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arXiv 1607.04875physics.soc-ph
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中国城市的异速生长标度分析:1991-2014

A Hierarchical Allometric Scaling Analysis of Chinese Cities: 1991-2014

Yanguang Chen, Jian Feng

摘要:

基于齐普夫分布的异速生长标度律可以用来研究地理区域内城市的等级结构。然而,异速生长模式容易受到观测数据中噪声的随机干扰。理论上,异速生长定律和齐普夫定律都与分形结构的分级标度律有关。本文将具有级联结构的等级体系的标度律应用于中国城市的研究,并运用R/S分析方法分析了中国城市异速生长标度指数的变化趋势。结果表明,1991 - 2014年中国城市的等级标度关系越来越清晰,全球异速标度指数值在0.85附近波动,局部标度指数接近0.85。异速生长参数变化的Hurst指数大于0.5,表明城市演化具有持续性和长期记忆性。主要结论是:城市异速生长规律不是一成不变的规律,而是城市化自组织过程中的一种演化规律;在未来城市规划中,可以将异速生长和分形的思想结合起来,优化城市体系的空间和等级结构。

英文摘要:

The law of allometric scaling based on Zipf distributions can be employed to research hierarchies of cities in a geographical region. However, the allometric patterns are easily influenced by random disturbance from the noises in observational data. In theory, both the allometric growth law and Zipf's law are related to the hierarchical scaling laws associated with fractal structure. In this paper, the scaling laws of hierarchies with cascade structure are used to study Chinese cities, and the method of R/S analysis is applied to analyzing the change trend of the allometric scaling exponents. The results show that the hierarchical scaling relations of Chinese cities became clearer and clearer from 1991 to 2014 year; the global allometric scaling exponent values fluctuated around 0.85, and the local scaling exponent approached to 0.85. The Hurst exponent of the allometric parameter change is greater than 0.5, indicating persistence and a long-term memory of urban evolution. The main conclusions can be reached as follows: the allometric scaling law of cities represents an evolutionary order rather than an invariable rule, which emerges from self-organized process of urbanization, and the ideas from allometry and fractals can be combined to optimize spatial and hierarchical structure of urban systems in future city planning.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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