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arXiv 2409.12971eess.SYcs.SY
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通过协同优化风电、太阳能、储能及并网容量规模来减少输电扩建

Reducing transmission expansion by co-optimizing sizing of wind, solar, storage and grid connection capacity

Aneesha Manocha, Gabriel Mantegna, Neha Patankar, Jesse D. Jenkins

AI总结:

本研究通过协同优化风电、太阳能、储能及并网容量,发现共址储能可减少约10%输电扩建,并提高储能价值22-25%,为电网规划提供新思路。

摘要:

扩大输电容量可能成为制约实现雄心勃勃减排目标所需的可变可再生能源(VRE)部署的瓶颈。并网及区域间输电建设可能被VRE与并网容量的最优规模配置以及VRE与电池资源在并网点的共址部署所替代。然而,宏观能源系统模型通常未纳入这些能力。我们开发了两种新功能,以探索储能对输电的替代性,以及到2030年美国西部互联电网中可再生能源和电池资源的最优容量与选址决策。我们的研究结果表明,对优化并网和储能共址进行建模能更好地捕捉储能的全部价值及其替代输电的能力。优化并网容量和共址可将总并网及较短距离输电容量扩建减少约10%,此时储能渗透率相当于峰值系统需求的2.5%-10%。并网容量的下降对应于VRE与并网容量之比的提高(平均1.5-1.6兆瓦(MW)光伏:1 MW逆变器容量,1.2-1.3 MW风电:1 MW并网容量)。储能与VRE共址还导致风电容量增加10%-15%,因为风电场址往往需要更长且更昂贵的并网线路。最后,在我们的模型设置中,共址储能比独立储能具有更高价值(22%-25%)。鉴于我们模型中输电网络的粗略表示,这一结果可能高估了储能与VRE共址在现实世界中的重要性。然而,它突显了将储能选址于电网受限位置可最大化储能价值并减少输电扩建。

英文摘要:

Expanding transmission capacity is likely a bottleneck that will restrict variable renewable energy (VRE) deployment required to achieve ambitious emission reduction goals. Interconnection and inter-zonal transmission buildout may be displaced by the optimal sizing of VRE to grid connection capacity and by the co-location of VRE and battery resources behind interconnection. However, neither of these capabilities is commonly captured in macro-energy system models. We develop two new functionalities to explore the substitutability of storage for transmission and the optimal capacity and siting decisions of renewable energy and battery resources through 2030 in the Western Interconnection of the United States. Our findings indicate that modeling optimized interconnection and storage co-location better captures the full value of energy storage and its ability to substitute for transmission. Optimizing interconnection capacity and co-location can reduce total grid connection and shorter-distance transmission capacity expansion on the order of 10% at storage penetration equivalent to 2.5-10% of peak system demand. The decline in interconnection capacity corresponds with greater ratios of VRE to grid connection capacity (an average of 1.5-1.6 megawatt (MW) PV:1 MW inverter capacity, 1.2-1.3 MW wind:1 MW interconnection). Co-locating storage with VREs also results in a 10-15% increase in wind capacity, as wind sites tend to require longer and more costly interconnection. Finally, co-located storage exhibits higher value than standalone storage in our model setup (22-25%). Given the coarse representation of transmission networks in our modeling, this outcome likely overstates the real-world importance of storage co-location with VREs. However, it highlights how siting storage in grid-constrained locations can maximize the value of storage and reduce transmission expansion.

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