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arXiv 2011.07989cs.LGstat.ML

一种平衡状态演化信息与被污染上下文信息的新型老虎机设置

A New Bandit Setting Balancing Information from State Evolution and Corrupted Context

Center for Applied Intelligent Systems Research(应用智能系统研究中心);Halmstad University(哈尔姆斯塔德大学)

Alexander Galozy, Slawomir Nowaczyk, Mattias Ohlsson

AI总结:

针对移动健康等场景中状态不可观测、上下文可能被污染的序贯决策问题,提出融合上下文老虎机与多臂老虎机策略的算法,通过马尔可夫状态转移建模提升决策效率,实验验证其性能优于现有方法。

摘要:

我们提出了一种新的序贯决策设置,它结合了两类已有的带老虎机反馈的在线学习问题的核心特征。智能体在任意时刻采取的最优动作,取决于一个无法直接观测的潜在变化状态。每个状态都对应一个可能被污染的上下文分布,智能体可借此识别状态。此外,状态以马尔可夫方式演化,为利用状态历史估计当前状态提供了有效信息。在提出的问题设置中,我们解决了智能体选择臂时应基于两类信息源中哪一类的挑战。我们提出了一种算法,通过仲裁器动态融合上下文老虎机与多臂老虎机的策略。我们通过迭代学习动作-奖励转移模型捕捉状态的时间相关性,从而实现动作的高效探索。该设置的研究动机来自自适应移动健康(mHealth)干预场景:用户会在不同的、具有时间相关性但仅部分可观测的内部状态间转换,这些状态决定了用户当前的需求。每个内部状态对应的辅助信息并非始终可靠,仅依赖上下文的标准方法存在产生高遗憾的风险。同样,部分用户的连续状态间相关性可能较弱,导致仅依赖状态转移的方法也存在相同风险。我们从遗憾下界与上界的角度分析了该设置与算法,并在模拟的药物依从性干预数据及多个真实数据集上评估了方法,结果表明其经验性能优于多种主流算法。

英文摘要:

We propose a new sequential decision-making setting, combining key aspects of two established online learning problems with bandit feedback. The optimal action to play at any given moment is contingent on an underlying changing state which is not directly observable by the agent. Each state is associated with a context distribution, possibly corrupted, allowing the agent to identify the state. Furthermore, states evolve in a Markovian fashion, providing useful information to estimate the current state via state history. In the proposed problem setting, we tackle the challenge of deciding on which of the two sources of information the agent should base its arm selection. We present an algorithm that uses a referee to dynamically combine the policies of a contextual bandit and a multi-armed bandit. We capture the time-correlation of states through iteratively learning the action-reward transition model, allowing for efficient exploration of actions. Our setting is motivated by adaptive mobile health (mHealth) interventions. Users transition through different, time-correlated, but only partially observable internal states, determining their current needs. The side information associated with each internal state might not always be reliable, and standard approaches solely rely on the context risk of incurring high regret. Similarly, some users might exhibit weaker correlations between subsequent states, leading to approaches that solely rely on state transitions risking the same. We analyze our setting and algorithm in terms of regret lower bound and upper bounds and evaluate our method on simulated medication adherence intervention data and several real-world data sets, showing improved empirical performance compared to several popular algorithms.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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