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arXiv 2512.02478q-bio.MNcs.NAmath.NAstat.CO
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非马尔可夫随机生化反应网络的模拟与推断方法

Simulation and inference methods for non-Markovian stochastic biochemical reaction networks

Queensland University of Technology(昆士兰科技大学)

Thomas P. Steele, David J. Warne

AI总结:

本文提出了一种高效方法,用于模拟和推断具有延迟的非马尔可夫随机生化反应网络,通过改进的随机模拟算法和耦合方案,显著提升了计算效率和推断准确性。

摘要:

生化反应网络的随机模型被广泛用于捕捉细胞系统中的内在噪声。这些模型的典型公式基于马尔可夫过程,对于高效模拟和推断已有大量研究。然而,一些生物过程,如基因转录和翻译,会引入具有历史依赖性的动态,需要非马尔可夫过程来准确捕捉系统的随机动态。这种更高的现实性带来了模拟和参数推断的额外计算挑战。我们开发了高效的随机模拟算法,用于均匀混合的非马尔可夫随机生化反应网络,其延迟取决于系统状态和时间。我们的方法将下一步反应方法和τ跳跃方法推广到支持任意事件间时间分布,同时保持计算可扩展性。我们还引入了一种耦合方案,以生成与近似非马尔可夫τ跳跃样本路径正相关的精确非马尔可夫样本路径。这使在基于多保真度的模拟推断方案中对模型参数的贝叶斯推断获得显著的计算优势。我们在具有延迟自抑制的基因调控模型上展示了我们的方法的有效性,显示了在模拟准确性和推断效率上获得两个数量级的提升。这些结果扩展了非马尔可夫模型在系统生物学和其他领域的实际应用范围。

英文摘要:

Stochastic models of reaction networks are widely used to capture intrinsic noise in complex systems in the life sciences. Typical formulations of these models are based on Markov processes for which there is extensive research on efficient simulation and inference. However, there are complex processes in biology, such as gene transcription and translation, that introduce history dependent dynamics requiring non-Markovian processes to accurately capture the stochastic dynamics of the system. This greater realism comes with additional computational challenges for simulation and parameter inference. We develop efficient stochastic simulation algorithms for well-mixed non-Markovian stochastic reaction networks with stochastic delays that depend on system state and time. Our methods generalize the next reaction method and $τ$-leaping method to support arbitrary inter-event time distributions while preserving computational scalability. We also introduce a coupling scheme to generate exact non-Markovian sample paths that are positively correlated to an approximate non-Markovian $τ$-leaping sample path. This enables substantial computational gains for simulation and Bayesian inference through multilevel Monte Carlo and multifidelity schemes. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach using several non-Markovian examples, showing substantial gains in both simulation accuracy and inference efficiency. These results extend the practical applicability of non-Markovian models in systems biology and beyond.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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