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arXiv 2409.07710cs.SIcs.DL
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全球大流行期间科学出人意料的韧性:一项大规模描述性分析

Surprising Resilience of Science During a Global Pandemic: A Large-Scale Descriptive Analysis

Kian Ahrabian, Casandra Rusti, Ziao Wang, Jay Pujara, Kristina Lerman

AI总结:

本研究利用数千万篇规模的文献数据集,分析COVID-19大流行对全球顶尖千所机构科研人员的影响,发现初期科研活动意外增长但2022年底回落至历史趋势,指出需警惕延迟负面影响并进一步探究韧性成因。

摘要:

COVID-19大流行对全球民众造成了深远影响,但其对科学家和研究机构的影响尚未得到全面探究。为填补这一知识空白,我们使用一个涵盖数千万篇论文和作者的最新可用文献数据集,调查这一时期研究活动与合作的变化。我们采用统计方法,分析大流行对全球历史产出排名前1000的机构中研究人员的参与度、产出量和合作情况的 disruption( disruption 此处指冲击),同时考量地理因素、研究人员资历与性别、研究领域等变量。我们的发现揭示了一个出乎意料的趋势:大流行初期研究活动和产出显著增长,表明科学界展现出惊人的韧性。但到2022年底,研究参与度和产出量出现明显向历史趋势回落的现象。这种回落表明,初期研究活动的激增是短暂的冲击效应,而非永久性转变。因此,监测2023年及以后的科学产出变得至关重要。鉴于许多研究领域的周期较长,且湿实验室曾临时关闭,大流行可能对研究存在延迟的负面影响。要全面理解全球危机下科学创新韧性背后的驱动因素,还需开展进一步分析。本研究对截至2022年底的情况进行了初步的全面探索,为科学界在大流行期间的适应与应对方式提供了宝贵见解。

英文摘要:

The COVID-19 pandemic profoundly impacted people globally, yet its effect on scientists and research institutions has yet to be fully examined. To address this knowledge gap, we use a newly available bibliographic dataset covering tens of millions of papers and authors to investigate changes in research activity and collaboration during this period. Employing statistical methods, we analyze the pandemic's disruptions on the participation, productivity, and collaborations of researchers at the top 1,000 institutions worldwide based on historical productivity, taking into account variables such as geography, researcher seniority and gender, and field of study. Our findings reveal an unexpected trend: research activity and output significantly increased in the early stages of the pandemic, indicating a surprising resilience in the scientific community. However, by the end of 2022, there was a notable reversion to historical trends in research participation and productivity. This reversion suggests that the initial spike in research activity was a short-lived disruption rather than a permanent shift. As such, monitoring scientific outputs in 2023 and beyond becomes crucial. There may be a delayed negative effect of the pandemic on research, given the long time horizon for many research fields and the temporary closure of wet labs. Further analysis is needed to fully comprehend the factors that underpin the resilience of scientific innovation in the face of global crises. Our study provides an initial comprehensive exploration up to the end of 2022, offering valuable insights into how the scientific community has adapted and responded over the course of the pandemic.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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