A non-parametric diffusion model with an additive fractional Brownian motion noise is considered in this work. The drift is a non-parametric function that will be estimated by two methods. On one hand, we propose a locally linear estimator based on the local approximation of the drift by a linear function. On the other hand, a Nadaraya-Watson kernel type estimator is studied. In both cases, some non-asymptotic results are proposed by means of deviation probability bound. The consistency property of the estimators are obtained under a one sided dissipative Lipschitz condition on the drift that insures the ergodic property for the stochastic differential equation. Our estimators are first constructed under continuous observations. The drift function is then estimated with discrete time observations that is of the most importance for practical applications.
We investigate the problem of nonparametric estimation of the trend for stochastic differential equations with delay and driven by a fractional Brownian motion through the method of kernel-type estimation for the estimation of a probability density function.
We study the nonparametric estimation for the intensity of Poisson random measure in jump-diffusion CIR model based on the low frequency observations. This is given in terms of the minimization of norms on a nonempty, closed and convex subset of some special Hilbert space. We establish the measurability of the estimator and derive its consistency and asymptotic risk bound.
We introduce verifiable criteria for weak posterior consistency of identifiable Bayesian nonparametric inference for jump diffusions with unit diffusion coefficient and uniformly Lipschitz drift and jump coefficients in arbitrary dimension. The criteria are expressed in terms of coefficients of the SDEs describing the process, and do not depend on intractable quantities such as transition densities. We also show that products of discrete net and Dirichlet mixture model priors satisfy our conditions, again under an identifiability assumption. This generalises known results by incorporating jump…
We study the problem of nonparametric estimation of linear multiplier function $θt)$ for processes satisfying stochastic differential equations of the type $dX_t=θ(t)X_tdt+\epsilond\bar W_t^H, X_0=x_0, 0\leq t \leq T$ where $\{\bar W_T^H, t \geq 0\}$ is a mixed fractional Brownian motion with known Hurst index $H$ and study the asymptotic behaviour of the estimator as $ε\rightarrow 0.$
This paper deals with the consistency and a rate of convergence for a Nadaraya-Watson estimator of the drift function of a stochastic differential equation driven by an additive fractional noise. The results of this paper are obtained via both some long-time behavior properties of Hairer and some properties of the Skorokhod integral with respect to the fractional Brownian motion. These results are illustrated on the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.
Nonparametric estimation for semilinear SPDEs, namely stochastic reaction-diffusion equations in one space dimension, is studied. We consider observations of the solution field on a discrete grid in time and space with infill asymptotics in both coordinates. Firstly, we derive a nonparametric estimator for the reaction function of the underlying equation. The estimate is chosen from a finite-dimensional function space based on a least squares criterion. Oracle inequalities provide conditions for the estimator to achieve the usual nonparametric rate of convergence. Adaptivity is provided via mo…
In branching diffusions with immigration (BDI), particles travel on independent diffusion paths in $\mathbb{R}^d$, branch at position-dependent rates and leave offspring -- randomly scattered around the parent's death position -- according to position-dependent laws. We specify a set of conditions which grants ergodicity such that the invariant occupation measure is of finite total mass and admits a continuous Lebesgue density. Under discrete-time observation, BDI configurations being recorded at discrete times $iΔ$ only, $i\in\mathbb{N}_0$, we lose information about particle identities betwee…
We consider nonparametric Bayesian inference in a reflected diffusion model $dX_t = b (X_t)dt + σ(X_t) dW_t,$ with discretely sampled observations $X_0, X_Δ, \dots, X_{nΔ}$. We analyse the nonlinear inverse problem corresponding to the `low frequency sampling' regime where $Δ>0$ is fixed and $n \to \infty$. A general theorem is proved that gives conditions for prior distributions $Π$ on the diffusion coefficient $σ$ and the drift function $b$ that ensure minimax optimal contraction rates of the posterior distribution over Hölder-Sobolev smoothness classes. These conditions are verified for nat…
We consider the problem of the Bayesian inference of drift and diffusion coefficient functions in a stochastic differential equation given discrete observations of a realisation of its solution. We give conditions for the well-posedness and stable approximations of the posterior measure. These conditions in particular allow for priors with unbounded support. Our proof relies on the explicit construction of transition probability densities using the parametrix method for general parabolic equations. We then study an application of these results in inferring the rates of Birth-and-Death processe…
Parametric and nonparametric inference for stochastic processes driven by a fractional Brownian motion were investigated in Mishura (2008) and Prakasa Rao(2010) among others. Similar problems for processes driven by an infinite dimensional fractional Brownian motion were studied in Prakasa Rao (2004,2013), Cialenco (2009) and others. Parametric estimation for processes driven by infinite dimensional mixed fractional Brownian motion is discussed in this article.
The nonparametric volatility estimation problem of a scalar diffusion process observed at equidistant time points is addressed. Using the spectral representation of the volatility in terms of the invariant density and an eigenpair of the infinitesimal generator the first known estimator that attains the minimax optimal convergence rates for both high and low-frequency observations is constructed. The proofs are based on a posteriori error bounds for generalized eigenvalue problems as well as the path properties of scalar diffusions and stochastic analysis. The finite sample performance is illu…
This paper deals with the investigation of the solution of an unified fractional reaction-diffusion equation associated with the Caputo derivative as the time-derivative and Riesz-Feller fractional derivative as the space-derivative. The solution is derived by the application of the Laplace and Fourier transforms in closed form in terms of the H-function. The results derived are of general nature and include the results investigated earlier by many authors, notably by Mainardi et al. (2001, 2005) for the fundamental solution of the space-time fractional diffusion equation, and Saxena et al. (2…
We consider fractional directional derivatives and establish some connection with stable densities. Solutions to advection equations involving fractional directional derivatives are presented and some properties investigated. In particular we obtain solutions written in terms of Wright functions by exploiting operational rules involving the shift operator. We also consider fractional advection diffusion equations involving fractional powers of the negative Laplace operator and directional derivatives of fractional order and discuss the probabilistic interpretations of solutions.
We define heavy-tailed fractional reciprocal gamma and Fisher-Snedecor diffusions by a non-Markovian time change in the corresponding Pearson diffusions. Pearson diffusions are governed by the backward Kolmogorov equations with space-varying polynomial coefficients and are widely used in applications. The corresponding fractional reciprocal gamma and Fisher-Snedecor diffusions are governed by the fractional backward Kolmogorov equations and have heavy-tailed marginal distributions in the steady state. We derive the explicit expressions for the transition densities of the fractional reciprocal …
Some fractional and anomalous diffusions are driven by equations involving fractional derivatives in both time and space. Such diffusions are processes with randomly varying times. In representing the solutions to those diffusions, the explicit laws of certain stable processes turn out to be fundamental. This paper directs one's efforts towards the explicit representation of solutions to fractional and anomalous diffusions related to Sturm-Liouville problems of fractional order associated to fractional power function spaces. Furthermore, we study a new version of the Bochner's subordination ru…
We study some estimators of the Hurst index and the diffusion coefficient of the fractional Gompertz diffusion process and prove that they are strongly consistent and most of them are asymptotically normal. Moreover, we compare the asymptotic behavior of these estimators with the aid of computer simulations.
In this paper we study a stochastic differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion with a discontinuous coefficient. We also give an approximation to the solution of the equation. This is a first step to define a fractional version of the skew Brownian motion.
We present the stochastic solution to a generalized fractional partial differential equation involving a regularized operator related to the so-called Prabhakar operator and admitting, amongst others, as specific cases the fractional diffusion equation and the fractional telegraph equation. The stochastic solution is expressed as a Lévy process time-changed with the inverse process to a linear combination of (possibly subordinated) independent stable subordinators of different indices. Furthermore a related SDE is derived and discussed.
This paper is concerned with the fractionalized diffusion equations governing the law of the fractional Brownian motion $B_H(t)$. We obtain solutions of these equations which are probability laws extending that of $B_H(t)$. Our analysis is based on McBride fractional operators generalizing the hyper-Bessel operators $L$ and converting their fractional power $L^α$ into Erdélyi--Kober fractional integrals. We study also probabilistic properties of the r.v.'s whose distributions satisfy space-time fractional equations involving Caputo and Riesz fractional derivatives. Some results emerging from t…
In this paper, we introduce the linear fractional self-attracting diffusion driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index 1/2<H<1, which is analogous to the linear self-attracting diffusion. For 1-dimensional process we study its convergence and the corresponding weighted local time. For 2-dimensional process, as a related problem, we show that the renormalized self-intersection local time exists in L^2 if $\frac12<H<\frac3{4}$.
In this paper we present stochastic foundations of fractional dynamics driven by fractional material derivative of distributed order-type. Before stating our main result we present the stochastic scenario which underlies the dynamics given by fractional material derivative. Then we introduce a Levy walk process of distributed-order type to establish our main result, which is the scaling limit of the considered process. It appears that the probability density function of the scaling limit process fulfills, in a weak sense, the fractional diffusion equation with material derivative of distribute…
We provide explicit classical solutions and stochastic analogues for distributed-order space-time fractional diffusion equations on bounded domains with zero exterior boundary conditions. We also show that our results still hold when the mixing measure in the distributed-order time-derivative is singular.
Fractional diffusion equations replace the integer-order derivatives in space and time by their fractional-order analogues. They are used in physics to model anomalous diffusion. This paper develops strong solutions of space-time fractional diffusion equations on bounded domains, as well as probabilistic representations of these solutions, which are useful for particle tracking codes.
We study the heat kernel of the supercritical fractional diffusion equation with the drift in the critical Hölder space. We show that such a drift can have point irregularities strong enough to make the heat kernel vanish at a point for all $t>0$.
It is well known that certain fractional diffusion equations can be solved by the densities of stable Lévy motions. In this paper we use the classical semigroup approach for Lévy processes to define semi-fractional derivatives, which allows us to generalize this statement to semistable Lévy processes. A Fourier series approach for the periodic part of the corresponding Lévy exponents enables us to represent semi-fractional derivatives by a Grünwald-Letnikov type formula. We use this formula to calculate semi-fractional derivatives and solutions to semi-fractional diffusion equations numericall…
Generalizing Brownian motion (BM), fractional Brownian motion (FBM) is a paradigmatic selfsimilar model for anomalous diffusion. Specifically, varying its Hurst exponent, FBM spans: sub-diffusion, regular diffusion, and super-diffusion. As BM, also FBM is a symmetric and Gaussian process, with a continuous trajectory, and with a stationary velocity. In contrast to BM, FBM is neither a Markov process nor a martingale, and its velocity is correlated. Based on a recent study of selfsimilar Ito diffusions, we explore an alternative selfsimilar model for anomalous diffusion: fractional Ito motion (…
In this paper continuous time random walk models approximating fractional space-time diffusion processes are studied. Stochastic processes associated with the considered equations represent time-changed processes, where the time-change process is a Lévy's stable subordinator with the stability index $β\in (0,1).$ In the parer the convergence of constructed CTRWs to time-changed processes associated with the corresponding fractional diffusion equations are proved using a new analytic method.
In this paper, we deal with the inverse source problem of determining a source in a time fractional diffusion equation where data are given at a fixed time. This problem is ill-posed, i.e., the solution does not depend continuously on the data. To regularize the instable solution, we use the trigonometric method in nonparametric regression associated with the truncated expansion method. We also investigate the convergence rate.
We study the inverse random source problem for the time-space fractional diffusion equation driven by fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in(0,1)$. With the aid of a novel estimate, by using the operator approach we propose regularity analyses for the direct problem. Then we provide a reconstruction scheme for the source terms $f$ and $g$ up to the sign. Next, combining the properties of Mittag-Leffler function, the complete uniqueness and instability analyses are provided. It's worth mentioning that all the analyses are unified for $H\in(0,1)$.
