This paper establishes a necessary and sufficient condition for the asymptotic normality of the nonparametric estimator of sample coverage proposed by Good [Biometrica 40 (1953) 237--264]. This new necessary and sufficient condition extends the validity of the asymptotic normality beyond the previously proven cases.
We derive asymptotic normality of kernel type deconvolution density estimators. In particular we consider deconvolution problems where the known component of the convolution has a symmetric lambda-stable distribution, 0<lambda<= 2. It turns out that the limit behavior changes if the exponent parameter lambda passes the value one, the case of Cauchy deconvolution.
We establish the asymptotic normality of the kernel type estimator for the regression function constructed from quasi-associated data when the explanatory variable takes its values in a separable Hilbert space.
The main purpose of this paper is to estimate the regression function by using a recursive nonparametric kernel approach. We derive the asymptotic normality for a general class of recursive kernel estimate of the regression function, under strong mixing conditions. Our purpose is to extend the work of Roussas and Tran [17] concerning the Devroye-Wagner estimate.
Nonparametric density and regression estimators commonly depend on a bandwidth. The asymptotic properties of these estimators have been widely studied when bandwidths are nonstochastic. In practice, however, in order to improve finite sample performance of these estimators, bandwidths are selected by data driven methods, such as cross-validation or plug-in procedures. As a result nonparametric estimators are usually constructed using stochastic bandwidths. In this paper we establish the asymptotic equivalence in probability of local polynomial regression estimators under stochastic and nonstoc…
In this study, we develop an asymptotic theory of nonparametric regression for locally stationary random fields (LSRFs) $\{{\bf X}_{{\bf s}, A_{n}}: {\bf s} \in R_{n} \}$ in $\mathbb{R}^{p}$ observed at irregularly spaced locations in $R_{n} =[0,A_{n}]^{d} \subset \mathbb{R}^{d}$. We first derive the uniform convergence rate of general kernel estimators, followed by the asymptotic normality of an estimator for the mean function of the model. Moreover, we consider additive models to avoid the curse of dimensionality arising from the dependence of the convergence rate of estimators on the number…
Generalized likelihoods are commonly used to obtain consistent estimators with attractive computational and robustness properties. Formally, any generalized likelihood can be used to define a generalized posterior distribution, but an arbitrarily defined "posterior" cannot be expected to appropriately quantify uncertainty in any meaningful sense. In this article, we provide sufficient conditions under which generalized posteriors exhibit concentration, asymptotic normality (Bernstein-von Mises), an asymptotically correct Laplace approximation, and asymptotically correct frequentist coverage. W…
In this paper, we consider moderate deviations for Good's coverage estimator. The moderate deviation principle and the self-normalized moderate deviation principle for Good's coverage estimator are established. The results are also applied to the hypothesis testing problem and the confidence interval for the coverage.
This paper deals with the nonparametric density estimation of the regression error term assuming its independence with the covariate. The difference between the feasible estimator which uses the estimated residuals and the unfeasible one using the true residuals is studied. An optimal choice of the bandwidth used to estimate the residuals is given. We also study the asymptotic normality of the feasible kernel estimator and its rate-optimality.
This paper is devoted to the nonparametric estimation of the derivative of the regression function in a nonparametric regression model. We implement a very efficient and easy to handle statistical procedure based on the derivative of the recursive Nadaraya-Watson estimator. We establish the almost sure convergence as well as the asymptotic normality for our estimates. We also illustrate our nonparametric estimation procedure on simulated and real life data associated with sea shores water quality and valvometry.
In this paper we consider the nonparametric estimation of density and regression functions with non-negative support using a gamma kernel procedure introduced by Chen (2000). Strong uniform consistency and asymptotic normality of the corresponding estimators are established under a general ergodic assumption on the data generation process. Our results generalize those of Shi and Song (2016), obtained in the classic i.i.d. framework, and the works of Bouezmarni and Rombouts (2008, 2010b) and Gospodinov and Hirukawa (2007) for mixing time series.
We derive estimators of the density of the event times of current status data. The estimators are derived for the situations where the distribution of the observation times is known and where this distribution is unknown. The density estimators are constructed from kernel estimators of the density of transformed current status data, which have a distribution similar to uniform deconvolution data. Expansions of the expectation and variance as well as asymptotic normality are derived. A reference density based bandwidth selection method is proposed. A simulated example is presented.
Confidence intervals and joint confidence sets are constructed for the nonparametric calibration of exponential Lévy models based on prices of European options. To this end, we show joint asymptotic normality in the spectral calibration method for the estimators of the volatility, the drift, the jump intensity and the Lévy density at finitely many points.
Consider a Gaussian nonparametric regression problem having both an unknown mean function and unknown variance function. This article presents a class of difference-based kernel estimators for the variance function. Optimal convergence rates that are uniform over broad functional classes and bandwidths are fully characterized, and asymptotic normality is also established. We also show that for suitable asymptotic formulations our estimators achieve the minimax rate.
In this paper we propose a new test for the hypothesis of a constant coefficient of variation in the common nonparametric regression model. The test is based on an estimate of the $L^2$-distance between the square of the regression function and variance function. We prove asymptotic normality of a standardized estimate of this distance under the null hypothesis and fixed alternatives and the finite sample properties of a corresponding bootstrap test are investigated by means of a simulation study. The results are applicable to stationary processes with the common mixing conditions and are used…
Consider the nonparametric regression model Y=m(X)+E, where the function m is smooth but unknown, and E is independent of X. An estimator of the density of the error term E is proposed and its weak consistency is obtained. The contribution of this paper is twofold. First, we evaluate the impact of the estimation of the regression function on the error density estimator. Secondly, the optimal choices of the first and second step bandwidths used for estimating the regression function and the error density are proposed. Further, we investigate the asymptotic normality of the error density estimat…
Given a sample from a discretely observed compound Poisson process, we consider estimation of the density of the jump sizes. We propose a kernel type nonparametric density estimator and study its asymptotic properties. An order bound for the bias and an asymptotic expansion of the variance of the estimator are given. Pointwise weak consistency and asymptotic normality are established. The results show that, asymptotically, the estimator behaves very much like an ordinary kernel estimator.
Consider a scalar reflected diffusion $(X_t:t\geq 0)$, where the unknown drift function $b$ is modelled nonparametrically. We show that in the low frequency sampling case, when the sample consists of $(X_0,X_Δ,...,X_{nΔ})$ for some fixed sampling distance $Δ>0$, the model satisfies the local asymptotic normality (LAN) property, assuming that $b$ satisfies some mild regularity assumptions. This is established by using the connections of diffusion processes to elliptic and parabolic PDEs. The key tools will be regularity estimates from the theory of parabolic PDEs as well as a detailed analysis …
Surface integrals on density level sets often appear in asymptotic results in nonparametric level set estimation (such as for confidence regions and bandwidth selection). Also surface integrals can be used to describe the shape of level sets (using such as Willmore energy and Minkowski functionals), and link geometry (curvature) and topology (Euler characteristic) of level sets through the Gauss-Bonnet theorem. We consider three estimators of surface integrals on density level sets, one as a direct plug-in estimator, and the other two based on different neighborhoods of level sets. We allow th…
We prove the asymptotic normality of the kernel density estimator (introduced by Rosenblatt (1956) and Parzen (1962)) in the context of stationary strongly mixing random fields. Our approach is based on the Lindeberg's method rather than on Bernstein's small-block-large-block technique and coupling arguments widely used in previous works on nonparametric estimation for spatial processes. Our method allows us to consider only minimal conditions on the bandwidth parameter and provides a simple criterion on the (non-uniform) strong mixing coefficients which do not depend on the bandwith.
A piecewise-deterministic Markov process is a stochastic process whose behavior is governed by an ordinary differential equation punctuated by random jumps occurring at random times. We focus on the nonparametric estimation problem of the jump rate for such a stochastic model observed within a long time interval under an ergodicity condition. We introduce an uncountable class (indexed by the deterministic flow) of recursive kernel estimates of the jump rate and we establish their strong pointwise consistency as well as their asymptotic normality. We propose to choose among this class the estim…
We discuss nonparametric estimation of the distribution function $G(x)$ of the autoregressive coefficient $a \in (-1,1)$ from a panel of $N$ random-coefficient AR(1) data, each of length $n$, by the empirical distribution function of lag 1 sample autocorrelations of individual AR(1) processes. Consistency and asymptotic normality of the empirical distribution function and a class of kernel density estimators is established under some regularity conditions on $G(x)$ as $N$ and $n$ increase to infinity. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov goodness-of-fit test for simple and composite hypotheses of Beta distr…
We present a general principle for estimating a regression function nonparametrically, allowing for a wide variety of data filtering, for example, repeated left truncation and right censoring. Both the mean and the median regression cases are considered. The method works by first estimating the conditional hazard function or conditional survivor function and then integrating. We also investigate improved methods that take account of model structure such as independent errors and show that such methods can improve performance when the model structure is true. We establish the pointwise asymptot…
We prove conditional asymptotic normality of a class of quadratic U-statistics that are dominated by their degenerate second order part and have kernels that change with the number of observations. These statistics arise in the construction of estimators in high-dimensional semi- and non-parametric models, and in the construction of nonparametric confidence sets. This is illustrated by estimation of the integral of a square of a density or regression function, and estimation of the mean response with missing data. We show that estimators are asymptotically normal even in the case that the rate…
This paper discusses the local linear smoothing to estimate the unknown first and second infinitesimal moments in second-order jump-diffusion model based on Gamma asymmetric kernels. Under the mild conditions, we obtain the weak consistency and the asymptotic normality of these estimators for both interior and boundary design points. Besides the standard properties of the local linear estimation such as simple bias representation and boundary bias correction, the local linear smoothing using Gamma asymmetric kernels possess some extra advantages such as variable bandwidth, variance reduction a…
We present a nonparametric family of estimators for the tail index of a Pareto-type distribution when covariate information is available. Our estimators are based on a weighted sum of the log-spacings between some selected observations. This selection is achieved through a moving window approach on the covariate domain and a random threshold on the variable of interest. Asymptotic normality is proved under mild regularity conditions and illustrated for some weight functions. Finite sample performances are presented on a real data study.
An aggregated method of nonparametric estimators based on time-domain and state-domain estimators is proposed and studied. To attenuate the curse of dimensionality, we propose a factor modeling strategy. We first investigate the asymptotic behavior of nonparametric estimators of the volatility matrix in the time domain and in the state domain. Asymptotic normality is separately established for nonparametric estimators in the time domain and state domain. These two estimators are asymptotically independent. Hence, they can be combined, through a dynamic weighting scheme, to improve the efficien…
In several different fields, there is interest in analyzing the upper or lower tail quantile of the underlying distribution rather than mean or center quantile. However, the investigation of the tail quantile is difficult because of data sparsity. In this paper, we attempt to develop nonparametric quantile regression for the extremal quantile level. In extremal quantile regression, there are two types of technical conditions of the order of convergence of the quantile level: intermediate order or extreme order. For the intermediate order quantile, the ordinary nonparametric estimator is used. …
A compound Poisson process whose parameters are all unknown is observed at finitely many equispaced times. Nonparametric estimators of the jump and Lévy distributions are proposed and functional central limit theorems using the uniform norm are proved for both under mild conditions. The limiting Gaussian processes are identified and efficiency of the estimators is established. Kernel estimators for the mass function, the intensity and the drift are also proposed, their asymptotic properties including efficiency are analysed, and joint asymptotic normality is shown. Inference tools such as conf…
Let X be a second order random process indexed by a compact interval [0,T]. Assume that n independent realizations of X are observed on a fixed grid of p time points. Under mild regularity assumptions on the sample paths of X, we show the asymptotic normality of suitable nonparametric estimators of the trend function mu = EX in the space C([0,T]) as n, p go to infinity and, using Gaussian process theory, we derive approximate simultaneous confidence bands for mu.
The aim of this work is to estimate a quadratic functional of a unknown Wigner function from noisy tomographic data. The Wigner function can be seen as the representation of the quantum state of a light beam. The estimation of a quadratic functional is done from result of quantum homodyne measurement performed on identically prepared quantum systems. We start by constructing an estimator of a quadratic functional of the Wigner function. We show that the proposed estimator is optimal or nearly optimal in a minimax sense over a class of infinitely differentiable functions. Parametric rates are a…
The problem of estimating the regression function in a fixed design models with correlated observations is considered. Such observations are obtained from several experimental units, each of them forms a time series. Based on the trapezoidal rule, we propose a simple kernel estimator and we derive the asymptotic expression of its integrated mean squared error IMSE and its asymptotic normality. The problems of the optimal bandwidth and the optimal design with respect to the asymptotic IMSE are also investigated. Finally, a simulation study is conducted to study the performance of the new estima…
Nonparametric methods play a central role in modern empirical work. While they provide inference procedures that are more robust to parametric misspecification bias, they may be quite sensitive to tuning parameter choices. We study the effects of bias correction on confidence interval coverage in the context of kernel density and local polynomial regression estimation, and prove that bias correction can be preferred to undersmoothing for minimizing coverage error and increasing robustness to tuning parameter choice. This is achieved using a novel, yet simple, Studentization, which leads to a n…
Estimation of genewise variance arises from two important applications in microarray data analysis: selecting significantly differentially expressed genes and validation tests for normalization of microarray data. We approach the problem by introducing a two-way nonparametric model, which is an extension of the famous Neyman--Scott model and is applicable beyond microarray data. The problem itself poses interesting challenges because the number of nuisance parameters is proportional to the sample size and it is not obvious how the variance function can be estimated when measurements are correl…
We consider nonparametric regression in the context of functional data, that is, when a random sample of functions is observed on a fine grid. We obtain a functional asymptotic normality result allowing to build simultaneous confidence bands (SCB) for various estimation and inference tasks. Two applications to a SCB procedure for the regression function and to a goodness-of-fit test for curvilinear regression models are proposed. The first one has improved accuracy upon the other available methods while the second can detect local departures from a parametric shape, as opposed to the usual goo…
We investigate the limit behavior of the $L_k$-distance between a decreasing density $f$ and its nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator $\hat{f}_n$ for $k\geq1$. Due to the inconsistency of $\hat{f}_n$ at zero, the case $k=2.5$ turns out to be a kind of transition point. We extend asymptotic normality of the $L_1$-distance to the $L_k$-distance for $1\leq k<2.5$, and obtain the analogous limiting result for a modification of the $L_k$-distance for $k\geq2.5$. Since the $L_1$-distance is the area between $f$ and $\hat{f}_n$, which is also the area between the inverse $g$ of $f$ and the more…
In this paper, we study the local constant and the local linear estimators of the conditional density function with right-censored data which exhibit some type of dependence. It is assumed that the observations form a stationary $α-$mixing sequence. The asymptotic normality of the two estimators is established, which combined with the condition that $\lim\limits_{n\rightarrow\infty}nh_nb_n=\infty$ implies the consistency of the two estimators and can be employed to construct confidence intervals for the conditional density function. The result on the local linear estimator of the conditional d…
The subject of robust estimation in time series is widely discussed in literature. One of the approaches is to use GM-estimation. This method incorporates a broad class of nonparametric estimators which under suitable conditions includes estimators robust to outliers in data. For the linear models the sensitivity of GM-estimators to outliers have been studied in the work by Martin and Yohai [5], and influence functionals for this estimator were derived. In this paper we follow this direction and examine the asymptotical properties of the class of M-estimators, which is narrower than the class …
We derive the precise asymptotic distributional behavior of Gaussian variational approximate estimators of the parameters in a single-predictor Poisson mixed model. These results are the deepest yet obtained concerning the statistical properties of a variational approximation method. Moreover, they give rise to asymptotically valid statistical inference. A simulation study demonstrates that Gaussian variational approximate confidence intervals possess good to excellent coverage properties, and have a similar precision to their exact likelihood counterparts.
With regard to a three-step estimation procedure, proposed without theoretical discussion by Li and You in Journal of Applied Statistics and Management, for a nonparametric regression model with time-varying regression function, local stationary regressors and time-varying AR(p) (tvAR(p)) error process , we established all necessary asymptotic properties for each of estimator. We derive the convergence rate and asymptotic normality of the preliminary estimation of nonparametric regression function, establish the asymptotic distribution of time-varying coefficient functions in the error term, a…
Ordinary differential equations (ODE's) are widespread models in physics, chemistry and biology. In particular, this mathematical formalism is used for describing the evolution of complex systems and it might consist of high-dimensional sets of coupled nonlinear differential equations. In this setting, we propose a general method for estimating the parameters indexing ODE's from times series. Our method is able to alleviate the computational difficulties encountered by the classical parametric methods. These difficulties are due to the implicit definition of the model. We propose the use of a …
In this paper, a nonparametric estimator is proposed for estimating the L1-median for multivariate conditional distribution when the covariates take values in an infinite dimensional space. The multivariate case is more appropriate to predict the components of a vector of random variables simultaneously rather than predicting each of them separately. While estimating the conditional L1-median function using the well-known Nadarya-Waston estimator, we establish the strong consistency of this estimator as well as the asymptotic normality. We also present some simulations and provide how to built…
This paper brings a contribution to the Bayesian theory of nonparametric and semiparametric estimation. We are interested in the asymptotic normality of the posterior distribution in Gaussian linear regression models when the number of regressors increases with the sample size. Two kinds of Bernstein-von Mises Theorems are obtained in this framework: nonparametric theorems for the parameter itself, and semiparametric theorems for functionals of the parameter. We apply them to the Gaussian sequence model and to the regression of functions in Sobolev and $C^α$ classes, in which we get the minima…
We consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals for nonparametric functional data analysis using empirical likelihood. In this doubly infinite-dimensional context, we demonstrate the Wilks's phenomenon and propose a bias-corrected construction that requires neither undersmoothing nor direct bias estimation. We also extend our results to partially linear regression involving functional data. Our numerical results demonstrated the improved performance of empirical likelihood over approximation based on asymptotic normality.
Split-plot or repeated measures designs are frequently used for planning experiments in the life or social sciences. Typical examples include the comparison of different treatments over time, where both factors may possess an additional factorial structure. For such designs, the statistical analysis usually consists of several steps. If the global null is rejected, multiple comparisons are usually performed. Usually, general factorial repeated measures designs are inferred by classical linear mixed models. Common underlying assumptions, such as normality or variance homogeneity are often not m…
Neural networks are becoming an increasingly important tool in applications. However, neural networks are not widely used in statistical genetics. In this paper, we propose a new neural networks method called expectile neural networks. When the size of parameter is too large, the standard maximum likelihood procedures may not work. We use sieve method to constrain parameter space. And we prove its consistency and normality under nonparametric regression framework.
This article illustrates how indirect or prior information can be optimally used to construct a prediction region that maintains a target frequentist coverage rate. If the indirect information is accurate, the volume of the prediction region is lower on average than that of other regions with the same coverage rate. Even if the indirect information is inaccurate, the resulting region still maintains the target coverage rate. Such a prediction region can be constructed for models that have a complete sufficient statistic, which includes many widely-used parametric and nonparametric models. Part…
Using and extending fractional order statistic theory, we characterize the $O(n^{-1})$ coverage probability error of the previously proposed confidence intervals for population quantiles using $L$-statistics as endpoints in Hutson (1999). We derive an analytic expression for the $n^{-1}$ term, which may be used to calibrate the nominal coverage level to get $O\bigl(n^{-3/2}[\log(n)]^3\bigr)$ coverage error. Asymptotic power is shown to be optimal. Using kernel smoothing, we propose a related method for nonparametric inference on conditional quantiles. This new method compares favorably with as…
It was shown that when one disposes of a parametric information of the truncation distribution, the semiparametric estimator of the distribution function for truncated data (Wang, 1989) is more efficient than the nonparametric one. On the basis of this estimation method, we derive an estimator for the tail index of Pareto-type distributions that are randomly right-truncated and establish its consistency and asymptotic normality. The finite sample behavior of the proposed estimator is carried out by simulation study. We point out that, in terms of both bias and root of the mean squared error, o…