arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 1809.05243math.PRq-fin.RM
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随机不动点、极限与系统风险

Random Fixed Points, Limits and Systemic risk

Veeraruna Kavitha, Indrajit Saha, Sandeep Juneja

摘要:

考虑了高维空间中含有随机变量的向量不动点方程,并研究了它们的实现解。我们有一个基本的有向随机图,它定义了FP方程的各个组成部分之间的连接。节点i、j之间存在边意味着第i个FP方程依赖于第j个分量。我们考虑一个特殊的情况下,FP方程的任何组件取决于一个适当的聚合的随机邻居组件。我们得到有限维极限FP方程(在一个小得多的维空间),其解决方案近似的解决方案的随机FP方程的几乎所有的实现,在渐近极限(组件的数量增加)。我们的技术不同于传统的平均场方法,它处理的随机FP方程的分布空间来描述系统的平稳分布。相比之下,我们的重点是实现明智的FP解决方案。我们将研究结果应用于一个由多个小机构和一个大机构组成的大型金融异构网络中的系统性风险,并展示了一些有趣的现象。

英文摘要:

We consider vector fixed point (FP) equations in large dimensional spaces involving random variables, and study their realization-wise solutions. We have an underlying directed random graph, that defines the connections between various components of the FP equations. Existence of an edge between nodes i, j implies the i th FP equation depends on the j th component. We consider a special case where any component of the FP equation depends upon an appropriate aggregate of that of the random neighbor components. We obtain finite dimensional limit FP equations (in a much smaller dimensional space), whose solutions approximate the solution of the random FP equations for almost all realizations, in the asymptotic limit (number of components increase). Our techniques are different from the traditional mean-field methods, which deal with stochastic FP equations in the space of distributions to describe the stationary distributions of the systems. In contrast our focus is on realization-wise FP solutions. We apply the results to study systemic risk in a large financial heterogeneous network with many small institutions and one big institution, and demonstrate some interesting phenomenon.

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