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arXiv 2001.06105cs.LGstat.ML

Better Boosting with Bandits for Online Learning

University College London(伦敦大学学院);Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics(亚瑟人口健康科学与信息学研究所);NASA Ames Research Center(美国国家航空航天局艾姆斯研究中心);University of Manchester(曼彻斯特大学)

Nikolaos Nikolaou, Joseph Mellor, Nikunj C. Oza, Gavin Brown

英文摘要:

Probability estimates generated by boosting ensembles are poorly calibrated because of the margin maximization nature of the algorithm. The outputs of the ensemble need to be properly calibrated before they can be used as probability estimates. In this work, we demonstrate that online boosting is also prone to producing distorted probability estimates. In batch learning, calibration is achieved by reserving part of the training data for training the calibrator function. In the online setting, a decision needs to be made on each round: shall the new example(s) be used to update the parameters of the ensemble or those of the calibrator. We proceed to resolve this decision with the aid of bandit optimization algorithms. We demonstrate superior performance to uncalibrated and naively-calibrated on-line boosting ensembles in terms of probability estimation. Our proposed mechanism can be easily adapted to other tasks(e.g. cost-sensitive classification) and is robust to the choice of hyperparameters of both the calibrator and the ensemble.

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