This paper considers a proportional hazards model, which allows one to examine the extent to which covariates interact nonlinearly with an exposure variable, for analysis of lifetime data. A local partial-likelihood technique is proposed to estimate nonlinear interactions. Asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator is established. The baseline hazard function, the bias and the variance of the local likelihood estimator are consistently estimated. In addition, a one-step local partial-likelihood estimator is presented to facilitate the computation of the proposed procedure and is demonstrated to be as efficient as the fully iterated local partial-likelihood estimator. Furthermore, a penalized local likelihood estimator is proposed to select important risk variables in the model. Numerical examples are used to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed procedures.
Accelerated life-testing (ALT) is a very useful technique for examining the reliability of highly reliable products. It allows testing the products at higher than usual stress conditions to induce failures more quickly and economically than under typical conditions. A special case of ALT are step-stress tests that allow experimenter to increase the stress levels at fixed times. This paper deals with the multiple step step-stress model under the cumulative exposure model with lognormally distributed lifetimes in the presence of Type-II and Progressive Type-II censoring. For this model, the maxi…
The Birnbaum-Saunders distribution is a flexible and useful model which has been used in several fields. In this paper, a new bimodal version of this distribution based on the alpha-skew-normal distribution is established. We discuss some of its mathematical and inferential properties. We consider likelihood-based methods to estimate the model parameters. We carry out a Monte Carlo simulation study to evaluate the performance of the maximum likelihood estimators. For illustrative purposes, three real data sets are analyzed. The results indicated that the proposed model outperformed some existi…
The change-plane Cox model is a popular tool for the subgroup analysis of survival data. Despite the rich literature on this model, there has been limited investigation into the asymptotic properties of the estimators of the finite-dimensional parameter. Particularly, the convergence rate, not to mention the asymptotic distribution, has not been fully characterized for the general model where classification is based on multiple covariates. To bridge this theoretical gap, this study proposes a maximum smoothed partial likelihood estimator and establishes the following asymptotic properties. Fir…
Temporal Point Processes (TPP) with partial likelihoods involving a latent structure often entail an intractable marginalization, thus making inference hard. We propose a novel approach to Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) involving approximate inference over the latent variables by minimizing a tight upper bound on the approximation gap. Given a discrete latent variable $Z$, the proposed approximation reduces inference complexity from $O(|Z|^c)$ to $O(|Z|)$. We use convex conjugates to determine this upper bound in a closed form and show that its addition to the optimization objective resul…
George Mason University（乔治梅森大学）；U.S. Census, CSRM（美国人口普查局CSRM）
Recently, there has been significant interest in linear regression in the situation where predictors and responses are not observed in matching pairs corresponding to the same statistical unit as a consequence of separate data collection and uncertainty in data integration. Mismatched pairs can considerably impact the model fit and disrupt the estimation of regression parameters. In this paper, we present a method to adjust for such mismatches under ``partial shuffling" in which a sufficiently large fraction of (predictors, response)-pairs are observed in their correct correspondence. The prop…
Statistical prediction plays an important role in many decision processes such as university budgeting (depending on the number of students who will enroll), capital budgeting (depending on the remaining lifetime of a fleet of systems), the needed amount of cash reserves for warranty expenses (depending on the number of warranty returns), and whether a product recall is needed (depending on the number of potentially life-threatening product failures). In statistical inference, likelihood ratios have a long history of use for decision making relating to model parameters (e.g., in evidence-based…
In medical studies, it is common the presence of a fraction of patients who do not experience the event of interest. These patients are people who are not at risk of the event or are patients who were cured during the research. The proportion of immune or cured patients is known in the literature as cure rate. In general, the traditional existing lifetime statistical models are not appropriate to model data sets with cure rate, including bivariate lifetimes. In this paper, it is proposed a bivariate model based on a defective Gompertz distribution and also using a Clayton copula function to ca…
In prevalent cohort studies where subjects are recruited at a cross-section, the time to an event may be subject to length-biased sampling, with the observed data being either the forward recurrence time, or the backward recurrence time, or their sum. In the regression setting, it has been shown that the accelerated failure time model for the underlying event time is invariant under these observed data set-ups and can be fitted using standard methodology for accelerated failure time model estimation, ignoring the length-bias. However, the efficiency of these estimators is unclear, owing to the…
