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arXiv 2409.18527stat.ME
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模拟研究中的缺失、失败与非收敛处理:当前实践回顾与建议

Handling Missingness, Failures, and Non-Convergence in Simulation Studies: A Review of Current Practices and Recommendations

Samuel Pawel, František Bartoš, Björn S. Siepe, Anna Lohmann

AI总结:

该研究回顾482项模拟研究,发现仅少数报告缺失问题,提出分类与建议,强调量化报告缺失、对齐研究目标并共享代码数据,以案例展示陷阱与解法。

摘要:

模拟研究通常用于方法学研究中对数据分析方法进行实证评估。它们根据特定机制生成人工数据集,并比较各方法在不同条件下的表现。然而,模拟重复并不总能产生有效输出,例如由于非收敛或其他算法失败。这一现象使结果解读复杂化,尤其是当其在各方法和条件间的发生频率存在差异时。尽管此类“缺失”可能带来严重后果,但关于其普遍性的定量数据及具体处理指南目前仍有限。为此,我们回顾了发表在各种方法学期刊上的482项模拟研究,系统评估了缺失的发生率及处理方式。我们发现,仅23%(111/482)的受审模拟研究提及缺失,报告频率的甚至更少(92/482=19%),报告处理方式的则更少(67/482=14%)。我们提出了缺失的分类及可能的解决方案。我们给出多项建议,最重要的是始终量化并报告缺失情况(即使未观察到缺失),使缺失处理与研究目标保持一致,并共享代码和数据以供复现和再分析。通过一个关于发表偏倚调整方法的案例研究,我们展示了常见陷阱及解决方案。

英文摘要:

Simulation studies are commonly used in methodological research for the empirical evaluation of data analysis methods. They generate artificial data sets under specified mechanisms and compare the performance of methods across conditions. However, simulation repetitions do not always produce valid outputs, e.g., due to non-convergence or other algorithmic failures. This phenomenon complicates the interpretation of results, especially when its occurrence differs between methods and conditions. Despite the potentially serious consequences of such "missingness", quantitative data on its prevalence and specific guidance on how to deal with it are currently limited. To this end, we reviewed 482 simulation studies published in various methodological journals and systematically assessed the prevalence and handling of missingness. We found that only 23% (111/482) of the reviewed simulation studies mention missingness, with even fewer reporting frequency (92/482 = 19%) or how it was handled (67/482 = 14%). We propose a classification of missingness and possible solutions. We give various recommendations, most notably to always quantify and report missingness, even if none was observed, to align missingness handling with study goals, and to share code and data for reproduction and reanalysis. Using a case study on publication bias adjustment methods, we illustrate common pitfalls and solutions.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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