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arXiv 2009.09198econ.GNq-fin.ECq-fin.GN
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实施普遍基本收入以应对技术性失业

On the implementation of the Universal Basic Income as a response to technological unemployment

Le Dong Hai Nguyen

摘要:

自动化对我们经济和社会的影响比以往任何时候都更加明显,在未来十年或二十年内,近一半的工作都有可能完全由机器执行。政策制定者和学者都支持全民基本收入(UBI)作为解决这一问题的全面解决方案。本文通过分析以往UBI可比实验的经验数据,并提出理论预测,强调UBI在改善养老金领取者相关生活水平和就业能力指标方面令人失望的影响,来探讨UBI在解决自动化导致的大规模劳动力转移方面的不足。最后,应建议保留现有的经过经济状况调查的福利计划,同时加强对更先进的工人培训计划的资助和研发,作为解决技术性失业问题的更有效解决方案。

英文摘要:

The effects of automation on our economy and society are more palpable than ever, with nearly half of jobs at risk of being fully executed by machines over the next decade or two. Policymakers and scholars alike have championed the Universal Basic Income (UBI) as a catch-all solution to this problem. This paper examines the shortcomings of UBI in addressing the automation-led large-scale displacement of labor by analyzing empirical data from previous UBI-comparable experiments and presenting theoretical projections that highlight disappointing impacts of UBI in the improvement of relevant living standards and employability metrics among pensioners. Finally, a recommendation shall be made for the retainment of existing means-tested welfare programs while bolstering funding and R&D for more up-to-date worker training schemes as a more effective solution to technological unemployment.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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