The problem of estimating the shift (or, equivalently, the center of symmetry) of an unknown symmetric and periodic function $f$ observed in Gaussian white noise is considered. Using the blockwise Stein method, a penalized profile likelihood with a data-driven penalization is introduced so that the estimator of the center of symmetry is defined as the maximizer of the penalized profile likelihood. This estimator has the advantage of being independent of the functional class to which the signal $f$ si assumed to belong and, furthermore, is shown to be semiparametrically adaptive and efficient. Moreover, the second-order term of the risk expansion of the proposed estimator is proved to behave at least as well as the second-order term of the risk of the best possible estimator using monotone smoothing filter. Under mild assumptions, this estimator is shown to be second-order minimax sharp adaptive over the whole scale of Sobolev balls with smoothness $β>1$. Thus, these results extend those of \cite{DGT}, where second-order asymptotic minimaxity is proved for an estimator depending on the functional class containing $f$ and $β\geq 2$ is required.
Parameter shrinkage applied optimally can always reduce error and projection variances from those of maximum likelihood estimation. Many variables that actuaries use are on numerical scales, like age or year, which require parameters at each point. Rather than shrinking these towards zero, nearby parameters are better shrunk towards each other. Semiparametric regression is a statistical discipline for building curves across parameter classes using shrinkage methodology. It is similar to but more parsimonious than cubic splines. We introduce it in the context of Bayesian shrinkage and apply it …
Data in non-Euclidean spaces are commonly encountered in many fields of Science and Engineering. For instance, in Robotics, attitude sensors capture orientation which is an element of a Lie group. In the recent past, several researchers have reported methods that take into account the geometry of Lie Groups in designing parameter estimation algorithms in nonlinear spaces. Maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) are quite commonly used for such tasks and it is well known in the field of statistics that Stein's shrinkage estimators dominate the MLE in a mean-squared sense assuming the observations a…
Stein-Rule Shrinkage for Stochastic Gradient Estimation in High Dimensions
Department of Statistics Faculty of Mathematical Sciences（统计学系数学科学学院）；Division of Computer Science Department of Applied Mathematics Faculty of Mathematical Sciences（计算机科学系应用数学系数学科学学院）
In this work, the estimation of the multivariate normal mean by different classes of shrinkage estimators is investigated. The risk associated with the balanced loss function is used to compare two estimators. We start by considering estimators that generalize the James-Stein estimator and show that these estimators dominate the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), therefore are minimax, when the shrinkage function satisfies some conditions. Then, we treat estimators of polynomial form and prove the increase of the degree of the polynomial allows us to build a better estimator from the one prev…
Consider estimating the n by p matrix of means of an n by p matrix of independent normally distributed observations with constant variance, where the performance of an estimator is judged using a p by p matrix quadratic error loss function. A matrix version of the James-Stein estimator is proposed, depending on a tuning constant. It is shown to dominate the usual maximum likelihood estimator for some choices of of the tuning constant when n is greater than or equal to 3. This result also extends to other shrinkage estimators and settings.
The James-Stein estimator is an estimator of the multivariate normal mean and dominates the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) under squared error loss. The original work inspired great interest in developing shrinkage estimators for a variety of problems. Nonetheless, research on shrinkage estimation for manifold-valued data is scarce. In this paper, we propose shrinkage estimators for the parameters of the Log-Normal distribution defined on the manifold of $N \times N$ symmetric positive-definite matrices. For this manifold, we choose the Log-Euclidean metric as its Riemannian metric since i…
We find that, in a linear model, the James-Stein estimator, which dominates the maximum-likelihood estimator in terms of its in-sample prediction error, can perform poorly compared to the maximum-likelihood estimator in out-of-sample prediction. We give a detailed analysis of this phenomenon and discuss its implications. When evaluating the predictive performance of estimators, we treat the regressor matrix in the training data as fixed, i.e., we condition on the design variables. Our findings contrast those obtained by Baranchik (1973, Ann. Stat. 1:312-321) and, more recently, by Dicker (2012…
Robust and semiparametric statistics are of the same historical origin and largely employ the same locally asymptotically normal framework. In our talk, we consider he following more intrinsic connections of both fields: 1) Robust influence curves for semiparametric models with infinite dimensional nuisance parameter; for example, for semiparametric regression (Cox), and mixture models (Neyman--Scott). 2) Adaptiveness in the sense of Stein's necessary condition of robust neighborhood models and estimators with respect to a finite dimensional nuisance parameter; for example, location, linear re…
In this study, we consider preliminary test and shrinkage estimation strategies for quantile regression models. In classical Least Squares Estimation (LSE) method, the relationship between the explanatory and explained variables in the coordinate plane is estimated with a mean regression line. In order to use LSE, there are three main assumptions on the error terms showing white noise process of the regression model, also known as Gauss-Markov Assumptions, must be met: (1) The error terms have zero mean, (2) The variance of the error terms is constant and (3) The covariance between the errors …
The issue of honesty in constructing confidence sets arises in nonparametric regression. While optimal rate in nonparametric estimation can be achieved and utilized to construct sharp confidence sets, severe degradation of confidence level often happens after estimating the degree of smoothness. Similarly, for high-dimensional regression, oracle inequalities for sparse estimators could be utilized to construct sharp confidence sets. Yet the degree of sparsity itself is unknown and needs to be estimated, causing the honesty problem. To resolve this issue, we develop a novel method to construct …
The James-Stein (JS) shrinkage estimator is a biased estimator that captures the mean of Gaussian random vectors.While it has a desirable statistical property of dominance over the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in terms of mean squared error (MSE), not much progress has been made on extending the estimator onto manifold-valued data. We propose C-SURE, a novel Stein's unbiased risk estimate (SURE) of the JS estimator on the manifold of complex-valued data with a theoretically proven optimum over MLE. Adapting the architecture of the complex-valued SurReal classifier, we further incorporate…
The fuzzy linear regression (FLR) modeling was first proposed making use of linear programming and then followed by many improvements in a variety of ways. In almost all approaches changing the meters, objective function, and restrictions caused to improve the fuzzy measure of efficiencies (FMEs). In this paper, from a totally different viewpoint, we apply shrinkage estimation strategy to improve FMEs in the FLR modeling. By several illustrative examples, we demonstrate the superiority of the proposed estimation method. In this respect, we show fuzzy shrinkage estimates improve FMEs estimation…
The widespread availability of high-dimensional biological data has made the simultaneous screening of many biological characteristics a central problem in computational biology and allied sciences. While the dimensionality of such datasets continues to grow, so too does the complexity of biomarker identification from exposure patterns in health studies measuring baseline confounders; moreover, doing so while avoiding model misspecification remains an issue only partially addressed. Efficient estimators capable of incorporating flexible, data adaptive regression techniques in estimating releva…
The problem of estimating a mean matrix of a multivariate complex normal distribution with an unknown covariance matrix is considered under an invariant loss function. By using complex versions of the Stein identity, the Stein-Haff identity, and calculus on eigenvalues, a formula is obtained for an unbiased estimate of the risk of an invariant class of estimators, from which several minimax shrinkage estimators are constructed.
A new class of minimax Stein-type shrinkage estimators of a multivariate normal mean is studied where the shrinkage factor is based on an l_p norm. The proposed estimators allow some but not all coordinates to be estimated by 0 thereby allow sparsity as well as minimaxity.
Shrinkage estimation is a fundamental tool of modern statistics, pioneered by Charles Stein upon his discovery of the famous paradox involving the multivariate Gaussian. A large portion of the subsequent literature only considers the efficiency of shrinkage, and that of an associated procedure known as Stein's Unbiased Risk Estimate, or SURE, in the Gaussian setting of that original work. We investigate what extensions to the domain of validity of shrinkage and SURE can be made away from the Gaussian through the use of tools developed in the probabilistic area now known as Stein's method. We s…
We present a linear regression method for predictions on a small data set making use of a second possibly biased data set that may be much larger. Our method fits linear regressions to the two data sets while penalizing the difference between predictions made by those two models. The resulting algorithm is a shrinkage method similar to those used in small area estimation. We find a Stein-type finding for Gaussian responses: when the model has 5 or more coefficients and 10 or more error degrees of freedom, it becomes inadmissible to use only the small data set, no matter how large the bias is. …
A theorem of McCann shows that for any two absolutely continuous probability measures on R^d there exists a monotone transformation sending one probability measure to the other. A consequence of this theorem, relevant to statistics, is that density estimation can be recast in terms of transformations. In particular, one can fix any absolutely continuous probability measure, call it P, and then reparameterize the whole class of absolutely continuous probability measures as monotone transformations from P. In this paper we utilize this reparameterization of densities, as monotone transformations…
The estimation of the mean matrix of the multivariate normal distribution is addressed in the high dimensional setting. Efron-Morris-type linear shrinkage estimators based on ridge estimators for the precision matrix instead of the Moore-Penrose generalized inverse are considered, and the weights in the ridge-type linear shrinkage estimators are estimated in terms of minimizing the Stein unbiased risk estimators under the quadratic loss. It is shown that the ridge-type linear shrinkage estimators with the estimated weights are minimax, and that the estimated weights converge to the optimal wei…
The Stein paradox has played an influential role in the field of high dimensional statistics. This result warns that the sample mean, classically regarded as the "usual estimator", may be suboptimal in high dimensions. The development of the James-Stein estimator, that addresses this paradox, has by now inspired a large literature on the theme of "shrinkage" in statistics. In this direction, we develop a James-Stein type estimator for the first principal component of a high dimension and low sample size data set. This estimator shrinks the usual estimator, an eigenvector of a sample covariance…
This paper discusses the simultaneous inference of mean parameters in a family of distributions with quadratic variance function. We first introduce a class of semiparametric/parametric shrinkage estimators and establish their asymptotic optimality properties. Two specific cases, the location-scale family and the natural exponential family with quadratic variance function, are then studied in detail. We conduct a comprehensive simulation study to compare the performance of the proposed methods with existing shrinkage estimators. We also apply the method to real data and obtain encouraging resu…
Using integration by parts on Gaussian space we construct a Stein Unbiased Risk Estimator (SURE) for the drift of Gaussian processes using their local and occupation times. By almost-sure minimization of the SURE risk of shrinkage estimators we derive an estimation and de-noising procedure for an input signal perturbed by a continuous-time Gaussian noise.
In this work, we consider the deterministic optimization using random projections as a statistical estimation problem, where the squared distance between the predictions from the estimator and the true solution is the error metric. In approximately solving a large scale least squares problem using Gaussian sketches, we show that the sketched solution has a conditional Gaussian distribution with the true solution as its mean. Firstly, tight worst case error lower bounds with explicit constants are derived for any estimator using the Gaussian sketch, and the classical sketching is shown to be th…
Since Stein's 1956 seminal paper, shrinkage has played a fundamental role in both parametric and nonparametric inference. This article discusses minimaxity and adaptive minimaxity in nonparametric function estimation. Three interrelated problems, function estimation under global integrated squared error, estimation under pointwise squared error, and nonparametric confidence intervals, are considered. Shrinkage is pivotal in the development of both the minimax theory and the adaptation theory. While the three problems are closely connected and the minimax theories bear some similarities, the ad…
The theory of adaptive estimation and oracle inequalities for the case of Gaussian-shift--finite-interval experiments has made significant progress in recent years. In particular, sharp-minimax adaptive estimators and exact exponential-type oracle inequalities have been suggested for a vast set of functions including analytic and Sobolev with any positive index as well as for Efromovich--Pinsker and Stein blockwise-shrinkage estimators. Is it possible to obtain similar results for a more interesting applied problem of density estimation and/or the dual problem of characteristic function estima…
Kernel Single-Index Bandits: Estimation, Inference, and Learning
Department of Mathematics, Applied Mathematics, and Statistics, Case Western Reserve University（数学、应用数学与统计学系，凯斯西储大学）；Department of Statistics, University of Florida（佛罗里达大学统计学系）；Department of Statistics, The Pennsylvania State University（宾夕法尼亚州立大学统计学系）
This paper considers a multiple regression model and compares, under full model hypothesis, analytically as well as by simulation, the performance characteristics of some popular penalty estimators such as ridge regression, LASSO, adaptive LASSO, SCAD, and elastic net versus Least Squares Estimator, restricted estimator, preliminary test estimator, and Stein-type estimators when the dimension of the parameter space is smaller than the sample space dimension. We find that RR uniformly dominates LSE, RE, PTE, SE and PRSE while LASSO, aLASSO, SCAD, and EN uniformly dominates LSE only. Further, it…
In this study, we present the preliminary test, Stein-type and positive part Liu estimators in the linear models when the parameter vector $\boldsymbolβ$ is partitioned into two parts, namely, the main effects $\boldsymbolβ_1$ and the nuisance effects $\boldsymbolβ_2$ such that $\boldsymbolβ=\left(\boldsymbolβ_1, \boldsymbolβ_2 \right)$. We consider the case that a priori known or suspected set of the explanatory variables do not contribute to predict the response so that a sub-model may be enough for this purpose. Thus, the main interest is to estimate $\boldsymbolβ_1$ when $\boldsymbolβ_2$ i…
The Frechet mean is a useful description of location for a probability distribution on a metric space that is not necessarily a vector space. This article considers simultaneous estimation of multiple Frechet means from a decision-theoretic perspective, and in particular, the extent to which the unbiased estimator of a Frechet mean can be dominated by a generalization of the James-Stein shrinkage estimator. It is shown that if the metric space satisfies a non-positive curvature condition, then this generalized James-Stein estimator asymptotically dominates the unbiased estimator as the dimensi…
We consider the problem of estimating a low-rank signal matrix from noisy measurements under the assumption that the distribution of the data matrix belongs to an exponential family. In this setting, we derive generalized Stein's unbiased risk estimation (SURE) formulas that hold for any spectral estimators which shrink or threshold the singular values of the data matrix. This leads to new data-driven spectral estimators, whose optimality is discussed using tools from random matrix theory and through numerical experiments. Under the spiked population model and in the asymptotic setting where t…
We propose an improved LASSO estimation technique based on Stein-rule. We shrink classical LASSO estimator using preliminary test, shrinkage, and positive-rule shrinkage principle. Simulation results have been carried out for various configurations of correlation coefficients ($r$), size of the parameter vector ($β$), error variance ($σ^2$) and number of non-zero coefficients ($k$) in the model parameter vector. Several real data examples have been used to demonstrate the practical usefulness of the proposed estimators. Our study shows that the risk ordering given by LSE $>$ LASSO $>$ Stein-ty…
In this paper, we are basically discussing on a class of Baranchik type shrinkage estimators of the vector parameter in a location model, with errors belonging to a sub-class of elliptically contoured distributions. We derive conditions under Schwartz space in which the underlying class of shrinkage estimators outperforms the sample mean. Sufficient conditions on dominant class to outperform the usual James-Stein estimator are also established. It is nicely presented that the dominant properties of the class of estimators are robust truly respect to departures from normality.
In the framework of matrix valued observables with low rank means, Stein's unbiased risk estimate (SURE) can be useful for risk estimation and for tuning the amount of shrinkage towards low rank matrices. This was demonstrated by Candès et al. (2013) for singular value soft thresholding, which is a Lipschitz continuous estimator. SURE provides an unbiased risk estimate for an estimator whenever the differentiability requirements for Stein's lemma are satisfied. Lipschitz continuity of the estimator is sufficient, but it is emphasized that differentiability Lebesgue almost everywhere isn't. The…
The two-stage least-squares (2SLS) estimator is known to be biased when its first-stage fit is poor. I show that better first-stage prediction can alleviate this bias. In a two-stage linear regression model with Normal noise, I consider shrinkage in the estimation of the first-stage instrumental variable coefficients. For at least four instrumental variables and a single endogenous regressor, I establish that the standard 2SLS estimator is dominated with respect to bias. The dominating IV estimator applies James-Stein type shrinkage in a first-stage high-dimensional Normal-means problem follow…
We show that in a common high-dimensional covariance model, the choice of loss function has a profound effect on optimal estimation. In an asymptotic framework based on the Spiked Covariance model and use of orthogonally invariant estimators, we show that optimal estimation of the population covariance matrix boils down to design of an optimal shrinker $η$ that acts elementwise on the sample eigenvalues. Indeed, to each loss function there corresponds a unique admissible eigenvalue shrinker $η^*$ dominating all other shrinkers. The shape of the optimal shrinker is determined by the choice of l…
Shrinkage estimation usually reduces variance at the cost of bias. But when we care only about some parameters of a model, I show that we can reduce variance without incurring bias if we have additional information about the distribution of covariates. In a linear regression model with homoscedastic Normal noise, I consider shrinkage estimation of the nuisance parameters associated with control variables. For at least three control variables and exogenous treatment, I establish that the standard least-squares estimator is dominated with respect to squared-error loss in the treatment effect eve…
For the regression model where the errors follow the elliptically contoured distribution (ECD), we consider the least squares (LS), restricted LS (RLS), preliminary test (PT), Stein-type shrinkage (S) and positive-rule shrinkage (PRS) estimators for the regression parameters. We compare the quadratic risks of the estimators to determine the relative dominance properties of the five estimators.
We consider quasi-admissibility/inadmissibility of Stein-type shrinkage estimators of the mean of a multivariate normal distribution with covariance matrix an unknown multiple of the identity. Quasi-admissibility/inadmissibility is defined in terms of non-existence/existence of a solution to a differential inequality based on Stein's unbiased risk estimate (SURE). We find a sharp boundary between quasi-admissible and quasi-inadmissible estimators related to the optimal James-Stein estimator. We also find a class of priors related to the Strawderman class in the known variance case where the bo…
We consider the problem of combining data from observational and experimental sources to make causal conclusions. This problem is increasingly relevant, as the modern era has yielded passive collection of massive observational datasets in areas such as e-commerce and electronic health. These data may be used to supplement experimental data, which is frequently expensive to obtain. In Rosenman et al. (2018), we considered this problem under the assumption that all confounders were measured. Here, we relax the assumption of unconfoundedness. To derive combined estimators with desirable propertie…
MPI for Intelligent Systems（马克斯·普朗克智能系统研究所）；The Institute of Statistical Mathematics（统计数学研究所）；University of Cambridge（剑桥大学）；University College London（伦敦大学学院）
A mean function in reproducing kernel Hilbert space, or a kernel mean, is an important part of many applications ranging from kernel principal component analysis to Hilbert-space embedding of distributions. Given finite samples, an empirical average is the standard estimate for the true kernel mean. We show that this estimator can be improved via a well-known phenomenon in statistics called Stein's phenomenon. After consideration, our theoretical analysis reveals the existence of a wide class of estimators that are better than the standard. Focusing on a subset of this class, we propose effici…
Nonseparable panel models are important in a variety of economic settings, including discrete choice. This paper gives identification and estimation results for nonseparable models under time homogeneity conditions that are like "time is randomly assigned" or "time is an instrument." Partial identification results for average and quantile effects are given for discrete regressors, under static or dynamic conditions, in fully nonparametric and in semiparametric models, with time effects. It is shown that the usual, linear, fixed-effects estimator is not a consistent estimator of the identified …
