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arXiv 2602.15947hep-phastro-ph.IMhep-ex
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暗物质直接探测实验中每日调制的统计学

Statistics of Daily Modulation in Dark Matter Direct Detection Experiments

The Pennsylvania State University(宾夕法尼亚州立大学);Princeton University(普林斯顿大学);University of Wisconsin-Madison(威斯康星大学麦迪逊分校);University of Toronto(多伦多大学);University of Oregon(俄勒冈大学)

Carlos Blanco, Joshua W. Foster, Yonatan Kahn, Benjamin Lillard

AI总结:

研究暗物质直接探测实验中每日调制的统计学,通过优化探测器方向减少暴露时间以提高发现显著性。

摘要:

暗物质直接探测实验中事件率的时间依赖性调制,源于地球相对于银河系静止框架的运动,是一种独特的特征,其观测对于宣布发现暗物质至关重要。虽然年度调制已研究数十年,但近年来,由于发现了各向异性固态探测器材料,其散射率在方向上依赖而不牺牲总体率,导致地球自转引起的每日调制受到越来越多关注。我们对暗物质散射实验中的每日调制进行了统计分析,旨在在未知背景率存在的情况下最大化调制信号的统计显著性,该背景率可能是平坦的(非调制)或在24小时内调制,具有已知或未知的相位。在背景主导的 regime 中,我们发现发现显著性与 $f_\text{RMS} \sqrt{T}$ 成正比,其中 T 是总暴露时间,$f_\text{RMS}$ 是根均方调制幅度;特别是,显著性随着暴露时间增加而改善,而不是由于系统误差在背景率中饱和。使用各向异性三苯基乙烯探测器作为亚GeV暗物质的基准示例,我们提供了优化显著性的处方,针对给定的总探测器质量和位置。在使用三个探测器的示例分析中,优化探测器方向可以将所需的暴露时间减少约 5 倍,即使在对未知调制背景相位进行剖面分析后也是如此。

英文摘要:

The time-dependent modulation of the event rate in dark matter direct detection experiments, arising from the motion of the Earth with respect to the Galactic rest frame, is a distinctive signature whose observation is crucial for claiming a discovery of dark matter. While annual modulation has been well studied for decades, daily modulation due to the Earth's rotation has attracted increased attention recently due to the identification of anisotropic solid-state detector materials that yield a direction-dependent scattering rate without sacrificing the overall rate. We perform a statistical analysis of daily modulation in dark matter scattering experiments, with the goal of maximizing the statistical significance of a modulating signal in the presence of an unknown background rate, which may be either flat (non-modulating), or modulating over a 24-hour period with a known or unknown phase. In the background-dominated regime, we find that the discovery significance scales as $f_\text{RMS} \sqrt{T}$, where $T$ is the total exposure time and $f_\text{RMS}$ is the root-mean-square modulation amplitude; in particular, the significance continues to improve with exposure rather than saturating due to systematic uncertainties in the background rate. Using anisotropic trans-stilbene detectors for sub-GeV dark matter as a benchmark example, we provide prescriptions for optimizing the significance for a given total detector mass and location. In an example analysis using three detectors, optimizing the detector orientations can reduce the required exposure by a factor of $\sim 5$ for a desired discovery or exclusion significance, even after profiling over an unknown modulating background phase.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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