We justify and give error estimates for binomial approximations of game (Israeli) options in the Black--Scholes market with Lipschitz continuous path dependent payoffs which are new also for usual American style options. We show also that rational (optimal) exercise times and hedging self-financing portfolios of binomial approximations yield for game options in the Black--Scholes market ``nearly'' rational exercise times and ``nearly'' hedging self-financing portfolios with small average shortfalls and initial capitals close to fair prices of the options. The estimates rely on strong invariance principle type approximations via the Skorokhod embedding.
We show that the shortfall risk of binomial approximations of game (Israeli) options converges to the shortfall risk in the corresponding Black--Scholes market considering Lipschitz continuous path-dependent payoffs for both discrete- and continuous-time cases. These results are new also for usual American style options. The paper continues and extends the study of Kifer [Ann. Appl. Probab. 16 (2006) 984--1033] where estimates for binomial approximations of prices of game options were obtained. Our arguments rely, in particular, on strong invariance principle type approximations via the Skorok…
We start briefly surveying research on optimal stopping games since their introduction by E.B.Dynkin more than 40 years ago. Recent renewed interest to dynkin's games is due, in particular, to the study of Israeli (game) options introduced in 2000. We discuss the work on these options and related derivative securities for the last decade. Among various results on game options we consider error estimates for their discrete approximations, swing game options, game options in markets with transaction costs and other questions.
We introduce a setup of model uncertainty in discrete time. In this setup we derive dual expressions for the super--replication prices of game options with upper semicontinuous payoffs. We show that the super--replication price is equal to the supremum over a special (non dominated) set of martingale measures, of the corresponding Dynkin games values. This type of results is also new for American options.
In this paper we study the nonzero-sum Dynkin game in continuous time which is a two player non-cooperative game on stopping times. We show that it has a Nash equilibrium point for general stochastic processes. As an application, we consider the problem of pricing American game contingent claims by the utility maximization approach.
Game (Israeli) options in a multi-asset market model with proportional transaction costs are studied in the case when the buyer is allowed to exercise the option and the seller has the right to cancel the option gradually at a mixed (or randomised) stopping time, rather than instantly at an ordinary stopping time. Allowing gradual exercise and cancellation leads to increased flexibility in hedging, and hence tighter bounds on the option price as compared to the case of instantaneous exercise and cancellation. Algorithmic constructions for the bid and ask prices, and the associated superhedging…
We consider an incomplete multi-asset binomial market model. We prove that for a wide class of contingent claims the extremal multi-step martingale measure is a power of the corresponding single-step extremal martingale measure. This allows for closed form formulas for the bounds of a no-arbitrage contingent claim price interval. We construct a feasible algorithm for computing those boundaries as well as for the corresponding hedging strategies. Our results apply, for example, to European basket call and put options and Asian arithmetic average options.
The aim of this paper is twofold. First, we extend the results of [33] concerning the existence and uniqueness of second-order reflected 2BSDEs to the case of two obstacles. Under some regularity assumptions on one of the barriers, similar to the ones in [10], and when the two barriers are completely separated, we provide a complete wellposedness theory for doubly reflected second-order BSDEs. We also show that these objects are related to non-standard optimal stopping games, thus generalizing the connection between DRBSDEs and Dynkin games first proved by Cvitanic and Karatzas [11]. More prec…
In this paper, we present a quantum version of some portions of Mathematical Finance, including theory of arbitrage, asset pricing, and optional decomposition in financial markets based on finite dimensional quantum probability spaces. As examples, the quantum model of binomial markets is studied. We show that this quantum model ceases to pose the paradox which appears in the classical model of the binomial market. Furthermore, we re-deduce the Cox-Ross-Rubinstein binomial option pricing formula by considering multi-period quantum binomial markets.
This paper considers binomial approximation of continuous time stochastic processes. It is shown that, under some mild integrability conditions, a process can be approximated in mean square sense and in other strong metrics by binomial processes, i.e., by processes with fixed size binary increments at sampling points. Moreover, this approximation can be causal, i.e., at every time it requires only past historical values of the underlying process. In addition, possibility of approximation of solutions of stochastic differential equations by solutions of ordinary equations with binary noise is e…
We construct algorithms for computation of prices and superhedging strategies for game options in general discrete markets both from the seller and the buyer points of view.
In this article, we study the rate of convergence of prices when a model is approximated by some simplified model. We also provide a method how explicit error formula for more general options can be obtained if such formula is available for digital option prices. We illustrate our results by considering convergence of binomial prices to Black-Scholes prices. We also consider smooth convergence in which the approximation does not oscillate for general class of payoff functions.
In this paper we introduce a numerical method for optimal stopping in the framework of one dimensional diffusion. We use the Skorokhod embedding in order to construct recombining tree approximations for diffusions with general coefficients. This technique allows us to determine convergence rates and construct nearly optimal stopping times which are optimal at the same rate. Finally, we demonstrate the efficiency of our scheme with several examples of game options.
In this paper we consider Dynkin's games with payoffs which are functions of an underlying process. Assuming extended weak convergence of underlying processes $\{S^{(n)}\}_{n=0}^{\infty}$ to a limit process $S$ we prove convergence Dynkin's games values corresponding to $\{S^{(n)}\}_{n=0}^{\infty}$ to the Dynkin's game value corresponding to $S$. We use these results to approximate game options prices with path dependent payoffs in continuous time models by a sequence of game options prices in discrete time models which can be calculated by dynamical programming algorithms. In comparison to pr…
We study pricing and superhedging strategies for game options in an imperfect market with default. We extend the results obtained by Kifer in \cite{Kifer} in the case of a perfect market model to the case of an imperfect market with default, when the imperfections are taken into account via the nonlinearity of the wealth dynamics. We introduce the {\em seller's price} of the game option as the infimum of the initial wealths which allow the seller to be superhedged. We {prove} that this price coincides with the value function of an associated {\em generalized} Dynkin game, recently introduced i…
We obtain error estimates for strong approximations of a diffusion with a diffusion matrix $σ$ and a drift b by the discrete time process defined recursively X_N((n+1)/N) = X_N(n/N)+N^{1/2}σ(X_N(n/N))ξ(n+1)+N^{-1}b(XN(n/N)); where ξ(n); n\geq 1 are i.i.d. random vectors, and apply this in order to approximate the fair price of a game option with a diffusion asset price evolution by values of Dynkin's games with payoffs based on the above discrete time processes. This provides an effective tool for computations of fair prices of game options with path dependent payoffs in a multi asset market w…
We investigate upper and lower hedging prices of multivariate contingent claims from the viewpoint of game-theoretic probability and submodularity. By considering a game between "Market" and "Investor" in discrete time, the pricing problem is reduced to a backward induction of an optimization over simplexes. For European options with payoff functions satisfying a combinatorial property called submodularity or supermodularity, this optimization is solved in closed form by using the Lovász extension and the upper and lower hedging prices can be calculated efficiently. This class includes the opt…
We develop an option pricing model based on a tug-of-war game. This two-player zero-sum stochastic differential game is formulated in the context of a multi-dimensional financial market. The issuer and the holder try to manipulate asset price processes in order to minimize and maximize the expected discounted reward. We prove that the game has a value and that the value function is the unique viscosity solution to a terminal value problem for a parabolic partial differential equation involving the non-linear and completely degenerate infinity Laplace operator.
The aim of this short note is to fill in a gap in our earlier paper [16] on 2BSDEs with reflections, and to explain how to correct the subsequent results in the second paper [15]. We also provide more insight on the properties of 2RBSDEs, in the light of the recent contributions [13, 23] in the so--called $G-$framework.
Game contingent claims (GCCs) generalize American contingent claims by allowing the writer to recall the option as long as it is not exercised, at the price of paying some penalty. In incomplete markets, an appealing approach is to analyze GCCs like their European and American counterparts by solving option holder's and writer's optimal investment problems in the underlying securities. By this, partial hedging opportunities are taken into account. We extend results in the literature by solving the stochastic game corresponding to GCCs with both continuous time stopping and trading. Namely, we …
In 2002, Benjamin Jourdain and Claude Martini discovered that for a class of payoff functions, the pricing problem for American options can be reduced to pricing of European options for an appropriately associated payoff, all within a Black-Scholes framework. This discovery has been investigated in great detail by Sören Christensen, Jan Kallsen and Matthias Lenga in a recent work in 2020. In the present work we prove that this phenomenon can be observed in a wider context, and even holds true in a setup of non-linear stochastic processes. We analyse this problem from both probabilistic and ana…
We derive error estimates for multinomial approximations of American options in a multidimensional jump--diffusion Merton's model. We assume that the payoffs are Markovian and satisfy Lipschitz type conditions. Error estimates for such type of approximations were not obtained before. Our main tool is the strong approximations theorems for i.i.d. random vectors which were obtained [14]. For the multidimensional Black--Scholes model our results can be extended also to a general path dependent payoffs which satisfy Lipschitz type conditions. For the case of multinomial approximations of American …
In this paper we study the continuum time dynamics of a stock in a market where agents behavior is modeled by a Minority Game and a Grand Canonical Minority Game. The dynamics derived is a generalized geometric Brownian motion; from the Black & Scholes formula the calibration of both the Minority Game and the Grand Canonical Minority Game, by means of their characteristic parameters, is performed. We conclude that for both games the asymmetric phase with characteristic parameters close to critical ones is coherent with options implied volatility market.
