We consider the problem of learning in Linear Quadratic Control systems whose transition parameters are initially unknown. Recent results in this setting have demonstrated efficient learning algorithms with regret growing with the square root of the number of decision steps. We present new efficient algorithms that achieve, perhaps surprisingly, regret that scales only (poly)logarithmically with the number of steps in two scenarios: when only the state transition matrix $A$ is unknown, and when only the state-action transition matrix $B$ is unknown and the optimal policy satisfies a certain non-degeneracy condition. On the other hand, we give a lower bound that shows that when the latter condition is violated, square root regret is unavoidable.
Google Tel Aviv(谷歌特拉维夫);Google Brain(谷歌大脑);Tel-Aviv University(特拉维夫大学)
We present the first computationally-efficient algorithm with $\widetilde O(\sqrt{T})$ regret for learning in Linear Quadratic Control systems with unknown dynamics. By that, we resolve an open question of Abbasi-Yadkori and Szepesvári (2011) and Dean, Mania, Matni, Recht, and Tu (2018).
School of Computer Science, Tel Aviv University(特拉维夫大学计算机科学学院);Google Research(谷歌研究院)
We consider the task of learning to control a linear dynamical system under fixed quadratic costs, known as the Linear Quadratic Regulator (LQR) problem. While model-free approaches are often favorable in practice, thus far only model-based methods, which rely on costly system identification, have been shown to achieve regret that scales with the optimal dependence on the time horizon T. We present the first model-free algorithm that achieves similar regret guarantees. Our method relies on an efficient policy gradient scheme, and a novel and tighter analysis of the cost of exploration in polic…
We study regret minimization in a stochastic multi-armed bandit setting and establish a fundamental trade-off between the regret suffered under an algorithm, and its statistical robustness. Considering broad classes of underlying arms' distributions, we show that bandit learning algorithms with logarithmic regret are always inconsistent and that consistent learning algorithms always suffer a super-logarithmic regret. This result highlights the inevitable statistical fragility of all `logarithmic regret' bandit algorithms available in the literature---for instance, if a UCB algorithm designed f…
We consider adaptive control of the Linear Quadratic Regulator (LQR), where an unknown linear system is controlled subject to quadratic costs. Leveraging recent developments in the estimation of linear systems and in robust controller synthesis, we present the first provably polynomial time algorithm that provides high probability guarantees of sub-linear regret on this problem. We further study the interplay between regret minimization and parameter estimation by proving a lower bound on the expected regret in terms of the exploration schedule used by any algorithm. Finally, we conduct a nume…
We develop a new theoretical framework, the \emph{envelope complexity}, to analyze the minimax regret with logarithmic loss functions and derive a Bayesian predictor that adaptively achieves the minimax regret over high-dimensional $\ell_1$-balls within a factor of two. The prior is newly derived for achieving the minimax regret and called the \emph{spike-and-tails~(ST) prior} as it looks like. The resulting regret bound is so simple that it is completely determined with the smoothness of the loss function and the radius of the balls except with logarithmic factors, and it has a generalized fo…
University of Toronto(多伦多大学);Vector Institute(向量研究所);Institute for Advanced Study(高等研究院);Massachusetts Institute of Technology(麻省理工学院)
We consider the classical problem of sequential probability assignment under logarithmic loss while competing against an arbitrary, potentially nonparametric class of experts. We obtain tight bounds on the minimax regret via a new approach that exploits the self-concordance property of the logarithmic loss. We show that for any expert class with (sequential) metric entropy $\mathcal{O}(γ^{-p})$ at scale $γ$, the minimax regret is $\mathcal{O}(n^{p/(p+1)})$, and that this rate cannot be improved without additional assumptions on the expert class under consideration. As an application of our tec…
University of Southern California(南加州大学);Peking University(北京大学);Beijing Institute of Big Data Research(北京大数据研究院)
We study the decades-old problem of online portfolio management and propose the first algorithm with logarithmic regret that is not based on Cover's Universal Portfolio algorithm and admits much faster implementation. Specifically Universal Portfolio enjoys optimal regret $\mathcal{O}(N\ln T)$ for $N$ financial instruments over $T$ rounds, but requires log-concave sampling and has a large polynomial running time. Our algorithm, on the other hand, ensures a slightly larger but still logarithmic regret of $\mathcal{O}(N^2(\ln T)^4)$, and is based on the well-studied Online Mirror Descent framewo…
CNRS(法国国家科学研究中心);Sorbonne Université(索邦大学);Université Paris Diderot(巴黎狄德罗大学);ENS Cachan(卡尚高等师范学校);Université Paris-Saclay(巴黎-萨克雷大学);Criteo AI Lab(Criteo人工智能实验室)
We consider the classical stochastic multi-armed bandit but where, from time to time and roughly with frequency $ε$, an extra observation is gathered by the agent for free. We prove that, no matter how small $ε$ is the agent can ensure a regret uniformly bounded in time. More precisely, we construct an algorithm with a regret smaller than $\sum_i \frac{\log(1/ε)}{Δ_i}$, up to multiplicative constant and loglog terms. We also prove a matching lower-bound, stating that no reasonable algorithm can outperform this quantity.
University of Toronto(多伦多大学);Spanflug Technologies GmbH(Spanflug技术有限公司);Boston University(波士顿大学)
Quantile (and, more generally, KL) regret bounds, such as those achieved by NormalHedge (Chaudhuri, Freund, and Hsu 2009) and its variants, relax the goal of competing against the best individual expert to only competing against a majority of experts on adversarial data. More recently, the semi-adversarial paradigm (Bilodeau, Negrea, and Roy 2020) provides an alternative relaxation of adversarial online learning by considering data that may be neither fully adversarial nor stochastic (i.i.d.). We achieve the minimax optimal regret in both paradigms using FTRL with separate, novel, root-logarit…
We introduce a new algorithm for online linear-quadratic control in a known system subject to adversarial disturbances. Existing regret bounds for this setting scale as $\sqrt{T}$ unless strong stochastic assumptions are imposed on the disturbance process. We give the first algorithm with logarithmic regret for arbitrary adversarial disturbance sequences, provided the state and control costs are given by known quadratic functions. Our algorithm and analysis use a characterization for the optimal offline control law to reduce the online control problem to (delayed) online learning with approxim…
Approximate Thompson Sampling for Learning Linear Quadratic Regulators with $O(\sqrt{T})$ Regret
Department of Applied Artificial Intelligence, Seoul National University of Science and Technology(应用人工智能系,首尔科学技术大学);Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering and ASRI, Seoul National University(电气电子工程系和ASRI,首尔国立大学)
Boston University(波士顿大学);Carnegie Mellon University(卡内基梅隆大学)
We investigate a natural but surprisingly unstudied approach to the multi-armed bandit problem under safety risk constraints. Each arm is associated with an unknown law on safety risks and rewards, and the learner's goal is to maximise reward whilst not playing unsafe arms, as determined by a given threshold on the mean risk. We formulate a pseudo-regret for this setting that enforces this safety constraint in a per-round way by softly penalising any violation, regardless of the gain in reward due to the same. This has practical relevance to scenarios such as clinical trials, where one must ma…
Google AI Princeton(谷歌AI普林斯顿);Princeton University(普林斯顿大学)
We study optimal regret bounds for control in linear dynamical systems under adversarially changing strongly convex cost functions, given the knowledge of transition dynamics. This includes several well studied and fundamental frameworks such as the Kalman filter and the linear quadratic regulator. State of the art methods achieve regret which scales as $O(\sqrt{T})$, where $T$ is the time horizon. We show that the optimal regret in this setting can be significantly smaller, scaling as $O(\text{poly}(\log T))$. This regret bound is achieved by two different efficient iterative methods, online …
We investigate the problem of online learning, which has gained significant attention in recent years due to its applicability in a wide range of fields from machine learning to game theory. Specifically, we study the online optimization of mixable loss functions with logarithmic static regret in a dynamic environment. The best dynamic estimation sequence that we compete against is selected in hindsight with full observation of the loss functions and is allowed to select different optimal estimations in different time intervals (segments). We propose an online mixture framework that uses these…
University of California at Davis(加州大学戴维斯分校);University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign(伊利诺伊大学厄巴纳-香槟分校)
We study contextual bandits with budget and time constraints, referred to as constrained contextual bandits.The time and budget constraints significantly complicate the exploration and exploitation tradeoff because they introduce complex coupling among contexts over time.Such coupling effects make it difficult to obtain oracle solutions that assume known statistics of bandits. To gain insight, we first study unit-cost systems with known context distribution. When the expected rewards are known, we develop an approximation of the oracle, referred to Adaptive-Linear-Programming (ALP), which achi…
University of California, Los Angeles(加利福尼亚大学洛杉矶分校)
Reinforcement learning (RL) with linear function approximation has received increasing attention recently. However, existing work has focused on obtaining $\sqrt{T}$-type regret bound, where $T$ is the number of interactions with the MDP. In this paper, we show that logarithmic regret is attainable under two recently proposed linear MDP assumptions provided that there exists a positive sub-optimality gap for the optimal action-value function. More specifically, under the linear MDP assumption (Jin et al. 2019), the LSVI-UCB algorithm can achieve $\tilde{O}(d^{3}H^5/\text{gap}_{\text{min}}\cdot…
Tsinghua University(清华大学);University of California, Los Angeles(加利福尼亚大学洛杉矶分校);University of Washington(华盛顿大学)
This paper presents the first non-asymptotic result showing that a model-free algorithm can achieve a logarithmic cumulative regret for episodic tabular reinforcement learning if there exists a strictly positive sub-optimality gap in the optimal $Q$-function. We prove that the optimistic $Q$-learning studied in [Jin et al. 2018] enjoys a ${\mathcal{O}}\left(\frac{SA\cdot \mathrm{poly}\left(H\right)}{Δ_{\min}}\log\left(SAT\right)\right)$ cumulative regret bound, where $S$ is the number of states, $A$ is the number of actions, $H$ is the planning horizon, $T$ is the total number of steps, and $Δ…
Criteo AI Lab(Criteo人工智能实验室);Facebook AI Research(Facebook人工智能研究院)
We study the exploration-exploitation dilemma in the linear quadratic regulator (LQR) setting. Inspired by the extended value iteration algorithm used in optimistic algorithms for finite MDPs, we propose to relax the optimistic optimization of \ofulq and cast it into a constrained \textit{extended} LQR problem, where an additional control variable implicitly selects the system dynamics within a confidence interval. We then move to the corresponding Lagrangian formulation for which we prove strong duality. As a result, we show that an $ε$-optimistic controller can be computed efficiently by sol…
In this paper, we study the problem of regret minimization for episodic Reinforcement Learning (RL) both in the model-free and the model-based setting. We focus on learning with general function classes and general model classes, and we derive results that scale with the eluder dimension of these classes. In contrast to the existing body of work that mainly establishes instance-independent regret guarantees, we focus on the instance-dependent setting and show that the regret scales logarithmically with the horizon $T$, provided that there is a gap between the best and the second best action in…
EDF R&D(法国电力公司研发部);FIME(FIME实验室);University of California, Berkeley(加州大学伯克利分校);University of Oxford(牛津大学)
We study finite-time horizon continuous-time linear-quadratic reinforcement learning problems in an episodic setting, where both the state and control coefficients are unknown to the controller. We first propose a least-squares algorithm based on continuous-time observations and controls, and establish a logarithmic regret bound of order $O((\ln M)(\ln\ln M))$, with $M$ being the number of learning episodes. The analysis consists of two parts: perturbation analysis, which exploits the regularity and robustness of the associated Riccati differential equation; and parameter estimation error, whi…
We prove an instance independent (poly) logarithmic regret for stochastic contextual bandits with linear payoff. Previously, in \cite{chu2011contextual}, a lower bound of $\mathcal{O}(\sqrt{T})$ is shown for the contextual linear bandit problem with arbitrary (adversarily chosen) contexts. In this paper, we show that stochastic contexts indeed help to reduce the regret from $\sqrt{T}$ to $\polylog(T)$. We propose Low Regret Stochastic Contextual Bandits (\texttt{LR-SCB}), which takes advantage of the stochastic contexts and performs parameter estimation (in $\ell_2$ norm) and regret minimizati…
Yale University(耶鲁大学);Princeton University(普林斯顿大学);Northwestern University(西北大学);University of Washington(华盛顿大学)
As one of the most popular methods in the field of reinforcement learning, Q-learning has received increasing attention. Recently, there have been more theoretical works on the regret bound of algorithms that belong to the Q-learning class in different settings. In this paper, we analyze the cumulative regret when conducting Nash Q-learning algorithm on 2-player turn-based stochastic Markov games (2-TBSG), and propose the very first gap dependent logarithmic upper bounds in the episodic tabular setting. This bound matches the theoretical lower bound only up to a logarithmic term. Furthermore, …
We consider a policy gradient algorithm applied to a finite-arm bandit problem with Bernoulli rewards. We allow learning rates to depend on the current state of the algorithm, rather than use a deterministic time-decreasing learning rate. The state of the algorithm forms a Markov chain on the probability simplex. We apply Foster-Lyapunov techniques to analyse the stability of this Markov chain. We prove that if learning rates are well chosen then the policy gradient algorithm is a transient Markov chain and the state of the chain converges on the optimal arm with logarithmic or poly-logarithmi…
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign(伊利诺伊大学厄巴纳-香槟分校);MIT-IBM Watson AI Lab(麻省理工学院-IBM沃森人工智能实验室);IBM Research(IBM研究院);SEAS Harvard University(哈佛大学工程与应用科学学院)
We study the adaptive control of an unknown linear system with a quadratic cost function subject to safety constraints on both the states and actions. The challenges of this problem arise from the tension among safety, exploration, performance, and computation. To address these challenges, we propose a polynomial-time algorithm that guarantees feasibility and constraint satisfaction with high probability under proper conditions. Our algorithm is implemented on a single trajectory and does not require system restarts. Further, we analyze the regret of our learning algorithm compared to the opti…
In online learning the performance of an algorithm is typically compared to the performance of a fixed function from some class, with a quantity called regret. Forster proposed a last-step min-max algorithm which was somewhat simpler than the algorithm of Vovk, yet with the same regret. In fact the algorithm he analyzed assumed that the choices of the adversary are bounded, yielding artificially only the two extreme cases. We fix this problem by weighing the examples in such a way that the min-max problem will be well defined, and provide analysis with logarithmic regret that may have better m…
Department of Statistics, Harvard University(哈佛大学统计系)
The theory of reinforcement learning currently suffers from a mismatch between its empirical performance and the theoretical characterization of its performance, with consequences for, e.g., the understanding of sample efficiency, safety, and robustness. The linear quadratic regulator with unknown dynamics is a fundamental reinforcement learning setting with significant structure in its dynamics and cost function, yet even in this setting there is a gap between the best known regret lower-bound of $Ω_p(\sqrt{T})$ and the best known upper-bound of $O_p(\sqrt{T}\,\text{polylog}(T))$. The contrib…
University of Utah(犹他大学);Boston University(波士顿大学);Google Research(谷歌研究院)
We consider the online linear optimization problem, where at every step the algorithm plays a point $x_t$ in the unit ball, and suffers loss $\langle c_t, x_t\rangle$ for some cost vector $c_t$ that is then revealed to the algorithm. Recent work showed that if an algorithm receives a hint $h_t$ that has non-trivial correlation with $c_t$ before it plays $x_t$, then it can achieve a regret guarantee of $O(\log T)$, improving on the bound of $Θ(\sqrt{T})$ in the standard setting. In this work, we study the question of whether an algorithm really requires a hint at every time step. Somewhat surpr…
Saarland University(萨尔大学);Max Planck Institute for Informatics(马克斯·普朗克信息学研究所)
Adaptive gradient methods have become recently very popular, in particular as they have been shown to be useful in the training of deep neural networks. In this paper we have analyzed RMSProp, originally proposed for the training of deep neural networks, in the context of online convex optimization and show $\sqrt{T}$-type regret bounds. Moreover, we propose two variants SC-Adagrad and SC-RMSProp for which we show logarithmic regret bounds for strongly convex functions. Finally, we demonstrate in the experiments that these new variants outperform other adaptive gradient techniques or stochasti…
Learning Decentralized Linear Quadratic Regulators with $\sqrt{T}$ Regret
School of Artificial Intelligence and Automation at the Huazhong University of Science and Technology(华中科技大学人工智能与自动化学院);College of Petroleum Engineering, Yangtze University(长江大学石油工程学院);Elmore Family School of Electrical and Computer Engineering at Purdue University(普渡大学埃尔莫尔家族电气与计算机工程学院)
We consider online optimization procedures in the context of logistic regression, focusing on the Extended Kalman Filter (EKF). We introduce a second-order algorithm close to the EKF, named Semi-Online Step (SOS), for which we prove a O(log(n)) regret in the adversarial setting, paving the way to similar results for the EKF. This regret bound on SOS is the first for such parameter-free algorithm in the adversarial logistic regression. We prove for the EKF in constant dynamics a O(log(n)) regret in expectation and in the well-specified logistic regression model.
Regret Lower Bound for Online Learning of Quantum States with Logarithmic Loss, with Applications to Quantum State Tomography and Confidence Sequences for Matrix Means
National Taiwan University(台湾大学);Center for Quantum Science and Engineering, National Taiwan University(台湾大学量子科学与工程中心)
We consider the problem of online estimation of a real-valued signal corrupted by oblivious zero-mean noise using linear estimators. The estimator is required to iteratively predict the underlying signal based on the current and several last noisy observations, and its performance is measured by the mean-square-error. We describe and analyze an algorithm for this task which: 1. Achieves logarithmic adaptive regret against the best linear filter in hindsight. This bound is assyptotically tight, and resolves the question of Moon and Weissman [1]. 2. Runs in linear time in terms of the number of …
University of California, Santa Barbara(加州大学圣巴巴拉分校)
Feature-based dynamic pricing is an increasingly popular model of setting prices for highly differentiated products with applications in digital marketing, online sales, real estate and so on. The problem was formally studied as an online learning problem [Javanmard & Nazerzadeh, 2019] where a seller needs to propose prices on the fly for a sequence of $T$ products based on their features $x$ while having a small regret relative to the best -- "omniscient" -- pricing strategy she could have come up with in hindsight. We revisit this problem and provide two algorithms (EMLP and ONSP) for stocha…
We study the problem of system identification and adaptive control in partially observable linear dynamical systems. Adaptive and closed-loop system identification is a challenging problem due to correlations introduced in data collection. In this paper, we present the first model estimation method with finite-time guarantees in both open and closed-loop system identification. Deploying this estimation method, we propose adaptive control online learning (AdaptOn), an efficient reinforcement learning algorithm that adaptively learns the system dynamics and continuously updates its controller th…
Institute of Computing Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences(中国科学院计算技术研究所);University of Chinese Academy of Sciences(中国科学院大学);Peking University(北京大学)
Multi-arm bandit (MAB) and stochastic linear bandit (SLB) are important models in reinforcement learning, and it is well-known that classical algorithms for bandits with time horizon $T$ suffer $Ω(\sqrt{T})$ regret. In this paper, we study MAB and SLB with quantum reward oracles and propose quantum algorithms for both models with $O(\mbox{poly}(\log T))$ regrets, exponentially improving the dependence in terms of $T$. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first provable quantum speedup for regrets of bandit problems and in general exploitation in reinforcement learning. Compared to previou…
UC Berkeley(加州大学伯克利分校);University of Washington(华盛顿大学)
This paper establishes that optimistic algorithms attain gap-dependent and non-asymptotic logarithmic regret for episodic MDPs. In contrast to prior work, our bounds do not suffer a dependence on diameter-like quantities or ergodicity, and smoothly interpolate between the gap dependent logarithmic-regret, and the $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{HSAT})$-minimax rate. The key technique in our analysis is a novel "clipped" regret decomposition which applies to a broad family of recent optimistic algorithms for episodic MDPs.
We consider a stochastic multi-armed bandit setting and study the problem of constrained regret minimization over a given time horizon. Each arm is associated with an unknown, possibly multi-dimensional distribution, and the merit of an arm is determined by several, possibly conflicting attributes. The aim is to optimize a 'primary' attribute subject to user-provided constraints on other 'secondary' attributes. We assume that the attributes can be estimated using samples from the arms' distributions, and that the estimators enjoy suitable concentration properties. We propose an algorithm calle…
In this paper, we consider the problem of predicting observations generated online by an unknown, partially observed linear system, which is driven by stochastic noise. For such systems the optimal predictor in the mean square sense is the celebrated Kalman filter, which can be explicitly computed when the system model is known. When the system model is unknown, we have to learn how to predict observations online based on finite data, suffering possibly a non-zero regret with respect to the Kalman filter's prediction. We show that it is possible to achieve a regret of the order of $\mathrm{pol…
Google Research(谷歌研究院);Yale University(耶鲁大学);McGill University(麦吉尔大学)
We present simple and efficient algorithms for the batched stochastic multi-armed bandit and batched stochastic linear bandit problems. We prove bounds for their expected regrets that improve over the best-known regret bounds for any number of batches. In particular, our algorithms in both settings achieve the optimal expected regrets by using only a logarithmic number of batches. We also study the batched adversarial multi-armed bandit problem for the first time and find the optimal regret, up to logarithmic factors, of any algorithm with predetermined batch sizes.
We revisit the classic online portfolio selection problem, where at each round a learner selects a distribution over a set of portfolios to allocate its wealth. It is known that for this problem a logarithmic regret with respect to Cover's loss is achievable using the Universal Portfolio Selection algorithm, for example. However, all existing algorithms that achieve a logarithmic regret for this problem have per-round time and space complexities that scale polynomially with the total number of rounds, making them impractical. In this paper, we build on the recent work by Haipeng et al. 2018 an…