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arXiv 2602.02240stat.MEstat.ML
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预处理结果的因果推断及其在功能连接中的应用

Causal Inference for Preprocessed Outcomes with an Application to Functional Connectivity

Emory University(埃默里大学)

Zihang Wang, Razieh Nabi, Benjamin B. Risk

AI总结:

本文提出了一种半参数化因果推断框架,用于处理预处理后的衍生结果,并应用于功能连接中的中介分析。

摘要:

在生物医学研究中,每个受试者内的重复测量通常被处理以去除伪影和 unwanted 的变异源。所得数据用于构建衍生结果,这些结果作为无法直接观测的科学结果的代理。尽管 intra-subject 处理被广泛使用,但其对 inter-subject 统计推断的影响尚未系统研究,且缺乏在此设置下的因果分析原理框架。本文提出了一种半参数化的因果推断框架,用于处理后获得的衍生结果。该框架适用于具有模块化结构的设置,其中每个受试者内的分析独立进行,随后基于 intra-subject 阶段的参数进行 inter-subject 分析。我们开发了在 intra-subject 和 inter-subject 模型上具有速率条件的多重稳健因果参数估计器,这允许使用灵活的机器学习方法。我们将框架专门应用于中介设置,并聚焦于自然直接效应。对于高维推断,我们采用一种分步降阶程序,以控制假发现比例的超额率。模拟研究显示了所提方法的优越性能。我们应用我们的方法来估计刺激药物对自闭症谱系障碍儿童大脑连接的影响。

英文摘要:

In biomedical research, repeated measurements within each subject are often processed to remove artifacts and unwanted sources of variation. The resulting data are used to construct derived outcomes that act as proxies for scientific outcomes that are not directly observable. Although intra-subject processing is widely used, its impact on inter-subject statistical inference has not been systematically studied, and a principled framework for causal analysis in this setting is lacking. In this article, we propose a semiparametric framework for causal inference with derived outcomes obtained after intra-subject processing. This framework applies to settings with a modular structure, where intra-subject analyses are conducted independently across subjects and are followed by inter-subject analyses based on parameters from the intra-subject stage. We develop multiply robust estimators of causal parameters under rate conditions on both intra-subject and inter-subject models, which allows the use of flexible machine learning. We specialize the framework to a mediation setting and focus on the natural direct effect. For high dimensional inference, we employ a step-down procedure that controls the exceedance rate of the false discovery proportion. Simulation studies demonstrate the superior performance of the proposed approach. We apply our method to estimate the impact of stimulant medication on brain connectivity in children with autism spectrum disorder.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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