拉丁美洲经济成长与统一成长理论的矛盾
Unified Growth Theory Contradicted by the Economic Growth in Latin America
AI总结：
拉丁美洲的历史经济成长数据挑战了统一成长理论，该理论未能解释经济成长机制，且基于对超几何分布的误解和数据分析的不科学性。
摘要：
利用Maddison的数据分析拉丁美洲的历史经济成长，发现统一成长理论与非洲、亚洲、前苏联、西欧、东欧及全球经济成长数据一致被反驳。该理论未能解释经济成长机制，因其基于对超几何分布性质的误解和不科学的数据分析。在所谓的Malthusian时期末期，经济成长并非从停滞转向增长，而是呈现超几何增长轨迹。没有逃脱Malthusian陷阱，因为不存在陷阱。没有起飞点，反而在所谓的起飞时刻经济成长轨迹开始放缓。统一成长理论与现实脱节，需修订或替代。
英文摘要：
Historical economic growth in Latin America is analysed using the data of Maddison. Unified Growth Theory is found to be contradicted by these data in the same way as it is contradicted by the economic growth in Africa, Asia, former USSR, Western Europe, Eastern Europe and by the world economic growth. Paradoxically, Unified Growth Theory is repeatedly and consistently contradicted by the same data, which were used, but never properly analysed, during the formulation of this theory. Unified Growth Theory does not explain the mechanism of the economic growth because it explains features contradicted by data. This theory is based fundamentally on the unfortunate lack of understanding of the properties of hyperbolic distribution and on the unscientific analysis of data. There was no transition from stagnation to growth at the end of the alleged Malthusian regime because the economic growth was hyperbolic. There was no escape from Malthusian trap because there was no trap. There was no takeoff. On the contrary, at the time of the alleged takeoff economic growth started to be diverted to a slower trajectory. Unified Growth Theory is dissociated from the reality. This theory needs to be revised or replaced. In its present form, it is a collection of irrelevant stories based on impressions and on the unscientific use of data.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
