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arXiv physics/0605170physics.geo-phphysics.ao-ph
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地磁指数作为magnetic storms前兆的分形特征变化

Changes in fractal properties of geomagnetic indexes as possible magnetic storms precursors

Vitor H. A. Dias, Jorge O. O. Franco, Andres R. R. Papa

摘要:

分析了Dst、Kp和Sym-H指数的记录,寻找可能的磁暴前兆证据。为了完成这项任务,主要的磁暴被定位,一些时期就在磁暴之前,一些时期在磁暴之前。然后比较了两种类型时期的统计特性。特别是,比较了指数值分布的幂律斜率。一个系统的偏差,发现两个分布之间的Kp指数。而Dst和Sym-H指数则无明显变化。对于这三个指标,发现斜率和相应的风暴强度之间的相关性,这可以作为一个概率的方法来预测磁暴。用于分析的数据是从京都的世界地磁数据中心获得的。

英文摘要:

Records of Dst, Kp and Sym-H indexes are analyzed looking for evidences of possible precursors for magnetic storms. To accomplish this task the main magnetic storms were located and some periods immediately before storms and some periods well before them studied. Statistical properties of both types of periods were then compared. In particular, were compared the slopes of the power laws that have been found for the distributions of indexes values. A systematic deviation was found between both distributions for the Kp index. It was no so for Dst and Sym-H indexes. For the three indexes it was found a correlation between slopes and the corresponding storm intensity, which could serve as a probabilistic approach to magnetic storms forecasting. The data for the analysis was obtained at the World Data Centre for Geomagnetism at Kyoto.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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