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arXiv 2005.07952cs.SIcs.LG

Causal Modeling of Twitter Activity During COVID-19

Tampere University(坦佩雷大学);LEO Pharma(利奥制药)

Oguzhan Gencoglu, Mathias Gruber

英文摘要:

Understanding the characteristics of public attention and sentiment is an essential prerequisite for appropriate crisis management during adverse health events. This is even more crucial during a pandemic such as COVID-19, as primary responsibility of risk management is not centralized to a single institution, but distributed across society. While numerous studies utilize Twitter data in descriptive or predictive context during COVID-19 pandemic, causal modeling of public attention has not been investigated. In this study, we propose a causal inference approach to discover and quantify causal relationships between pandemic characteristics (e.g. number of infections and deaths) and Twitter activity as well as public sentiment. Our results show that the proposed method can successfully capture the epidemiological domain knowledge and identify variables that affect public attention and sentiment. We believe our work contributes to the field of infodemiology by distinguishing events that correlate with public attention from events that cause public attention.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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