Modelling highly multi-modal data is a challenging problem in machine learning. Most algorithms are based on maximizing the likelihood, which corresponds to the M(oment)-projection of the data distribution to the model distribution. The M-projection forces the model to average over modes it cannot represent. In contrast, the I(information)-projection ignores such modes in the data and concentrates on the modes the model can represent. Such behavior is appealing whenever we deal with highly multi-modal data where modelling single modes correctly is more important than covering all the modes. Despite this advantage, the I-projection is rarely used in practice due to the lack of algorithms that can efficiently optimize it based on data. In this work, we present a new algorithm called Expected Information Maximization (EIM) for computing the I-projection solely based on samples for general latent variable models, where we focus on Gaussian mixtures models and Gaussian mixtures of experts. Our approach applies a variational upper bound to the I-projection objective which decomposes the original objective into single objectives for each mixture component as well as for the coefficients, allowing an efficient optimization. Similar to GANs, our approach employs discriminators but uses a more stable optimization procedure, using a tight upper bound. We show that our algorithm is much more effective in computing the I-projection than recent GAN approaches and we illustrate the effectiveness of our approach for modelling multi-modal behavior on two pedestrian and traffic prediction datasets.
Projection theorems of divergences enable us to find reverse projection of a divergence on a specific statistical model as a forward projection of the divergence on a different but rather "simpler" statistical model, which, in turn, results in solving a system of linear equations. Reverse projection of divergences are closely related to various estimation methods such as the maximum likelihood estimation or its variants in robust statistics. We consider projection theorems of three parametric families of divergences that are widely used in robust statistics, namely the Rényi divergences (or th…
We propose a projection pursuit (PP) algorithm based on Gaussian mixture models (GMMs). The negentropy obtained from a multivariate density estimated by GMMs is adopted as the PP index to be maximised. For a fixed dimension of the projection subspace, the GMM-based density estimation is projected onto that subspace, where an approximation of the negentropy for Gaussian mixtures is computed. Then, Genetic Algorithms (GAs) are used to find the optimal, orthogonal projection basis by maximising the former approximation. We show that this semi-parametric approach to PP is flexible and allows highl…
We introduce a balloon estimator in a generalized expectation-maximization method for estimating all parameters of a Gaussian mixture model given one data sample per mixture component. Instead of limiting explicitly the model size, this regularization strategy yields low-complexity sparse models where the number of effective mixture components reduces with an increase of a smoothing probability parameter $\mathbf{P>0}$. This semi-parametric method bridges from non-parametric adaptive kernel density estimation (KDE) to parametric ordinary least-squares when $\mathbf{P=1}$. Experiments show that…
We propose the finite mixture of skewed sub-Gaussian stable distributions. The maximum likelihood estimator for the parameters of proposed finite mixture model is computed through the expectation-maximization algorithm. The proposed model contains the finite mixture of normal and skewed normal distributions. Since the tails of proposed model is heavier than even the Student's t distribution, it can be used as a powerful model for robust model-based clustering. Performance of the proposed model is demonstrated by clustering simulation data and two sets of real data.
Traditional methods for unsupervised learning of finite mixture models require to evaluate the likelihood of all components of the mixture. This becomes computationally prohibitive when the number of components is large, as it is, for example, in the sum-product (transform) networks. Therefore, we propose to apply a combination of the expectation maximization and the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm to evaluate only a small number of, stochastically sampled, components, thus substantially reducing the computational cost. The Markov chain of component assignments is sequentially generated across t…
Cluster-weighted modeling (CWM) is a mixture approach for modeling the joint probability of a response variable and a set of explanatory variables. The parameters are estimated by means of the expectation-maximization algorithm according to the maximum likelihood approach. Under Gaussian assumptions, we analyse the complete-data likelihood function of cluster weighted models. Further, under suitable hypotheses we show that the maximization of the likelihood function of Gaussian cluster weighted models leads to the same parameter estimates of finite mixtures of regression and finite mixtures of…
Semi-continuous data comes from a distribution that is a mixture of the point mass at zero and a continuous distribution with support on the positive real line. A clear example is the daily rainfall data. In this paper, we present a novel algorithm to estimate the density function for semi-continuous data using the principle of maximum entropy. Unlike existing methods in the literature, our algorithm needs only the sample values of the constraint functions in the entropy maximization problem and does not need the entire sample. Using simulations, we show that the estimate of the entropy produc…
We propose the use of probability models for ranked data as a useful alternative to a quantitative data analysis to investigate the outcome of bioassay experiments, when the preliminary choice of an appropriate normalization method for the raw numerical responses is difficult or subject to criticism. We review standard distance-based and multistage ranking models and in this last context we propose an original generalization of the Plackett-Luce model to account for the order of the ranking elicitation process. The usefulness of the novel model is illustrated with its maximum likelihood estima…
Microsoft Research（微软研究院）；Tsinghua University（清华大学）
Influence maximization is the task of finding a set of seed nodes in a social network such that the influence spread of these seed nodes based on certain influence diffusion model is maximized. Topic-aware influence diffusion models have been recently proposed to address the issue that influence between a pair of users are often topic-dependent and information, ideas, innovations etc. being propagated in networks (referred collectively as items in this paper) are typically mixtures of topics. In this paper, we focus on the topic-aware influence maximization task. In particular, we study prepro…
We propose two neural network based mixture models in this article. The proposed mixture models are explicit in nature. The explicit models have analytical forms with the advantages of computing likelihood and efficiency of generating samples. Computation of likelihood is an important aspect of our models. Expectation-maximization based algorithms are developed for learning parameters of the proposed models. We provide sufficient conditions to realize the expectation-maximization based learning. The main requirements are invertibility of neural networks that are used as generators and Jacobian…
Finite mixture models are among the most popular statistical models used in different data science disciplines. Despite their broad applicability, inference under these models typically leads to computationally challenging non-convex problems. While the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is the most popular approach for solving these non-convex problems, the behavior of this algorithm is not well understood. In this work, we focus on the case of mixture of Laplacian (or Gaussian) distribution. We start by analyzing a simple equally weighted mixture of two single dimensional Laplacian dist…
We test the robustness of a maximum-likelihood (ML) based classifier where sequential data as observation is corrupted by noise. The hypothesis is that a generative model, that combines the state transitions of a hidden Markov model (HMM) and the neural network based probability distributions for the hidden states of the HMM, can provide a robust classification performance. The combined model is called normalizing-flow mixture model based HMM (NMM-HMM). It can be trained using a combination of expectation-maximization (EM) and backpropagation. We verify the improved robustness of NMM-HMM class…
The von Mises-Fisher distribution is one of the most widely used probability distributions to describe directional data. Finite mixtures of von Mises-Fisher distributions have found numerous applications. However, the likelihood function for the finite mixture of von Mises-Fisher distributions is unbounded and consequently the maximum likelihood estimation is not well defined. To address the problem of likelihood degeneracy, we consider a penalized maximum likelihood approach whereby a penalty function is incorporated. We prove strong consistency of the resulting estimator. An Expectation-Maxi…
We introduce a mixture of generalized hyperbolic distributions as an alternative to the ubiquitous mixture of Gaussian distributions as well as their near relatives of which the mixture of multivariate t and skew-t distributions are predominant. The mathematical development of our mixture of generalized hyperbolic distributions model relies on its relationship with the generalized inverse Gaussian distribution. The latter is reviewed before our mixture models are presented along with details of the aforesaid reliance. Parameter estimation is outlined within the expectation-maximization framewo…
The aim of this paper is to present a mixture composite regression model for claim severity modelling. Claim severity modelling poses several challenges such as multimodality, heavy-tailedness and systematic effects in data. We tackle this modelling problem by studying a mixture composite regression model for simultaneous modeling of attritional and large claims, and for considering systematic effects in both the mixture components as well as the mixing probabilities. For model fitting, we present a group-fused regularization approach that allows us for selecting the explanatory variables whic…
An important and yet difficult problem in fitting multivariate mixture models is determining the mixture complexity. We develop theory and a unified framework for finding the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator of a multivariate mixing distribution and consequently estimating the mixture complexity. Multivariate mixtures provide a flexible approach to fitting high-dimensional data while offering data reduction through the number, location and shape of the component densities. The central principle of our method is to cast the mixture maximization problem in the concave optimization fram…
The Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm is widely used as an iterative modification to maximum likelihood estimation when the data is incomplete. We focus on a semi-supervised case to learn the model from labeled and unlabeled samples. Existing work in the semi-supervised case has focused mainly on performance rather than convergence guarantee, however we focus on the contribution of the labeled samples to the convergence rate. The analysis clearly demonstrates how the labeled samples improve the convergence rate for the exponential family mixture model. In this case, we assume that the po…
We present a noise-injected version of the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm: the Noisy Expectation Maximization (NEM) algorithm. The NEM algorithm uses noise to speed up the convergence of the EM algorithm. The NEM theorem shows that injected noise speeds up the average convergence of the EM algorithm to a local maximum of the likelihood surface if a positivity condition holds. The generalized form of the noisy expectation-maximization (NEM) algorithm allow for arbitrary modes of noise injection including adding and multiplying noise to the data. We demonstrate these noise benefits on E…
State University of New York at Buffalo（纽约州立大学布法罗分校）
In this paper, we study the problem of estimating latent variable models with arbitrarily corrupted samples in high dimensional space ({\em i.e.,} $d\gg n$) where the underlying parameter is assumed to be sparse. Specifically, we propose a method called Trimmed (Gradient) Expectation Maximization which adds a trimming gradients step and a hard thresholding step to the Expectation step (E-step) and the Maximization step (M-step), respectively. We show that under some mild assumptions and with an appropriate initialization, the algorithm is corruption-proofing and converges to the (near) optimal…
Expectation Maximization (EM) is among the most popular algorithms for estimating parameters of statistical models. However, EM, which is an iterative algorithm based on the maximum likelihood principle, is generally only guaranteed to find stationary points of the likelihood objective, and these points may be far from any maximizer. This article addresses this disconnect between the statistical principles behind EM and its algorithmic properties. Specifically, it provides a global analysis of EM for specific models in which the observations comprise an i.i.d. sample from a mixture of two Gaus…
The Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is a fundamental tool in unsupervised machine learning. It is often used as an efficient way to solve Maximum Likelihood (ML) estimation problems, especially for models with latent variables. It is also the algorithm of choice to fit mixture models: generative models that represent unlabelled points originating from $k$ different processes, as samples from $k$ multivariate distributions. In this work we define and use a quantum version of EM to fit a Gaussian Mixture Model. Given quantum access to a dataset of $n$ vectors of dimension $d$, our algori…
Analysis of a Generalized Expectation-Maximization Algorithm for Gaussian Mixture Models: A Control Systems Perspective
Department of Electrical, Computer, and Systems Engineering, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute（雷德利尔理工学院电子工程与计算机系统系）；Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute（雷德利尔理工学院工业与系统工程系）
Privacy has become a major concern in machine learning. In fact, the federated learning is motivated by the privacy concern as it does not allow to transmit the private data but only intermediate updates. However, federated learning does not always guarantee privacy-preservation as the intermediate updates may also reveal sensitive information. In this paper, we give an explicit information-theoretical analysis of a federated expectation maximization algorithm for Gaussian mixture model and prove that the intermediate updates can cause severe privacy leakage. To address the privacy issue, we p…
University of California, San Diego（加利福尼亚大学圣地亚哥分校）
In this paper, we develop a Bayesian evidence maximization framework to solve the sparse non-negative least squares (S-NNLS) problem. We introduce a family of probability densities referred to as the Rectified Gaussian Scale Mixture (R- GSM) to model the sparsity enforcing prior distribution for the solution. The R-GSM prior encompasses a variety of heavy-tailed densities such as the rectified Laplacian and rectified Student- t distributions with a proper choice of the mixing density. We utilize the hierarchical representation induced by the R-GSM prior and develop an evidence maximization fra…
King Abdullah University of Science and Technology（阿卜杜拉国王科技大学）；University of Houston（休斯顿大学）；Rutgers University（罗格斯大学）；State University of New York at Buffalo（纽约州立大学布法罗分校）
(Gradient) Expectation Maximization (EM) is a widely used algorithm for estimating the maximum likelihood of mixture models or incomplete data problems. A major challenge facing this popular technique is how to effectively preserve the privacy of sensitive data. Previous research on this problem has already lead to the discovery of some Differentially Private (DP) algorithms for (Gradient) EM. However, unlike in the non-private case, existing techniques are not yet able to provide finite sample statistical guarantees. To address this issue, we propose in this paper the first DP version of (Gra…
Any clustering algorithm must synchronously learn to model the clusters and allocate data to those clusters in the absence of labels. Mixture model-based methods model clusters with pre-defined statistical distributions and allocate data to those clusters based on the cluster likelihoods. They iteratively refine those distribution parameters and member assignments following the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm. However, the cluster representability of such hand-designed distributions that employ a limited amount of parameters is not adequate for most real-world clustering tasks. In this…
The Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm for mixture models often results in slow or invalid convergence. The popular convergence proof affirms that the likelihood increases with Q; Q is increasing in the M -step and non-decreasing in the E-step. The author found that (1) Q may and should decrease in some E-steps; (2) The Shannon channel from the E-step is improper and hence the expectation is improper. The author proposed the CM-EM algorithm (CM means Channel's Matching), which adds a step to optimize the mixture ratios for the proper Shannon channel and maximizes G, average log-normalized…
This paper uses Gaussian mixture model instead of linear Gaussian model to fit the distribution of every node in Bayesian network. We will explain why and how we use Gaussian mixture models in Bayesian network. Meanwhile we propose a new method, called double iteration algorithm, to optimize the mixture model, the double iteration algorithm combines the expectation maximization algorithm and gradient descent algorithm, and it performs perfectly on the Bayesian network with mixture models. In experiments we test the Gaussian mixture model and the optimization algorithm on different graphs which…
In this paper, we introduce and evaluate a data-driven staged mixture modeling technique for building density, regression, and classification models. Our basic approach is to sequentially add components to a finite mixture model using the structural expectation maximization (SEM) algorithm. We show that our technique is qualitatively similar to boosting. This correspondence is a natural byproduct of the fact that we use the SEM algorithm to sequentially fit the mixture model. Finally, in our experimental evaluation, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach on a variety of prediction an…
Compressed sensing techniques enable efficient acquisition and recovery of sparse, high-dimensional data signals via low-dimensional projections. In this work, we propose Uncertainty Autoencoders, a learning framework for unsupervised representation learning inspired by compressed sensing. We treat the low-dimensional projections as noisy latent representations of an autoencoder and directly learn both the acquisition (i.e., encoding) and amortized recovery (i.e., decoding) procedures. Our learning objective optimizes for a tractable variational lower bound to the mutual information between th…
We study the problem of learning policy of an infinite-horizon, discounted cost, Markov decision process (MDP) with a large number of states. We compute the actions of a policy that is nearly as good as a policy chosen by a suitable oracle from a given mixture policy class characterized by the convex hull of a set of known base policies. To learn the coefficients of the mixture model, we recast the problem as an approximate linear programming (ALP) formulation for MDPs, where the feature vectors correspond to the occupation measures of the base policies defined on the state-action space. We th…
The University of Tokyo（东京大学）；University of Innsbruck（因斯布鲁克大学）
Clustering algorithms are a cornerstone of machine learning applications. Recently, a quantum algorithm for clustering based on the k-means algorithm has been proposed by Kerenidis, Landman, Luongo and Prakash. Based on their work, we propose a quantum expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm for Gaussian mixture models (GMMs). The robustness and quantum speedup of the algorithm is demonstrated. We also show numerically the advantage of GMM over k-means for non-trivial cluster data.
X in R^D has mean zero and finite second moments. We show that there is a precise sense in which almost all linear projections of X into R^d (for d < D) look like a scale-mixture of spherical Gaussians -- specifically, a mixture of distributions N(0, sigma^2 I_d) where the weight of the particular sigma component is P (| X |^2 = sigma^2 D). The extent of this effect depends upon the ratio of d to D, and upon a particular coefficient of eccentricity of X's distribution. We explore this result in a variety of experiments.
Kogakuin University of Technology and Engineering（工学院大学）
Finite mixture models, typically Gaussian mixtures, are well known and widely used as model-based clustering. In practical situations, there are many non-Gaussian data that are heavy-tailed and/or asymmetric. Normal inverse Gaussian (NIG) distributions are normal-variance mean which mixing densities are inverse Gaussian distributions and can be used for both haavy-tail and asymmetry. For NIG mixture models, both expectation-maximization method and variational Bayesian (VB) algorithms have been proposed. However, the existing VB algorithm for NIG mixture have a disadvantage that the shape of th…
In this paper, we firstly give a brief introduction of expectation maximization (EM) algorithm, and then discuss the initial value sensitivity of expectation maximization algorithm. Subsequently, we give a short proof of EM's convergence. Then, we implement experiments with the expectation maximization algorithm (We implement all the experiments on Gaussion mixture model (GMM)). Our experiment with expectation maximization is performed in the following three cases: initialize randomly; initialize with result of K-means; initialize with result of K-medoids. The experiment result shows that expe…
The speed of convergence of the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm for Gaussian mixture model fitting is known to be dependent on the amount of overlap among the mixture components. In this paper, we study the impact of mixing coefficients on the convergence of EM. We show that when the mixture components exhibit some overlap, the convergence of EM becomes slower as the dynamic range among the mixing coefficients increases. We propose a deterministic anti-annealing algorithm, that significantly improves the speed of convergence of EM for such mixtures with unbalanced mixing coefficients. …
Mixture modeling is a general technique for making any simple model more expressive through weighted combination. This generality and simplicity in part explains the success of the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm, in which updates are easy to derive for a wide class of mixture models. However, the likelihood of a mixture model is non-convex, so EM has no known global convergence guarantees. Recently, method of moments approaches offer global guarantees for some mixture models, but they do not extend easily to the range of mixture models that exist. In this work, we present Polymom, an …
Aix Marseille Université（艾克斯-马赛大学）；CNRS（法国国家科学研究中心）；ENSAM（法国国立高等工程技术学校）；Université de Toulon（土伦大学）
Regression mixture models are widely studied in statistics, machine learning and data analysis. Fitting regression mixtures is challenging and is usually performed by maximum likelihood by using the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm. However, it is well-known that the initialization is crucial for EM. If the initialization is inappropriately performed, the EM algorithm may lead to unsatisfactory results. The EM algorithm also requires the number of clusters to be given a priori; the problem of selecting the number of mixture components requires using model selection criteria to choose on…
This paper considers the problem of networks reconstruction from heterogeneous data using a Gaussian Graphical Mixture Model (GGMM). It is well known that parameter estimation in this context is challenging due to large numbers of variables coupled with the degeneracy of the likelihood. We propose as a solution a penalized maximum likelihood technique by imposing an $l_{1}$ penalty on the precision matrix. Our approach shrinks the parameters thereby resulting in better identifiability and variable selection. We use the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm which involves the graphical LASSO …
German Center for Neurodegenerative Diseases (DZNE)（德国神经退行性疾病中心（DZNE））；University of Lancaster（兰卡斯特大学）
Mixture models are a standard approach to dealing with heterogeneous data with non-i.i.d. structure. However, when the dimension $p$ is large relative to sample size $n$ and where either or both of means and covariances/graphical models may differ between the latent groups, mixture models face statistical and computational difficulties and currently available methods cannot realistically go beyond $p \! \sim \! 10^4$ or so. We propose an approach called Model-based Clustering via Adaptive Projections (MCAP). Instead of estimating mixtures in the original space, we work with a low-dimensional r…
Center for Information Security Technology (CIST), Korea University（高丽大学信息安全技术中心(CIST)）；Korea University（高丽大学）
In order to cluster or partition data, we often use Expectation-and-Maximization (EM) or Variational approximation with a Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM), which is a parametric probability density function represented as a weighted sum of $\hat{K}$ Gaussian component densities. However, model selection to find underlying $\hat{K}$ is one of the key concerns in GMM clustering, since we can obtain the desired clusters only when $\hat{K}$ is known. In this paper, we propose a new model selection algorithm to explore $\hat{K}$ in a Bayesian framework. The proposed algorithm builds the density of the …
Cornell University（康奈尔大学）；California Institute of Technology（加州理工学院）
We propose a novel exponentially-modified Gaussian (EMG) mixture residual model. The EMG mixture is well suited to model residuals that are contaminated by a distribution with positive support. This is in contrast to commonly used robust residual models, like the Huber loss or $\ell_1$, which assume a symmetric contaminating distribution and are otherwise asymptotically biased. We propose an expectation-maximization algorithm to optimize an arbitrary model with respect to the EMG mixture. We apply the approach to linear regression and probabilistic matrix factorization (PMF). We compare agains…
We describe computationally efficient methods for learning mixtures in which each component is a directed acyclic graphical model (mixtures of DAGs or MDAGs). We argue that simple search-and-score algorithms are infeasible for a variety of problems, and introduce a feasible approach in which parameter and structure search is interleaved and expected data is treated as real data. Our approach can be viewed as a combination of (1) the Cheeseman--Stutz asymptotic approximation for model posterior probability and (2) the Expectation--Maximization algorithm. We evaluate our procedure for selecting …
We present a new mixture model-based discriminant analysis approach for functional data using a specific hidden process regression model. The approach allows for fitting flexible curve-models to each class of complex-shaped curves presenting regime changes. The model parameters are learned by maximizing the observed-data log-likelihood for each class by using a dedicated expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm. Comparisons on simulated data with alternative approaches show that the proposed approach provides better results.
We study a class of weakly identifiable location-scale mixture models for which the maximum likelihood estimates based on $n$ i.i.d. samples are known to have lower accuracy than the classical $n^{- \frac{1}{2}}$ error. We investigate whether the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm also converges slowly for these models. We provide a rigorous characterization of EM for fitting a weakly identifiable Gaussian mixture in a univariate setting where we prove that the EM algorithm converges in order $n^{\frac{3}{4}}$ steps and returns estimates that are at a Euclidean distance of order ${ n^{- \…
