This paper studies the asymptotic power of tests of sphericity against perturbations in a single unknown direction as both the dimensionality of the data and the number of observations go to infinity. We establish the convergence, under the null hypothesis and contiguous alternatives, of the log ratio of the joint densities of the sample covariance eigenvalues to a Gaussian process indexed by the norm of the perturbation. When the perturbation norm is larger than the phase transition threshold studied in Baik, Ben Arous and Peche [Ann. Probab. 33 (2005) 1643-1697] the limiting process is degenerate, and discrimination between the null and the alternative is asymptotically certain. When the norm is below the threshold, the limiting process is nondegenerate, and the joint eigenvalue densities under the null and alternative hypotheses are mutually contiguous. Using the asymptotic theory of statistical experiments, we obtain asymptotic power envelopes and derive the asymptotic power for various sphericity tests in the contiguity region. In particular, we show that the asymptotic power of the Tracy-Widom-type tests is trivial (i.e., equals the asymptotic size), whereas that of the eigenvalue-based likelihood ratio test is strictly larger than the size, and close to the power envelope.
In this paper, we propose corrections to the likelihood ratio test and John's test for sphericity in large-dimensions. New formulas for the limiting parameters in the CLT for linear spectral statistics of sample covariance matrices with general fourth moments are first established. Using these formulas, we derive the asymptotic distribution of the two proposed test statistics under the null. These asymptotics are valid for general population, i.e. not necessarily Gaussian, provided a finite fourth-moment. Extensive Monte-Carlo experiments are conducted to assess the quality of these tests with…
Sphericity test plays a key role in many statistical problems. We propose Spearman's rho-type rank test and Kendall's tau-type rank test for sphericity in the high dimensional settings. We show that these two tests are equivalent. Thanks to the "blessing of dimension", we do not need to estimate any nuisance parameters. Without estimating the location parameter, we can allow the dimension to be arbitrary large. Asymptotic normality of these two tests are also established under elliptical distributions. Simulations demonstrate that they are very robust and efficient in a wide range of settings.
This paper focuses on the prominent sphericity test when the dimension $p$ is much lager than sample size $n$. The classical likelihood ratio test(LRT) is no longer applicable when $p\gg n$. Therefore a Quasi-LRT is proposed and asymptotic distribution of the test statistic under the null when $p/n\rightarrow\infty, n\rightarrow\infty$ is well established in this paper. Meanwhile, John's test has been found to possess the powerful {\it dimension-proof} property, which keeps exactly the same limiting distribution under the null with any $(n,p)$-asymptotic, i.e. $p/n\rightarrow[0,\infty]$, $n\ri…
In this paper we study the existence of locally most powerful invariant tests (LMPIT) for the problem of testing the covariance structure of a set of Gaussian random vectors. The LMPIT is the optimal test for the case of close hypotheses, among those satisfying the invariances of the problem, and in practical scenarios can provide better performance than the typically used generalized likelihood ratio test (GLRT). The derivation of the LMPIT usually requires one to find the maximal invariant statistic for the detection problem and then derive its distribution under both hypotheses, which in ge…
We develop tests for high-dimensional covariance matrices under a generalized elliptical model. Our tests are based on a central limit theorem (CLT) for linear spectral statistics of the sample covariance matrix based on self-normalized observations. For testing sphericity, our tests neither assume specific parametric distributions nor involve the kurtosis of data. More generally, we can test against any non-negative definite matrix that can even be not invertible. As an interesting application, we illustrate in empirical studies that our tests can be used to test uncorrelatedness among idiosy…
In this study, we derive the density and distribution function of a ratio of the largest and smallest eigenvalues of a singular beta-Wishart matrix for the sphericity test. These functions can be expressed in terms of the product of Jack polynomials. We propose an algorithm that expands the product of Jack polynomials by a linear combination of Jack polynomials. Numerical computation for the derived distributions is performed using the algorithm.
This paper discusses fluctuations of linear spectral statistics of high-dimensional sample covariance matrices when the underlying population follows an elliptical distribution. Such population often possesses high order correlations among their coordinates, which have great impact on the asymptotic behaviors of linear spectral statistics. Taking such kind of dependency into consideration, we establish a new central limit theorem for the linear spectral statistics in this paper for a class of elliptical populations. This general theoretical result has wide applications and, as an example, it i…
We consider the problem of testing uniformity on high-dimensional unit spheres. We are primarily interested in non-null issues. We show that rotationally symmetric alternatives lead to two Local Asymptotic Normality (LAN) structures. The first one is for fixed modal location $θ$ and allows to derive locally asymptotically most powerful tests under specified $θ$. The second one, that addresses the Fisher-von Mises-Langevin (FvML) case, relates to the unspecified-$θ$ problem and shows that the high-dimensional Rayleigh test is locally asymptotically most powerful invariant. Under mild assumption…
This paper studies John's test for sphericity of the error terms in large panel data models, where the number of cross-section units $n$ is large enough to be comparable to the number of times series observations $T$, or even larger. Based on recent random matrix theory results, John's test's asymptotic normality properties are established under both the null and the alternative hypotheses. These asymptotics are valid for general populations, i.e., not necessarily Gaussian provided certain finite moments. A fantastic phenomenon found in the paper is that John's test for panel data models posse…
This paper deals with the local asymptotic structure, in the sense of Le Cam's asymptotic theory of statistical experiments, of the signal detection problem in high dimension. More precisely, we consider the problem of testing the null hypothesis of sphericity of a high-dimensional covariance matrix against an alternative of (unspecified) multiple symmetry-breaking directions (\textit{multispiked} alternatives). Simple analytical expressions for the asymptotic power envelope and the asymptotic powers of previously proposed tests are derived. These asymptotic powers are shown to lie very substa…
We propose a class of rank-based procedures for testing that the shape matrix $\mathbf{V}$ of an elliptical distribution (with unspecified center of symmetry, scale and radial density) has some fixed value ${\mathbf{V}}_0$; this includes, for ${\mathbf{V}}_0={\mathbf{I}}_k$, the problem of testing for sphericity as an important particular case. The proposed tests are invariant under translations, monotone radial transformations, rotations and reflections with respect to the estimated center of symmetry. They are valid without any moment assumption. For adequately chosen scores, they are locall…
This paper investigates limiting properties of eigenvalues of multivariate sample spatial-sign covariance matrices when both the number of variables and the sample size grow to infinity. The underlying p-variate populations are general enough to include the popular independent components model and the family of elliptical distributions. A first result of the paper establishes that the distribution of the eigenvalues converges to a deterministic limit that belongs to the family of generalized Marcenko-Pastur distributions. Furthermore, a new central limit theorem is established for a class of l…
This paper considers testing the covariance matrices structure based on Wald's score test in large dimensional setting. The hypothesis $H_0: Σ=Σ_0 $ for a given matrix $Σ_0$, which covers the identity hypothesis test and sphericity hypothesis test as the special cases, is reviewed by the generalized CLT (Central Limit Theorem) for the linear spectral statistics of large dimensional sample covariance matrices from Jiang(2015) . The proposed tests can be applicable for large dimensional non-Gaussian variables in a wider range. Furthermore, the simulation study is provided to compare the proposed…
We consider goodness-of-fit tests for uniformity of a multinomial distribution by means of tests based on a class of symmetric statistics, defined as the sum of some function of cell-frequencies. We are dealing with an asymptotic regime, where the number of cells grows with the sample size. Most attention is focused on the class of power divergence statistics. The aim of this article is to study the intermediate asymptotic relative efficiency of two tests, where the powers of the tests are asymptotically non-degenerate and the sequences of alternatives converge to the hypothesis, but not too f…
We consider nonparametric testing in a non-asymptotic framework. Our statistical guarantees are exact in the sense that Type I and II errors are controlled for any finite sample size. Meanwhile, one proposed test is shown to achieve minimax optimality in the asymptotic sense. An important consequence of this non-asymptotic theory is a new and practically useful formula for selecting the optimal smoothing parameter in nonparametric testing. The leading example in this paper is smoothing spline models under Gaussian errors. The results obtained therein can be further generalized to the kernel ri…
This paper considers the asymptotic power of likelihood ratio test (LRT) for the identity test when the dimension p is large compared to the sample size n. The asymptotic distribution of LRT under alternatives is given and an explicit expression of the power is derived. A simulation study is carried out to compare LRT with other tests. All these studies show that LRT is a powerful test to detect eigenvalues around zero. Key words and phrases: Covariance matrix, High dimensional data, Identity test, Likelihood ratio test, Power
We consider two problems of constructing of goodness of fit tests for ergodic diffusion processes. The first one is concerned with a composite basic hypothesis for a parametric class of diffusion processes, which includes the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck and simple switching processes. In this case we propose asymptotically parameter free tests of Cramér-von Mises type. The basic hypothesis in the second problem is simple and we propose asymptotically distribution free tests for a wider class of trend coefficients.
Based on a generalized cosine measure between two symmetric matrices, we propose a general framework for one-sample and two-sample tests of covariance and correlation matrices. We also develop a set of associated permutation algorithms for some common one-sample tests, such as the tests of sphericity, identity and compound symmetry, and the $K$-sample tests of multivariate equality of covariance or correlation matrices. The proposed method is very flexible in the sense that it does not assume any underlying distributions and data generation models. Moreover, it allows data to have different ma…
The object of study is the problem of testing for uniformity of the multinomial distribution. We consider tests based on symmetric statistics, defined as the sum of some function of cell-frequencies. Mainly, attention is focused on the class of power divergence statistics, in particular, on the chi-square and log-likelihood ratio statistics. The main issue of the article is to study the asymptotic properties of tests at the concept of an intermediate setting in terms of so called -intermediate asymptotic efficiency due to Ivchenko and Mirakhmedov (1995), when the asymptotic power of tests are …
We consider the problem of the construction of the asymptotically distribution free test by the observations of ergodic diffusion process. It is supposedd that under the basic hypothesis the trend coefficient depends on the finite dimensional parameter and we study the Cramer-von Mises type statistics. The underlying statistics depends on the deviation of the local time estimator from the invariant density with parameter replaced by the maximum likelihood estimator. We propose a linear transformation which yields the convergence of the test statistics to the integral of Wiener process. Therefo…
Many high-dimensional hypothesis tests aim to globally examine marginal or low-dimensional features of a high-dimensional joint distribution, such as testing of mean vectors, covariance matrices and regression coefficients. This paper constructs a family of U-statistics as unbiased estimators of the $\ell_p$-norms of those features. We show that under the null hypothesis, the U-statistics of different finite orders are asymptotically independent and normally distributed. Moreover, they are also asymptotically independent with the maximum-type test statistic, whose limiting distribution is an e…
The asymptotic distribution of the score test of the null hypothesis that marks do not impact the intensity of a Hawkes marked self-exciting point process is shown to be chi-squared. For local asymptotic power, the distribution against local alternatives is also established as non-central chi-squared. These asymptotic results are derived using existing asymptotic results for likelihood estimates of the unmarked Hawkes process model together with mild additional conditions on the moments and ergodicity of the marks process and an additional uniform boundedness assumption, shown to be true for t…
The problem of testing the goodness of fit of an absolutely continuous distribution to a set of observations grouped into equal probability intervals, against to a family of sequences of alternatives approaching the hypothesis is considered. We focus our study to the asymptotic intermediate efficiency (AIE) due to Inglot (1999) of the chi-squared and log-likelihood ratio tests. It is assumed that the number of groups increases together with the number of observations.
We provide new asymptotic theory for kernel density estimators, when these are applied to autoregressive processes exhibiting moderate deviations from a unit root. This fills a gap in the existing literature, which has to date considered only nearly integrated and stationary autoregressive processes. These results have applications to nonparametric predictive regression models. In particular, we show that the null rejection probability of a nonparametric t test is controlled uniformly in the degree of persistence of the regressor. This provides a rigorous justification for the validity of the …
Test statistics are often strongly dependent in large-scale multiple testing applications. Most corrections for multiplicity are unduly conservative for correlated test statistics, resulting in a loss of power to detect true positives. We show that the Westfall--Young permutation method has asymptotically optimal power for a broad class of testing problems with a block-dependence and sparsity structure among the tests, when the number of tests tends to infinity.
In this paper we study the effects of noise on the bipower variation (BPV), realized volatility (RV) and testing for co-jumps in high-frequency data under the small noise framework. We first establish asymptotic properties of the BPV in this framework. In the presence of the small noise, the RV is asymptotically biased and the additional asymptotic conditional variance term appears in its limit distribution. We also give feasible estimation methods of the asymptotic conditional variances of the RV. Second, we derive the asymptotic distribution of the test statistic proposed in Jacod and Todoro…
The aim of this paper is to establish non-asymptotic minimax rates of testing for goodness-of-fit hypotheses in a heteroscedastic setting. More precisely, we deal with sequences $(Y_j)_{j\in J}$ of independent Gaussian random variables, having mean $(θ_j)_{j\in J}$ and variance $(σ_j)_{j\in J}$. The set $J$ will be either finite or countable. In particular, such a model covers the inverse problem setting where few results in test theory have been obtained. The rates of testing are obtained with respect to $l_2$ and $l_{\infty}$ norms, without assumption on $(σ_j)_{j\in J}$ and on several funct…
Sequential change point tests aim at giving an alarm as soon as possible after a structural break occurs while controlling the asymptotic false alarm error. For such tests it is of particular importance to understand how quickly a break is detected. While this is often assessed by simulations only, in this paper, we derive the asymptotic distribution of the delay time for sequential change point procedures based on U-statistics. This includes the difference-of-means (DOM) sequential test, that has been discussed previously, but also a new robust Wilcoxon sequential change point test. Similar t…
In many applications, hypothesis testing is based on an asymptotic distribution of statistics. The aim of this paper is to clarify and extend multiple correction procedures when the statistics are asymptotically Gaussian. We propose a unified framework to prove their asymptotic behavior which is valid in the case of highly correlated tests. We focus on correlation tests where several test statistics are proposed. All these multiple testing procedures on correlations are shown to control FWER. An extensive simulation study on correlation-based graph estimation highlights finite sample behavior,…
In this paper we present a new characterization of Pareto distribution and consider goodness of fit tests based on it. We provide an integral and Kolmogorov- Smirnov type statistics based on U-statistics and we calculate Bahadur efficiency for various alternatives. We find locally optimal alternatives for those tests. For small sample sizes we compare the power of those tests with some common goodness of fit tests.
In the classical two-sample problem, the conventional approach for testing distributions equality is based on the difference between the two marginal empirical distribution functions, whereas a test for independence is based on the contrast between the bivariate and the product of the marginal empirical distribution functions. In this article we consider the problem of testing independence and distributions equality when the observer is "colour blind" so he cannot distinguish the distribution which has generated each of the two measurements. Within a nonparametric framework, we propose an empi…
We introduce a new characterization of Pareto distribution and construct integral and supremum type goodness-of-fit tests based on it. Limiting distribution and large deviations of new statistics are described and their local Bahadur efficiency for parametric alternatives is calculated. Conditions of local optimality of new statistics are given.
Multiple testing is a fundamental problem in high-dimensional statistical inference. Although many methods have been proposed to control false discoveries, it is still a challenging task when the tests are correlated to each other. To overcome this challenge, various methods have been proposed to estimate the false discovery rate (FDR) and/or the false discovery proportion (FDP) under arbitrary covariance among the test statistics. An interesting finding of these works is that the estimation of FDP and FDR under weak dependence is identical to that under independence. However, Mei et al. (2021…
Fan et al. (2015) recently introduced a remarkable method for increasing asymptotic power of tests in high-dimensional testing problems. If applicable to a given test, their power enhancement principle leads to an improved test that has the same asymptotic size, uniformly non-inferior asymptotic power, and is consistent against a strictly broader range of alternatives than the initially given test. We study under which conditions this method can be applied and show the following: In asymptotic regimes where the dimensionality of the parameter space is fixed as sample size increases, there ofte…
A common feature of high-dimensional data is that the data dimension is high, however, the sample size is relatively low. We call such data HDLSS data. In this paper, we study asymptotic properties of the first principal component in the HDLSS context and apply them to equality tests of covariance matrices for high dimensional data sets. We consider HDLSS asymptotic theories as the dimension grows for both the cases when the sample size is fixed and the sample size goes to infinity. We introduce an eigenvalue estimator by the noise-reduction methodology and provide asymptotic distributions of …
The existence of immune or cured individuals in a population and whether there is sufficient followup in a sample of censored observations on their lifetimes to be confident of their presence are questions of major importance in medical survival analysis. So far only a few candidates have been put forward as possible test statistics for the existence of sufficient followup in a sample. Here we investigate one such statistic and give a detailed analysis, obtaining an exact finite sample as well as asymptotic distributions for it, and use these to calculate the power of the test as a function of…
We present a novel approach to test for heteroscedasticity of a non-stationary time series that is based on Gini's mean difference of logarithmic local sample variances. In order to analyse the large sample behaviour of our test statistic, we establish new limit theorems for U-statistics of dependent triangular arrays. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the test statistic under the null hypothesis of a constant variance and show that the test is consistent against a large class of alternatives, including multiple structural breaks in the variance. Our test is applicable even in the case …
In the paper, we suggest three tests on the validity of a factor model which can be applied for both small dimensional and large dimensional data. Both the exact and asymptotic distributions of the resulting test statistics are derived under classical and high-dimensional asymptotic regimes. It is shown that the critical values of the proposed tests can be calibrated empirically by generating a sample from the inverse Wishart distribution with identity parameter matrix. The powers of the suggested tests are investigated by means of simulations. The results of the simulation study are consisten…
This paper is concerned with the problem of comparing the population means of two groups of independent observations. An approximate randomization test procedure based on the test statistic of Chen and Qin (2010) is proposed. The asymptotic behavior of the test statistic as well as the randomized statistic is studied under weak conditions. In our theoretical framework, observations are not assumed to be identically distributed even within groups. No condition on the eigenstructure of the covariance matrices is imposed. And the sample sizes of the two groups are allowed to be unbalanced. Under …
We propose a new goodness-of-fit test for copulas, based on empirical copula processes and their nonparametric bootstrap counterparts. The standard Kolmogorov-Smirnov type test for copulas that takes the supremum of the empirical copula process indexed by half spaces is extended by test statistics based on the supremum of the empirical copula process indexed by partitions of Ln rectangles with Ln slowly tending to infinity. Although the underlying empirical process does not converge, it is proved that the p-values of our new test statistic can be consistently estimated by the bootstrap. Simula…
Within a Bayesian decision theoretic framework we investigate some asymptotic optimality properties of a large class of multiple testing rules. A parametric setup is considered, in which observations come from a normal scale mixture model and the total loss is assumed to be the sum of losses for individual tests. Our model can be used for testing point null hypotheses, as well as to distinguish large signals from a multitude of very small effects. A rule is defined to be asymptotically Bayes optimal under sparsity (ABOS), if within our chosen asymptotic framework the ratio of its Bayes risk an…
The Behrens-Fisher Problem is a classical statistical problem. It is to test the equality of the means of two normal populations using two independent samples, when the equality of the population variances is unknown. Linnik (1968) has shown that this problem has no exact fixed-level tests based on the complete sufficient statistics. However, exact conventional solutions based on other statistics and approximate solutions based the complete sufficient statistics do exist. Existing methods are mainly asymptotic tests, and usually don't perform well when the variances or sample sizes differ a lo…
In this article, we investigate the asymptotic properties of Bayesian multiple testing procedures under general dependent setup, when the sample size and the number of hypotheses both tend to infinity. Specifically, we investigate strong consistency of the procedures and asymptotic properties of different versions of false discovery and false non-discovery rates under the high dimensional setup. We particularly focus on a novel Bayesian non-marginal multiple testing procedure and its associated error rates in this regard. Our results show that the asymptotic convergence rates of the error rate…
We study asymptotic properties of Bayesian multiple testing procedures and provide sufficient conditions for strong consistency under general dependence structure. We also consider a novel Bayesian multiple testing procedure and associated error measures that coherently accounts for the dependence structure present in the model. We advocate posterior versions of FDR and FNR as appropriate error rates and show that their asymptotic convergence rates are directly associated with the Kullback-Leibler divergence from the true model. Our results hold even when the class of postulated models is miss…
Stepwise multiple testing procedures have attracted several statisticians for decades and are also quite popular with statistics users because of their technical simplicity. The Bonferroni procedure has been one of the earliest and most prominent testing rules for controlling the familywise error rate (FWER). A recent article established that the FWER for the Bonferroni method asymptotically (i.e., when the number of hypotheses becomes arbitrarily large) approaches zero under any positively equicorrelated multivariate normal framework. However, similar results for the limiting behaviors of FWE…
We propose a general method for constructing confidence intervals and statistical tests for single or low-dimensional components of a large parameter vector in a high-dimensional model. It can be easily adjusted for multiplicity taking dependence among tests into account. For linear models, our method is essentially the same as in Zhang and Zhang [J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. B Stat. Methodol. 76 (2014) 217-242]: we analyze its asymptotic properties and establish its asymptotic optimality in terms of semiparametric efficiency. Our method naturally extends to generalized linear models with convex loss…
We consider tests of hypotheses when the parameters are not identifiable under the null in semiparametric models, where regularity conditions for profile likelihood theory fail. Exponential average tests based on integrated profile likelihood are constructed and shown to be asymptotically optimal under a weighted average power criterion with respect to a prior on the nonidentifiable aspect of the model. These results extend existing results for parametric models, which involve more restrictive assumptions on the form of the alternative than do our results. Moreover, the proposed tests accommod…
Instead of defining goodness of fit (GOF) tests in terms of their test statistics, we present an alternative method by introducing the concept of local levels, which indicate high or low local sensitivity of a test. Local levels can act as a starting point for the construction of new GOF tests. We study the behavior of local levels when applied to some well-known GOF tests such as Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) tests, higher criticism (HC) tests and tests based on phi-divergences. The main focus is on a rigorous characterization of the asymptotic behavior of local levels of the original HC tests whic…
We propose a class of tests for linear regression on concomitants (induced order statistics). These tests are based on sequential sums of regression residuals. We self-center and self-normalize these sums. The resulting process is called an empirical bridge. We prove weak convergence of the empirical bridge in uniform metrics to a centered Gaussian process. The proposed tests are of chi-square type.
Consider the problem of simultaneous testing for the means of independent normal observations. In this paper, we study some asymptotic optimality properties of certain multiple testing rules induced by a general class of one-group shrinkage priors in a Bayesian decision theoretic framework, where the overall loss is taken as the number of misclassified hypotheses. We assume a two-groups normal mixture model for the data and consider the asymptotic framework adopted in Bogdan et al. (2011) who introduced the notion of asymptotic Bayes optimality under sparsity in the context of multiple testing…
