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arXiv 2506.17543cs.LG
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预测电子商务购买行为:一种受DQN启发的深度学习模型以增强适应性

Predicting E-commerce Purchase Behavior using a DQN-Inspired Deep Learning Model for enhanced adaptability

Independent Researcher(独立研究者)

Aditi Madhusudan Jain

AI总结:

提出一种受DQN启发的深度学习模型,结合LSTM捕捉时序模式,在88.5万用户会话数据集上以88%准确率和0.88 AUC预测购买行为,优于传统方法。

摘要:

本文提出了一种新颖的方法,用于预测电子商务环境中的购买意图和产品需求,该方法利用了一种受深度Q网络(DQN)启发的架构。在快速发展的在线零售领域,准确预测用户行为对于优化库存管理、个性化用户体验和最大化销售额至关重要。我们的方法将强化学习的概念适应到监督学习环境中,结合了长短期记忆(LSTM)网络的序列建模能力和DQN的战略决策方面。我们在一个包含超过885,000个用户会话的大规模电子商务数据集上评估了我们的模型,每个会话具有1,114个特征。我们的方法在处理电子商务数据中典型的类别不平衡问题方面表现出稳健的性能,其中购买事件显著少于非购买事件。通过使用各种分类阈值的全面实验,我们表明我们的模型在精确率和召回率之间取得了平衡,总体准确率为88%,AUC-ROC得分为0.88。比较分析显示,我们受DQN启发的模型相对于传统机器学习和标准深度学习方法具有优势,特别是在捕捉用户行为中复杂的时间模式方面。该模型的性能和可扩展性使其非常适合处理高维、序列数据的现实世界电子商务应用。这项研究通过引入一种结合深度学习和强化学习范式的优势的新颖预测建模技术,为电子商务分析领域做出了贡献。我们的发现对于改进在线零售环境中的需求预测、个性化用户体验和优化营销策略具有重要意义。

英文摘要:

This paper presents a novel approach to predicting buying intent and product demand in e-commerce settings, leveraging a Deep Q-Network (DQN) inspired architecture. In the rapidly evolving landscape of online retail, accurate prediction of user behavior is crucial for optimizing inventory management, personalizing user experiences, and maximizing sales. Our method adapts concepts from reinforcement learning to a supervised learning context, combining the sequential modeling capabilities of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks with the strategic decision-making aspects of DQNs. We evaluate our model on a large-scale e-commerce dataset comprising over 885,000 user sessions, each characterized by 1,114 features. Our approach demonstrates robust performance in handling the inherent class imbalance typical in e-commerce data, where purchase events are significantly less frequent than non-purchase events. Through comprehensive experimentation with various classification thresholds, we show that our model achieves a balance between precision and recall, with an overall accuracy of 88\% and an AUC-ROC score of 0.88. Comparative analysis reveals that our DQN-inspired model offers advantages over traditional machine learning and standard deep learning approaches, particularly in its ability to capture complex temporal patterns in user behavior. The model's performance and scalability make it well-suited for real-world e-commerce applications dealing with high-dimensional, sequential data. This research contributes to the field of e-commerce analytics by introducing a novel predictive modeling technique that combines the strengths of deep learning and reinforcement learning paradigms. Our findings have significant implications for improving demand forecasting, personalizing user experiences, and optimizing marketing strategies in online retail environments.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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