Contextual bandit algorithms are extremely popular and widely used in recommendation systems to provide online personalised recommendations. A recurrent assumption is the stationarity of the reward function, which is rather unrealistic in most of the real-world applications. In the music recommendation scenario for instance, people's music taste can abruptly change during certain events, such as Halloween or Christmas, and revert to the previous music taste soon after.
We would therefore need an algorithm which can promptly react to these changes. Moreover, we would like to leverage already observed rewards collected during different stationary periods which can potentially reoccur, without the need of restarting the learning process from scratch. A growing literature has addressed the problem of reward's non-stationarity, providing algorithms that could quickly adapt to the changing environment. However, up to our knowledge, there is no algorithm which deals with seasonal changes of the reward function. Here we present a contextual bandit algorithm which detects and adapts to abrupt changes of the reward function and leverages previous estimations whenever the environment falls back to a previously observed state. We show that the proposed method can outperform state-of-the-art algorithms for non-stationary environments. We ran our experiment on both synthetic and real datasets.
Università degli Studi di Milano（米兰大学）；Tel-Aviv University（特拉维夫大学）；Edmond J. Safra Center for Bioinformatics（埃德蒙·J·萨夫拉生物信息学中心）；Sagol School of Neuroscience（萨戈尔神经科学学院）
Motivated by the fact that humans like some level of unpredictability or novelty, and might therefore get quickly bored when interacting with a stationary policy, we introduce a novel non-stationary bandit problem, where the expected reward of an arm is fully determined by the time elapsed since the arm last took part in a switch of actions. Our model generalizes previous notions of delay-dependent rewards, and also relaxes most assumptions on the reward function. This enables the modeling of phenomena such as progressive satiation and periodic behaviours. Building upon the Combinatorial Semi-…
Bandits with covariates, a.k.a. contextual bandits, address situations where optimal actions (or arms) at a given time $t$, depend on a context $x_t$, e.g., a new patient's medical history, a consumer's past purchases. While it is understood that the distribution of contexts might change over time, e.g., due to seasonalities, or deployment to new environments, the bulk of studies concern the most adversarial such changes, resulting in regret bounds that are often worst-case in nature. Covariate-shift on the other hand has been considered in classification as a middle-ground formalism that can …
Finite-time Analysis of Globally Nonstationary Multi-Armed Bandits
Stern School of Business（斯特恩商学院）；New York University（纽约大学）；Institute for Program Structures and Data Organization（程序结构与数据组织研究所）；Karlsruhe Institute of Technology（卡尔斯鲁厄理工学院）；Kyoto University（京都大学）
University of Copenhagen（哥本哈根大学）；University of Southern California（南加州大学）
We develop the first general semi-bandit algorithm that simultaneously achieves $\mathcal{O}(\log T)$ regret for stochastic environments and $\mathcal{O}(\sqrt{T})$ regret for adversarial environments without knowledge of the regime or the number of rounds $T$. The leading problem-dependent constants of our bounds are not only optimal in some worst-case sense studied previously, but also optimal for two concrete instances of semi-bandit problems. Our algorithm and analysis extend the recent work of (Zimmert & Seldin, 2019) for the special case of multi-armed bandit, but importantly requires a …
We study the multi-player stochastic multiarmed bandit (MAB) problem in an abruptly changing environment. We consider a collision model in which a player receives reward at an arm if it is the only player to select the arm. We design two novel algorithms, namely, Round-Robin Sliding-Window Upper Confidence Bound\# (RR-SW-UCB\#), and the Sliding-Window Distributed Learning with Prioritization (SW-DLP). We rigorously analyze these algorithms and show that the expected cumulative group regret for these algorithms is upper bounded by sublinear functions of time, i.e., the time average of the regre…
Multi-armed bandit algorithms have become a reference solution for handling the explore/exploit dilemma in recommender systems, and many other important real-world problems, such as display advertisement. However, such algorithms usually assume a stationary reward distribution, which hardly holds in practice as users' preferences are dynamic. This inevitably costs a recommender system consistent suboptimal performance. In this paper, we consider the situation where the underlying distribution of reward remains unchanged over (possibly short) epochs and shifts at unknown time instants. In accor…
University of Toronto Mississauga（多伦多大学密西沙加分校）；University of Toronto（多伦多大学）；Tsinghua University（清华大学）
A standard assumption adopted in the multi-armed bandit (MAB) framework is that the mean rewards are constant over time. This assumption can be restrictive in the business world as decision-makers often face an evolving environment where the mean rewards are time-varying. In this paper, we consider a non-stationary MAB model with $K$ arms whose mean rewards vary over time in a periodic manner. The unknown periods can be different across arms and scale with the length of the horizon $T$ polynomially. We propose a two-stage policy that combines the Fourier analysis with a confidence-bound-based …
Non-Stationary Bandit Learning via Predictive Sampling
Jones Graduate School of Business, Rice University（里士满大学沃森商学院研究生院）；Stanford Graduate School of Business（斯坦福商学院）；Department of Management Science and Engineering, Department of Electrical Engineering, Stanford University（斯坦福大学管理科学与工程系、电气工程系）
University of California, Davis（加利福尼亚大学戴维斯分校）；University of California, Los Angeles（加利福尼亚大学洛杉矶分校）
Classic contextual bandit algorithms for linear models, such as LinUCB, assume that the reward distribution for an arm is modeled by a stationary linear regression. When the linear regression model is non-stationary over time, the regret of LinUCB can scale linearly with time. In this paper, we propose a novel multiscale changepoint detection method for the non-stationary linear bandit problems, called Multiscale-LinUCB, which actively adapts to the changing environment. We also provide theoretical analysis of regret bound for Multiscale-LinUCB algorithm. Experimental results show that our pro…
We study the non-stationary stochastic multiarmed bandit (MAB) problem and propose two generic algorithms, namely, the limited memory deterministic sequencing of exploration and exploitation (LM-DSEE) and the Sliding-Window Upper Confidence Bound# (SW-UCB#). We rigorously analyze these algorithms in abruptly-changing and slowly-varying environments and characterize their performance. We show that the expected cumulative regret for these algorithms under either of the environments is upper bounded by sublinear functions of time, i.e., the time average of the regret asymptotically converges to z…
Zalando Research（Zalando研究）；OLX Berlin Hub（OLX柏林中心）
Deep Reinforcement Learning has been shown to be very successful in complex games, e.g. Atari or Go. These games have clearly defined rules, and hence allow simulation. In many practical applications, however, interactions with the environment are costly and a good simulator of the environment is not available. Further, as environments differ by application, the optimal inductive bias (architecture, hyperparameters, etc.) of a reinforcement agent depends on the application. In this work, we propose a multi-arm bandit framework that selects from a set of different reinforcement learning agents …
Online recommender systems often face long delays in receiving feedback, especially when optimizing for some long-term metrics. While mitigating the effects of delays in learning is well-understood in stationary environments, the problem becomes much more challenging when the environment changes. In fact, if the timescale of the change is comparable to the delay, it is impossible to learn about the environment, since the available observations are already obsolete. However, the arising issues can be addressed if intermediate signals are available without delay, such that given those signals, t…
University of California, Davis（加州大学戴维斯分校）；University of California, Los Angeles（加州大学洛杉矶分校）
The stochastic contextual bandit problem, which models the trade-off between exploration and exploitation, has many real applications, including recommender systems, online advertising and clinical trials. As many other machine learning algorithms, contextual bandit algorithms often have one or more hyper-parameters. As an example, in most optimal stochastic contextual bandit algorithms, there is an unknown exploration parameter which controls the trade-off between exploration and exploitation. A proper choice of the hyper-parameters is essential for contextual bandit algorithms to perform wel…
We consider a stochastic linear bandit model in which the available actions correspond to arbitrary context vectors whose associated rewards follow a non-stationary linear regression model. In this setting, the unknown regression parameter is allowed to vary in time. To address this problem, we propose D-LinUCB, a novel optimistic algorithm based on discounted linear regression, where exponential weights are used to smoothly forget the past. This involves studying the deviations of the sequential weighted least-squares estimator under generic assumptions. As a by-product, we obtain novel devia…
Non-stationary bandits and online clustering of bandits lift the restrictive assumptions in contextual bandits and provide solutions to many important real-world scenarios. Though the essence in solving these two problems overlaps considerably, they have been studied independently. In this paper, we connect these two strands of bandit research under the notion of test of homogeneity, which seamlessly addresses change detection for non-stationary bandit and cluster identification for online clustering of bandit in a unified solution framework. Rigorous regret analysis and extensive empirical ev…
Google Research（谷歌研究院）；DeepMind（深度思维）；University of Alberta（阿尔伯塔大学）
Most bandit policies are designed to either minimize regret in any problem instance, making very few assumptions about the underlying environment, or in a Bayesian sense, assuming a prior distribution over environment parameters. The former are often too conservative in practical settings, while the latter require assumptions that are hard to verify in practice. We study bandit problems that fall between these two extremes, where the learning agent has access to sampled bandit instances from an unknown prior distribution $\mathcal{P}$ and aims to achieve high reward on average over the bandit …
University of Southern California（南加州大学）；Microsoft Research, NYC（微软研究院（纽约））
Most contextual bandit algorithms minimize regret against the best fixed policy, a questionable benchmark for non-stationary environments that are ubiquitous in applications. In this work, we develop several efficient contextual bandit algorithms for non-stationary environments by equipping existing methods for i.i.d. problems with sophisticated statistical tests so as to dynamically adapt to a change in distribution. We analyze various standard notions of regret suited to non-stationary environments for these algorithms, including interval regret, switching regret, and dynamic regret. When co…
Collaborative bandit learning, i.e., bandit algorithms that utilize collaborative filtering techniques to improve sample efficiency in online interactive recommendation, has attracted much research attention as it enjoys the best of both worlds. However, all existing collaborative bandit learning solutions impose a stationary assumption about the environment, i.e., both user preferences and the dependency among users are assumed static over time. Unfortunately, this assumption hardly holds in practice due to users' ever-changing interests and dependence relations, which inevitably costs a reco…
Australian National University（澳大利亚国立大学）；Data61/NICTA（Data61/国家信息与通信技术研究院）；University of Alberta（阿尔伯塔大学）
We study the problem of using causal models to improve the rate at which good interventions can be learned online in a stochastic environment. Our formalism combines multi-arm bandits and causal inference to model a novel type of bandit feedback that is not exploited by existing approaches. We propose a new algorithm that exploits the causal feedback and prove a bound on its simple regret that is strictly better (in all quantities) than algorithms that do not use the additional causal information.
Research on the multi-armed bandit problem has studied the trade-off of exploration and exploitation in depth. However, there are numerous applications where the cardinal absolute-valued feedback model (e.g. ratings from one to five) is not suitable. This has motivated the formulation of the duelling bandits problem, where the learner picks a pair of actions and observes a noisy binary feedback, indicating a relative preference between the two. There exist a multitude of different settings and interpretations of the problem for two reasons. First, due to the absence of a total order of actions…
Centre Borelli, ENS Paris-Saclay（巴黎萨克雷高等师范学院博雷利中心）；Cdiscount（Cdiscount公司）；CREST, ENSAE Paris（巴黎经济与统计高等学校统计与经济研究中心）；Criteo AI Lab（Criteo人工智能实验室）
Continuously learning and leveraging the knowledge accumulated from prior tasks in order to improve future performance is a long standing machine learning problem. In this paper, we study the problem in the multi-armed bandit framework with the objective to minimize the total regret incurred over a series of tasks. While most bandit algorithms are designed to have a low worst-case regret, we examine here the average regret over bandit instances drawn from some prior distribution which may change over time. We specifically focus on confidence interval tuning of UCB algorithms. We propose a band…
We study the problem of corralling stochastic bandit algorithms, that is combining multiple bandit algorithms designed for a stochastic environment, with the goal of devising a corralling algorithm that performs almost as well as the best base algorithm. We give two general algorithms for this setting, which we show benefit from favorable regret guarantees. We show that the regret of the corralling algorithms is no worse than that of the best algorithm containing the arm with the highest reward, and depends on the gap between the highest reward and other rewards.
Reinforcement learning addresses the dilemma between exploration to find profitable actions and exploitation to act according to the best observations already made. Bandit problems are one such class of problems in stateless environments that represent this explore/exploit situation. We propose a learning algorithm for bandit problems based on fractional expectation of rewards acquired. The algorithm is theoretically shown to converge on an eta-optimal arm and achieve O(n) sample complexity. Experimental results show the algorithm incurs substantially lower regrets than parameter-optimized eta…
We derive an algorithm that achieves the optimal (within constants) pseudo-regret in both adversarial and stochastic multi-armed bandits without prior knowledge of the regime and time horizon. The algorithm is based on online mirror descent (OMD) with Tsallis entropy regularization with power $α=1/2$ and reduced-variance loss estimators. More generally, we define an adversarial regime with a self-bounding constraint, which includes stochastic regime, stochastically constrained adversarial regime (Wei and Luo), and stochastic regime with adversarial corruptions (Lykouris et al.) as special case…
Microsoft Research（微软研究院）；Toyota Technological Institute at Chicago（芝加哥丰田工业大学）
We study the problem of combining multiple bandit algorithms (that is, online learning algorithms with partial feedback) with the goal of creating a master algorithm that performs almost as well as the best base algorithm if it were to be run on its own. The main challenge is that when run with a master, base algorithms unavoidably receive much less feedback and it is thus critical that the master not starve a base algorithm that might perform uncompetitively initially but would eventually outperform others if given enough feedback. We address this difficulty by devising a version of Online Mi…
Competing Bandits in Decentralized Contextual Matching Markets
Department of Electrical Engineering IIT Bombay（印度理工学院班加罗尔电气工程系）；Google New York（谷歌纽约分公司）；Department of Computer Science and Engineering IIT Bombay（印度理工学院班加罗尔计算机科学与工程系）；Amazon Web Services Santa Clara（亚马逊网络服务圣克拉拉）
We introduce a stochastic contextual bandit model where at each time step the environment chooses a distribution over a context set and samples the context from this distribution. The learner observes only the context distribution while the exact context realization remains hidden. This allows for a broad range of applications where the context is stochastic or when the learner needs to predict the context. We leverage the UCB algorithm to this setting and show that it achieves an order-optimal high-probability bound on the cumulative regret for linear and kernelized reward functions. Our resu…
Assuming distributions are Gaussian often facilitates computations that are otherwise intractable. We study the performance of an agent that attains a bounded information ratio with respect to a bandit environment with a Gaussian prior distribution and a Gaussian likelihood function when applied instead to a Bernoulli bandit. Relative to an information-theoretic bound on the Bayesian regret the agent would incur when interacting with the Gaussian bandit, we bound the increase in regret when the agent interacts with the Bernoulli bandit. If the Gaussian prior distribution and likelihood functio…
Thompson sampling, a Bayesian method for balancing exploration and exploitation in bandit problems, has theoretical guarantees and exhibits strong empirical performance in many domains. Traditional Thompson sampling, however, assumes perfect compliance, where an agent's chosen action is treated as the implemented action. This article introduces a stochastic noncompliance model that relaxes this assumption. We prove that any noncompliance in a 2-armed Bernoulli bandit increases existing regret bounds. With our noncompliance model, we derive Thompson sampling variants that explicitly handle both…
Contextual bandits are canonical models for sequential decision-making under uncertainty in environments with time-varying components. In this setting, the expected reward of each bandit arm consists of the inner product of an unknown parameter with the context vector of that arm. The classical bandit settings heavily rely on assuming that the contexts are fully observed, while study of the richer model of imperfectly observed contextual bandits is immature. This work considers Greedy reinforcement learning policies that take actions as if the current estimates of the parameter and of the unob…
MARBLE: Multi-Armed Restless Bandits in Latent Markovian Environment
Department of Computer and Systems Sciences (DSV), Stockholm University（斯德哥尔摩大学计算机与系统科学系）；Inria Sophia Antipolis（法国国家信息与自动化研究所索菲亚·安蒂波利斯研究中心）；Smartprofile（Smartprofile公司）
Indian Institute of Technology, Madras（印度理工学院马德拉斯分校）
We consider the multi armed bandit problem in non-stationary environments. Based on the Bayesian method, we propose a variant of Thompson Sampling which can be used in both rested and restless bandit scenarios. Applying discounting to the parameters of prior distribution, we describe a way to systematically reduce the effect of past observations. Further, we derive the exact expression for the probability of picking sub-optimal arms. By increasing the exploitative value of Bayes' samples, we also provide an optimistic version of the algorithm. Extensive empirical analysis is conducted under va…
University of California, Davis（加州大学戴维斯分校）；University of California, Los Angeles（加州大学洛杉矶分校）；Amazon（亚马逊）
Stochastic linear contextual bandit algorithms have substantial applications in practice, such as recommender systems, online advertising, clinical trials, etc. Recent works show that optimal bandit algorithms are vulnerable to adversarial attacks and can fail completely in the presence of attacks. Existing robust bandit algorithms only work for the non-contextual setting under the attack of rewards and cannot improve the robustness in the general and popular contextual bandit environment. In addition, none of the existing methods can defend against attacked context. In this work, we provide t…
Department of Computer Science, ETH Zurich（苏黎世联邦理工学院计算机科学系）
We consider a setting where multiple players sequentially choose among a common set of actions (arms). Motivated by a cognitive radio networks application, we assume that players incur a loss upon colliding, and that communication between players is not possible. Existing approaches assume that the system is stationary. Yet this assumption is often violated in practice, e.g., due to signal strength fluctuations. In this work, we design the first Multi-player Bandit algorithm that provably works in arbitrarily changing environments, where the losses of the arms may even be chosen by an adversar…
School of Information Science and Technology University of Science and Technology of China（中国科学技术大学信息科学技术学院）
We consider a variant of the classic multi-armed bandit problem where the expected reward of each arm is a function of an unknown parameter. The arms are divided into different groups, each of which has a common parameter. Therefore, when the player selects an arm at each time slot, information of other arms in the same group is also revealed. This regional bandit model naturally bridges the non-informative bandit setting where the player can only learn the chosen arm, and the global bandit model where sampling one arms reveals information of all arms. We propose an efficient algorithm, UCB-g,…
Designing efficient exploration is central to Reinforcement Learning due to the fundamental problem posed by the exploration-exploitation dilemma. Bayesian exploration strategies like Thompson Sampling resolve this trade-off in a principled way by modeling and updating the distribution of the parameters of the action-value function, the outcome model of the environment. However, this technique becomes infeasible for complex environments due to the computational intractability of maintaining probability distributions over parameters of outcome models of corresponding complexity. Moreover, the a…
Personalization is a crucial aspect of many online experiences. In particular, content ranking is often a key component in delivering sophisticated personalization results. Commonly, supervised learning-to-rank methods are applied, which suffer from bias introduced during data collection by production systems in charge of producing the ranking. To compensate for this problem, we leverage contextual multi-armed bandits. We propose novel extensions of two well-known algorithms viz. LinUCB and Linear Thompson Sampling to the ranking use-case. To account for the biases in a production environment,…
Contextual bandit and reinforcement learning algorithms have been successfully used in various interactive learning systems such as online advertising, recommender systems, and dynamic pricing. However, they have yet to be widely adopted in high-stakes application domains, such as healthcare. One reason may be that existing approaches assume that the underlying mechanisms are static in the sense that they do not change over different environments. In many real-world systems, however, the mechanisms are subject to shifts across environments which may invalidate the static environment assumption…
IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center（IBM托马斯·J·沃森研究中心）；Orange Labs（Orange实验室）
We consider a novel formulation of the multi-armed bandit model, which we call the contextual bandit with restricted context, where only a limited number of features can be accessed by the learner at every iteration. This novel formulation is motivated by different online problems arising in clinical trials, recommender systems and attention modeling. Herein, we adapt the standard multi-armed bandit algorithm known as Thompson Sampling to take advantage of our restricted context setting, and propose two novel algorithms, called the Thompson Sampling with Restricted Context(TSRC) and the Window…
University of Southern California（南加州大学）；The Chinese University of Hong Kong（香港中文大学）
In this work, we develop linear bandit algorithms that automatically adapt to different environments. By plugging a novel loss estimator into the optimization problem that characterizes the instance-optimal strategy, our first algorithm not only achieves nearly instance-optimal regret in stochastic environments, but also works in corrupted environments with additional regret being the amount of corruption, while the state-of-the-art (Li et al., 2019) achieves neither instance-optimality nor the optimal dependence on the corruption amount. Moreover, by equipping this algorithm with an adversari…
We propose a method for generating simulated contextual bandit environments for personalization tasks from recommendation datasets like MovieLens, Netflix, Last.fm, Million Song, etc. This allows for personalization environments to be developed based on real-life data to reflect the nuanced nature of real-world user interactions. The obtained environments can be used to develop methods for solving personalization tasks, algorithm benchmarking, model simulation, and more. We demonstrate our approach with numerical examples on MovieLens and IMDb datasets.
We consider a scenario where an agent has multiple available strategies to explore an unknown environment. For each new interaction with the environment, the agent must select which exploration strategy to use. We provide a new strategy-agnostic method that treat the situation as a Multi-Armed Bandits problem where the reward signal is the diversity of effects that each strategy produces. We test the method empirically on a simulated planar robotic arm, and establish that the method is both able discriminate between strategies of dissimilar quality, even when the differences are tenuous, and t…
Revisiting Clustering of Neural Bandits: Selective Reinitialization for Mitigating Loss of Plasticity
Gaoling School of Artificial Intelligence Renmin University of China Beijing China；Gaoling School of Artificial Intelligence Renmin University of China
Bayesian strategies for contextual bandits have proved promising in single-state reinforcement learning tasks by modeling uncertainty using context information from the environment. In this paper, we propose Greedy Bandits with Sampled Context (GB-SC), a method for contextual multi-armed bandits to develop the prior from the context information using Thompson Sampling, and arm selection using an epsilon-greedy policy. The framework GB-SC allows for evaluation of context-reward dependency, as well as providing robustness for partially observable context vectors by leveraging the prior developed…
We consider Thompson sampling for linear bandit problems with finitely many independent arms, where rewards are sampled from normal distributions that are linearly dependent on unknown parameter vectors and with unknown variance. Specifically, with a Bayesian formulation we consider multivariate normal-gamma priors to represent environment uncertainty for all involved parameters. We show that our chosen sampling prior is a conjugate prior to the reward model and derive a Bayesian regret bound for Thompson sampling under the condition that the 5/2-moment of the variance distribution exist.
