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arXiv 1903.08033math.PRmath.STstat.TH
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非遍历情形下具有周期平均的分数阶Ornstein-Uhlenbeck型过程的推论

Inference for fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type processes with periodic mean in the non-ergodic case

Radomyra Shevchenko, Jeannette H. C. Woerner

摘要:

本文研究了当随机积分为Young型时,在非遍历情形下分数阶Ornstein-Uhlenbeck型过程的漂移参数估计问题.我们考虑在$[0,T]$和$T\to\infty$上连续观测过程的抽样方案。对于已知Hurst参数$H\in(0.5, 1)$,即长程相依情形,我们构造了一个最小二乘型估计,并建立了强相合性。此外,我们还证明了一个二阶极限定理,该定理给出了速率依赖于$H$的周期函数参数的渐近正态性,以及平均回复参数具有指数速率的非中心Cauchy极限结果.对于周期性参数是周期函数的权重的特殊情况,其在周期上积分为零,我们甚至可以将速率提高到$\sqrt{T}$。

英文摘要:

In the paper we consider the problem of estimating parameters entering the drift of a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process in the non-ergodic case, when the underlying stochastic integral is of Young type. We consider the sampling scheme that the process is observed continuously on $[0,T]$ and $T\to\infty$. For known Hurst parameter $H\in(0.5, 1)$, i.e. the long range dependent case, we construct a least-squares type estimator and establish strong consistency. Furthermore, we prove a second order limit theorem which provides asymptotic normality for the parameters of the periodic function with a rate depending on $H$ and a non-central Cauchy limit result for the mean reverting parameter with exponential rate. For the special case that the periodicity parameter is the weight of a periodic function, which integrates to zero over the period, we can even improve the rate to $\sqrt{T}$.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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