pricing of exchange options when underlying assets have stochastic volatility and stochastic correlation. An approximation using a closed-form approximation based on a Taylor expansion of the conditional price is proposed. Numerical results are illustrated for exchanges between WTI and Brent type oil prices.
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We consider option pricing using a discrete-time Markov switching stochastic volatility with co-jump model, which can model volatility clustering and varying mean-reversion speeds of volatility. For pricing European options, we develop a computationally efficient method for obtaining the probability distribution of average integrated variance (AIV), which is key to option pricing under stochastic-volatility-type models. Building upon the efficiency of the European option pricing approach, we are able to price an American-style option, by converting its pricing into the pricing of a portfolio o…
When pricing options, there may be different views on the instantaneous mean return of the underlying price process. According to Black (1972), where there exist heterogeneous views on the instantaneous mean return, this will result in arbitrage opportunities. Behavioral finance proponents argue that such heterogenous views are likely to occur and this will not impact option pricing models proposed by rational dynamic asset pricing theory and will not give rise to volatility smiles. To rectify this, a leading advocate of behavioral finance has proposed a behavioral option pricing model. As the…
In the standard Black-Scholes-Merton framework, dividends are represented as a continuous dividend yield and the pricing of Vanilla options on a stock is achieved through the well-known Black-Scholes formula. In reality however, stocks pay a discrete fixed cash dividend at each dividend ex-date. This leads to the so-called piecewise lognormal model, where the asset jumps from a fixed known amount at each dividend date. There is however no exact closed-form formula for the pricing of Vanilla options under this model. Approximations must be used. While there exists many approximations taylored t…
This paper proposes the sample path generation method for the stochastic volatility version of CGMY process. We present the Monte-Carlo method for European and American option pricing with the sample path generation and calibrate model parameters to the American style S\&P 100 index options market, using the least square regression method. Moreover, we discuss path-dependent options such as Asian and Barrier options.
With some transformations, we convert the problem of option pricing under state-dependent volatility into an initial value problem of the Fokker-Planck equation with a certain potential. By using the Lie symmetry analysis and similarity reduction method, we are able to reduce the dimensions of the partial differential equation and find some of its particular solutions of the equation. A few case studies demonstrate that our new method can be used to produce analytical option pricing formulas for certain volatility functions.
Risk-Neutral Pricing of Random-Expiry Options Using Trinomial Trees
针对随机事件可能导致提前到期的非传统衍生品随机到期期权，提出基于三叉树的定价方法（中间路径对应提前到期），证明无套利性并推导连续时间极限，实现高效数值计算。
In this work we consider three problems of the standard market approach to pricing of credit index options: the definition of the index spread is not valid in general, the usually considered payoff leads to a pricing which is not always defined, and the candidate numeraire one would use to define a pricing measure is not strictly positive, which would lead to a non-equivalent pricing measure. We give a general mathematical solution to the three problems, based on a novel way of modeling the flow of information through the definition of a new subfiltration. Using this subfiltration, we take int…
We present a stochastic local volatility model for derivative contracts on commodity futures. The aim of the model is to be able to recover the prices of derivative claims both on futures contracts and on indices on futures strategies. Numerical examples for calibration and pricing are provided for the S&P GSCI Crude Oil excess-return index.
Spread options are a fundamental class of derivative contract written on multiple assets, and are widely used in a range of financial markets. There is a long history of approximation methods for computing such products, but as yet there is no preferred approach that is accurate, efficient and flexible enough to apply in general models. The present paper introduces a new formula for general spread option pricing based on Fourier analysis of the spread option payoff function. Our detailed investigation proves the effectiveness of a fast Fourier transform implementation of this formula for the c…
In this paper we study recent developments in the approximation of the spread option pricing. As the Kirkś Approximation is extremely flawed in the cases when the correlation is very high, we explore a recent development that allows approximating with simplicity and accuracy the option price. To assess the goodness of fit of the new method, we increase dramatically the number of simulations and scenarios to test the new method and compare it with the original Kirkś formula. The simulations confirmed that the Modified Kirkś Approximation method is extremely accurate, improving Kirkś approach fo…
We derive behavioral finance option pricing formulas consistent with the rational dynamic asset pricing theory. In the existing behavioral finance option pricing formulas, the price process of the representative agent is not a semimartingale, which leads to arbitrage opportunities for the option seller. In the literature on behavioral finance option pricing it is allowed the option buyer and seller to have different views on the instantaneous mean return of the underlying price process, which leads to arbitrage opportunities according to Black (1972). We adjust the behavioral finance option pr…
The author presents alternatives to the Black-Scholes european call option pricing model by incorporating different transaction cost structures in the replicating strategy. In particular, an exponentially decreasing structure is proposed and developed.
An analytic method for pricing American call options is provided; followed by an empirical method for pricing Asian call options. The methodology is the pricing theory presented in "A Modern Theory of Random Variation", by Patrick Muldowney, 2012.
Stochastic Expansion for the Pricing of Asian and Basket Options
本文利用围绕对数正态代理模型的随机Taylor展开，为篮子期权和离散平均亚式期权提供了高精度的封闭解析近似定价公式。
This work illustrates how several new pricing formulas for exotic options can be derived within a Levy framework by employing a unique pricing expression. Many existing pricing formulas of the traditional Gaussian model are obtained as a by-product.
This paper presents a multinomial method for option pricing when the underlying asset follows an exponential Variance Gamma process. The continuous time Variance Gamma process is approximated by a discrete time Markov chain with the same firsts four cumulants. This approach is particularly convenient for pricing American and Bermudan options, which can be exercised at any time up to expiration date. Numerical computations of European and American options are presented, and compared with results obtained with finite differences methods and with the Black Scholes model.
We provided an analytical representation of the price of a barrier option with one type of special moving barrier. We consider the case that risk free rate, dividend rate and stock volatility are time dependent. We get a pricing formula and put call parity for barrier option when the moving barrier has a special relation with risk free rate, dividend rate and stock volatility.
In this paper the Buchen's pricing formulae of (higher order) asset and bond binary options are incorporated into the pricing formula of power binary options and a pricing formula of "the normal distribution standard options" with the maturity payoff related to a power function and the density function of normal distribution is derived. And as their applications, pricing formulae of savings plans that provide a choice of indexing and discrete geometric average Asian options are derived and the fact that the price of discrete geometric average Asian option converges to the price of continuous g…
The risk-neutral option pricing method under GARCH intensity model is examined. The GARCH intensity model incorporates the characteristics of financial return series such as volatility clustering, leverage effect and conditional asymmetry. The GARCH intensity option pricing model has flexibility in changing the volatility according to the probability measure change.
In this paper, we will discuss an approximation of the characteristic function of the first passage time for a Levy process using the martingale approach. The characteristic function of the first passage time of the tempered stable process is provided explicitly or by an indirect numerical method. This will be applied to the perpetual American option pricing and the barrier option pricing. Numerical illustrations are provided for the calibrated parameters using the market call and put prices.
The presence of discrete dividends complicates the derivation and form of pricing formulas even for vanilla options. Existing analytic, numerical, and theoretical approximations provide results of varying quality and performance. Here, we compare the analytic approach, developed and effective for European puts and calls, of Buryak and Guo with the formulas, designed in the context of barrier option pricing, of Dai and Chiu.
Pricing of financial derivatives, in particular early exercisable options such as Bermudan options, is an important but heavy numerical task in financial institutions, and its speed-up will provide a large business impact. Recently, applications of quantum computing to financial problems have been started to be investigated. In this paper, we first propose a quantum algorithm for Bermudan option pricing. This method performs the approximation of the continuation value, which is a crucial part of Bermudan option pricing, by Chebyshev interpolation, using the values at interpolation nodes estima…
We introduce a new volatility model for option pricing that combines Markov switching with the Realized GARCH framework. This leads to a novel pricing kernel with a state-dependent variance risk premium and a pricing formula for European options, which is derived with an analytical approximation method. We apply the Markov switching Realized GARCH model to S&P 500 index options from 1990 to 2019 and find that investors' aversion to volatility-specific risk is time-varying. The proposed framework outperforms competing models and reduces (in-sample and out-of-sample) option pricing errors by 15%…
Contrary to the common view that exact pricing is prohibitive owing to the curse of dimensionality, this study proposes an efficient and unified method for pricing options under multivariate Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM) models, such as the basket, spread, and Asian options. The option price is expressed as a quadrature integration of analytic multi-asset BSM prices under a single Brownian motion. Then the state space is rotated in such a way that the quadrature requires much coarser nodes than it would otherwise or low varying dimensions are reduced. The accuracy and efficiency of the method is …
Path integral method in quantum mechanics provides a new thinking for barrier option pricing. For proportional step options, the option price changing process is similar to the one dimensional trapezoid potential barrier scattering problem in quantum mechanics; for double-barrier step options, the option price changing process is analogous to a particle moving in a finite symmetric square potential well. Using path integral method, the analytical expressions of pricing kernel and option price could be derived. Numerical results of option price as a function of underlying price, potential and e…
The literature on volatility modelling and option pricing is a large and diverse area due to its importance and applications. This paper provides a review of the most significant volatility models and option pricing methods, beginning with constant volatility models up to stochastic volatility. We also survey less commonly known models e.g. hybrid models. We explain various volatility types (e.g. realised and implied volatility) and discuss the empirical properties.
Pricing of barrier options by marginal functional quantization
本文提出利用最优二次函数量化方法对障碍期权进行定价，并在Black-Scholes和局部波动率模型中进行了数值验证，同时与布朗桥方法进行了对比。
Volatility modelling has become a significant area of research within Financial Mathematics. Wiener process driven stochastic volatility models have become popular due their consistency with theoretical arguments and empirical observations. However such models lack the ability to take into account long term and fundamental economic factors e.g. credit crunch. Regime switching models with mean reverting stochastic volatility are a new class of stochastic volatility models that capture both short and long term characteristics. We propose a new general method of pricing options for these new clas…
This work addresses the problem of optimal pricing and hedging of a European option on an illiquid asset Z using two proxies: a liquid asset S and a liquid European option on another liquid asset Y. We assume that the S-hedge is dynamic while the Y-hedge is static. Using the indifference pricing approach we derive a HJB equation for the value function, and solve it analytically (in quadratures) using an asymptotic expansion around the limit of the perfect correlation between assets Y and Z. While in this paper we apply our framework to an incomplete market version of the credit-equity Merton's…
We derive the implied volatility estimation formula in European power call options pricing, where the payoff functions are in the form of $V=(S^α_T-K)^{+}$ and $V=(S^α_T-K^α)^{+}$ ($α>0$)respectively. Using quadratic Taylor approximations, We develop the computing formula of implied volatility in European power call option and extend the traditional implied volatility formula of Charles J.Corrado, et al (1996) to general power option pricing. And the Monte-Carlo simulations are also given.
We continue a series of papers devoted to construction of semi-analytic solutions for barrier options. These options are written on underlying following some simple one-factor diffusion model, but all the parameters of the model as well as the barriers are time-dependent. We managed to show that these solutions are systematically more efficient for pricing and calibration than, eg., the corresponding finite-difference solvers. In this paper we extend this technique to pricing double barrier options and present two approaches to solving it: the General Integral transform method and the Heat Pot…
We consider option pricing using replicating binomial trees, with a two fold purpose. The first is to introduce ESG valuation into option pricing. We explore this in a number of scenarios, including enhancement of yield due to trader information and the impact of the past history of a market driver. The second is to emphasize the use of discrete dynamic pricing, rather than continuum models, as the natural model that governs actual market practice. We further emphasize that discrete option pricing models must use discrete compounding (such as risk-free rate compounding of $1+r_f Δt$) rather th…
Neural Network Learning of Black-Scholes Equation for Option Pricing
本文提出用神经网络结合真实市场边界数据求解 Black-Scholes 方程，并在 Petrobras 与 Vale 看涨期权序列上验证了其短期定价预测优于传统解析解。
A new framework for pricing the European currency option is developed in the case where the spot exchange rate fellows a time-changed fractional Brownian motion. An analytic formula for pricing European foreign currency option is proposed by a mean self-financing delta-hedging argument in a discrete time setting. The minimal price of a currency option under transaction costs is obtained as time-step $Δt=\left(\frac{t^{β-1}}{Γ(β)}\right)^{-1}\left(\frac{2}π\right)^{\frac{1}{2H}}\left(\fracασ\right)^{\frac{1}{H}}$ , which can be used as the actual price of an option. In addition, we also show th…
In this paper, we price American-style Parisian down-and-in call options under the Black-Scholes framework. Usually, pricing an American-style option is much more difficult than pricing its European-style counterpart because of the appearance of the optimal exercise boundary in the former. Fortunately, the optimal exercise boundary associated with an American-style Parisian knock-in option only appears implicitly in its pricing partial differential equation (PDE) systems, instead of explicitly as in the case of an American-style Parisian knock-out option. We also recognize that the "moving win…
The coupled nonlinear volatility and option pricing model presented recently by Ivancevic is investigated, which generates a leverage effect, i.e., stock volatility is (negatively) correlated to stock returns, and can be regarded as a coupled nonlinear wave alternative of the Black-Scholes option pricing model. In this short report, we analytically propose the two-component financial rogue waves of the coupled nonlinear volatility and option pricing model without an embedded w-learning. Moreover, we exhibit their dynamical behaviors for chosen different parameters. The two-component financial …
Theoretical models applied to option pricing should take into account the empirical characteristics of the underlying financial time series. In this paper, we show how to price basket options when assets follow a shifted log-normal process with jumps capable of accommodating negative skewness. Our technique is based on the Hermite polynomial expansion that can match exactly the first m moments of the model implied-probability distribution. This method is shown to provide superior results for basket options not only with respect to pricing but also for hedging.
Exponential Lévy processes have been used for modelling financial derivatives because of their ability to exhibit many empirical features of markets. Using their multidimensional analogue, a general analytic pricing formula is obtained, allowing for the direct valuation of multi-asset options on $n \in \z^+$ risky assets. By providing alternate expressions for multi-asset option payoffs, the general pricing formula can reduce to many popular cases, including American basket options which are considered herein. This work extends previous results of basket options to dimensions $n \geq 3$ and mo…
In the current literature, the analytical tractability of discrete time option pricing models is guaranteed only for rather specific types of models and pricing kernels. We propose a very general and fully analytical option pricing framework, encompassing a wide class of discrete time models featuring multiple-component structure in both volatility and leverage, and a flexible pricing kernel with multiple risk premia. Although the proposed framework is general enough to include either GARCH-type volatility, Realized Volatility or a combination of the two, in this paper we focus on realized vol…
A Hamiltonian Approach to Floating Barrier Option Pricing
本文利用量子力学中的哈密顿方法，将浮动障碍阶梯期权定价问题映射为势垒散射和方势阱问题，推导出定价核与期权价格的解析表达式，并通过数值结果验证了方法的正确性。
Analytical pricing formulas and Greeks are obtained for European and American basket put options using Mellin transforms. We assume assets are driven by geometric Brownian motion which exhibit correlation and pay a continuous dividend rate. A novel approach to numerical Mellin inversion is achieved via the fast Fourier transform, enabling the computation of option values at equidistant log asset prices. Numerical accuracy is verified among existing methods for American call options.
This paper focus on pricing exchange option based on copulas by MCMC algorithm. Initially, we introduce the methodologies concerned about risk-netural pricing, copulas and MCMC algorithm. After the basic knowledge, we compare the option prices given by different models, the results show except Gumbel copula, the other model provide similar estimation.
We solve the problem of pricing and optimal exercise of American call-type options in markets which do not necessarily admit an equivalent local martingale measure. This resolves an open question proposed by Fernholz and Karatzas [Stochastic Portfolio Theory: A Survey, Handbook of Numerical Analysis, 15:89-168, 2009].
In this paper an improved Cuckoo Search Algorithm is developed to allow for an efficient and robust calibration of the Heston option pricing model for American options. Calibration of stochastic volatility models like the Heston is significantly harder than classical option pricing models as more parameters have to be estimated. The difficult task of calibrating one of these models to American Put options data is the main objective of this paper. Numerical results are shown to substantiate the suitability of the chosen method to tackle this problem.
Based on empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model is proposed with volatility driven by fractional noise. The model is used to obtain a risk-neutrality option pricing formula and an option pricing equation.
Data-driven Option Pricing
本文提出仅使用标的历史价格的数据驱动期权定价方法，通过识别定价核并结合效用最大化、泛函优化与深度学习完成定价，数值实验验证了其有效性。
This study deals with the problem of pricing European currency options in discrete time setting, whose prices follow the fractional Black Scholes model with transaction costs. Both the pricing formula and the fractional partial differential equation for European call currency options are obtained by applying the delta-hedging strategy. Some Greeks and the estimator of volatility are also provided. The empirical studies and the simulation findings show that the fractional Black Scholes with transaction costs is a satisfactory model.
Path integral method in quantum mechanics provides a new thinking for barrier option pricing. For proportional double-barrier step (PDBS) options, the option price changing process is analogous to a particle moving in a finite symmetric square potential well. We have derived the pricing kernel of PDBS options with time dependent interest rate and volatility. Numerical results of option price as a function of underlying asset price are shown as well. Path integral method can be easily generalized to the pricing of PDBS options with curved boundaries.
In this paper, a time substitution as used by Duru and Kleinert in their treatment of the hydrogen atom with path integrals is performed to price timer options under stochastic volatility models. We present general pricing formulas for both the perpetual timer call options and the finite time-horizon timer call options. These general results allow us to find closed-form pricing formulas for both the perpetual and the finite time-horizon timer options under the 3/2 stochastic volatility model as well as under the Heston stochastic volatility model. For the treatment of timer option under the 3/…
We synthesize and discuss some new developments in econophysics. In doing so, we focus on option pricing. We relax the assumptions of constant volatility and interest rate. In doing so, we rely on the square root of the Brownian motion. We also provide simple, closed-form pricing formulas for the American and Bermudan options.
This paper investigates the pricing of European-style lookback options when the price dynamics of the underlying risky asset are assumed to follow a Markov-modulated Geo-metric Brownian motion; that is, the appreciation rate and the volatility of the underlying risky asset depend on unobservable states of the economy described by a continuous-time hidden Markov chain process. We derive an exact, explicit and closed-form solution for European-style lookback options in a two-state regime switching model.
In this paper we introduce a new approach to model-free path-dependent option pricing. We first introduce a general duality result for linear optimisation problems over signed measures introduced in [3] and show how the the problem of model-free option pricing can be formulated in the new framework. We then introduce a model to solve the problem numerically when the only information provided is the market data of vanilla call or put option prices. Compared to the common approaches in the literature, e.g. [4], the model does not require the marginal distributions of the stock price for differen…
We discuss several aspects of Mellin transform, including distributional Mellin transform and inversion of multiple Mellin-Barnes integrals in $\mathbb{C}^n$ and its connection to residue expansion or evaluation of Laplace integrals. These mathematical concepts are demonstrated on several option-pricing models. This includes European option models such as Black-Scholes or fractional-diffusion models, as well as evaluation of quantities related to the optimal exercise price of American options.
In this paper, we provide a unified treatment of the Vanna-Volga pricing technique. We derive the value of single and double barriers FX options, as well as closed formulas for the Delta, Vega, Vanna and Volga of those contracts.
This study deals with the problem of pricing compound options when the underlying asset follows a mixed fractional Brownian motion with jumps. An analytic formula for compound options is derived under the risk neutral measure. Then, these results are applied to value extendible options. Moreover, some special cases of the formula are discussed and numerical results are provided.
The pricing of currency options is largely dependent on the dynamic relationship between a pair of currencies. Typically, the pricing of options with payoffs dependent on multi-assets becomes tricky for reasons such as the non-Gaussian distribution of financial variable and non-linear macroeconomic relations between these markets. We study the options based on the currency pair US dollar and Indian rupee (USD-INR) and test several pricing formulas to evaluate the performance under different volatility regimes. We show the performance of the variance gamma and the symmetric variance gamma model…
Barrier options are one of the most widely traded exotic options on stock exchanges. In this paper, we develop a new stochastic simulation method for pricing barrier options and estimating the corresponding execution probabilities. We show that the proposed method always outperforms the standard Monte Carlo approach and becomes substantially more efficient when the underlying asset has high volatility, while it performs better than multilevel Monte Carlo for special cases of barrier options and underlying assets. These theoretical findings are confirmed by numerous simulation results.
Barrieu, Rouault, and Yor [J. Appl. Probab. 41 (2004)] determined asymptotics for the logarithm of the distribution function of the Hartman-Watson distribution. We determine the asymptotics of the density. This refinement can be applied to the pricing of Asian options in the Black-Scholes model.
In this paper we propose a closed-form approximation for the price of basket options under a multivariate Black-Scholes model, based on Taylor expansions and the calculation of mixed exponential-power moments of a Gaussian distribution. Our numerical results show that a second order expansion provides accurate prices of spread options with low computational costs, even for out-of-the-money contracts.
This paper examines the value of a cancellable European option in a finite time horizon setting. The specifications of this generalized European option allow the seller to cancel the option at any point in time for a fixed penalty paid directly to the holder. Here, we provide an explicit valuation formula for the European game call where the early cancellation time is obtained iteratively.
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