Crime has been previously explained by social characteristics of the residential population and, as stipulated by crime pattern theory, might also be linked to human movements of non-residential visitors. Yet a full empirical validation of the latter is lacking. The prime reason is that prior studies are limited to aggregated statistics of human visitors rather than mobility flows and, because of that, neglect the temporal dynamics of individual human movements. As a remedy, we provide the first work which studies the ability of granular human mobility in describing and predicting crime concentrations at an hourly scale. For this purpose, we propose the use of data from location technology platforms. This type of data allows us to trace individual transitions and, therefore, we succeed in distinguishing different mobility flows that (i) are incoming or outgoing from a neighborhood, (ii) remain within it, or (iii) refer to transitions where people only pass through the neighborhood. Our evaluation infers mobility flows by leveraging an anonymized dataset from Foursquare that includes almost 14.8 million consecutive check-ins in three major U.S. cities. According to our empirical results, mobility flows are significantly and positively linked to crime. These findings advance our theoretical understanding, as they provide confirmatory evidence for crime pattern theory. Furthermore, our novel use of digital location services data proves to be an effective tool for crime forecasting. It also offers unprecedented granularity when studying the connection between human mobility and crime.
Nowadays, 23% of the world population lives in multi-million cities. In these metropolises, criminal activity is much higher and violent than in either small cities or rural areas. Thus, understanding what factors influence urban crime in big cities is a pressing need. Mainstream studies analyse crime records through historical panel data or analysis of historical patterns combined with ecological factor and exploratory mapping. More recently, machine learning methods have provided informed crime prediction over time. However, previous studies have focused on a single city at a time, consideri…
Crime rates per capita are used virtually everywhere to rank and compare cities. However, their usage relies on a strong linear assumption that crime increases at the same pace as the number of people in a region. In this paper, we demonstrate that using per capita rates to rank cities can produce substantially different rankings from rankings adjusted for population size. We analyze the population-crime relationship in cities across 12 countries and assess the impact of per capita measurements on crime analyses, depending on the type of offense. In most countries, we find that theft increases…
In the last decades, the notion that cities are in a state of equilibrium with a centralised organisation has given place to the viewpoint of cities in disequilibrium and organised from bottom to up. In this perspective, cities are evolving systems that exhibit emergent phenomena built from local decisions. While urban evolution promotes the emergence of positive social phenomena such as the formation of innovation hubs and the increase in cultural diversity, it also yields negative phenomena such as increases in criminal activity. Yet, we are still far from understanding the driving mechanism…
Though crime is linked to different socio-economic factors, it exhibits remarkable regularities regardless of cities' particularities. In this chapter, we consider two fundamental regularities in crime regarding two essential aspects of criminal activity: time and space. For more than one century, we know that (1) crime occurs unevenly within a city and (2) crime peaks during specific times of the year. Here we describe the tendency of crime to concentrate spatially and to exhibit temporal regularities. We examine these phenomena from the complex-system perspective of cities, accounting for th…
We study malicious online content via a specific type of hate speech: race, ethnicity and national-origin based discrimination in social media, alongside hate crimes motivated by those characteristics, in 100 cities across the United States. We develop a spatially-diverse training dataset and classification pipeline to delineate targeted and self-narration of discrimination on social media, accounting for language across geographies. Controlling for census parameters, we find that the proportion of discrimination that is targeted is associated with the number of hate crimes. Finally, we explor…
Ensuring urban safety is an essential part of developing sustainable cities. An urban safety map can assist cities to prevent future crimes. However, mapping is costly in terms of both time and money due to the need for manual data collection. On the other hand, satellite imagery is becoming increasingly abundant and accessible with higher resolution. Given the outstanding success deep learning has achieved in the field of computer vision and pattern recognition over the past 5 years, in this paper we attempt to investigate the use of deep learning to predict crime rate directly from raw satel…
Understanding the patterns of human mobility between cities has various applications from transport engineering to spatial modeling of the spreading of contagious diseases. We adopt a city-centric, data-driven perspective to quantify such patterns and introduce the mobility signature as a tool for understanding how a city (or a region) is embedded in the wider mobility network. We demonstrate the potential of the mobility signature approach through two applications that build on mobile-phone-based data from Finland. First, we use mobility signatures to show that the well-known radiation model …
Traditional crime prediction models based on census data are limited, as they fail to capture the complexity and dynamics of human activity. With the rise of ubiquitous computing, there is the opportunity to improve such models with data that make for better proxies of human presence in cities. In this paper, we leverage large human mobility data to craft an extensive set of features for crime prediction, as informed by theories in criminology and urban studies. We employ averaging and boosting ensemble techniques from machine learning, to investigate their power in predicting yearly counts fo…
Memphis, Tennessee is one of the cities with highest crime rate in the United States. In this work, we explore the relationship between road infrastructure, especially potholes, and crimes. The pothole and crime data are collected from Memphis Data Hub between 2020 and 2022. The crime data report various crimes in the Memphis area, which contain the location, time, and type of the crime. The pothole data is part of the Open 311 data, which contains information of different infrastructure projects, including the location of the project, and the starting and ending dates of the project. We focus…
Socioeconomic inequalities in cities are embedded in space and result in neighborhood effects, whose harmful consequences have proved very hard to counterbalance efficiently by planning policies alone. Considering redistribution of money flows as a first step toward improved spatial equity, we study a bottom-up approach that would rely on a slight evolution of shopping mobility practices. Building on a database of anonymized credit card transactions in Madrid and Barcelona, we quantify the mobility effort required to reach a reference situation where commercial income is evenly shared among ne…
As the COVID-19 pandemic began to sweep across the US it elicited a wide spectrum of responses, both online and offline, across the population. To aid the development of effective spatially targeted interventions in the midst of this turmoil, it is important to understand the geolocalization of these online emotional responses, as well as their association with offline behavioral responses. Here, we analyze around 13 million geotagged tweets in 49 cities across the US from the first few months of the pandemic to assess regional dependence in online sentiments with respect to a few major topics…
With the rise of transportation electrification, autonomous driving and shared mobility in urban mobility systems, and increasing penetrations of distributed energy resources and autonomous demand-side management techniques in energy systems, tremendous opportunities, as well as challenges, are emerging in the forging of a sustainable and converged urban mobility and energy future. This paper is motivated by these disruptive transformations and gives an overview of managing autonomous mobility and energy services in future smart cities. First, we propose a three-layer architecture for the conv…
Ensuring safe and efficient mobility is a critical issue for smart city operators. Increasing safety not only reduces the likelihood of road injuries and fatalities, but also reduces traffic congestion and disruptions caused by accidents, increasing efficiency. While new vehicles are increasingly equipped with semi-automation, the added costs will initially limit the penetration rate of these systems. An inexpensive way to replace or augment these systems is to create networks of wearables (smart glasses, watches) that exchange positional and path data at a very fast rate between all users, id…
With the continued spread of coronavirus, the task of forecasting distinctive COVID-19 growth curves in different cities, which remain inadequately explained by standard epidemiological models, is critical for medical supply and treatment. Predictions must take into account non-pharmaceutical interventions to slow the spread of coronavirus, including stay-at-home orders, social distancing, quarantine and compulsory mask-wearing, leading to reductions in intra-city mobility and viral transmission. Moreover, recent work associating coronavirus with human mobility and detailed movement data sugge…
Cities around the world are expanding dramatically, with urban population growth reaching nearly 2.5 billion people in urban areas and road traffic growth exceeding 1.2 billion cars by 2050. The economic contribution of the transport sector represents 5% of the GDP in Europe and costs an average of US $482.05 billion in the United States. These figures indicate the rapid rise of industrial cities and the urgent need to move from traditional cities to smart cities. This article provides a survey of different approaches and technologies such as intelligent transportation systems (ITS) that lever…
E-Scooters are changing transportation habits. In an attempt to oversee scooter usage, the Los Angeles Department of Transportation has put forth a specification that requests detailed data on scooter usage from scooter companies. In this work, we first argue that L.A.'s data request for using a new specification is not warranted as proposed use cases can be met by already existing specifications. Second, we show that even the existing specification, that requires companies to publish real-time data of parked scooters, puts the privacy of individuals using the scooters at risk. We then propose…
In this paper we describe a simulation platform that supports studies on the impact of crime on urban mobility. We present an example of how this can be achieved by seeking to understand the effect, on the transport system, if users of this system decide to choose optimal routes of time between origins and destinations that normally follow. Based on real data from a large Brazilian metropolis, we found that the percentage of users who follow this policy is small. Most prefer to follow less efficient routes by making bus exchanges at terminals. This can be understood as an indication that the u…
Purdue University（普渡大学）；Yahoo Japan Corporation（雅虎日本公司）；University of Tokyo（东京大学）
Large mobility datasets collected from various sources have allowed us to observe, analyze, predict and solve a wide range of important urban challenges. In particular, studies have generated place representations (or embeddings) from mobility patterns in a similar manner to word embeddings to better understand the functionality of different places within a city. However, studies have been limited to generating such representations of cities in an individual manner and has lacked an inter-city perspective, which has made it difficult to transfer the insights gained from the place representatio…
The future of the human race is urban. The world's population is projected to grow an additional 2.5 billion by 2050, with all expected to live in urban areas. This will increase the percentage of urban population from 55% today to 70% within three decades and further strengthen the role of cities as the hub for information, transportation, and overall socio-economic development. Unlike any other time in human history, the increasing levels of autonomy and machine intelligence are transforming cities to be no longer just human agglomerations but a fusion of humans, machines, and algorithms mak…
Car sharing is one the pillars of a smart transportation infrastructure, as it is expected to reduce traffic congestion, parking demands and pollution in our cities. From the point of view of demand modelling, car sharing is a weak signal in the city landscape: only a small percentage of the population uses it, and thus it is difficult to study reliably with traditional techniques such as households travel diaries. In this work, we depart from these traditional approaches and we leverage web-based, digital records about vehicle availability in 10 European cities for one of the major active car…
Cities are characterized by concentrating population, economic activity and services. However, not all cities are equal and a natural hierarchy at local, regional or global scales spontaneously emerges. In this work, we introduce a method to quantify city influence using geolocated tweets to characterize human mobility. Rome and Paris appear consistently as the cities attracting most diverse visitors. The ratio between locals and non-local visitors turns out to be fundamental for a city to truly be global. Focusing only on urban residents' mobility flows, a city to city network can be construc…
In this study, we propose using a neural embedding model-graph neural network (GNN)- that leverages the heterogeneous features of urban areas and their interactions captured by human mobility network to obtain vector representations of these areas. Using large-scale high-resolution mobility data sets from millions of aggregated and anonymized mobile phone users in 16 metropolitan counties in the United States, we demonstrate that our embeddings encode complex relationships among features related to urban components (such as distribution of facilities) and population attributes and activities. …
It has been found that human mobility exhibits random patterns following the Levy flight, where human movement contains many short flights and some long flights, and these flights follow a power-law distribution. In this paper, we study the social-economical development trajectories of urban cities. We observe that social-economical movement of cities also exhibit the Levy flight characteristics. We collect the social and economical data such as the population, the number of students, GDP and personal income, etc. from several cities. Then we map these urban data into the social and economical…
From Causal Discovery to Implementation: An Agentic AI Framework for E-Scooter Mobility Hub Planning Across 29 German Cities
Fraunhofer Institute for Industrial Engineering IAO（弗劳恩霍夫工业工程研究所）；Department of Operations & Technology, Heilbronn Data Science Center, Munich Data Science Institute, Technical University of Munich（慕尼黑工业大学运营与技术系、海尔布隆数据中心、慕尼黑数据科学研究所）
H2-MARL: Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning for Pareto Optimality in Hospital Capacity Strain and Human Mobility during Epidemic
School of Computer Science and Technology, Tongji University（同济大学计算机科学与技术学院）；China Land Surveying and Planning Institute（中国国土勘测规划院）；College of Architecture and Urban Planning, Tongji University（同济大学建筑与城市规划学院）；Chongqing Institute of Planning and Natural Resources Investigation and Monitoring（重庆市规划和自然资源调查监测院）；Li-Fi Research and Development Centre, University of Cambridge（剑桥大学Li-Fi研发中心）；Guangdong Urban-rural Planning and Design Research Institute Technology Group Co., Ltd.（广东省城乡规划设计研究院科技集团股份有限公司）；Engineering Research Center of Key Software Technologies for Smart City Perception and Planning, Ministry of Education（智慧城市感知与规划关键软件技术教育部工程研究中心）
New York University（纽约大学）；University of Washington（华盛顿大学）；Old Dominion University（老道明大学）
The COVID-19 outbreak has dramatically changed travel behavior in affected cities. The C2SMART research team has been investigating the impact of COVID-19 on mobility and sociability. New York City (NYC) and Seattle, two of the cities most affected by COVID-19 in the U.S. were included in our initial study. An all-in-one dashboard with data mining and cloud computing capabilities was developed for interactive data analytics and visualization to facilitate the understanding of the impact of the outbreak and corresponding policies such as social distancing on transportation systems. This platfor…
Modern cities are composed of complex socio-technical systems that exist to provide services effectively to their residents and visitors. In this context, smart mobility systems aim to support the efficient exploitation of the city transport facilities as well as sustainable mobility within the urban environment. People need to travel quickly and conveniently between locations at different scales, ranging from a trip of a few blocks within a city to a journey across cities or further. At the same time, goods need to be timely delivered considering the needs of both the users and the businesses…
The advent of on-demand mobility systems is expected to have a tremendous potential on the wellness of transportation users in cities. Yet such positive effects are reached when the systems under consideration enable seamless integration between data sources that involve a high number of transportation actors. In this paper we report on the effort of designing and deploying an integrated system, including algorithms and platforms, that can operate in cities, in an Internet of Things (IoT)-aware fashion. The system was evaluated by enabling/disabling the IoT components of the system, highlighti…
Predicting Human Mobility during Extreme Events via LLM-Enhanced Cross-City Learning
Department of Electronic Engineering, Beijing National Research Center for Information Science and Technology (BNRist), Tsinghua University（清华大学电子工程系、北京信息科学与技术国家研究中心）
