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arXiv 1512.08067econ.GNq-fin.EC
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统一增长理论与欧洲经济增长相矛盾

Unified Growth Theory Contradicted by the Economic Growth in Europe

Griffith University（格里菲斯大学）

Ron W Nielsen

备注：
10 pages, 6 figures, 3989 words; fourth paper in the series of 5 discussing economic growth in Africa, Asia, former USSR, Europe and Latin America
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AI总结：

本文分析了东西欧的历史经济增长，发现其数据与统一增长理论相矛盾，指出理论未能解释经济增长机制，需重新审视或替代。

摘要：

西方和东欧的历史经济增长被分析。这些地区应为统一增长理论提供最有力的验证，因为它们尤其是西欧是工业革命的中心，根据Galor的观点，工业革命是经济增长的主要引擎。然而，西欧和东欧的数据与统一增长理论存在显著矛盾。数据与理论之间没有任何联系。数据表明从未发生从停滞到增长的转变，因为不存在停滞。工业革命本应对这些地区经济成长轨迹产生最大影响，但其对经济增长轨迹毫无影响。所谓的从马尔萨斯陷阱中逃脱并未发生，因为不存在陷阱。统一增长理论未能解释经济增长的机制，因为其解释基于不存在的神话特征，这些特征与数据相矛盾。该理论需要彻底修订或被基于经济成长数据专业分析的理论所替代。

英文摘要：

Historical economic growth in Western and Eastern Europe is analysed. These regions should have produced the best and the most convincing confirmation of the Unified Growth Theory because they, and in particular Western Europe, were the centre of the Industrial Revolution, which according to Galor was the prime engine of economic growth. However, the data for Western and Eastern Europe show a remarkable disagreement with the Unified Growth Theory. There is no connection, whatever, between the data and the Unified Growth Theory. The data show that there was never a transition from stagnation to growth because there was no stagnation. Industrial Revolution, which should have the strongest influence in these regions, had absolutely no impact on changing the economic growth trajectories. The alleged remarkable or stunning escape from Malthusian trap did not happen because there was no trap. Unified Growth Theory does not explain the mechanism of the economic growth because its explanations are based on mythical features, which did not exist, the features contradicted by data. This theory needs to be either thoroughly revised or most likely replaced by a theory supported by a professional analysis of economic growth data.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。

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